MEMBERS BRIEF ON THE 2017-18 VICTORIAN BUDGET The Victorian Budget was delivered on 2 May 2017. The focus of the State Government’s budget is a significant investment in family violence prevention, an increase in police numbers as part of a major anti-crime initiative and a doubling in annual capital investment across the over the forward estimates. Significant announcements within the Budget for local government include: The centralisation of the municipal valuation functions with the Valuer General and a movement to annual property revaluations. It is understood that issues such as councils’ continued financial contribution to the valuation data, whether it will also be compelled to update its valuations used for rating purposes on an annual basis and other consequences of this decision for local government is yet to be determined and will be subject to consultation with the sector. $81.2 million over four years for the MCH program $87.1 million for kindergarten services, with a particular emphasis on support vulnerable children $14.9 million for the operating costs of the SES. This figure is not easily identified in the budget papers but was announced in a government press release. $50m over two years for a continuation of the Growing Suburbs program, which halves the previous annual funding contribution MAV PRIORITY ISSUES The following table reviews the funding issues sought by the MAV from the State Government against the budget allocations Measure MCH program Pensioner rate rebates continued Kindergarten and early years funding Regional and rural road and bridge infrastructure Budget Response $81.2m over four years for the Enhanced MCH program and other MCH initiatives Budget paper 5 appears to confirm continued provision of pensioner rate rebates $87.1m for kindergarten services, particularly for vulnerable families MAV Comment The MAV welcomes the funding commitment $556.4 million provided over four years for regional funding The MAV welcomes the major increase in maintenance and renewal funding for VicRoads’ assets. The MAV welcomes the continued provision of pensioner rate rebates MAV welcomes the significant investment in early years education. It is disappointed that no provision was made for local roads and bridges. Measure Roadside weeds and pests Budget Response $5.4 million allocated over two years MAV Comment While pleased with this funding allocation, MAV will continue to advocate for long-term funding for councils for these roadside responsibilities MEASURES OF RELEVANCE TO LOCAL GOVERNMENT Local Government Reform $1m in 2017-18 for the Regional Sustainability Reform Fund, which will explore the financial sustainability challenges facing rural and regional councils. Family violence $1.9 billion for family violence prevention, including: $448m for the creation of 17 support and safety hubs $270.8 million for victim assistance, after-hours crisis support, counselling and therapy, including for children $269.4 million to enhance the response of Victoria's legal system to family violence $76.9 million to hold perpetrators of family violence to account and to change perpetrator behaviour $133.2 million for housing $95.4 million to strengthen our family violence workforce $33.5 million to provide greater support for Aboriginal Victorians and Aboriginal organisations and communities Road safety $6.8m over three years for the implementation of the Australian Disability Parking $4.9m School crossing supervisors in 2017-18. It is understood that further funding will be determined following the review of the program in the first half of the 2018 year. $556.4m for rural and regional roads Infrastructure $50m over two years for the Growing Suburbs Fund $45.2m over four years for the Connecting Regional Communities program to support mobile and broadband coverage in rural and regional areas. $1.458b for the Regional Rail Revival Program, which will upgrade rural passenger train lines. This includes an upgrade the Ballarat line previously funded in the 201617 budget and an allocation to the Gippsland line in the 2017-18 budget. A large proportion of funding ($485m) remains contingent on the Commonwealth providing funding under the Asset Recycling National Partnership Agreement. $1.1m over three years for the development of a rural drainage strategy. Sport and recreation $20.1m over two years for the Sports Infrastructure Fund for local sporting clubs’ facilities, including an expansion of the Female Friendly Facilities Program $1.1m over four years for the public swimming pool safety program to develop a code of practice for Victorian public swimming pools Environment $141.9m over five years for the implementation of the reforms to EPA – funded from the landfill levy and sustainability fund $30.4m over four years for waste and resource recovery in Victoria, funded from the sustainability fund $5.4m over two years for the continuation of roadside weeds and pests funding $12.5m over four years for the Taking Decisive Action on Climate Change program, funded from the Sustainability Fund. $12.8m over four years for the Understanding and Adapting to Climate Change program, funded from the Sustainability Fund. Planning $3.1m over three years for the Smarter planning for permits program $16.6m over four years for the Speeding up local government planning decisions program $1m in 2017-18 for the City Deals seed funding, to develop proposals under the related Commonwealth Government program for metropolitan and regional cities. Human services $10m over four years for early childhood development facilities $87.1m over four years for the Education State Reform program to provide high quality learning and development for three and four-year olds, including programs to provide support for vulnerable children $81.2m over four years for the MCH program, including funding for the enhanced program, MCH nurse training and scholarships $7.2m over two year for early childhood intervention services $6.2m over two years for the Early Start Kindergarten for vulnerable children $5m over two years for children with significant disabilities to participate in kindergarten $4.9m in 2017-18 for the State Disability Plan 2017-2020 Emergency management $7.4m over four years for SES unit funding and $26.9m in the 2017-18 year for the new SES headquarters and other critical assets $14.9m for the operating costs of the SES. This figure is not easily identified in the budget papers but was announced in a government press release $273.3m over four years for bushfire risk reduction Economic development $110m over four years to establish a timber plantation in the Latrobe valley to support the timber industry. This initiative has been funded from the Sustainability Fund. $171m reduction in payroll tax for rural and regional businesses through the introduction of lower payroll tax rates for eligible rural and regional businesses. Taxation and efficiency measures $80m additional revenue will be collected through the introduction of a Vacant Residential Property Tax $1.2b over four years in whole-of-government efficiencies OVERALL ECONOMIC POSITION The underlying financial position of the Victorian Government has remained very strong, with an underlying surplus of $1.15 billion forecast in 2017-18 and averaging $2.1b over the forward estimate period. Economic conditions are expected to remains strong, with above trend performance forecast for the current year before most indicators return to trend performance. The unemployment rate is expected to return to the trend rate of 5.5 per cent in 2017-18 and remain stable despite employment growth expected to trail population growth. Consumer prices and wage growth is expected to remain at moderate levels before returning to trend by 2020-21. It is expected that historically high population growth will continue across Victoria. Table 2: Victorian economic projections Real gross state product Employment Unemployment rate Consumer price index Wage price index Population Source: Budget Paper 2, p26 2015-16 Actual 2016-17 Forecast 2017-18 Forecast 2018-19 Forecast 2019-20 Projection 2020-21 Projection 3.3 2.4 5.9 1.6 2.3 2.1 3.00 3.25 5.75 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.75 2.00 5.50 2.00 2.25 1.90 2.75 1.50 5.50 2.25 2.75 1.80 2.75 1.50 5.50 2.50 3.00 1.80 2.75 1.50 5.50 2.50 3.25 1.80 VICTORIAN GOVERNMENT BUDGET In light of the Victorian Government’s decision to introduce a rates cap on the local government sector commencing 1 July 2016, the MAV has undertaken a review of the Victorian Government’s budgetary position over the following 12 months. There are a number of interesting observations that can be made: Overall expenses are expected to increase by 4.9 per cent in 2017-18, after an increase of 9.8 per cent in 2016-17 Taxation revenue is expected to decline in 2017-18 by 1.6 per cent, following an increase of 11.5 per cent in 2016-17, and Employee expenses are budgeted to increase by 4.3 per cent following a 10 per cent increase in 2016-17. The following table outlines the change in land taxes collected by the Victorian Government: 2014-15 ($m) Land tax 2015-16 ($m) 2016-17 ($m) % Change % Change 2017-18 ($m) % Change 1753 1771 1.0% 2499 41% 2366 -5.3% 588 674 14.6% 669 -1% 674 0.7% 4938 5839 18.2% 6020 3% 6164 2.4% Total 7279 8284 13.8% 9188 Source: Budget Paper Number 5, p211-12; 2015-16 Financial Statements 11% 9204 0.2% Land transfer duty FSPL GRANTS AND TRANSFERS TO LOCAL GOVERNMENT As shown in the table below, total grants and transfers to local government are expected to be relatively stable in 2017-18. Some caution should be exercised in interpreting these data however, as it incorporates a range of funding programs including the Commonwealth financial assistance and road grants. HACC and MCH funding programs are excluded from these figures. Table 3: Grants and transfers to local government ($ thousand) Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources Department of Education and Training(a) Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning Catchment Management Authorities Environment Protection Authority Parks Victoria Department of Health and Human Services (b) Department of Justice and Regulation Country Fire Authority Department of Premier and Cabinet Department of Treasury and Finance Total grants 2016-17 budget 140 534.2 2016-17 revised 158 266.2 2017-18 budget 149 630.9 10 576.0 668 024.6 153.2 21 036.8 684 023.2 153.2 14.3 49 500.8 12 650.6 308.0 3 452.5 12 890.6 898 104.8 14.3 37 865.4 9 748.0 308.0 11 333.8 87 597.2 1 010 346.2 30 798.2 662 362.4 148.2 1 491.0 14.3 67 093.4 3 836.0 315.0 9 649.6 76 288.6 1 001 627.5 Source: Budget Paper 3, p377 FURTHER INFORMATION All State Budget papers and media releases listed by Ministerial responsibilities are available on the Victorian Government’s budget website. For further information about the members brief, contact Owen Harvey-Beavis. Website link: www.budget.vic.gov.au
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