Net Tuition Revenue: Practical Techniques to Maximize Enrollment and Financial Aid Part I TABS Conference - Washington, D.C. December 3, 1999 Scott Looney Director of Admission & Financial Aid Cranbrook Schools Matt Berg Director of Administrative Services Cranbrook Schools Net Tuition Revenue and Admission Accountability Review independent school tuition and enrollment trends. Examine the philosophy behind NTRA. Examine the price vs. demand dynamic. Explain the Implementation of NTRA. Demonstrate NTRA budgeting. The Legacy of Deferred Maintenance Around 1980 schools began to address the issues of deferred maintenance and faculty salaries. Tuitions were raised to cover the increased costs associated with improving physical plants and increasing teacher salaries. Income from sources other than tuition did not increase. Rise in Boarding Tuitions 20000 16000 12000 Indexed w/ CPI Tuition 8000 4000 "Access and Affordability", NAIS 0 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1998 Boarding Affordability Index 4.1 4 Percent of families who can afford tuition 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 Boarding 3.5 "Access and Affordability", NAIS 3.4 80-81 81-82 82-83 83-84 84-85 85-86 86-87 87-88 88-89 Rise in Day Tuitions 12000 10000 8000 Tuition Indexed w/ CPI 6000 4000 2000 "Access and Affordability", NAIS 0 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1998 Day Affordability Index 12.5 12 Percent of families who can afford tuition 11.5 11 10.5 Day 10 "Access and Affordability", NAIS 9.5 80-81 81-82 82-83 83-84 84-85 85-86 86-87 87-88 88-89 Demand vs. Cost From the 1999 NAIS public opinion poll: “If cost were not a factor, which would you chose for your child?” Responses: 39% public, 30% independent, 28% parochial school (total private =58%). In a 1995 survey, “57% of parents with children in public school said they would switch to private school if they could afford to do so.” API In 1971 62% of parents felt that the public school system was preparing their children better than they were prepared, in 1994 only 42% of parents felt that way. Parent’s confidence in the public school system is declining quickly, and demand for private education seems to be increasing. Ratios per Enrollee 1989 -1997 10 9 8 89-90 90-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 NAIS statistics Inquiries Apps Accepts Enrollment Growth by School Type (1988-1998) 40 35 30 25 20 10 year 5 year 1 year 15 10 5 0 -5 NAIS statistics Boarding Boarding-Day Day-Boarding Day *from "Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving or Endangered?": David W. Breneman The Brookings Institution Enrollment Demand, Price and Revenue* Demand Price High Tuition Tuition Tuition Revenue Low Tuition (High Tuition Revenue LowTuition Enrollment) (Price X Enrollment) Tuition Revenue (Low Tuition, High FP Enrollment) 0 Low FP Enrollment Full Paying High FP Students Enrollment Enrollment *from "Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving or Endangered?": David W. Breneman The Brookings Instituition Enrollment Demand and Net Tuition Revenue* Tuition D Unfunded student aid Optimal Enrollment Tuition rate Full Paying Tuition Revenue Net tuition revenue due to aid D Total on aid Enrollment 0 Total Full Payers Total enrolled High Demand Tuition *from "Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving or Endangered?": David W. Breneman The Brookings Institution Enrollment Demand and Net Tuition Revenue* Moderate Demand Low Demand Tuition rate H M L 0 Low Full Payers Moderate Full Payers High Full Payers Enrollment High Demand Tuition *from "Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving or Endangered?": David W. Breneman The Brookings Institution Enrollment Demand and Net Tuition Revenue* Moderate Demand Optimal Enrollment Low Demand Tuition rate Unfunded Aid FA Revenue Full Pay Revenue H M L 0 Low Full Payers Moderate Full Payers High Full Payers Enrollment High Demand Tuition *from "Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving or Endangered?": David W. Breneman The Brookings Institution Enrollment Demand and Net Tuition Revenue* Moderate Demand Optimal Enrollment Low Demand Tuition rate Full Pay Revenue Unfunded Unfunded Student Aid Student Aid FA FA Revenue Revenue H M L 0 Low Full Payers Moderate Full Payers High Full Payers Enrollment Tuition All who meet criteria All who would attend Enrollment Demand at stages in admission process* Matriculating *from "Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving or Endangered?": David W. Breneman The Brookings Institution Unfunded student aid Tuition rate A B C D1 D2 0 D3 Desired Enrollment Enrollment Admission Accountability QUALITY and composition of Student body: Academic, Diversity, Extracurricular. QUANTITY - Enrollment at optimal level (capacity). REVENUE -Net Tuition Revenue. Financial Aid is not real money... Financial Aid is potential revenue lost. Unless a school is turning away qualified full paying students, in order to make a space for a student receiving financial aid, there is no revenue lost by admitting students who receive aid. In fact, financial aid students are a valuable source of revenue! Is the glass half empty or half full? Net Tuition Revenue = the tuition remaining after the marginal cost of educating that student (receiving aid) is subtracted from tuition paid. Tuition = $20,000 but family only pays school $10,000 and the additional marginal cost to educate that child is $2,000. Net tuition revenue is $8,000. So, this student could be viewed as a $10,000 loss (traditional F/A accounting) or a $8,000 gain (net tuition revenue accounting). Students on Aid are a source of income, not a cost to the school. Look at the tuition revenue (beyond marginal costs) generated by students on financial aid. In most schools, the revenue generated from families on financial aid is significant. Cranbrook Upper School Financial Aid Revenue as % of Total FA Financial Full revenue Aid Paying Total as % of Revenue Revenue Revenue Total Boarding $ 729,701 $2,857,800 $ 3,587,501 20.3% Day $ 430,975 $6,293,000 $ 6,723,975 Total $1,160,676 $9,150,800 $10,311,476 11.3% 6.4% Traditional vs. NTR accounting Boarding vs. Day Costs Boarding Tuition $21,500 less: food (1,200) activities (250) net $20,050 Day Tuition $14,500 Difference $ 5,550 Faculty Cost Cost of teaching an additional section: Number of students per section Contribution required per student to break even on additional section. $6,000 10 $600 Budgeting Scenarios Spending more aid is fiscally responsible... “Capping the amount of unfunded student aid is not an option (for schools under capacity). And yet, that is precisely the type of move that college officials are tempted to try, ignoring the logic of the downward sloping demand curve. Capping unfunded student aid at some arbitrary percentage of the expense budget, unrelated to the demand curve, could result in lower enrollments and a loss in net tuition revenue.” David W. Breneman Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving or Endangered? How do you move towards Net Tuition Revenue accountability? Prepare: 1) revenue, enrollment and financial aid histories; 2) a financial analysis of the potential impact; 3) a budgeting system. Work to get all constituencies (Admission, Business Manager, Head, Board) to understand concept. Assure them that this will make admission more financially accountable. Supply Head and Board with information necessary to accept tuition revenue and let go of traditional financial aid accounting. Challenges of Net Tuition Revenue Accounting Accurate accounting of both tuition revenue and financial aid. Realistic two or three year enrollment and financial aid projections. Establishing the school’s true capacity, without increasing the fixed costs. Establishing the marginal cost of educating one additional student at your school. Getting the Admission/Financial Aid Director, Head, Business Manager and the Board to fully understand the concept and ramifications of NTRA. Budgeting Spread awards across grades, don’t commit too much aid to younger students. Don’t spend too much of future years’ budgets. Have F/A goals or limits as to how many full, half, small, etc.... awards to be given. Create a system to track tuition revenue and F/A numbers accurately. (Go to spreadsheet). True of independent schools as well...? “Across the country colleges are raising their sticker prices (tuition, room and board) yet they’re losing money. In relative terms, it costs students less to attend college than it did a decade ago because of increased financial aid. The long-term problem is that we have invented a form of education that’s too expensive. Collectively (liberal arts colleges) must decide how to deliver quality education we now deliver, for less money.” Robert Zemsky Founding Director Institute for Research on Higher Education University of Pennsylvania Challenges of Net Tuition Revenue Accounting Accurate accounting of both tuition revenue and financial aid. Realistic two or three year enrollment and financial aid projections. Understand the difference between PROJECTIONS and GOALS Determinng the school’s true capacity, without increasing the fixed costs. Determining the marginal cost of educating one additional student at your school. Getting the Admission/Financial Aid Director, Head, Business Manager and the Board to fully understand the concept and ramifications of NTRA. Suggested Reading Liberal Arts Colleges: Thriving, Surviving, or Endangered? (Chapters 2 - 4), David W. Breneman, Brookings Institution, 1994. Access and Affordability. Peter Aiken, NAIS, 1994 “A New Equation for Tuition and Aid Policies”, Arthur M. Hauptman, Priorities Newsletter, Number 8, Spring 1997, Association of Governing Boards of Universities and Colleges “Liberal Arts Colleges…Economic Challenges”, University of Pennsylvania Homepage, (http://slab.mtholyo…960412/experts.html) “Student Aid: Price Discount or Educational Investment?”, William G. Bowen and David W. Breneman, Brookings Review, vol 11 (Winter 1993), pp. 28-31. College Tuition Spiral: An Examination of Why Charges are Increasing. Arthur M. Hauptman and Jamie P. Meisotis, MacMillian Publishing 1990. “Enrollments Surge Following Big Cuts in Tuitions Rates at Private Colleges”, Ben Gose, The Chronicle of Higher Education, August 9, 1996. Net Tuition Revenue: Practical Techniques to Maximize Enrollment and Financial Aid Part II TABS Conference - Washington, D.C. December 3, 1999 Scott Looney Director of Admission & Financial Aid Cranbrook Schools Matt Berg Director of Administrative Services Cranbrook Schools Financial Aid is not real money... Financial Aid is potential revenue lost. Unless a school is turning away qualified full paying students, in order to make a space for a student receiving financial aid, there is no revenue lost by admitting students who receive aid. In fact, financial aid students are a valuable source of revenue! Is the glass half empty or half full? Net Tuition Revenue = the tuition remaining after the marginal cost of educating that student (receiving aid) is subtracted from tuition paid. Tuition = $20,000 but family only pays school $10,000 and the additional marginal cost to educate that child is $2,000. Net tuition revenue is $8,000. So, this student could be viewed as a $10,000 loss (traditional F/A accounting) or a $8,000 gain (net tuition revenue accounting). Case study #1:Boarding/Day School, 300 Students Situation:1) 20-25 students under capacity for several years; 2) long financial aid waiting lists of talented students; 3) late boarding student applicant pool; 4) high tuition dependency… very tight budget. Strategy: 1) Attempt to fill as many spaces as possible with traditional financial aid accounting until August 15th; 2) on Aug. 15th determine how many remaining spaces will likely not be filled before the opening of school; 3) meet the demonstrated need of those students who will advantage LFA in revenue and ability, without over committing for future years. Results: 1) Average entering SSAT scores raised, AP scores increased dramatically, average GPA of attending students increased; 2) increased boarding enrollment by over 20 % in three years 3) produced a small tuition surplus each year of NTRA. Case Study #2: Cranbrook Schools Situation: 1) Strong lower, middle and upper school day enrollment; 2) declining boarding student enrollment, at a 20 year low (low morale in boarding program with decreasing retention); 3) strong school financial position and tuition revenue; 4) Upper School 17 students from capacity. Strategy: 1) Persuade Business Manager and Head to agree to tuition revenue equal to previous year…so, any revenue from those additional 17 spaces is bonus money; 2) Second year increase US capacity by five students without increasing revenue goal (results in five new full scholarships.); 3) use additional revenue to fund boarding students; 4) unlimited number of boarding scholarships $5,000 and under (Day tuition + marginal cost of adding boarding student = $15,500). Results: 1) All divisions enrolled to capacity; 2) boarding enrollment goes from 195 to 255 in two years (30%) increase; 3) average entering SSAT scaled score up 3 points (about 15 percentage points) and average entering GPA up from 3.4 to 3.7; 4) boarding student retention goes from 84% to 92%; 5) tuition surplus generated each year, $80,000 first year, $350,000 the second; 6) financial aid is no longer reported to the Board, only tuition revenue figures are reported…FA is irrelevant. Case study #3: Boarding/Day School Situation:1) Rapidly increased enrollment from 150s to 230 using NTRA 2) Large number of new students receiving financial aid grants over $10,000; 3) Average net tuition was only slightly above half the total tuition cost; 4) Parents were paying only 43% of the total income figure budgeted by the school. Strategy: 1) Reduce the number of “big” financial aid awards; 2) Increase the number of smaller financial aid awards; 3) Increase tuition revenue being paid by families, with goal of achieving an 80% figure by 1998; 4) If possible, also increase enrollment and improve student composition. Results: Year 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 Enrollment 232 228 NTR per student Tuition $8,797 $9,991 % on FA 232 246 286 292 $11,402 $12,498 $13,516 $14,923 $16,200 $17,300 $17,800 $18,500 $18,900 $19,500 55% 54% 53% 52% 51% 51% TABS Academy (9-12, Boarding/day school of 300 students Mission Statement: At TA, we stress self-reliance, respect and diversity in a learning community. We believe in educating the whole child, with a strong emphasis on character development and spiritual growth. We offer talented young people the opportunity to develop their creative abilities in a wholesome community under the guidance of an exemplary faculty. Enrollment Situation Ideal enrollment would be 300 students, but the highest enrollment achieved in the last 8 years is 280, by August 15th with current enrollment is sitting at 277, with no strong candidates in the pipeline. However, 29 students are on the Financial Aid waiting list. TABS Academy Enrollment Grade Actual Enroll 52 68 85 72 Difference 9 10th 11th th 12 Ideal Enrollment 65 80 80 75 Totals 300 277 -23 th - 13 -12 +5 -3 TABS Academy Financial Aid Waitlist Trying to maximize enrollments, student quality, net revenue and diversity…who you chose? Remember to balance your classes and not to mortgage future financial aid budgets too greatly. TABS Academy entering students average a 3.2 GPA and 50% on testing. Calculating Spreadsheets Baseline Calculating Spreadsheets Maximize GPA Calculating Spreadsheets Maximize Revenue For Copies of this Presentation Leave your business card with us (indicate paper, electronic or both) or: E-mail: [email protected] Phone: 248-645-3409 Fax: 248-645-3025 Mail: D. Scott Looney Director of Admission & Financial Aid Cranbrook Schools -Office of Admission 1221 N. Woodward Ave. Bloomfield Hills, MI 48304
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