Butwhataboutmarketcrises? 41 ¨ ¨ Marketsaretheproblem:Manycri8csofmarketspointtomarket bubblesandcrisesasevidencethatmarketsdonotwork.For instance,themarketturmoilbetweenSeptemberandDecember 2008ispointedtoasbackingforthestatementthatfreemarkets arethesourceoftheproblemandnotthesolu8on. Thecounter:Therearetwocounterargumentsthatcanbe offered: ¤ ¤ Theeventsofthelastquarterof2008illustratethatwearemore dependentonfunc8oning,liquidmarkets,withrisktakinginvestors,than everbeforeinhistory.Aswesaw,nogovernmentorotheren8ty(bank, BuffeJ)isbigenoughtostepinandsavetheday. Thefirmsthatcausedthemarketcollapse(banks,investmentbanks)were amongthemostregulatedbusinessesinthemarketplace.Ifanything, theirfailurescanbetracedtotheiraJemptstotakeadvantageof regulatoryloopholes(badlydesignedinsuranceprograms…capital measurementsthatmissriskyassets,especiallyderiva8ves) AswathDamodaran 41 IV.FirmsandSociety 42 ¨ ¨ Intheory:Allcostsandbenefitsassociatedwitha firm’sdecisionscanbetracedbacktothefirm. Inprac8ce:Financialdecisionscancreatesocialcosts andbenefits. Asocialcostorbenefitisacostorbenefitthataccruesto societyasawholeandnottothefirmmakingthedecision. n Environmentalcosts(pollu8on,healthcosts,etc..) n QualityofLife'costs(traffic,housing,safety,etc.) ¤ Examplesofsocialbenefitsinclude: n crea8ngemploymentinareaswithhighunemployment n suppor8ngdevelopmentininnerci8es n crea8ngaccesstogoodsinareaswheresuchaccessdoesnot exist ¤ AswathDamodaran 42 SocialCostsandBenefitsaredifficulttoquan8fy because.. 43 ¨ ¨ ¨ Cannotknowtheunknown:Theymightnotbeknownat the8meofthedecision.Inotherwords,afirmmay thinkthatitisdeliveringaproductthatenhances society,atthe8meitdeliverstheproductbutdiscover aWerwardsthatthereareverylargecosts.(Asbestoswas awonderfulproduct,whenitwasdevised,lightandeasy toworkwith…ItisonlyaWerdecadesthatthehealth consequencescametolight) Eyesofthebeholder:Theyare‘person-specific’,since differentdecisionmakerscanlookatthesamesocial costandweightthemverydifferently. Decisionparalysis:Theycanbeparalyzingifcarriedto extremes. AswathDamodaran 43 Atestofyoursocialconsciousness: Putyourmoneywhereyoumouthis… 44 ¨ ¨ AssumethatyouworkforDisneyandthatyouhaveanopportunity toopenastoreinaninner-cityneighborhood.Thestoreis expectedtoloseaboutamilliondollarsayear,butitwillcreate much-neededemploymentinthearea,andmayhelprevitalizeit. Wouldyouopenthestore? ¤ ¤ ¨ Ifyes,wouldyoutellyourstockholdersandletthemvoteonthe issue? ¤ ¤ ¨ Yes No Yes No Ifno,howwouldyourespondtoastockholderqueryonwhyyou werenotlivinguptoyoursocialresponsibili8es? AswathDamodaran 44 Sothisiswhatcangowrong... 45 STOCKHOLDERS Have little control over managers Lend Money BONDHOLDERS Managers put their interests above stockholders Managers Significant Social Costs SOCIETY Some costs cannot be traced to firm Bondholders can get ripped off Delay bad Markets make news or mistakes and provide misleading can over react information FINANCIAL MARKETS AswathDamodaran 45 Tradi8onalcorporatefinancialtheorybreaks downwhen... 46 ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ Managerialself-interest:Theinterests/objec8vesofthe decisionmakersinthefirmconflictwiththeinterestsof stockholders. Unprotecteddebtholders:Bondholders(Lenders)are notprotectedagainstexpropria8onbystockholders. Inefficientmarkets:Financialmarketsdonotoperate efficiently,andstockpricesdonotreflecttheunderlying valueofthefirm. Largesocialsidecosts:Significantsocialcostscanbe createdasaby-productofstockpricemaximiza8on. AswathDamodaran 46 Whentradi8onalcorporatefinancialtheory breaksdown,thesolu8onis: 47 ¨ ¨ ¨ Anon-stockholderbasedgovernancesystem:Tochoosea differentmechanismforcorporategovernance,i.e,assignthe responsibilityformonitoringmanagerstosomeoneother thanstockholders. AbeJerobjec8vethanmaximizingstockprices?Tochoosea differentobjec8veforthefirm. Maximizestockpricesbutminimizesidecosts:Tomaximize stockprice,butreducethepoten8alforconflictand breakdown: ¤ ¤ ¤ ¤ Makingmanagers(decisionmakers)andemployeesintostockholders Protectlendersfromexpropria8on Byprovidinginforma8onhonestlyandpromptlytofinancialmarkets Minimizesocialcosts AswathDamodaran 47 I.AnAlterna8veCorporateGovernanceSystem 48 ¨ GermanyandJapandevelopedadifferentmechanismfor corporategovernance,baseduponcorporatecrossholdings. ¤ ¤ ¤ ¨ ¨ InGermany,thebanksformthecoreofthissystem. InJapan,itisthekeiretsus OtherAsiancountrieshavemodeledtheirsystemaWerJapan,withfamily companiesformingthecoreofthenewcorporatefamilies Attheirbest,themostefficientfirmsinthegroupworkatbringing thelessefficientfirmsuptopar.Theyprovideacorporatewelfare systemthatmakesforamorestablecorporatestructure Attheirworst,theleastefficientandpoorlyrunfirmsinthegroup pulldownthemostefficientandbestrunfirmsdown.Thenature ofthecrossholdingsmakesitsverydifficultforoutsiders(including investorsinthesefirms)tofigureouthowwellorbadlythegroup isdoing. AswathDamodaran 48 II.ChooseaDifferentObjec8veFunc8on 49 ¨ Firmscanalwaysfocusonadifferentobjec8vefunc8on. Exampleswouldinclude maximizingearnings ¤ maximizingrevenues ¤ maximizingfirmsize ¤ maximizingmarketshare ¤ maximizingEVA ¤ ¨ Thekeythingtorememberisthattheseare intermediateobjec8vefunc8ons. Tothedegreethattheyarecorrelatedwiththelongtermhealth andvalueofthecompany,theyworkwell. ¤ Tothedegreethattheydonot,thefirmcanendupwitha disaster ¤ AswathDamodaran 49 III.MaximizeStockPrice,subjectto.. 50 ¨ ¨ Thestrengthofthestockpricemaximiza8onobjec8ve func8onisitsinternalselfcorrec8onmechanism.Excesseson anyofthelinkageslead,ifunregulated,tocounterac8ons whichreduceoreliminatetheseexcesses Inthecontextofourdiscussion, ¤ ¤ ¤ ¤ managerstakingadvantageofstockholdershasledtoamuchmore ac8vemarketforcorporatecontrol. stockholderstakingadvantageofbondholdershasledtobondholders protec8ngthemselvesatthe8meoftheissue. firmsrevealingincorrectordelayedinforma8ontomarketshasledto marketsbecomingmore“skep8cal”and“puni8ve” firmscrea8ngsocialcostshasledtomoreregula8ons,aswellas investorandcustomerbacklashes. AswathDamodaran 50 TheStockholderBacklash 51 ¨ ¨ ¨ Ac8vistIns8tu8onalinvestorshavebecomemuchmore ac8veinmonitoringcompaniesthattheyinvestinand demandingchangesinthewayinwhichbusinessisdone. TheyhavebeenjoinedbyprivateequityfundslikeKKRand Blackstone. Ac8vistindividualslikeCarlIcahnspecializeintakinglarge posi8onsincompanieswhichtheyfeelneedtochangetheir ways(Blockbuster,TimeWarner,Motorola&Apple)and pushforchange. Vocalstockholders,armedwithmoreinforma8onandnew powers:Atannualmee8ngs,stockholdershavetakento expressingtheirdispleasurewithincumbentmanagementby vo8ngagainsttheircompensa8oncontractsortheirboardof directors AswathDamodaran 51 TheHos8leAcquisi8onThreat 52 ¨ Thetypicaltargetfirminahos8letakeoverhas ¤ areturnonequityalmost5%lowerthanitspeergroup ¤ hadastockthathassignificantlyunderperformedthe peergroupovertheprevious2years ¤ hasmanagerswhoholdliJleornostockinthefirm Inotherwords,thebestdefenseagainstahos8le takeoveristorunyourfirmwellandearngood returnsforyourstockholders ¨ Conversely,whenyoudonotallowhos8le takeovers,thisisthefirmthatyouaremostlikely protec8ng(andnotawellrunorwellmanagedfirm) ¨ AswathDamodaran 52 Inresponse,boardsarebecomingmore independent… 53 ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ Boardshavebecomesmallerover8me.Themediansizeofaboard ofdirectorshasdecreasedfrom16to20inthe1970stobetween9 and11in1998.Thesmallerboardsarelessunwieldyandmore effec8vethanthelargerboards. Therearefewerinsidersontheboard.Incontrasttothe6ormore insidersthatmanyboardshadinthe1970s,onlytwodirectorsin mostboardsin1998wereinsiders. Directorsareincreasinglycompensatedwithstockandop8onsin thecompany,insteadofcash.In1973,only4%ofdirectors receivedcompensa8onintheformofstockorop8ons,whereas 78%didsoin1998. Moredirectorsareiden8fiedandselectedbyanomina8ng commiJeeratherthanbeingchosenbytheCEOofthefirm.In 1998,75%ofboardshadnomina8ngcommiJees;thecomparable sta8s8cin1973was2%. AswathDamodaran 53 Disney:Eisner’srise&fallfromgrace ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ InhisearlyyearsatDisney,MichaelEisnerbroughtaboutlong-delayedchangesin thecompanyandputitonthepathtobeinganentertainmentgiantthatitis today.Hissuccessallowedhimtoconsolidatepowerandtheboardsthathe createdwereincreasinglycap8veones(seethe1997board). In1996,EisnerspearheadedthepushtobuyABCandtheboardrubberstamped hisdecision,astheyhadwithothermajordecisions.Intheyearsfollowing,the companyranintoproblemsbothonitsABCacquisi8onandonitsother opera8onsandstockholdersstartedtogetres8ve,especiallyasthestockprice halvedbetween1998and2002. In2003,RoyDisneyandStanleyGoldresignedfromtheDisneyboard,arguing againstEisner’sautocra8cstyle. Inearly2004,Comcastmadeahos8lebidforDisneyandlaterintheyear,43%of DisneyshareholderswithheldtheirvotesforEisner’sreelec8ontotheboardof directors.Followingthatvote,theboardofdirectorsatDisneyvotedunanimously toelectGeorgeMitchellastheChairoftheboard,replacingEisner,whovowedto stayonasCEO. Aswath Damodaran 54 Eisner’sconcession:Disney’sBoardin2003 55 Board Members Reveta Bowers John Bryson Roy Disney Michael Eisner Judith Estrin Stanley Gold Robert Iger Monica Lozano George Mitchell Thomas S. Murphy Leo O’Donovan Sidney Poitier Robert A.M. Stern Andrea L. Van de Kamp Raymond L. Watson Gary L. Wilson AswathDamodaran Occupation Head of school for the Center for Early Education, CEO and Chairman of Con Edison Head of Disney Animation CEO of Disney CEO of Packet Design (an internet company) CEO of Shamrock Holdings Chief Operating Officer, Disney Chief Operation Officer, La Opinion (Spanish newspaper) Chairman of law firm (Verner, Liipfert, et al.) Ex-CEO, Capital Cities ABC Professor of Theology, Georgetown University Actor, Writer and Director Senior Partner of Robert A.M. Stern Architects of New York Chairman of Sotheby's West Coast Chairman of Irvine Company (a real estate corporation) Chairman of the board, Northwest Airlines. 55 ChangesincorporategovernanceatDisney 56 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Requiredatleasttwoexecu8vesessionsoftheboard,withouttheCEO orothermembersofmanagementpresent,eachyear. Createdtheposi8onofnon-managementpresidingdirector,and appointedSenatorGeorgeMitchelltoleadthoseexecu8vesessionsand assistinsetngtheworkagendaoftheboard. Adoptedanewandmorerigorousdefini8onofdirectorindependence. Requiredthatasubstan8almajorityoftheboardbecomprisedof directorsmee8ngthenewindependencestandards. Providedforareduc8onincommiJeesizeandtherota8onof commiJeeandchairmanshipassignmentsamongindependent directors. Addednewprovisionsformanagementsuccessionplanningand evalua8onsofbothmanagementandboardperformance Providedforenhancedcon8nuingeduca8onandtrainingforboard members. AswathDamodaran 56 Eisner’sexit…andanewagedawns?Disney’s boardin2008 57 AswathDamodaran 57 ButasaCEO’stenurelengthens,does corporategovernancesuffer? 1. 2. 3. 4. Whiletheboardsizehasstayedcompact(attwelvemembers), therehasbeenonlyonechangesince2008,withSheryl Sandberg,COOofFacebook,replacingthedeceasedSteveJobs. TheboardvotedreinstateIgeraschairoftheboardin2011, reversingadecisionmadetoseparatetheCEOandChair posi8onsaWertheEisneryears. In2011,IgerannouncedhisintenttostepdownasCEOin2015 butDisney’sboardconvincedIgertostayonasCEOforanextra year,forthe“thegoodofthecompany”. Thereweresignsofres8venessamongDisney’sstockholders, especiallythoseinterestedincorporategovernance.Ac8vist investors(CalSTRS)star8ngmakingnoiseandIns8tu8onal ShareholderServices(ISS),whichgaugescorporategovernanceat companies,raisedredflagsaboutcompensa8onandboard monitoringatDisney. Aswath Damodaran 58 Whataboutlegisla8on? 59 Everycorporatescandalcreatesimpetusfora legisla8veresponse.ThescandalsatEnronand WorldComlaidthegroundworkforSarbanes-Oxley. ¨ Youcannotlegislategoodcorporategovernance. ¨ ¤ Thecostsofmee8nglegalrequirementsoWenexceedthe benefits ¤ Lawsalwayshaveunintendedconsequences ¤ Ingeneral,lawstendtobeblunderbussesthatpenalize goodcompaniesmorethantheypunishthebad companies. AswathDamodaran 59 IsthereapayofftobeJercorporate governance? 60 ¨ Inthemostcomprehensivestudyoftheeffectofcorporategovernance onvalue,agovernanceindexwascreatedforeachof1500firmsbased upon24dis8nctcorporategovernanceprovisions. ¤ ¤ ¤ ¨ ¨ Buyingstocksthathadthestrongestinvestorprotec8onswhilesimultaneously sellingshareswiththeweakestprotec8onsgeneratedanannualexcessreturnof 8.5%. Everyonepointincreaseintheindextowardsfewerinvestorprotec8onsdecreased marketvalueby8.9%in1999 Firmsthatscoredhighininvestorprotec8onsalsohadhigherprofits,highersales growthandmadefeweracquisi8ons. Thelinkbetweenthecomposi8onoftheboardofdirectorsandfirmvalue isweak.Smallerboardsdotendtobemoreeffec8ve. Onapurelyanecdotalbasis,acommonthemeatproblemcompaniesand isanineffec8veboardthatfailstoasktoughques8onsofanimperial CEO. AswathDamodaran 60 TheBondholders’DefenseAgainstStockholder Excesses 61 ¨ ¨ Morerestric8vecovenantsoninvestment,financinganddividend policyhavebeenincorporatedintobothprivatelending agreementsandintobondissues,topreventfuture“Nabiscos”. Newtypesofbondshavebeencreatedtoexplicitlyprotect bondholdersagainstsuddenincreasesinleverageorotherac8ons thatincreaselenderrisksubstan8ally.Twoexamplesofsuchbonds ¤ ¤ ¨ PuJableBonds,wherethebondholdercanputthebondbacktothefirm andgetfacevalue,ifthefirmtakesac8onsthathurtbondholders Ra8ngsSensi8veNotes,wheretheinterestrateonthenotesadjuststo thatappropriateforthera8ngofthefirm Morehybridbonds(withanequitycomponent,usuallyintheform ofaconversionop8onorwarrant)havebeenused.Thisallows bondholderstobecomeequityinvestors,iftheyfeelitisintheir bestintereststodoso. AswathDamodaran 61 TheFinancialMarketResponse 62 ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ Whileanalystsaremorelikelys8lltoissuebuyrather thansellrecommenda8ons,thepayofftouncovering nega8venewsaboutafirmislargeenoughthatsuch newsiseagerlysoughtandquicklyrevealed(atleasttoa limitedgroupofinvestors). Asinvestoraccesstoinforma8onimproves,itis becomingmuchmoredifficultforfirmstocontrolwhen andhowinforma8ongetsouttomarkets. Asop8ontradinghasbecomemorecommon,ithas becomemucheasiertotradeonbadnews.Inthe process,itisrevealedtotherestofthemarket. Whenfirmsmisleadmarkets,thepunishmentisnotonly quickbutitissavage. AswathDamodaran 62 TheSocietalResponse 63 Iffirmsconsistentlyfloutsocietalnormsandcreate largesocialcosts,thegovernmentalresponse (especiallyinademocracy)isforlawsand regula8onstobepassedagainstsuchbehavior. ¨ Forfirmscateringtoamoresociallyconscious clientele,thefailuretomeetsocietalnorms(evenif itislegal)canleadtolossofbusinessandvalue. ¨ Finally,investorsmaychoosenottoinvestinstocks offirmsthattheyviewassociallyirresponsible. ¨ AswathDamodaran 63 TheCounterReac8on 64 STOCKHOLDERS 1. More activist investors 2. Hostile takeovers Managers of poorly run firms are put on notice. Protect themselves BONDHOLDERS 1. Covenants 2. New Types Managers Firms are punished for misleading markets Corporate Good Citizen Constraints SOCIETY 1. More laws 2. Investor/Customer Backlash Investors and analysts become more skeptical FINANCIAL MARKETS AswathDamodaran 64 Sowhatdoyouthink? 65 ¨ Atthispointin8me,thefollowingstatementbestdescribes whereIstandintermsoftherightobjec8vefunc8onfor decisionmakinginabusiness a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. Maximizestockprice,withnoconstraints Maximizestockprice,withconstraintsonbeingagoodsocialci8zen. Maximizestockholderwealth,withgoodci8zenconstraints,and hope/praythatthemarketcatchesupwithyou. Maximizeprofitsorprofitability Maximizeearningsgrowth Maximizemarketshare Maximizerevenues Maximizesocialgood Noneoftheabove AswathDamodaran 65 TheModifiedObjec8veFunc8on 66 ¨ Forpubliclytradedfirmsinreasonablyefficientmarkets, wherebondholders(lenders)areprotected: ¤ ¨ Forpubliclytradedfirmsininefficientmarkets,where bondholdersareprotected: ¤ ¨ Maximizestockholderwealth:Thiswillalsomaximizefirmvalue, butmightnotmaximizethestockprice Forpubliclytradedfirmsininefficientmarkets,where bondholdersarenotfullyprotected ¤ ¨ MaximizeStockPrice:Thiswillalsomaximizefirmvalue Maximizefirmvalue,thoughstockholderwealthandstock pricesmaynotbemaximizedatthesamepoint. Forprivatefirms,maximizestockholderwealth(if lendersareprotected)orfirmvalue(iftheyarenot) AswathDamodaran 66
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