TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker Nurul Habib, PhD, PEng 1 Roadmap of the Presentation Background What is TDM? Objectives Methods Why do we Need a Survey? Data type for RP and SP survey Data Model RP and SP Questionnaire TDM Evaluation tool Next Steps 2 Background Reduce single-occupant vehicle (SOV) commuting trips in Peel The Region of Peel has been implementing various Transportation Demand Management (TDM) policies Before and after survey can evaluate the TDM effect Need to evaluate combined and individual effect of TDM policies before implementing 3 What is TDM? • TDM refers to a variety of strategies that change people’s travel behavior. • Primary Objective to reduced traffic congestion • Secondary Objective increased safety and mobility energy conservation emission reductions • Typical TDM programs reduce Single Occupant Vehicle (SOV) 4 Objectives • To forecast the mode switching behavior of commuters in response to: various incentives to use sustainable modes and/or disincentives for single occupant vehicle trips. To develop an evaluation tool to investigate various TDM policies 5 Methods Conduct a survey to collect the required information to develop such a tool Develop policy-sensitive mode choice models Use this tool to test regional, local and partial effect of various TDM policies 6 Why do we need RP-SP Survey • Limitations with existing data types • TTS only has Revealed Preference (RP) data, we need RP and Stated Preference (SP) data • The RP approach uses information collected about the actual choices made by individuals to estimate demand models. • A major advancement in choice modelling is the use of SP experiments in which respondents choose from a set of hypothetical scenarios. Dundas VIA Milky Way! Ride the Rocket 7 Why do we Need a Survey? • Existing TDM surveys are typically qualitative or opinion based • Metrolinx Smart commute data: • Data collected limited information regarding home and work location • Attitudes and views regarding non SOV modes • Categorical LOS values for revealed modes only (10-20 minutes) • A comprehensive RP-SP survey is needed to do forecasting and policy analysis! 8 Data type for RP survey Detailed Household Information Detailed Person Information Activity Schedule Information Sociodemographic Information Revealed Preference 9 Data type for SP survey Level of Service (LOS) is consistent over the scenarios TDM policies are varying over the scenarios Stated Preference 10 RP Questionnaire Respondent must work in Peel and respondent must answer the SP part Travel diary for commuters and non-commuters (over age 12) Focus on household level information and characteristics. We need the commuting mode choice for the respondent. 11 Data Model Graphical representation of the data that is to be collected Utilizes an object oriented approach Clearly depicts the relationship between data points 12 RP Detailed Household Information HH Member information Number of people over 12 Total number of people Nickname Age Gender Detailed Person Information: for all HH member 12 and over Residence Information Location Dwelling type Ownership Status Reason behind not living in Peel Detail Information Household auto ownership Transit Pass Ownership Bike Ownership Who is primary user of each mobility tool Daily Personal Schedule: Date Daily Activity Day of the week Schedule Number of activities If more than 1 person: ask relation with first person (respondent) Activity Purpose Location Start Time Duration Joint activity with HH members Income Level of education Work Location a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. Employment Status Full time worker Part time worker Working from home Full time homemaker Not employed Retired Fulltime homemaker Student None Parking cost @workplace & Occupation Parking cost @school School Location Drivers License a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. Activity Purpose Work/School Drop-off/Pick-up Recreation/Entertainme nt Household Obligations Social Services Basic Needs Shopping Other Trip Origin Destination Mode (Drive, passenger, local Transit, regional transit) Start time Duration HH vehicle used? Joint trip? Transit routes used Go or subway access stations 13 Detailed Person Information Name Income Age Under 20000 20000-40000 40000-60000 60000-80000 Over 80000 Occupation Category a. General Office / Clerical b. Manufacturing / Construction / Trades c. Professional / Management / Technical d. Retail Sales and Service e. Not Employed Gender Income Parking daily cost a. Free b. Less than 5 dollar c. 5-10 dollar d. 10-20 dollar e. More than 20 dollar f. Don’t know Level of education Work Location a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. Employment Status Full time worker Part time worker Working from home Full time homemaker Not employed Retired Fulltime homemaker Student None Has Drivers License Parking cost @workplace & Occupation Level of Education Parking cost @school School Location a. b. c. d. e. f. g. Elementary Junior High High school College Bachelor Master or above None If more than 1 person: ask relation with first person (respondent) Relationship to Respondent: a. Respondent themselves b. Husband/Partner c. Wife/Partner d. Father/In law e. Mother/ In law f. Sister g. Brother h. Grandmother i. Grandfather j. Son k. Daughter l. Aunt m. Uncle n. Other 14 Detailed Household Information Household Members (12 and over) Residence Information Location Ownership Status Dwelling type Household auto ownership Manufacturer Model Production Year Primary user Rational for not living in Peel Dwelling Type a. Single(detached) b. Semi(detached) c. Town/Row House d. Apartment/Flat in detached duplex e. Apartment/Condo with less than 5 stories f. Apartment/Condo with more than 5 stories Transit Pass Ownership Transit Agency Primary user Bike Ownership Primary user Rational of bike ownership -More convenient commute for spouse -School location for children -Housing affordability (close to work is too expensive) -Wanting to be close to extended family -Preference for current neighborhood -Own property in existing region -other -For recreational or exercise purpose -For working or shopping purpose -For running errands 15 Activity Schedule Information Travel Diary for Commuters and Non-Commuters Number of trips each household member (over age 12) on the last weekday Trip •Trip origin •Origin activity purpose •Trip destination •Destination activity purpose •Joint activity information (trip made by other household member) •Departure time for this trip •Primary mode associated with this trip Activity -Purpose Activity Purpose a. Work activity b. School Activity c. Dropping off or Picking up another person d. Recreation or Entertainment out of house e. Staying at home f. Returning at home g. Social activities out of home h. Services i. Shopping j. Other 16 SP Questionnaire Experimental design was developed given a list of policies of interest Efficient design method was used Currently using all possible TDM policies and 7 feasible modal alternatives Focus is based almost entirely on employer based TDM policy; some overlap with home based TDM policies and land use policies. 17 Stated Preference Table Attribute Values Information Source LOS attributes (individual specific) Typically don’t vary across scenarios Traffic Assignment model, Rule based fare structure, TTS 2011 TDM Policies Vary across scenarios. Mostly binary, experimental design 7 possible modes: Drive, auto passenger, carpool, transit, transit bike on board, bike, walk. Modal availability based on: feasibility rules (i.e. can’t drive if you don’t have a drivers license/car) Competitiveness (transit with exceedingly high travel time not considered viable). Reduced alternatives may result in reduced TDM policies, reducing the size of the table 18 Level of service attributes Individual Specific • Total Drive Time • Transit Walk/ Bike Time • Transit Wait Time • Total Time Traveling in the Transit Vehicle • Travel Cost 19 TDM Policies of Interest • Employer provides incentive for Region of Peel transit passes (Miway or Brampton Transit) • Daily parking cost • Indoor car parking facilities at workplace • Sheltered bike parking facilities at workplace • Showers and changing rooms at workplace • Employer owned bikes available to rent • Workplace with bike access facilities (Ramps) • Likelihood of Finding a Parking Spot Within 5 minutes walk to work place (due to parking reductions) • Emergency ride home program. • Car share program 20 Capturing Telecommute and Flexible Work Hours Not directly able to capture in the standard SP survey, choice to participate will influence travel time. To capture this impact, use of pre SP screening questions are utilized. Which days during the week would you be willing to Telecommute to work (work from home on computer related work with access to work related files) (Select all that apply) Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Would you be willing to consider an alternative work schedule that would result in different start and end times for your work day? (Select only one) Start Early (7:30), End Early Start at Normal Time, End at Start Late (10:30), End Late (3:30) Normal Time (9:00 to 5:00) (7:30) 21 SP survey 22 SP survey 23 Evaluation Tool (Before input) 24 Evaluation Tool (Before input) 25 Evaluation Tool(After input) 26 Mode share(After input) 27 Evaluation Tool(After input) 28 TDM Evaluation Tool Regional Scale • Individual or combined effect of TDM policies can be captured • Changed mode share, changed VKT, CO2 Savings and other environmental factors Local Scale • In small scale: Individual or combined effect of TDM policies can be captured • Changed mode share, changed VKT, CO2 Savings and other environmental factors Partial Implementation • Will provide the effect of partial implementation of certain policy (e.g., 50% or 30%) • Changed mode share, changed VKT, CO2 Savings and other environmental factors 29 Example Interface 30 Next Step of our project • Final Data Collection (ongoing) • Mathematical Model (ongoing) • TDM Evaluation tool (preliminary framework completed) 31
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