Topics in Psychology and Economics Econ 5380 Spring 2015 Venue: LSK Room LSK1032 Time: Thursday, 14:00-17:50 Start: Feb 5th End: Mar 26th Instructor: Xiaojian Zhao Office: New Academic Building, Room 6083 Office hour: By Appointment Email: [email protected] Homepage: http://sites.google.com/site/xjzhao81/ Teaching Assistant Xianqiang ZOU ([email protected]) Course Description The available evidence in psychology and economics suggests that individuals’ behaviors deviate from the standard economic theory systematically. In this course, I will introduce the modern advances in behavioral economics and bounded rationality, including time inconsistent preferences and self-control, judgment under risk and uncertainty, imperfect knowledge and social emotions, and show the economic implications of those psychologically richer models. Meanwhile, we aim to answer the question why individuals are “biased”, and tend to find the link of some aspects of psychological regularities. In this part of the course, the students are expected to read and discuss several papers that attempt to synthesize existing models in psychology and economics. Prerequisite Microeconomic Analysis (Econ 5130) or Microeconomic Theory I (Econ 5210) Assessment Scheme ◦ Class Participation: 5% ◦ Paper Presentation: 45% ◦ Slides 20% ◦ Presentation 20% ◦ Q & A in class 5% ◦ Final Exam: 50% Arrangement Feb 5: Chapter 1, 2. Feb 12: Chapter 3 and Student Presentation 1. Feb 26: Chapter 4 and Student Presentation 2. Topics in Psychology and Economics 2 Mar 5: Chapter 5 and Student Presentation 3. Mar 12: Chapter 6 and Student Presentation 4. Mar 19: Chapter 7, 8. Mar 26: Review Session and Final Exam in room 2404. Textbook Zhao X. (2015). Notes on Psychology and Economics, available at lmes. References Chapter 1: Introduction - The Caricature of Homo Economicus [1] Camerer C. (2006). “Behavioral Economics,” in Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, Ninth World Congress, Volume 2, Richard Blundell, Whitney K. Newey, and Torsten Persson, eds., Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press. [2] DellaVigna, S. (2009). “Psychology and Economics: Evidence from The Field,” Journal of Economic Literature, 47, 315-372. [3] Rabin M. (1998). “Psychology and Economics,” Journal of Economic Literature, 36, 11-46. Chapter 2: Rationality and Rationalization of Irrational Behaviors [4] Kalai G., A. Rubinstein and R. Spiegler(2002). “Rationalizing Choice Functions by Multiple Rationales,” Econometrica, 70, 2481-2488. [5] Rubinstein, A. (1998). Modeling Bounded Rationality, MIT Press. [6] Sen, A. (1993). “Internal Consistency of Choice,” Econometrica, 61, 495-521. [7] Simon, H. (1955). “A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69, 99-118. Chapter 3: Time-Inconsistent Preferences and Self-Control [8] O’Donoghue T. and M. Rabin (2001). “Self Awareness and Self Control”. to appear as a chapter in Roy Baumeister, George Loewenstein, and Daniel Read (eds.), Now or Later: Economic and Psychological Perspectives on Intertemporal Choice, Russell Sage Foundation Press, forthcoming. [9] O’Donoghue T. and M. Rabin (2006). “Incentives and Self Control,” in Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, Ninth World Congress, Volume 2, Richard Blundell, Whitney Newey, and Torsten Persson, eds., Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press. [10] Gul, F. and W. Pesendorfer (2001). “Temptation and Self-Control”. Econometrica 69, 1403-1435. [11] Laibson, D. (1997). “Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 62, 443-477. Topics in Psychology and Economics 3 [12] Lipman, B. and W. Pesendorfer (2011). “Temptation,” mimeo, Boston University. [13] Spiegler, R. (2011) “Comments on “Behavioral” Decision Theory,” in Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, Tenth World Congress of the Econometric Society, forthcoming. [14] Strotz, R. (1955). “Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization,” Review of Economic Studies 23, 165-180. Chapter 4: Social Preferences [15] Charness, G. and M. Rabin (2002). “Understanding Social Preferences with Simple Tests,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, 817-869. [16] Fehr, E. and K. Schimdt (1999). “A Theory of Fairness, Competition and Cooperation,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 817-868. [17] Rabin, M. (1993): “Incorporating Fairness into Game Theory and Economics,” American Economic Review, 83, 1281-1302. Chapter 5: Judgment under Risk and Uncertainty [18] Dekel, E., B. Lipman and A. Rustichini(1998a). “Recent Developments in Modeling Unforeseen Contingencies”, European Economic Review, 1998, 42, 523-542. [19] Gilboa, I. and M. Marinacci (2011). “Ambiguity and the Bayesian Paradigm,” in Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, Tenth World Congress of the Econometric Society, forthcoming. [20] Kahneman, D. and A. Tversky (1979). “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk,” Econometrica, 47, 263-91. Chapter 6: Imperfect Knowledge [21] Aumann, R.J. (1976). “Agreeing to Disagree,” Annuals of Statistics, 76 (4), 1236-1239. [22] Dekel, E., B. Lipman and A. Rustichini(1998b): “Standard State-Space Models Preclude Unawareness”, Econometrica, 1998, 66(1), 159-173. [23] Geanakopolos J. (1992). “Common knowledge, Bayesian Learning and Market Speculation with Bounded Rationality.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 6, 58-82. Chapter 7: Cognitive Games [24] Bolton, P. and A. Faure-Grimaud (2010). “Satisficing Contracts,”Review of Economic Studies, 77, 937971. [25] Gabaix, X. and D. Laibson (2006). “Shrouded Attributes and Information Suppression in Competitive Markets”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121(2), 505-540. Topics in Psychology and Economics 4 [26] von Thadden, E. L. and X. Zhao (2012). “Incentives for Unaware Agents,”Review of Economic Studies, 79(3), 1151-1174. [27] Tirole, J. (2009). “Cognition and Incomplete Contracts,” American Economic Review, 99(1), 265-94. [28] Tirole, J. (2013). “Cognitive Games and Cognitive Traps,” mimeo, Toulouse School of Economics. Chapter 8: The Next - Unifying Economics and Psychology [29] Fudenberg, D. (2006). “Advancing beyond Advances in Behavioral Economics,” Journal of Economic Literature, 44, 694-711. [30] Harstad, R. and R. Selten (2013). “Bounded-Rationality Models: Tasks to Become Intellectually Competitive,” Journal of Economic Literature, 51(2), 496-511. [31] Tirole, J. (2002). “Rational Irrationality: Some Economics of Self-Management,” European Economic Review, 46, 633-655. Student Presentation 1: Consciousness [32] *1 Aumann, R. J. (2006). “Consciousness,” Life as We Know It, edited by J.Seckbach, Springer, Dordrecht, 555-564. [33] Draaisma, D. (2004). Why Life Speeds Up As You Get Older: How Memory Shapes our Past, Cambridge University Press. Student Presentation 2: Motivated Self-Cognition [34] * Bénabou, R. and J. Tirole (2002). “Self-Confidence and Personal Motivation,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(3), 871-915. [35] Carrillo, D. and T. Mariotti (2000). “Strategic Ignorance as a Self-Disciplining Device,” Review of Economic Studies, 67(3), 529-44. [36] Chew, S.H., W. Huang, and X. Zhao (2014). “Selective Memory and Motivated Delusion: Theory and Experiment,” Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2127795 [37] Dessi, R. and X. Zhao (2013). “Self-Esteem, Shame and Personal Motivation,” IDEI Working Paper, n. 639. Student Presentation 3: Overconfidence? [38] Benoı̂t, J-P. and J. Dubra (2011). “Apparent Overconfidence,” Econometrica, 79(5), 1591-1625. [39] * Burks, S.V., J.P. Carpenter, L. Goette, and A. Rustichini (2013). “Overconfidence and Social Signalling,” Review of Economic Studies, 80(3), 949-983. 1 Papers with mark * are key papers that are supposed to be presented by a group of students and read by all. Topics in Psychology and Economics 5 Student Presentation 4: Language, Cognition and Economic Behaviors [40] * Chen, M. K. 2013. “The Effect of Language on Economic Behavior: Evidence from Savings Rates, Health Behaviors, and Retirement Assets.” American Economic Review, 103(2) 690-731. [41] Hong, F., W. Lim and X. Zhao 2014. “An Economic Investigation of Linguistic Differences: Theory and Experiment.” mimeo, Nanyang Technological University and Hong Kong University of Science and Technology.. Supplementary Survey Papers [42] Camerer, C., G. Lowenstein, and D. Prelec (2005), “Neuroeconomics: How Neuroscience Can Inform Economics,” Journal of Economic Literature, XLIII, 9-64. [43] Dekel, E. and F. Gul. (1996). “Rationality and Knowledge in Game Theory”, in Kreps and Wallis (eds.), Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Application, vol. I, Cambridge: 87172. [44] Elster, J. (1998). “Emotions and Economic Theory” Journal of Economic Literature, 36, 4774. [45] Koszegi, B. (2013), “Behavioral Contract Theory,” Journal of Economic Literature, forthcoming. Supplementary Books [46] Ariely, D. (2008). Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions, Harper Collins. [47] Baumeister, R. and J. Tierney (2011). Willpower: Why Self-Control is the Secret to Success, Penguin Books. [48] Bénabou, R. and J. Tirole. Egonomics, in preparation. [49] Camerer C., G. Loewenstein and M. Rabin (2003). Advances in Behavioral Economics, Princeton University Press. [50] Cialdini, R. (1984). Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion, New York: William Morrow. [51] Eagleman, D. (2011). Incognito: The Secret Lives of the Brain, Vintage Books. [52] Foucault, M. (1961). Madness and Civilization: A History of Insanity in the Age of Reason, (translated by R. Howard) Vintage, New York, 1988. [53] Frey, B. and A. Stutzer (2002). Happiness and Economics, Princeton Press. [54] Glimcher, P. (2004). Decisions, Uncertainty, and the Brain: The Science of Neuroeconomics, MIT Press. [55] Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow, Penguin Books. [56] Mullainathan, S. and E. Shafir (2013). Scarcity: Why Having Too Little Means So Much, Times Books. [57] Sandal, M. (2012). What Money Can’t buy: The Moral Limits of Markets, New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. [58] Spiegler, R. (2011). Bounded Rationality and Industrial Organization, Oxford University Press. [59] Trivers, R. (2011). Deceit and Self-Deception, Penguin Books. [60] Smith, A. (1759). The Theory of Moral Sentiments.
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