Algorithmic Trading Equity Trading vs. Futures Trading Morgan Stanley Institutional Securities This material has been prepared for information purposes to support the promotion or marketing of the transaction or matters addressed herein. It is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security, commodity or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This is not a research report and was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. It was prepared by Morgan Stanley sales, trading, banking or other non-research personnel. This material was not intended or written to be used, and it cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of avoiding penalties that may be imposed on the taxpayer under U.S. federal tax laws. Each taxpayer should seek advice based on the taxpayer’s particular circumstances from an independent tax advisor. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Please see additional important information and qualifications at the end of this material. prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 What is an Algorithm? A pre-defined step-by-step method to accomplish a task A computer model that takes an order and structures a sequence of trades that aim to achieve the stated objectives… Minimize cost compared to a defined benchmark Maximizing fill rate Minimizing execution risk This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 2 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trends Behind Algorithm Trading Regulatory Changes Electronification of Markets Improve Scale & Efficiency Desire for Anonymity Realization that Trading Is a Source of “Incremental Alpha” Desire to Reduce Explicit and Implicit Trading Costs EQUITIES FUTURES – This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 3 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Impact of Algorithms on Traders “Algorithms are productivity tools” “Algorithms are just ONE of the tools available…” This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 4 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle TCA Execution Sort Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 5 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 6 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Execution Evaluation Spectrum of Difficulty Significant Event Time of Day Size of Trade Global Economic Events Price Volume Time Time Volatility This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 7 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Execution Evaluation: Fit the Algorithm to the Strategy Single Algorithms Liquidity Multiple Algorithms Urgency Trade Size Algorithm & DMA Algorithm & Trader Price Limits Application of Constraints Volume Limits Time Limits This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 8 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES Benchmark Determination Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 9 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Benchmark Determination Trade Structure Development Order(s) More Structure Examples Schedule Based VWAP TWAP Less Structure Flexible Volume Participation Dynamic Arrival Price Price React This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 10 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES Trade/Trajectory Planning Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 11 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade/Trajectory Planning TCA Sort Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Execution Evaluation Parameters Available for VWAP are: Trajectories are static from the beginning of the trade and do not respond to changes in intraday liquidity. Volume distributions are determined by country and adjusted for seasonal factors such as expiration days, and month/quarter ends. The BXS VWAP strategy attempts to minimize shortfall versus VWAP as well as minimize the market impact into achieving that price, thus minimizing the total cost of the trade 25 120% Number of Shares Percent of Order 80% 15 60% 10 40% 5 20% 0 1. Price Limits 100% 20 0% 9:30 10:0010:3011:0011:3012:0012:3013:0013:3014:0014:3015:0015:3016:00 TIME 2. Duration Limits 3. Volume % Limits This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 12 % OF ORDER Benchmark Determination VWAP The VWAP strategy creates a trade plan that emulates the historic volume distribution (either all day or interval). # OF SHARES (thousands) Execution prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade/Trajectory Planning TCA Execution Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation The BXS TPOV strategy is designed to participate with either the primary or composite volume at a user specified rate. Order quantities are determined for individual time sub intervals and scheduled for execution according to continuously updated forecasts of volume Target Percent of Volume 120 Market Shares Order Shares 100 # OF SHARES (thousands) Sort 80 60 40 20 Parameters Available for TPOV Orders: 0 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 1. Price Limits TIME 2. Duration Limits This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 13 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade/Trajectory Planning Arrival Price: Low Urgency TCA Execution Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation 1. Urgency Level 2. Price Limits 3. Duration Limits 4. Volume % Limits 12 80% 10 60% 8 6 40% 4 20% 2 0 0% 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 TIME The BXS system determines an initial optimized trading trajectory that controls the pace of execution, balancing market impact with market risk (time) based upon the level of urgency. Trajectory is based on continuously updated forecasts of volatility, liquidity and spread, and changes dynamically during execution with the changing market conditions. 100% 14 Arrival Price: High Urgency 100 120 Number of Shares 90 Percent of Order 80 70 80 60 50 60 40 40 30 Order quantities are determined for individual time sub intervals and scheduled for execution. 100 20 20 10 0 0 9:30 10:0010:3011:0011:3012:0012:3013:0013:3014:0014:3015:0015:3016:00 TIME This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 14 % OF ORDER Parameters Available for Arrival Price Orders: The trader determines a level of execution “urgency”- get done, high, medium, or low- which corresponds with the expected level of information content (alpha) embedded in the order. Percent of Order # OF SHARES (thousands) Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool 16 120% Number of Shares % OF ORDER Limit Order Prog. The BXS Arrival Price strategy is designed to minimize execution shortfall to the midpoint of the initial bid/ask. # OF SHARES Sort 18 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 15 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 15:50 15:40 0 15:20 0 15:10 10,000 15:00 10,000 15:50 20,000 15:40 20,000 15:30 30,000 15:20 30,000 15:10 40,000 15:00 40,000 14:50 50,000 14:40 50,000 14:30 60,000 14:20 60,000 14:10 70,000 14:00 70,000 14:50 Sell 135,000 XYZ 14:40 Buy 150,000 XYZ 14:30 Target 20% of Volume 14:20 Arrival Price Medium 14:10 SELL 14:00 BUY 15:30 Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool 16 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 15:40 15:30 15:20 15:10 0 15:00 0 14:50 10,000 20,000 14:40 10,000 20,000 15:50 20,000 40,000 15:40 20,000 40,000 15:30 80,000 30,000 60,000 15:20 80,000 30,000 60,000 15:10 100,000 40,000 15:00 100,000 40,000 14:50 120,000 50,000 14:40 120,000 50,000 14:30 140,000 60,000 14:20 140,000 60,000 14:10 70,000 160,000 14:00 70,000 160,000 14:30 Target 20% of Volume Sell 135,000 XYZ “I Would” – Public or Dark 14:20 Arrival Price Medium Buy 150,000 XYZ “I Would” – Public or Dark 14:10 SELL 14:00 BUY 15:50 Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool 17 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES Limit Order Prog. Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 18 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Limit Order Program TCA Execution From Liquidity Pool XYZ Bid 93.38 500 Sort Limit Order Prog. 5,000 Shares Net Sell Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool TB – TC Orders into Marketplace Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Size 500 1000 300 100 700 1500 Limit Order Program Execution Evaluation • Residual Orders are sent to the Limit Order Program • Trades are broken down into market size increments • Multiple limit orders are then placed into the market to create a “portfolio” of orders • Limit Orders are dynamically managed based upon executions and changes in market conditions • Limit order sizes, pricing, duration and spacing between orders change continuously to minimize information leakage and “footprint” • Major factors affecting orders are volatility, spread and liquidity Offer 93.40 300 Last 93.39 PX 93.38 93.37 93.35 93.31 93.27 93.25 Size 300 400 200 500 1000 700 PX 93.40 93.41 93.44 93.47 93.48 93.52 XYZ Bid 93.39 100 Size 100 500 1000 300 200 100 5,000 Shares Sell Offer 93.42 200 Last 93.41 PX 93.39 93.38 93.37 93.35 93.34 93.31 Size 100 200 300 600 1000 900 PX 93.42 93.44 93.45 93.46 93.48 93.51 XYZ Executions and Market Data Bid 93.37 1000 Size 1000 100 300 100 1000 700 Offer 93.38 600 Last 93.38 PX 93.37 93.36 93.35 93.31 93.30 93.27 Size 600 100 500 200 600 300 This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. PX 93.38 93.39 93.41 93.44 93.45 93.47 19 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES Sort Sort Limit Order Prog. Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 20 NSX / CINN ISE Stock Exchange CBOE BeX BATS EDGX / EDGA TRAC / DATA ONTD CHX BTRD PHLX Pipeline AMEX NASDAQ INET POSIT NYSE Arca SMART ORDER ROUTING TECHNOLOGY Liquidnet SORT NYFIX Millennium NYSE LEH LCX BIDS NASDAQ Crossing Network CITI ACE UBS PINS Matchpoint Fidelity Cross Stream ITG Block Alert CS Cross Finder GS Sigma X ISE Midpoint Match MS Trajectory Crossing Morgan Stanley POOL LeveL Instinet (CBX, etc.) ITG Now prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Smart Order Routing Technology — SORT TCA Execution Sort Limit Order Program Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation • SORT is the vehicle through which BXS executes limit orders in the marketplace. • SORT creates a consolidated order book from all available liquidity pools. • After the Limit Order Program determines the size and price of an individual order, SORT determines which liquidity pool(s) the order should be placed in. • SORT will slice orders to access multiple liquidity pools simultaneously. • Major factors influencing the choice of destination include current and historical price, liquidity and speed. • SORT is utilized for NASDAQ as well as Listed stocks orders. SORT Consolidated Order Book NYSE AMEX XYZ Bid 93.38 500 Size 500 1000 300 100 700 1500 BTRD Last 93.39 PX 93.38 93.37 93.35 93.31 93.27 93.25 Offer 93.40 300 Size 300 500 200 400 1000 700 PX 93.40 93.41 93.44 93.47 93.48 93.52 ITS/ CAES SUPER MONTAGE INCA ISLD BRUT ARCA • Additional Smart Order Routers include SORTETF for Exchange Traded Funds and OSORT for listed equity options. This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 22 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES Execution Execution Sort Sort Limit Order Prog. Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 23 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Trade Lifecycle EQUITIES FUTURES TCA TCA Execution Execution Sort Sort Limit Order Prog. Limit Order Prog. Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Crossing vs. Liquidity Pool Trade/Trajectory Planning Trade/Trajectory Planning Benchmark Determination Benchmark Determination Execution Evaluation Execution Evaluation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 24 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Post Trade (Performance by Desk or Trader) This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 25 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 Development of Algorithms for Futures: The 80/20 Rule Expiration 20 % Accelerate the Development of Predictive Models for Futures Using Existing Models 80 % Economic News/Events Cash Market Events Extension of the Equity Model Foundation This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 26 prototype template (5428278)\screen library_new_final.ppt 7/14/2017 What’s Next Cross Asset Correlation Control Behavior Define your own algorithm BLACK BOX Act like a sales trader This material is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This material was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. Please refer to important information and qualifications at the end of this material. 27 Algorithmic Trading Equity Trading vs. Futures Trading Morgan Stanley Institutional Securities This material has been prepared for information purposes to support the promotion or marketing of the transaction or matters addressed herein. It is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security, commodity or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. This is not a research report and was not prepared by the Morgan Stanley research department. It was prepared by Morgan Stanley sales, trading, banking or other non-research personnel. This material was not intended or written to be used, and it cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of avoiding penalties that may be imposed on the taxpayer under U.S. federal tax laws. Each taxpayer should seek advice based on the taxpayer’s particular circumstances from an independent tax advisor. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Please see additional important information and qualifications at the end of this material.
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