LECTURE – 3 SERVICE PROCESS CONTROL Learning objective To appreciate the statistical procedures to control service quality 5.6 Cost of Quality for Services Service organizations incur cost ranging between 25% and 40% of the operating expenses due to poor quality. Whenever a process fails to satisfy a customer it results in loss of customer which in turn adds extra cost to an organization. Various costs of quality can be seen in Table 5.6. It is very important for service organizations to control quality so that various costs can be minimized. TABLE 5.6: COSTS OF QUALITY Cost Category Definition Bank Example Prevention Operations/activities that keep failure from happening and minimize detection costs Quality planning, Recruitment and selection, training programs and Quality improvement projects Detection or Appraisal To ascertain the condition of a service to determine whether it conforms to safety standards Periodic inspection, process control, checking, balancing, verifying collecting quality data Internal failure To correct nonconforming work prior to delivery to the customer Scrapped forms and report, rework, machine downtime External failure To correct non-conforming work after delivery to the customer or to correct work that did not satisfy a customer’s special needs Payment of interest penalties, Investigation time, legal judgments, negative word of mouth and loss of future business 5.7 Service Process Control Challenges in service quality control Due to intangible nature of services it is difficult to measure service performance with direct performance measures like weight and volume. Only surrogate measures can be used such as waiting time of customers and number of complaints. Due to simultaneity nature of service it is difficult to monitor the service performance. Customer feedback is collected “after the fact”. Only final customer impression of overall service is gathered. For a proper control of any system, an output should be compared with standards. In services, feedback control system is used in which surrogate performance measures are identified and then actual output is compared with actual deviation. The comparison is done to identify reasons of nonconformance to customer requirements and to take corrective actions as shown in Figure 5.16. Make adjustments to keep the output within a tolerable range Statistical process control, which is widely applied as a process control in manufacturing, can help in service control and to meet the challenges pertaining to service control system. FIGURE 5.16: SERVICE PROCESS CONTROL 5.7.1 Statistical Process Control (SPC) A statistical tool to determine whether the service process is performing as customer expectations? Tools called Control Charts (visual display) are used to measure process performance to determine if the process is in control Control charts helps in determining any change in the process performance Control charts help in monitoring the performance of processes so that corrective actions can be initiated on time. Examples which trigger change in service process due to variations An increase in the time to process passport application An increase in number of complaints regarding delay in claims by insurance company An increase in number of errors in software code. 5.7.2 Performance measurement There are two ways to evaluate performance that is to measure variables and to measure attributes. Measuring variables means service or product characteristics such as weight, length and time that can be measured. Variable measurement allows fractional values. For example, the waiting time of a customer who is put on hold before actually connected to the call center executive. Measuring attributes based on service or product characteristics that can be quickly counted for acceptable performance. Attributes are measured as discrete data. Attributes measure in terms of whether the service received is good or bad. Variation and causes of variation in service process Variation is inherent in the service output. The two main causes of variation are common causes and assignable causes. Common causes of variation: Purely random, unidentifiable sources of variation that is unavoidable with the process. Random factors of variation due to machines, tools, operator, which are present as a natural part of process. Assignable causes or special causes: Special causes of variation arise from external sources that are not inherent in the process. 5.7.3 Sampling and sampling distributions Any service process produces output, which can be represented for its performance measure with the help of process distribution. The process distribution is described by distribution parameters called mean and standard deviation, which can be determined when complete inspection of process is done with 100 percent accuracy. It is very time consuming and sometimes costly to inspect for quality each service instance/process or each stage of service process. So, a sampling plan is devised comprised of specified sample size to randomly select observations of process outputs, the time between successive samples and decision rules to determine when action should be taken. The objective of sampling is to estimate variable or attribute measure for the output of the process. This measure is used to assess the performance of the process itself. Sampling will be used to estimate the parameters of the process distribution using sample statistics such as sample mean and sample standard deviation or sample range. Sample statistics have their own distributions called sampling distribution. 5.7.4 Control Charts A control chart is a visual display used to plot values of a measure of process performance to determine if the process is in control. Control chart construction is similar to determining a confidence interval for the mean of the sample. A control chart has a nominal value also called central line, which can be average or target desired to be achieved and two control limits based on the sampling distribution of the quality measure. Control Limits are the statistical boundaries of a process, which define the amount of variation that can be considered as normal or inherent variation. The larger value represents the upper control limit (UCL) and the smaller value represents the lower control limit (LCL). Most commonly used are 3 sigma control limits (± 3 Standard deviations from the mean). If the process is in control, a value outside the control limit will occur only 3 time in 1000 (1 - .997 = .003). A sample statistic that falls between UCL and LCL indicates that the process is exhibiting common causes of variation. A statistic that falls outside the control limits indicates that the process is exhibiting assignable causes of variation as shown in Figure 5.17. But, it is not always true that observations falling outside the control limits are due to poor quality of service process. It may result due to change in the procedure of service process. If the performance measure shows improvement with such observations, then incorporate the cause and reconstruct the control chart with revised data. Figure 5.17: Control chart with upper control limit and lower control limit Depending on the performance measures, the control charts can be of two types; Variable control chart (X bar chart and range chart) and Attribute control chart (p chart). General approach or steps in using quality control chart Decide on some measure of service system performance or quality characteristic of service. The measure can correspond to a population proportion nonconforming (attribute data) or corresponds to the mean of a continuous random variable (variable data). Collect representative historical data from which estimates of the population mean and variance for the system performance measure can be made. Decide on sample size, and using the estimates of population mean and variance, calculate +3 standard deviation control limits. Graph the control chart as a function of a sample mean values versus time. 5.7.5 X (X bar) Chart and R Chart X Chart and R chart is the control chart for variables, used to monitor the mean and the variability of the process distribution. It may happen that the variability of the process may cause the process mean to appear off aim. It is also necessary to check that the process variability is not too large. Therefore, X chart will be accompanied by R chart (Range chart). The variables can take fractional value such as length, weight or time. Example Mean ambulance response time. R-Chart control limits Calculate the range of a set of sample data by subtracting the smallest from the largest measurement in each sample. The process variability will result as out of control if any of the ranges fall outside the control limits. The upper control limit, UCL R, and the lower control limit, LCLR, for R-Chart are presented below UCLR = D4 R Center line= R LCLR = D3 R Where R : Average of past R values and the central line of the control chart. D3, D4: Constraints that provide 3 limits for a given sample size. X Chart control limits X Chart is used to see whether the process is generating output, on average, consistent with average of past sample means. The upper control limit UCLX and lower control limit, LCL X for X chart are given below. UCLX X A 2R Centerline X LCLX X A 2R where X : central live of the control chart which is average of post sample means or a target value set for a process A2: Constant to provide 3 limits for the sample mean. Relation of constants D4,D3 and A2 in variable control charts There is a well-known relationship between range of a sample from a normal distribution of a sample from a normal distribution and the standard deviation of that distribution. This relationship is represented by a random variable, W which is called the relative range as given below. W R In practice, usually and are not known. In such case can be estimated by the grand average that is average of sample means. Whereas, can be estimated using distribution of relative range, W. The parameters of the distribution of W are a function of the sample size of n. The mean of W is d2. An estimator of relation. ˆ is ̂ , which is related to R with following R d2 Where, R is the average range of the m preliminary samples. Using above relations, the control limits of X chart can be written as 3 UCL X X LCL X X d2 n 3 d2 n R R and A 2 is defined as A2 3 d2 n To define D3 and D4 , we need an estimator R in the R chart. Since, we have assumed that the variable to be measured is normally distributed; we can estimate R using an eliminator ̂ R from the distribution of relative range. We can write, R W The standard derivation of W, represented by d3, is a known function of n. So, the standard derivation of R is R d3 We can estimate R (because is unknown) with following relation ˆ R d3 R d2 We can rewrite the control limits for R-chart by substituting the estimators of are given below UCL R R 3ˆ R R 3d 3 R d2 LCL R R 3ˆ R R 3d 3 R d2 where D 3 1 3 d3 and d2 D 3 1 3 d3 d2 Since the factors A2, D3 and D4 are dependent on sample size, these can be drawn from table 5.6. TABLE 5.6: FACTORS FOR CALCULATING 3 LIMITS FOR THE X CHART AND R-CHART Sample size (n) X - chart LCL R factor UCLR factor factor (A2) (D3) (D4) 2 1.880 0 3.267 3 1.023 0 2.575 4 0.729 0 2.282 5 0.577 0 2.115 6 0.483 0 2.004 7 0.419 0.076 1.924 8 0.373 0.136 1.864 9 0.337 0.184 1.816 10 0.308 0.223 1.777 Steps to be followed to develop X chart and R chart Step 1: collect data on the variable quality measurement and assign number to each sample from 1 to m. (Preferable, m should be of atleast 20 samples) Step 2: compute the range for each sample, where sample size for each sample is n. compute the average range, R , for the set of samples, m. R1 = xmax,1 – xmin, 1 R2 = xmax,2 – xmin, 2 . . . . R1 = xmax,m – xmin, m R R1 R 2 ........ R m m Where R m is the range for mth sample and xmax,m and xmin,m are the maximum and minimum values of mth sample where the sample size is n. Step 3: use the table for D3 and D4 and determine the control limits of the R-chart. Step 4: Plot the sample ranges on the R-chart if all are in control then proceed to next step. If all values are not in control then identify assignable causes. Correct the assignable causes and repeat step 1, 2 and 3. Step 5: Calculate X for each sample and determine X using following relation X1 x1 x 2,1 .............x n,1 X2 n x1,2 x 2,2 .............x n,2 n . . . Xm x1,m x 2,m .............x n,m m X X 2 .............X m Xm 1 m Where xn,m are the nth data in mth sample, where each sample is of sample size n. Step 6: Use table to determine A2 and control limits. Step 7: Plot the sample means. If all the data points are in control, the process is in statistical control in terms of process average and process variability. If any data point is out of control then find assignable causes and return to step 1. Sometimes, we can find the process exhibit sudden changes or patterns which are not desirable ever though the data points lie within control limits. Such instances can exhibit different patterns as shown in figure 5.18 and they need investigation. Figure 5.18 (a) presents normal behavior Figure 5.18 (b) presents the data point out of control limits. Investigate for assignable cause Figure 5.18 (c) presents increasing or decreasing trend. Figure 5.18 (d) presents a pattern called run, which is a sequence of observations with a certain characteristic. If a run results due to five or more observations then investigate their cause because in such case the probability is low that such a result has taken place by chance. Figure 5.18 (e) erratic behavior which needs to be monitored. FIGURE 5.18: DIFFERENT PATTERNS OF PROCESS IN CONTROL BUT NEEDS INVESTIGATION Example 1: A call-centre wants to check whether their service process is in control for the quality measure of response time. The management expects to respond back to the customer as soon as possible. Management decided to take hourly sample of four calls to calculate a sample mean response time. The past records of call centre working yield an estimated population mean response time of 4.5seconds with an estimates range of 4 seconds. The data for sample means and sample range are given below. Calculate the control limits for X chart and R chart and analyze the pattern. Time (hrs) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Average Range of Mean response response time time (seconds) (seconds) 3 2 5 4 4 5 2 6 7 4 4 2 6 6 5 3 Solution: The control limits for X chart with 8 samples of each sample of each sample size of 4 can be calculated as given below. UCL X X A 2R LCL X X A 2 R A 2 0.729(from table for n 4) R 4 UCL X 4.5 (0.729 4) 7.416 LCL X 4.5 (0.729 4) 1.584 Similarly, we can calculate the control limits for R-chart UCL R D 4 R LCL R D3R R 4 D 4 2.282(from table for n 4) D3 0(from table for n 4) UCL R 2.82 4 9.128 We will plot X -chart We can see that the process is in control as there is no data point out of control limits. The process is in control and shows normal behavior. 5.7.6 Attribute control charts or p-charts p-charts are used for performance characteristic which is counted rather than measured to control the proportion of defective services or product, p-charts are used to Accommodate unequal sample sizes. Sample sizes are usually 50 or greater Need 20-30 samples to construct the p-chart Examples Proportion of invoices with errors at any retailer. Proportion of items requiring rework. Proportion of incorrect saving account statements sent to customers. Control limits for p-charts A random sample is selected and that sample is inspected for each item relative to the attribute in terms of yes or no decision. Calculate the sample proportion defective, p. p is the number of defective units divided by the sample size. Here, yes or no means the output is defective or not. The underlying statistical distribution for such attribute based random variables is based on binomial distribution. But, for large sample sizes for such attribute measure, normal distribution is good approximation. So, we need to define mean and standard deviation to this distribution. p : average population proportion defective either determined from historical data or a target value. p : the standard deviation of the distribution of proportion defectives, which can be written as given below. p p(1 p) n Where n is the sample size. The control limits for p-chart can be determined using following relations UCLp p Zp LCLp p Zp where Z is normal deviate. Steps for plotting p-chart Step 1: Take a random sample of sample size n. Step 2: Count the number of defective services. Divide the number of defectives by the sample size, n, to get a sample proportion defective p. Step 3: Take m samples and determine p for all m samples and determine average of p as p . Step 4: Determine the control limits and plot sample proportion defectives on the p-chart. The plots outside the control limits need investigation for assignable causes. Example: A life insurance company registers many complaints from the customers regarding the errors in customers profile at the time of policy issuing the company wants to control the errors and for that samples are taken randomly for 10days with a sample size of 30 applications. The average number of errors or proportion of error for each day is given in the table below. Day Number of errors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5 3 7 10 2 3 6 4 3 4 Management wants to monitor the performance of policy using process using control chart. Analyze the process. Solution Using the sample data for 10 samples where each sample has sample size of 30. We will calculate p Totalerrors Total number of observations p 5 3 7 ........ 4 47 (10)(30) 300 p 0.157 p(1 p) n 0.157 (1 0.157) 0.004 30 The controllimits are UCL p p Z p 0.157 3(0.004) 0.17 LCL p p Z p 0.14 Calculate the sample proportion errors as given in the following table and plot each sample proportion error on the chart. Day 1 Sample proportion error 5/30=0.167 2 3/30=0.1 3 7/30=0.233 4 10/30=0.333 5 2/30=0.067 6 3/30=0.1 7 6/30=0.2 8 4/30=0.133 9 3/30=0.1 10 4/30=0.133 The value lower than LCLp but greater than zero will be good for the company. The system is out of control since four values are above UCL p .
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