SCHOOL OF BUSINESS, ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT ECF110 - INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS MID-SEMESTER EXAMINATION MONDAY, 11TH APRIL 2016 15:00- 17:00 HOURS Time allowed: 3 HOURS plus 5minutes reading time Instructions to Candidates: 1. Check that you have the correct examination paper in front of you. 2. There are Two (2) Sections in this paper. Answer ALL questions in BOTH section A and B. 3. All questions must be answered in the answer sheet only. 4. Write down the number of questions that you have answered on the cover of the examination answer sheet. 5. Begin each question on a new page. 6. Non-Programmable Electronic Calculators are allowed 7. No books, files or other mechanical / electronic aids are permitted. 8. There shall be no form of communication between students during the examination. Any students caught doing this will be disqualified. DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO 1 SECTION A. COMPULSORY QUESTION ONE (a) Which components of GDP would each of the following transactions affect? (i) Your family buys a new plasma TV (1 mark) (ii) Your neighbour buys a new house. (1 mark) (iii) All townships roads are repaved (1 mark) (iv) You buy a bottle of Italian wine. (1 mark) (v) Toyota opens a new factory in Zambia. (1 mark) (b) Consider an economy composed of only three firms: firm A, B and C. Firm A takes wood from the forest at no cost and produces planks out of this wood. Firm B, a manufacturing company, buys these planks from firm A and produces wardrobes. These wardrobes are sold to firm C, a retailer firm who in turn sales the wardrobes to consumers. Firms Quantity Price Wages Taxes Profits A 250 Planks $15 $2000 0 $1,750 B 50 Wardrobes $300 $800 $2,750 $7,700 C 50 Wardrobes $400 $500 $850 $3,650 Compute the GDP of this economy using the three (3) approaches to national income (15 marks) (c) World Bank has just hired you and you are tasked with the responsibility to rank by GDP the following countries: Country GDP (in billion US dollars) Population (in millions) India 4,684 1,223.17 Germany 3,197 81.90 China 12,406 1,354.04 Canada 1,488 34.83 2 United States 16,245 314.18 i. Using GDP value, rank the above countries in descending order? ii. Using your basic knowledge in macroeconomics, rank the above countries in terms of their standard of living? iii. (6 marks) Do you think China will surpass the United States any time soon in terms of living standards? iv. (1 mark) (3 marks) In a speech of Senator Robert Kennedy gave when he was running for president in 1968, he said the following about GDP: (It) does not allow for the health of our children, the quality of their education, or the joy of their play. It does not include the beauty of our poetry or the strength of our marriages, the intelligence of our public debate or the intelligence of our public officials. It measures neither our courage, nor our wisdom, nor our devotion to our country. It measures everything, in short, except that which makes life worthwhile, and it can tell us everything about America except why we are proud that we are American. Was Senator Robert Kennedy right? If so, briefly explain. (10 marks) TOTAL: 40 MARKS 3 SECTION B: COMPULSORY QUESTION TWO The Zambia economy is currently in a recession and preliminary statistics from the Ministry of Labour and Social Security indicates that between 2013 and 2016, the unemployment rate in Zambia has risen from 13.3 percent to 19.5 percent. His Excellency the President of the Republic of Zambia, Mr. Edgar Chagwa Lungu has been presented with two policy options to address the unemployment problem by the National Economic Advisory Council (NEAC). Policy One: Use tariffs and quotas to restrict imports and this will protect jobs in the Zambian economy. Policy Two: Use monetary and fiscal policies to resolve the unemployment problem without resorting to trade restrictions. a. As an economic advisor to the president, explain two disadvantages of selecting policy 1 (4 Marks) b. Describe in detail one specific monetary policy action and fiscal policy action you would recommend to reduce unemployment. Explain how each of these actions would affect each of the following variables in the short run i. Aggregate demand ii. Output and price level iii. Real interest rate (12 marks) c. If the interest rate effects you identified in part (b) continue in the long run, explain the impact of these effects on economic growth. (4 Marks) TOTAL: 20 MARKS 4 QUESTION THREE Suppose a new government promised to eliminate the large Zambian budget deficit within a year to βput the economy on a sounder pathβ. (a). Describe some steps it would have to take on spending and taxes. (b). What effect would this have on: i. National output ii. Tax revenue iii. The deficit iv. Autonomous investment (12 marks) (c). Why would government raise taxes when it could borrow to cover its spending? Briefly explain and show by way of graphs. (4 marks) (d). Define the crowding-out effect. (2 marks) (e). Is the crowding-out effect likely to be larger during recession or when the economy is near full employment? (2 marks) QUESTION FOUR The following data summarizes some macroeconomic conditions of a country called Copacabana. Planned Investment (I) I=$200 Government Purchases (G) G=$400 Exports (X) X=$100 Imports (as a function of income Y) π = π + ππ Autonomous Taxes πΜ = $200 Autonomous Consumption π = $50 Autonomous imports π = $10 5 -Let π denote the marginal propensity to consume of the country. - In Copacabana there is an income tax: let π be the income tax ratio. - Let π be the marginal propensity to import in the economy, a) Show the multiplier of the Copacabana economy, as a function of π, π πππ π (2 marks) b) Assume -marginal propensity to consume, πππ = π = 0.8 -marginal propensity to import, πππ = π = 0.1 -income tax, π = 0.05 What is the numerical value of the multiplier of this economy? (1 mark) C) What is the level of autonomous planned expenditure of Copacabana economy? (2 marks) d) Calculate the equilibrium national income of this economy (2 marks) e) What is the level of government surplus, and of domestic private savings (S) in this economy? (2 marks) Assume the ruler of Copacabana, Sir Alberto Sanchez, is considering reducing the government expenditure to πΊ1 = $300 so as to rid the economy of inflationary pressure (f) By how much will equilibrium national income change? (2 marks) (g) By how much will tax revenue change? (2 marks) (h) By how much will consumption change? (2 marks) (i) What would be the new level of domestic savings, government surplus and imports? (5 marks) TOTAL: 20 MARKS END OF MIDSEMESTER EXAMINATION PAPER 6
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