9-8 Odds Learn to convert between probabilities and odds. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds The odds in favor of an event is the ratio of favorable outcomes to unfavorable outcomes. The odds against an event is the ratio of unfavorable outcomes to favorable outcomes. odds in favor a:b odds against b:a a = number of favorable outcomes b = number of unfavorable outcomes a + b = total number of outcomes Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Example 1A: Estimating Odds from an Experiment In a club raffle, 1,000 tickets were sold, and there were 25 winners. A. Estimate the odds in favor of winning this raffle. The number of favorable outcomes is 25, and the number of unfavorable outcomes is 1000 – 25 = 975. The odds in favor of winning this raffle are about 25 to 975, or 1 to 39. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Example 1B: Estimating Odds from an Experiment In a club raffle, 1,000 tickets were sold, and there were 25 winners. B. Estimate the odds against winning this raffle. The odds in favor of winning this raffle are 1 to 39, so the odds against winning this raffle are about 39 to 1. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Probability and odds are not the same thing, but they are related. Suppose you want to know the probability of rolling a 2 on a fair die. There is one way to get a 2 and five ways not to get a 2, so the odds in favor of rolling a 2 are 1:5. Notice the sum of the numbers in the ratio is the denominator of the probability 16. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Example 2A: Converting Odds to Probabilities A. If the odds in favor of winning a CD player in a school raffle are 1:49, what is the probability of winning a CD player? 1 1 = P(CD player) = 1 + 49 50 Pre-Algebra On average there is 1 win for every 49 losses, so someone wins 1 out of every 50 times. 9-8 Odds Example 2B: Converting Odds to Probabilities B. If the odds against winning the grand prize are 11,999:1, what is the probability of winning the grand prize? If the odds against winning the grand prize are 11,999:1, then the odds in favor of winning the grand prize are 1:11,999. 1 1 P(grand prize) = = ≈ 0.000083333 1 + 11,999 12,000 Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds 13 Suppose that the probability of an event is . This means that, on average, it will happen in 1 out of every 3 trials, and it will not happen in 2 out of every 3 trials, so the odds in favor of the event are 1:2 and the odds against the event are 2:1. CONVERTING PROBABILITIES TO ODDS m If the probability of an event is , then the odds in n favor of the event are m:(n – m) and the odds against the event are (n – m):m. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Example 3: Converting Probabilities to Odds A. The probability of winning a free dinner is odds in favor of winning a free dinner? 1the . What are20 On average, 1 out of every 20 people wins, and the other 19 people lose. The odds in favor of winning the meal are 1:(20 – 1), or 1:19. 1the B. The probability of winning a door prize is . What are10 odds against winning a door prize? On average, 1 out of every 10 people wins, and the other 9 people lose. The odds against the door prize are (10 – 1):1, or 9:1. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds The odds in favor of an event is the ratio of favorable outcomes to unfavorable outcomes. The odds against an event is the ratio of unfavorable outcomes to favorable outcomes. odds in favor a:b odds against b:a a = number of favorable outcomes b = number of unfavorable outcomes a + b = total number of outcomes Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Probability and odds are not the same thing, but they are related. Suppose you want to know the probability of rolling a 2 on a fair die. There is one way to get a 2 and five ways not to get a 2, so the odds in favor of rolling a 2 are 1:5. Notice the sum of the numbers in the ratio is the denominator of the probability 16. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds 13 Suppose that the probability of an event is . This means that, on average, it will happen in 1 out of every 3 trials, and it will not happen in 2 out of every 3 trials, so the odds in favor of the event are 1:2 and the odds against the event are 2:1. CONVERTING PROBABILITIES TO ODDS m If the probability of an event is , then the odds in n favor of the event are m:(n – m) and the odds against the event are (n – m):m. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Try This: Example 1A Of the 1750 customers at an arts and crafts show, 25 will win door prizes. A. Estimate the odds in favor winning a door prize. The number of favorable outcomes is 25, and the number of unfavorable outcomes is 1750 – 25 = 1725. The odds in favor of winning a door prize are about 25 to 1725, or 1 to 69. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Try This: Example 1B Of the 1750 customers to an arts and crafts show, 25 win door prizes. B. Estimate the odds against winning a door prize at the show. The odds in favor of winning a door prize are 1 to 69, so the odds against winning a door prize are about 69 to 1. Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Try This: Example 2A A. If the odds in favor of winning a bicycle in a raffle are 1:75, what is the probability of winning a bicycle? 1 1 = P(bicycle) = 1 + 75 76 Pre-Algebra On average there is 1 win for every 75 losses, so someone wins 1 out of 76 times. 9-8 Odds Try This: Example 2B B. If the odds against winning the grand prize are 19,999:1, what is the probability of winning the grand prize? If the odds against winning the grand prize are 19,999:1, then the odds in favor of winning the grand prize are 1:19,999. 1 1 P(grand prize) = = ≈ 0.00005 1 + 19,999 20,000 Pre-Algebra 9-8 Odds Try This Together: Example 3 A. The probability of winning a free laptop is odds in favor of winning a free laptop? 1the . What are30 On average, 1 out of every 30 people wins, and the other 29 people lose. The odds in favor of winning the meal are 1:(30 – 1), or 1:29. 1the B. The probability of winning a math book is . What are50 odds against winning a math book? On average, 1 out of every 50 people wins, and the other 49 people lose. The odds against the door prize are (50 – 1 ):1, or 49:1. Pre-Algebra
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