Research Buying Unit Level 2 2 St Paul’s Place 125 Norfolk Street Sheffield S1 2FJ Claire Crawford IFS Direct line: 0114 207 5120 Email:[email protected] Our ref: BIS/RBU/016/2011 Date: 6th September 2011 BY EMAIL ONLY INVITATION TO TENDER FOR A RESEARCH PROJECT ENTITLED: GRADUATE PREMIUM – FURTHER ANALYSIS DEPARTMENT FOR BUSINESS, INNOVATION AND SKILLS TENDER NUMBER: BIS/RBU/016/2011 1 Your organisation along with others is invited to offer a tender for provision of the above, to the specification outlined in the attached documents. Attached are: Annex 1 Annex 2 Annex 3 Research specification; Tender acceptance/ rejection form; Declaration and information form. 2 Guidance on BIS research tendering procedures is attached. 3 All contracts are let on the basis of the Department’s terms and conditions, which I have attached. You should not include your own terms and conditions when submitting tenders or ask that the terms and conditions relating to any framework contract you may have with the Department be used as an alternative. 4 After reading the attached specification please complete the tender acceptance/rejection form (Annex 2) and email it to me at [email protected] by Monday 12th September 2011 If you decide not to tender for the project, the reasons for your decision would be appreciated, though you are under no obligation to do so. 5 You should submit your tender in electronic Word format to [email protected] Full tenders should be received no later than noon on Tuesday 4th October. Late proposals will not be accepted. 6 Should you have any queries please contact [email protected] or [email protected] Yours sincerely Carole Hobson Research Buying Unit cc Dominic Rice Tongtong Qian Encs LIST OF ATTACHMENTS Annex 1 Project Specification Annex 2 ITT Acceptance/Rejection Form Annex 3 Declarations and information to be provided by the tenderer with their tender proposal ANNEX ONE RESEARCH SPECIFICATION Introduction and Background 1. In 2010 the Government introduced changes to the Higher Education tuition fee in the Higher Education (Higher Amount) (England) Regulation 2010. From September 2012, universities and others providing Higher Education (HE) will be able to charge up to £9000 a year for their courses1 provided they will meet strict criteria to make sure that all eligible students, regardless of background, can access those courses. 2. As a result of these changes it is important that we are able to provide as much information on the benefits of HE to potential students as possible to ensure they can make well informed decisions about whether to attend HE and if so what to study and where. 3. One widely used measure of the financial benefit of HE is the graduate premium. This is that over their working life, graduates earn, on average, comfortably over £100,000 more, net of tax and in today’s valuation, than an individual whose highest qualification is 2 or more A-levels. Whilst this is not a complete measure of all the benefits of attending HE, it does capture some of the main benefits, notably the earnings premium and employment boost, and so provides a useful indication for applicants. The return, and the rate of return to a degree - both for individuals and the Exchequer - are also widely used as measures of the benefits. 4. Research by London Economics, The Returns to Higher Education Qualifications (2011) on behalf of BIS updated the graduate premium calculation with the most recent data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS). It also expanded these calculations to look at the graduate premium by gender and qualification type, as well as subject of study and degree classification at undergraduate degree level. The exchequer benefit was also calculated. This work builds on previous research in this area such as The Economic Benefits of a Degree by PWC for UUK2 and The Return to a University Education in Great Britain by O’Leary and Sloane. In addition, there are numerous studies examining just the earnings returns, and using alternative data sources such as national cohort data. 5. The main problem however, as demonstrated by the further disaggregation carried out in the London Economics research, is that this is only an average across all institutions, subjects and backgrounds. There is evidence that there is significant variation in the returns based on characteristics such as the degree subject studied3. Other characteristics that have not yet been examined are likely to also influence the returns to HE, whilst the changes in 1 Tuition fees for certain courses at private universities are not subject to this limit Which was in turn based on earlier work The Economic Benefits of Higher Education Qualifications, PWC for RSC&IOP 3 Whilst it is likely that some of this variation is related to the inability to accurately measure the counterfactual, this is unlikely to fully take account of all variation so we can be fairly confident that there are ‘real’ differences in the returns and the graduate premium by subject studied. 2 the HE landscape and graduate labour market may have led to changes in the returns over time, or to different cohorts of graduates. Consequently more detailed analysis of the returns to HE and the graduate premium is required to enable applicants, HE Institutions (HEIs), and policy makers to make better informed decisions. Main Aims 6. The main aim of this research is to provide further breakdowns of the returns to HE and the graduate premium, for both individuals and the exchequer, to better inform both potential students and future policy. A secondary aim is also to identify and make clear what the limits are to such analyses – i.e. given available methods and data, to what extent will some breakdowns be limited or not possible (and may never be possible), and what might we use instead. Objectives 7. The contractor will need to: a. consider a range of data sources in order to assess what breakdowns of the returns to HE, the graduate premium and the exchequer benefit are possible. Breakdowns that are of particular interest include: By cohort, in particular, assessing if the returns have changed for recent cohorts By HE institution By ethnic background By family background By detailed subject area By geography/region of location of the HEI (and possibly also of the domicile of the graduate). Analysis of returns and the graduate premium for part-time students. BIS is also interested in what other breakdowns the contractor thinks may be possible. b. calculate breakdowns that are agreed as feasible and of interest to BIS. c. present this work in a report to be published as part of the BIS research series. As well as presenting the results of the calculations, this must clearly cover: methodology limits and caveats to the calculations and the data used comparability with previous estimates (in particular the recent BIS report referred to in para. 4), and explanation of any major differences some explanation/interpretation of the findings, in particular for any notable or unusual results any consequent recommendations. Method 8. The contractor is expected to apply similar analytical methods as used in the existing literature on the returns to education in order to calculate earnings and employment returns of different HE qualifications, using statistical techniques to isolate the effect of the degree from other confounding factors, for the different breakdowns agreed. 9. The contractor will also ensure that these returns are measured against an appropriate comparison group and that the estimates produced are both robust and meaningful (for example: pooling data sets in the LFS in order to obtain a sufficiently large sample size; ensuring that any variations in the estimates obtained by different breakdowns do not occur for spurious reasons). 10. The contractor should also extend the analysis to calculate the lifetime returns of these qualifications based on the agreed breakdowns, where possible (and explaining why if it is not). These returns should also be calculated using similar methodology to the existing literature, with an explanation of any key departures from previous analyses. In other words, the earnings and employment returns should be calculated at different points in the individual’s lifetime, converted into monetary amounts and aggregated into a single present value figure. The contractor should also consider the costs over the lifetime to qualification attainment, including but not limited to the foregone earnings whilst studying and the tuition costs, in order to generate estimates of the net lifetime benefit or graduate premium, as well as rates of returns on the investment. 11. The contractor should also consider the lifetime benefits of HE qualifications that go to the public, i.e. the exchequer benefit, and the social rates of return for each of the agreed breakdowns, where possible. This should also be based on the existing methodology given in the literature. Hence it should include an examination of the additional tax revenue gained from the higher earnings of graduates, compared to the foregone tax whilst the individual is studying and the public costs of provision. We would also be interested in any other costs or benefits that the contractor is able to consider, such as the effects of the higher earnings of graduates on benefit entitlement. 12. Further analysis examining the reasons behind any variations in the returns by the agreed breakdowns should also be carried out by the contractor. The techniques for this would depend partly on the results of the previous analysis (e.g. if there are any unusual findings which need further analysis) but we would also expect the contractor to consider potential reasons for variation in advance, and to put in place some tests for these hypotheses, the scope of which will be agreed upon beforehand. 13. As mentioned, we would want the contractor to outline any key methodological differences with previous analyses, the reasons for these, and how they might influence the findings. This is particularly so with respect the recent BIS report on the returns to HE qualifications (June 2011, as referenced in para. 4). Whilst we would expect this aspect to be properly covered following the analysis in the final report, it would be useful if any initial thoughts were noted in the tender. Staffing 14. The tender should include details of the personnel who would be working on the project and the relative proportion of the work that will be assigned to each member of the project delivery team. BIS requires details of relevant work experience and the roles they will perform for this project. Tenderers should not simply attach the Curriculum Vitae of each member of staff. 15. If any of the work would be subcontracted or undertaken in partnership with an external unit details of this relationship and the balance of work should be provided. BIS also requires a copy of the Quality Assurance arrangements operating with subcontractors Timing and Outputs 16. Tenderers are invited to provide timings and relevant milestones for this work. We expect the project to start in late October/November 2011 17. A draft final report will be required by 30th April 2012 with an agreed final report by 31st May 2012. Tenders are to be submitted by noon on Tuesday 4th October 2011. Tenderers will be informed about whether their bid has been successful as soon as possible after this date (we anticipate being able to do this by 14th October 2011, or if not, very soon after this date). 18. BIS may decide to invite a short-list of tenderers for interview before a final decision is made on award of the contract. If this is necessary interviews will take place week beginning 10th October – possibly Wednesday 12th (in London or Sheffield). 19. In order to establish the capacity of the tendering body to meet this timetable, bids should include details of the current workload commitments of the proposed project team members. 20. The required outputs for dissemination purposes are: The full text of the draft and final reports on disk in Word format; A summary of findings in around 1500 words (on disk –there will be dissemination by electronic means including websites); and A presentation of findings to the Steering Group and other colleagues from BIS. 21. Tenderers are required to provide a one page executive summary of their proposal in the tender pack. Project Management 22. The project will be managed on a day-to-day basis by Higher Education/Knowledge and Innovation Analysis Division (BIS). It will be overseen by a steering group made up of representatives from BIS (analysts and policy) and the contractor. The contractor will be expected to attend all of these Steering Group meetings and take-on board commentary offered through them. 23. It is envisaged there will be around 3 or 4 steering group meetings during the project, including one at the start and one towards the end after the draft final report has been received. The expectation is that all the meetings will be held at BIS offices in Sheffield (although other venues may be considered for some of the meetings depending on schedules of SG members). FORMAT OF PROPOSAL Proposal should be in the following format. Section 1 Table of Contents Section 2 Summary of Proposal Section 3 Meeting the Specification: Aims; Objectives; Methodology; Project management; Staffing; and Outputs. Section 4 Risk Management Section 5 Data Security Section 6 Cost and Charging Arrangements Section 7 References and Experience COSTS Your tender should provide a detailed breakdown of costs on the basis of: project management and professional time; any fieldwork costs (if applicable); secretarial and administrative costs; travel and subsistence (please note details below ; stationery, postage and telephone; and publicity. Costs should be shown separately by financial year and where more than one type of methodology is involved the costs need to be shown separately for each element, e.g.: group discussions; personal interview; telephone survey; postal survey; and desk research. It would be helpful if, in addition to these overall costs, tenderers were able to separately identify some of the costs according to discrete parts of the analysis (eg. by data source used, by sub-group of interest) in order to provide an indication of how the costs might vary depending on the scale and coverage of the project. Your costs should be quoted exclusive of output VAT but please indicate if the project will attract output VAT. If your proposal includes costs for sub-contractors these costs must be shown inclusive of any VAT element (e.g. sub-contractor’s costs to you are £10,000 plus VAT, your proposal should show sub-contractors costs as £12,000 inclusive of VAT). We reserve the right to extend this contract over and above the services specified in this Invitation to Tender (ITT) for up to the same contract duration and for up to 50%of the original contract cost for further work that is within the same scope as that covered in this ITT Tender Evaluation The tender process will be conducted in a manner that ensures tenders are evaluated fairly to ascertain whether the proposal represents value for money. Responses to our requirements will be evaluated under the following headings (the order in which the criteria are listed does not imply relative importance and any elaboration is illustrative only and is not intended to provide an exhaustive list): Capability Experience and relevant expertise e.g. track record in similar contracts, in other relevant research, and in using relevant data sources Technical assessment Understanding of the work required and its aims, of other relevant analysis, and of the policy context Relevance, efficacy and clarity of the proposed methodology Consideration of the potential limitations of the analysis Satisfactory staffing resources and timetable for carrying out the work required Financial and Value for Money Costs Other value-adding proposals RISK MANAGEMENT Tenderers should submit as part of their proposal a one-page summary on what they believe will be the key risks to delivering the project and what contingencies they will put in place to deal with them. A risk is any factor that may delay, disrupt or prevent the full achievement of a project objective. All risks should be identified. For each risk, the one-page summary should assess its likelihood (high, medium or low) and specify its possible impact on the project objectives (again rated high, medium or low). The assessment should also identify appropriate actions that would reduce or eliminate each risk or its impact. Typical areas of risk for a research project might include staffing, resource constraints, technical constraints, data access, timing, management and operational issues, but this is not an exhaustive list. DEPENDENCIES You should indicate if you are reliant on any third party with any information, data or undertaking any of the work specified. MONITORING TECHNIQUES You should indicate how you will monitor the project to ensure it is delivered in terms of quality, timeliness and cost. DATA COLLECTION Researchers will be expected to clear any data collection tools with the Department before engaging in field work and ensure that in all cases the respondent documentation and/or interviewer briefing notes clearly state that the data is being collected for and on behalf of the Department and that no reference is made, implied or otherwise, to the data being used solely by or available only to the Contractor. The respondent documentation and/or interviewer shall ensure that the respondent clearly understands (before they give their consent to be interviewed) the purpose of the interview, that the information they provide will only be used for research purposes and, in the case of interviews (telephone or face-to-face), that they have the right to withdraw from the interview at any time. The Department seeks to minimise the burdens on schools and Local Authorities (LAs) taking part in surveys. It is therefore important that tenders should set out how the proposed methodology will minimise the burden on schools and/or LAs and a justification for the proposed sample size. When assessing the relative merits of data collection methods the following issues should be considered: only data essential to the project shall be collected; data should be collected electronically where appropriate and where schools and/or LAs prefer this; questionnaires should be pre-populated wherever possible and appropriate; schools must be given at least four working weeks to respond to the exercise from the date they receive the request; LAs should receive at least two weeks, unless they need to approach schools in which case they too should receive 4 weeks to respond; and The Contractor shall clear any data collection tools with the Department before engaging in field work. Researchers shall check with the Department whether any of the information that they are requesting from schools can be provided centrally from information already held. THE USE OF INCENTIVES With some important exceptions, the Department believes that the routine use of respondent incentives in surveys is, in general, not justified as they are rarely cost effective in either increasing participation or reducing non-response biases. If you are proposing the use of respondent incentives in your tender proposal you must set out why you feel they are necessary, why it is not possible to achieve the required sample sizes or response rates without the use of incentives, how and to what extent they will raise the overall response rate, how you will mitigate any specific biases that could be introduced, and provide a cost comparison with non-incentive methods. Your arguments should be supported by empirical evidence from past use. The exceptions are payment for participation in group discussions or in-depth qualitative interviews, payment to cover respondent expenses e.g. travel and childcare costs, and compensation for excessive demand on respondents, e.g. taking basic skills tests, diary keeping, panel maintenance and compensating schools for the respondent’s time. If you wish to use a prize draw incentive then you must also set out in your tender how you will comply with all relevant legislation and codes of practice (e.g. the British Code of Advertising and Sales Promotion), state that you shall be solely liable for any breach of these and that you shall indemnify the Department against any claims that may be made under them. DATA PROTECTION ACT 1998 If the project will involve the collection of personal data please state how you will ensure compliance with the Data Protection Act 1998. FREEDOM OF INFORMATION The Department is committed to open government and to meeting their responsibilities under the Freedom of Information Act 2005. Accordingly, all information submitted to the Department may need to be disclosed in response to a request under the Act. If you consider that any of the information included in your tender is commercially sensitive, please identify it and explain (in broad terms) what harm may result from disclosure if a request is received, and the time period applicable to that sensitivity. You should be aware that, even where you have indicated that information is commercially sensitive, we may still be required to disclose it under the Act if a request is received. Please also note that the receipt of any material marked ‘confidential’ or equivalent by the Department should not be taken to mean that we accept any duty of confidence by virtue of that marking. If a request is received, we may also be required to disclose details of unsuccessful tenders. ANNEX 2 ACCEPTANCE/REJECTION FORM RESEARCH PROJECT: GRADUATE PREMIUM – FURTHER ANALYSIS REFERENCE NUMBER: BIS/RBU/016/2011 Please complete and sign this form and return it, by email to [email protected] by Monday 12th September. If this form is not returned by this date we will assume your organisation will not be submitting a proposal. (Please tick the appropriate box) ACCEPTANCE OF INVITATION TO TENDER We will be submitting a tender proposal REJECTION OF INVITATION TO TENDER We will not be submitting tender proposal ORGANISATION: …………………………………………………………………………………… NAME IN CAPITALS: .............................................................................................................. TEL………………………………………………….. DATE: ................................................................. ANNEX 3 The Department’s Reference No: BIS/RBU/016/2011 DECLARATIONS AND INFORMATION TO BE PROVIDED BY THE TENDERER Declarations 1 ...............................................……………………………. declare that we accept the Department’s standard terms and conditions as the basis of the contract; and 2 declare that we have not communicated to any other party the amount or approximate amount of the tender price other than in confidence and for the express purpose of obtaining insurances or a bond in connection with this tender. The tender price has not been fixed nor adjusted in collusion with any third party, and 3 declare that the tender will remain valid until 4th March 2012 and that we are not entitled to claim from the Department any costs or expenses incurred in preparing the tender or subsequent negotiations whether or not the tender is successful. signed on behalf of the Tenderer .................................................................................. Please print full name………………………………………………………………………… Date…………………………………………………………………………………… ………. Undertaking The Department requires all tenderers to make full and frank disclosure to the Department in the form of a signed undertaking in respect of any or all of the following: a) any state of bankruptcy, insolvency, compulsory winding up, administration, receivership composition with creditors or any analogous state of relevant proceedings; b) any convictions for a criminal offence committed by the tenderer (or being a company, by its officers or any representative of the company); c) any acts of grave misconduct committed by the tenderer (or being a company, by its officers or any representative of the company) in the course of their business or profession/the company's business; d) any failure by the tenderer (or being a company, by its officers or any representative of the company) to fulfil their obligations relating to payment of Social Security contributions; and e) any failure by the tenderer (or being a company, by its officers or any representative of the company) to fulfil their obligations relating to payment of taxes.
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