CHAPTER 2 – GENERAL GOVERNMENT SECTOR OUTCOME The net result from transactions for 2011-12 was $571 million. Excluding the impact of net Commonwealth variations ($427 million) since the revised 2011-12 estimate was published in the 2012-13 Budget, the 2011-12 net result from transactions for the Victorian general government sector would have been $144 million. The Commonwealth provided to Victoria higher grants compared to the revised 2011-12 estimate, largely by bringing forward its payment for a number of grants into 2011-12. Total expenditure of $47.3 billion was within 1.2 per cent of the revised budget estimate of $46.7 billion. General government net infrastructure investment was $5.2 billion for 2011-12 which was broadly in line with the revised budget estimate. Net debt for the general government sector of $15.2 billion at 30 June 2012 was lower than estimated in the revised budget. FISCAL OBJECTIVES The 2011-12 Budget Update set out the Government’s strategy to place the State’s finances back on a sustainable footing. The key elements of that strategy were to maintain a budget surplus of at least $100 million a year, implement savings in the public sector, maintain Victoria’s triple-A credit rating and move towards sustainable levels of public debt. The 2011-12 results are consistent with the Government’s fiscal strategy. The Government has taken important steps toward improving the State’s financial sustainability by implementing substantial savings, constraining overall spending growth over the forward estimates, and committing to a new medium-term fiscal strategy in the 2012-13 Budget. FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Table 2.1 shows that the Government delivered a 2011-12 net result from transactions of $571 million. This was $445 million higher than the revised 2011-12 estimate of $126 million contained in the 2012-13 Budget. Excluding the net impact of higher than budgeted Commonwealth grants in 2011-12 of around $427 million since the 2012-13 Budget, the net result from transactions would be $144 million in 2011-12 which is consistent with the Government’s revised estimate as published in the 2012-13 Budget. 2011-12 Financial Report Chapter 2 5 Table 2.1: Summary of operating statement ($ million) Revenue Taxation revenue Interest Dividends, income tax and rate equivalent revenue Sale of goods and services Grants Other revenue Total revenue Expenses Employee expenses Superannuation (a) Depreciation and amortisation Interest expense Grants and other transfers Other operating expenses Total expenses Net result from transactions – Net operating balance Total other economic flows included in net result Net result 2010-11 Actual 2011-12 Actual 2011-12 Revised Budget % variance Change 14 857.5 420.1 404.0 15 026.9 412.6 939.1 14 909.7 386.5 1 008.6 117.2 26.2 (69.6) 0.8 6.8 (6.9) 5 944.2 22 425.6 1 975.5 46 026.9 6 267.2 22 599.8 2 636.7 47 882.3 6 207.3 21 874.3 2 488.7 46 875.1 59.9 725.5 148.0 1 007.2 1.0 3.3 5.9 2.1 16 374.8 2 627.2 2 010.0 985.6 8 547.4 14 964.6 45 509.6 517.3 17 120.1 2 632.5 2 126.5 1 242.6 8 233.8 15 955.6 47 311.0 571.2 16 840.5 2 564.8 2 235.5 1 233.2 8 206.1 15 668.9 46 749.1 126.0 279.6 67.6 (109.0) 9.3 27.8 286.6 561.9 445.3 1.7 2.6 (4.9) 0.8 0.3 1.8 1.2 353.5 218.6 (10 298.6) (6 111.0) (4 187.6) 735.9 (9 727.3) (5 985.0) (3 742.3) 68.5 62.5 Note: (a) Includes superannuation interest expense and other superannuation. The significant drivers of the variances to the revised 2011-12 estimate, and where significant to the previous financial year are explained in more detail below. Revenue Total revenue for the year was $47.9 billion, $1.0 billion (or 2.1 per cent) higher than the revised estimate and $1.9 billion (or 4.0 per cent) higher than in 2010-11. Grants revenue of $22.6 billion in 2011-12 was $726 million (or 3.3 per cent) higher than the revised estimate, primarily reflecting the Commonwealth bringing forward grants into 2011-12 for the Western Ring Road Upgrade, the Housing Affordability Fund and grants for on-passing to local government. After adjustments for the additional expenditure of $281 million associated with this Commonwealth revenue, additional grants resulted in a net $427 million increase in the general government net result from transactions. When compared to 2010-11, grants revenue showed little growth at $174 million (or 0.8 per cent) with increases in special purpose payments and other grants largely offset by a significant year on year reduction in Natural Disaster Relief payments and GST revenue. Table 2.2 shows State taxation revenue of $15.0 billion, 0.8 per cent higher than the revised estimate in the 2012-13 Budget. The increase was largely driven by: $42.6 million in additional payroll tax due to stronger than expected employment growth; and $42.0 million in additional insurance tax in line with industry reports of higher than expected premium growth. 6 Chapter 2 2011-12 Financial Report Comparing year on year results, taxation revenue in 2011-12 was $169.4 million (or 1.1 per cent) higher than in 2010-11. The increase was driven by: $341.8 million in higher payroll tax in line with trend growth; and $196.0 million in additional insurance taxes, mainly reflecting a boost in funding for the Country Fire Authority. These increases were substantially offset by a $603 million decrease in land transfer duty. This reflects a more subdued property market, with the number of transactions similar to the 2008-09 downturn and much lower than 2010-11. Table 2.2: Taxation ($ million) Taxes on employers' payroll and labour force Taxes on immovable property Land tax Congestion levy Metropolitan improvement levy Property owner contributions to fire brigades Total taxes on immovable property Financial and capital transactions Land transfer duty Other property duties Financial accommodation levy Growth areas infrastructure contribution Total financial and capital transactions Gambling taxes Private lotteries Electronic gaming machines Casino Racing Other Total gambling taxes Levies on statutory corporations Taxes on insurance Motor vehicle taxes Vehicle registration fees Duty on vehicle registrations and transfers Total motor vehicle taxes Franchise taxes Other taxes Total taxation 2011-12 Actual 4 695.8 2011-12 Revised 4 653.2 Budget variance 42.6 % Change 0.9 1 401.4 46.1 131.5 38.2 1 617.2 1 377.2 45.6 130.0 32.0 1 584.8 24.2 0.5 1.4 6.2 32.4 1.8 1.1 1.1 19.5 2.0 3 307.0 7.7 83.1 72.5 3 470.3 3 285.0 8.3 85.9 58.1 3 437.4 21.9 (0.6) (2.8) 14.4 32.9 0.7 (7.6) (3.3) 24.8 1.0 384.7 1 013.8 194.4 121.1 16.5 1 730.6 69.4 1 652.1 379.0 1 033.8 197.5 124.9 16.0 1 751.2 69.4 1 610.1 5.7 (19.9) (3.1) (3.8) 0.5 (20.6) .. 42.0 1.5 (1.9) (1.6) (3.1) 3.0 (1.2) .. 2.6 1 005.3 584.3 1 589.6 22.6 179.3 15 026.9 1 002.7 593.3 1 596.0 21.4 186.2 14 909.7 2.6 (9.0) (6.4) 1.2 (6.9) 117.2 0.3 (1.5) (0.4) 5.5 (3.7) 0.8 Source: Department of Treasury and Finance Revenue from the sale of goods and services of $6.3 billion was largely consistent with the revised budget estimate and $323 million (or 5.4 per cent) higher than in 2010-11, primarily reflecting increased revenue in the health sector and increased capital assets charge revenue from VicTrack in line with growing investment in the sector. 2011-12 Financial Report Chapter 2 7 Other revenue of $2.6 billion was $148 million (or 5.9 per cent) higher than the revised estimate primarily reflecting increased revenue from non-government sources received by health services and the receipt of assets from local government. Dividends, income tax and rate equivalent revenue was $70 million (or 6.9 per cent) lower than the revised estimate, reflecting timing differences since the 2012-13 Budget. When compared to 2010-11, this revenue increased by $535 million reflecting the underlying profitability of government entities and the receipt of a dividend from the Victorian WorkCover Authority. Expenses Excluding the impact of additional grants to local government as a result of the Commonwealth bringing these payments forward into 2011-12 as previously discussed, total expenses for the year were consistent with the revised budget. When compared to 2010-11, total expenses grew by $1.8 billion to $47.3 billion. This was primarily due to: normal salary increases for existing frontline service delivery staff, as well as additional police, protective services officers and hospital staff; increased demand driven funding paid to Registered Training Organisations, new initiatives funded by Government in the health and human services sectors, growth funding for existing initiatives and additional activity funded by hospitals own revenue; increase in depreciation expenses reflecting the impact of the Government’s investment in infrastructure over the year as well as the effect of asset revaluations on depreciation expense; and increase in interest expense due to higher borrowings to fund the general government sector infrastructure investment program. Savings The 2011-12 Budget outlined a total savings package of $2.2 billion over five years, including $475 million in 2011-12. These savings focused on cutting waste and duplication. These savings were achieved through an overall reduction in departmental budgets and built on the $164 million of savings achieved in 2010-11. The ongoing achievement of savings outlined in this package underpins the Government’s efforts to constrain expenditure growth, as will realising the additional savings measures from 2012-13 set out in the 2011-12 Budget Update and the 2012-13 Budget. Other economic flows included in the net result The net result from transactions is the Government’s net surplus measure for the purposes of its fiscal strategy. The overall net result is a different measure. The difference between the net result and the net result from transactions is due to other economic flows, which includes various revaluation gains and losses such as actuarial gains and losses on the superannuation liability. Actuarial gains and losses on superannuation arise due to variations between actual experience and the assumptions used to determine the superannuation expense from transactions. These assumptions include the rate of future salary increases, the length of employee tenure, the expected rate of return on superannuation assets and the discount rate that is used to determine the present value of the superannuation liability. 8 Chapter 2 2011-12 Financial Report The discount rate used to calculate the superannuation liability is based on Commonwealth Government bond yields. Movements in these bond yields can have a significant impact on the valuation of the superannuation liability. Commonwealth Government bonds yields fell markedly over the course of 2011-12, which greatly increased the reported superannuation liability. However, it is important to note that increases in reported superannuation liability arising from bond rate movements have no impact on the amount of cash required to fund the liability over time. Other economic flows included in the net result for 2011-12 totalled a net loss of $10.3 billion, of which $9.3 billion related to an actuarial loss on superannuation. This actuarial loss was primarily due to adverse movements in the bond yields that are used to value this liability during the year as well as lower than expected investment returns on superannuation assets. Overall, the reported net result for the year was a loss of $9.7 billion, compared to a revised estimate loss of $6.0 billion. This variation was primarily due to an increase in the actuarial loss on superannuation since the revised estimate was published due to a further fall in bond yields and investment returns. MEASURES OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Fiscal aggregates are analytical balances that are useful for assessing the impact of the financial transactions of government and its controlled agencies on the economy. These measures are derived from the information disclosed in the audited financial statements in Chapter 4. Five operating fiscal aggregate measures are shown in Table 2.3. Table 2.3: Operating fiscal aggregates ($ million) 2010-11 Actual 517.3 735.9 (2 253.6) 5 459.7 (1 805.7) Net result from transactions – net operating balance Net result Net borrowing Comprehensive result – total change in net worth Cash deficit 2011-12 Actual 571.2 (9 727.3) (1 710.5) (8 209.2) (640.3) 2011-12 Revised 126.0 (5 985.0) (2 294.4) (2 588.0) (980.6) The net result from transactions for 2011-12 for the general government sector was a surplus of $571 million. This measure excludes the effects of revaluations arising from changes in market prices. The main reasons for this result and the net result, which includes such changes, have been discussed previously. The net borrowing measure for 2011-12 was $1.7 billion. This measure reflects the overall impact on financial markets of the transactions of the general government sector. This lower net borrowing result reflects the higher than expected net result from transactions and the commercial acceptance of the Biosciences Research Centre not being achieved in 2011-12 as originally anticipated. The comprehensive result – total change in net worth in 2011-12 was a loss of $8.2 billion. This was mainly as a result of an actuarial loss on superannuation defined benefit plans which has been discussed previously under other economic flows included in the net result. The cash deficit of $640 million in 2011-12 was $340 million lower than the revised estimate and $1.2 billion lower than the same time last year due to a higher than expected net result from transactions and lower infrastructure investment. 2011-12 Financial Report Chapter 2 9 FINANCIAL POSITION Table 2.4 shows that total general government sector net assets decreased by $8.2 billion (or 7.4 per cent) to $111 billion in 2011-12. The main driver of this decrease in net assets has been a $9.8 billion increase in the reported value of the superannuation liability of the general government sector, due primarily to a fall in the discount rate used to value the superannuation liability. This was partially offset by the impact of revaluations of non-financial assets of $2.0 billion. Net assets as at 30 June 2012 were also $5.7 billion lower than predicted in the May budget which was primarily due to the decrease in the discount rate used to value the superannuation liability in the June quarter of 2012, as well as lower than estimated revaluations of road assets. Table 2.4: Summary balance sheet ($ million) Actual Actual 2011 movement Assets Financial assets Non-financial assets Investments in other sector entities Public financial corporations Public non-financial corporations Total assets Liabilities Superannuation Borrowings Other liabilities Total liabilities Net assets Actual 2012 Budget variance Revised 2011-12 9 767.1 95 079.2 984.1 3 906.7 10 751.3 98 986.0 (46.4) (2 365.1) 10 797.7 101 351.1 1 064.7 64 108.5 170 019.6 (27.6) 1 603.8 6 467.1 1 037.1 65 712.3 176 486.6 (245.3) (94.0) (2 750.8) 1 282.4 65 806.2 179 237.4 22 780.3 17 734.4 10 581.2 51 095.9 118 923.6 9 817.2 4 659.5 198.1 14 674.7 (8 207.7) 32 597.5 22 393.9 10 779.3 65 770.7 110 716.0 3 525.7 (276.5) (279.6) 2 969.6 (5 720.4) 29 071.8 22 670.4 11 058.9 62 801.1 116 436.4 Assets Financial assets in Table 2.4 include cash assets, investments and loans and placements. The value of the financial assets held by the general government sector increased by $984 million to $10.8 billion during the financial year in line with the revised budget. This is primarily due to an increase in cash deposits to meet short-term requirements. Non-financial assets primarily consist of the general government’s holdings of infrastructure assets. These increased by $3.9 billion during the year which is mainly due to the Government’s new purchases of infrastructure ($3.6 billion), partially offset by the annual depreciation charge ($2.1 billion), revaluations of existing assets ($2.0 billion), primarily relating to roads, and the recognition of the Royal Children’s Hospital which was commissioned during the year ($0.9 billion). 10 Chapter 2 2011-12 Financial Report Liabilities Total general government sector liabilities increased by $15 billion to $66 billion in 2011-12, primarily due to an increase in the superannuation liability and increased borrowings to fund the Government’s infrastructure investment program. Total liabilities as at 30 June 2012 were $3.0 billion higher than estimated in the revised budget, mainly due to the impact of higher than estimated actuarial losses on superannuation since the May budget, as outlined above. The superannuation liability relates to public sector defined benefit superannuation schemes and represents the present value of expected future benefits that scheme members have accrued to date, less the value of superannuation assets. MEASURES OF FINANCIAL POSITION Key measures of the general government sector’s financial position include net debt and net financial liabilities and are highlighted in Table 2.5. In the 2012-13 Budget the Government committed to reduce net debt as a percentage of GSP over the decade to 2022 as part of its medium-term fiscal strategy. Table 2.5: Balance sheet fiscal aggregates ($ million) 2010-11 Actual 118 923.6 23 844.4 41 328.8 11 836.8 Net worth Net financial worth Net financial liabilities Net debt 2011-12 Actual 110 716.0 11 730.0 55 019.4 15 236.9 2011-12 Revised 116 436.4 15 085.3 52 003.4 16 082.9 Source: Department of Treasury and Finance The net worth measure is equal to net assets outlined in Table 2.4. The general government net financial worth measure is equal to total financial assets less total liabilities. In 2011-12, net financial worth decreased by $12.1 billion to $11.7 billion, primarily due to the actuarial losses on superannuation previously outlined as well as the impact of funding part of the infrastructure program through borrowing. Net financial liabilities are determined by the value of total liabilities less financial assets (excluding investments in other sector entities). Net financial liabilities increased by $13.7 billion in 2011-12 to $55 billion as at 30 June 2012, due largely to the same factors that impacted on the net financial worth measure above. Net debt is determined by deducting liquid financial assets from gross debt. Net debt increased by $3.4 billion in 2011-12 to $15 billion as at 30 June 2012. This reflects the increase in borrowings to partially fund the Government’s infrastructure investment program as well as the recognition of the finance lease for the Royal Children’s Hospital during the year. 2011-12 Financial Report Chapter 2 11 CASH FLOWS Table 2.6 outlines the use of cash resources to fund Victoria’s infrastructure investment program. It provides a summary of cash generated through the operations of Victorian government departments and other general government sector agencies, and how that cash is applied to infrastructure investment. A detailed statement of cash flows is provided in Chapter 4. In 2011-12, approximately half of the general government sector infrastructure investment program of $5.2 billion was funded from net cash flows from operating activities. Table 2.6: Application of cash resources ($ million) Net result from transactions – net operating balance Add back: Non-cash revenues and expenses (net) (a) Net cash flow from operating activities Less: Net investment in fixed assets Expenditure on approved projects Sale of non-financial assets Net investment in fixed assets Finance leases Other investment activities (net) Increase in net debt 2011-12 Actual 571.2 2 186.3 2 757.5 2011-12 Revised 126.0 2 341.2 2 467.2 5 396.0 (167.1) 5 228.9 916.0 12.7 (3 400.1) 5 818.6 (303.2) 5 515.5 1 210.6 (12.8) (4 246.1) Note: (a) Includes depreciation and non-cash movements in liabilities such as superannuation and employee benefits. 12 Chapter 2 2011-12 Financial Report
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