Probabilities and Statistics

Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Olariu E.andFlorentin
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
February,
2017
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics - Lecture 1
The Structure of the Course, Scores and Grades
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
First seven
weeks areProbabilities
dedicated
to the Theory
of ProbabilProbabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
ity (courses
and seminars),
the last Probabilities
six concern
the
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilitieswhile
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Statistics (courses and laboratories).
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities andseven
Statisticslaboratories
Probabilities
and Statistics
We and
willStatistics
have six seminars,
and
thirteen
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
courses.
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Partial
exam
from
the
first
seven
courses
in
the 8-th week
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(score T
- optional.
Those
who fail Probabilities
to receive
at
Probabilities
and1 )Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
least
30
(from
a
maximum
of
60)
points
must
retake
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
Statisticsin the
Probabilities
and Statistics
the and
Probability
Theoryandexam
arrears
session
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(T
30). This exam
can be taken also
in the regular
Probabilities1 and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
andweek).
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
sessionand(instead
of Probabilities
the 8-th
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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exam from Probabilities
the last and
sixStatistics
courses inProbabilities
the regular
sesProbabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
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and
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and
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Probabilities
andat
Statistics
sion
(score
Those
who
fail
to
receive
least
Probabilities and Statistics2
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
30 (from
a maximum
points Probabilities
must retake
the
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilitiesof
and60)
Statistics
and Statistics
>
Statistics exam in the arrears session (T2
> 30).
The Structure of the Course, Scores and Grades
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
From seminars and labs
you will get anotherProbabilities
two intermmeProbabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
StatisticsT3 and
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
diateandscores
T4 : and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
T3 comes
from sixProbabilities
small tests
one on each
seminar.
Those
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
who
fail
to
receive
at
least
30
(from
a
maximum
of
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
6 10 and60)
points Probabilities
cannot and
pass
the course
andandmust
Probabilities
Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
retake the course in
the next year (T3Probabilities
30). and Statistics
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Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
T4 comes partially from the presence and activity
in class
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(20points)
and partially
from
homeworksProbabilities
(40 points)
whose
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
Statistics
end-terms
are in the last
weekandofStatistics
the semester.
Thisandgrade
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
also must
be at least
30 (from
a maximum
of 20and Statistics
40
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
60)
points.
Those
who
fail
to
receive
30
points
cannot
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
passandthe
courseProbabilities
and must
retake the
course
in the
Probabilities
Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
next year (T
30).
Probabilities and Statistics 4 Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
=
>
+ =
>
The Structure of the Course, Scores and Grades
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Theand
final
score Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
T1 Tand
T3 T4 Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics T Probabilities
2 Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Thisandscore
will beProbabilities
graded and
onStatistics
the normal
(Gauss)
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Statistics
Probabilities
and curve
Statistics in
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
order toandget
the true Probabilities
grade. and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
All intermediate
scores
– Tand
T2 T3 , andProbabilities
T4 – must
be
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
1 Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
at
least
30,
otherwise
the
exam
will
not
be
considered
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
passed.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
If Tand
T4 is not
at least
30, then Probabilities
you cannot
take
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
3 or
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
the exams in the regular or arrears session. If T1 or
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
T2 is not
at least 30,
you cannot
course.
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statisticspass the
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
In the and
arrears
all the
scores must
be at
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Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
andleast
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
30.
=
+ + +
;
;
:
Table of contents
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
and experience
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
1Probabilities
Random
and random
events. Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Random
experience
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Random events Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Random
notations Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
andevents
Statistics - properties
Probabilitiesand
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
2Probabilities
Probability
functionProbabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probability
function Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probability
of elementary
random
events Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
3 Exercises
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Random
Probabilities
andEvents
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probability Function Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
4 Bibliography
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Random experience
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Intuitively,
a randomProbabilities
experience
corresponds
to a and
process
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
producing
a
result
which
is
not
known
before
performing
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andisStatistics
and Statistics
this and
process;
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all possible
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Random experience
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Definition
1Statistics
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we doesn’t know for sure which number will appear.
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By tossing
two dice
the possible
outcomes
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Following
a random Probabilities
experience
means to Probabilities
observe its
outProbabilities and Statistics
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come;
each
time
we
will
have
only
one
outcome
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the
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known set of all possible results). We say in this case that
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an elementary
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Definition
2Statistics
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and
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andelemenStatistics
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random and
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tary random
event, Probabilities
the set of
these events
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sample
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space,
denoted
by . Probabilities and Statistics
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an experience
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from and
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In
the
process
of
making
reasoning
about
the
experience, our
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and Statistics
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interest
can be notProbabilities
for the and
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The above
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notion ofProbabilities
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Probabilities and Statistics
dom event.
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Definition
3Statistics
Probabilities and
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and
Statistics
and Statistics
and Statistics
A random event is Probabilities
a certain
subset of Probabilities
the sample
space:
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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A
.
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We and
tossStatistics
a die: theProbabilities
sampleand
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; if we
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are interested in even
numbers, the corresponding
random
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toss
two
dice:
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1
1
2
6 6 ; if we are
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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and Statistics
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interested
in a sum
equal with
4, the corresponding
random
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event
is
A
1
3
2
2
3
1
.
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and two
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using
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the
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which make the predicate
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a random
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subset of the
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is Statistics
a discrete Probabilities
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can be considered
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If and
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not discrete,
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course.
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Definition
4
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
We say that
a random
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the random
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outcome)
to A. Probabilities and Statistics
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random events
using
big caps like
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etc.
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Because
in
our
applications
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be
a
discrete
set,
we
will
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and Statistics
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consider
that any Probabilities
subset ofand Statistics
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not make
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sets and
of Statistics
and random
events;
operations Probabilities
and properties
over
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and
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and
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and
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subsets are transfered on random events.
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- if A and
B Statisticsare random
events,
then
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and
A[
B is a random
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if and only
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events
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occurs; and Statistics
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A \ B is a randomProbabilities
event which
occurs if and
only if both
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events
A and B
occurs; and Statistics
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A nand
B Statistics
is a randomProbabilities
event which
occurs if and
only ifand
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occurs
but B doesn’t;
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and Statistics
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if A is and
a random
then and
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a random
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andA:
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called
the complement
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if andandonly
if A
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doesn’t
occur;
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and Statistics
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if
A
B
,
we
say
that
A
implies
B
;
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andB
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if A Band Statistics
we say Probabilities
that A isandnot
compatible
with
(or
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
disjoint
of
B
);
we
also
say
that
the
events
are
mutually
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
;
= n
\ =?
exclusive); if A \ B
6= ?, then A is compatible with B .
Random events - properties and notations
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics manner
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
In aand
similar
we define
union orProbabilities
intersection
of a
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
finite
(or
infinitely
countable)
number
of
events.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Example.
the
tossingand
ofStatistics
two dice: Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
andConsider
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities andiStatistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
j
1 i j 6 there are 36 random events.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
andevent
Statistics“the sum
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
LetProbabilities
A be the
of theanddice
is 4” and
B “the
dice
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
are Probabilities
greater than
4”:
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
AProbabilities
1 3and Statistics
2 2 3 1 Probabilities
and B and Statistics
5 5 5 6Probabilities
6 5 and
6 6Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
-Probabilities
A B and Statistics
1 3 2 2 Probabilities
3 1 and
5 5Statistics
5 6 6 Probabilities
5 6 6 and; Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
-Probabilities
A B and Statistics
- A and B
are disjoint;
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
- A and Statistics
1 1 1 2 Probabilities
2 1 3 and
2 Statistics
2 3
6 6 . and Statistics
= f( ; ) : 6
;
6 g;
=
= f( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; )g
= f( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; )g
[ = f( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; )g
\ =?
= f( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); ( ; ); : : : ( ; )g |
Probability function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statisticsin this
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
We consider
section and
that
is at most
infinitely
countProbabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
able:and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
1
2
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
The notion of probability
comes from theProbabilities
idea
of associating
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statisticsto each
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
a real number
random
event in order
to compare
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
their chances.
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics is based
Probabilities
and Statistics
Theand
definition
on and
theStatistics
empirical Probabilities
observation
that an
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
event
more often
must have
a greater
probaProbabilities
andwhich
Statistics occurs
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
bility
than
one
which
occurs
rarely.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics of a Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
The probability
random and
event
A is denoted
byandPStatistics
A.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
The
following
axioms
define
the
probability
function.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
On the and
same
set weProbabilities
can define
different probability
Probabilities
Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and funcStatistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
tions!
= f! ; ! ; : : :g:
( )
Axioms of probability function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Definition
5Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(Kolmogorov)
If
is the
sampleandspace
experiProbabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statisticsof a random
Probabilities and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
ence, a probability function on is a function P defined on
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
the random
events family
(inand
our
case
) whichandsatisfies
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Axiom
1. 0 P Probabilities
A
1, and
forStatistics
any random
event
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
andA.
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Axiom
2. P
1 and and
P Statistics 0. Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Axiom
3. If events
A1 A
are mutually
exProbabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and2 StatisticsAk
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
clusive, then
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
! and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
[
X
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P Probabilities
Ak and Statistics
P Ak Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
k 1 and Statistics
k 1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
6 ( )6
(
) =
;
1
=
P(
)
(?) =
;:::;
=
1
=
;:::
( ):
Axioms of probability function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statisticsasociated
Probabilities
Axiom
1 says thatProbabilities
the probability
withanda Statistics
random
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
event
a real number
from
1.
Probabilities
andis
Statistics
Probabilities
and 0
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Axiom
2 says that
any outcome
of the experience
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and belongs,
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics 1, toProbabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
with probability
. Moreover,
it says Probabilities
that theand
imposProbabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
sible event
doesn’t occur.
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Axiom
3
says
that
for
a
mutually
incompatible
sequence of
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
random
events, the
probability
of its union
is the and
sum
of the
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
probabilities
events.
Probabilities
and Statistics of these
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
If
the
sequence
is
infinite,
Axiom
3
guarantees
the converProbabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
gence ofandthe
corresponding
series
from the right
member.
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
[; ]
Properties of the probability function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Proposition
1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
LetProbabilities
A1 A2 and Statistics
Am be a finite
sequence
of mutually
exclusive
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
random events, then
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
!and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
m
m
[
X
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Ak and Statistics
P Ak Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics P Probabilities
k 1Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics k 1Probabilities and
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
proof: Consider
3, Aand
, k Probabilities
m 1. and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics in Axiom
Probabilities
k Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Proposition
2
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Let A and
B be two random
events,
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and
Statisticsthen Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(i) P Aand Statistics
P A B Probabilities
P A andBStatistics
;
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(ii) P Aand Statistics
B
P A Probabilities
P A andBStatisticsP B ;Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(iii)
P A
1 P A Probabilities
; Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
;
;:::;
=
=
=
( ):
=? 8 > +
(iv)
( )= ( \ )+ ( n )
( [ )= ( ) ( \ )+ ( )
( )=
( )
if A implies B (A B ), then P (A) 6 P (B ) .
Properties of the probability function
=
= \
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
proof:
(i): andinStatistics
Proposition
1 we and
can
take m Probabilities
2 A1 and Statistics
A
Probabilities
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
B A2 and
A Statistics
B . (ii): we
use (i)andand
Proposition
1. (iii):
we can
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
use
Proposition
1
and
Axiom
2:
1
P
P
A
P
A
. (iv):
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Statistics
Statistics
useProbabilities
(i) and and
Axiom
1 and Probabilities
get P Band Statistics
P B AProbabilities
P B andA
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P A
P Band Statistics
A
P A Probabilities
.
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Proposition
3
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(Inclusion-exclusion
A
1 A2
m are random
Probabilities and Statistics principle)
ProbabilitiesIfandAStatistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
events, then
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
!
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
m
m
[ and Statistics
X
Probabilities
Probabilities X
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P
AStatistics
PProbabilities
Ak
Ak2 and Statistics
k
k1
Probabilities
and
and Statistics P AProbabilities
Probabilities
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
k 1 and Statistics
k 1
1 k1and
<k2Statistics
m
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
X
and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
p 1and Statistics
1 and Statistics
P and
AStatistics
Ak2 Probabilities
Akp and Statistics
k1
Probabilities
Probabilities
1 Statistics
k1 <k2 <:::<kp Probabilities
m
Probabilities and
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
m 1
1
P A1 A2
Am
;
= n
:
= (
) = ( )+ ( )
( ) = ( \ )+ ( n ) =
( )+ ( n )> ( )
;
=
=
+( ) +
6
=
+( )
( )
+
6
;
6
6
\
( \
;:::;
(
\
) + +
\ ::: \
+ +
\ ::: \
):
Properties of the probability function
=
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
dem.:
We use
induction Probabilities
on m: for
property
2,
Probabilities
and Statistics
and m
Statistics2 we have
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
(ii). Suppose
now thatProbabilities
the above
relation holds
for any
m 1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
random
events.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
!
" and Statistics !
#
Probabilities!and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
and Statistics
m
m[1
m[1
[
Probabilities
and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
P Probabilities
Ak and Statistics
P
AkProbabilities
P and Statistics
Ak
AProbabilities
P and
Am
m
Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
k 1 and Statistics k 1Probabilities and Statistics
k 1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(1)
!Probabilities
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m[1
m[1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P and Statistics
Ak Am Probabilities
P Amand Statistics
Probabilities andPStatistics Ak Probabilities
k
1
k
1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
WeProbabilities
use the and
inductive
hypothesis
for
the
first
two
terms:
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
!
m[1
m
X1
XStatistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and
Probabilities and Statistics
P
AkStatistics P Probabilities
Ak
P Probabilities
Ak1 Aand
Probabilities
and
and Statistics
k2 Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Probabilities and Statistics
k 1
k 1
1 k1 <
k2Statistics
m 1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(2)
X
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
p 1
Probabilities
ProbabilitiesPandA
Statistics
Statistics
1 and Statistics
Ak2 Probabilities
Akand
k1
p
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
+( ) +
=
6
=
=
( )
6
1 k1 <k1 <:::<kp m 1
6
( \
6
\
(
)
+ ( )=
\
) + ( ):
(
\
) + +
\ ::: \
+ +
Properties of the probability function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
mProbabilities and Statistics
1 P Probabilities
A1 A2 and StatisticsAm 1 Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
"
# and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
m[1
m
1
XStatistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and
Probabilities and Statistics
P
AkProbabilities
Am and Statistics
P Ak Probabilities
Am
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics(3)
k 1
k 1Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics X Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P Ak1 and
AkStatistics
Am
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
2
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
1 k1 <k2 m
1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
X
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
p and
1 Statistics
Akp Aand
A
1
P
A
m Statistics
k
k
2
1 Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and
Probabilities
k1 <k1 <:::<kpProbabilities
m 1 and Statistics
Probabilities and1 Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
m 1
1
PProbabilities
A1 Aand
Am and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
2 Statistics Am 1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Combining
(1), (2) andProbabilities
(3) we and
getStatistics
the desired
relation.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
+( ) ( \
=
+( ) +
6
=
( \
6
+( )
+
) =
(
6
6
( \
);
\ ::: \
\
=
( \
\
\
\ ::: \
)
) + +
\ ::: \
\
\
):
+ +
Probability of elementary random events
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities andofStatistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Let P
be the probability
the elementary
random
event
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
,
.
From
Axiom
3,
for
every
random
event
A,
we
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
have and Statistics
X
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P
A
P
(4)
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
A
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and !
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
If Aandcontains
number
of elements,
then and
the
above
Probabilities
Statistics a finite
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilitiesaand
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
sum is and
finite;
if A contains
countable
infinite
number
of
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
elements,
then the sum
is an infinite
series.Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
The sum is zero if A Probabilities
is the impossible
event.
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
We get an equivalent definition if we replace Axiom
3 with
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Axiom 3’. For every random event A,
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
X
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P (A) =
P (! ): Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
!2A
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(!)
f!g 8 ! 2 ( )=
2
(!):
Equiprobable elementary random events
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
In many
situationsProbabilities
consists
of elementary
random
events
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
having the same probability:
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics 1 Probabilities
Statistics
p Probabilities
1 i and
n Statistics
2
nand P
i
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
then and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
n
Probabilities and StatisticsX
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities1and Statistics
Pand Statistics
1
P i and
npStatistics
i. e., P Probabilities
p and Statistics
i
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Probabilities
i
Probabilities and Statisticsi 1
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilitiesnand Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics in this
Probabilities
andrandom
Statistics event
Probabilities
and Statistics
Let
us
consider,
case,
a
A, with
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
then
A
kand
, AStatistics i1 i2Probabilitiesik and, Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
k
X
A
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Probabilities
and Statistics
P
A
P
ij Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and
Probabilities and Statistics
n
j 1 and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
= f! ; ! ; : : : ; ! g; (! ) = ; 8 6 6
(
) = =
j j=
=
= f!
(! ) =
;
;! ;:::;!
g
( )=
=
;
(! ) = = ; 8 :
(! ) = = jj
jj :
Equiprobable elementary random events
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
We just proved
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Proposition
4
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
If the
elementary random
events are equiprobable,
then the
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities of
and a
Statistics
Probabilities
andthe
Statistics
Probabilities
andnumStatistics
probability
random event
A is
ratio between
the
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
berProbabilities
of elements
from A and
the number of elements
from .
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics the Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
In this and
situation
probability
of a random
eventandisStatistics
the
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
number of "favorable"
cases over the total number
of cases.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statisticsprobabilities
Probabilitiesbecomes
and Statisticsa counting
Probabilities
and Statistics
Computing
problem.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Situations
in which
we can and
apply
the above
theoretical
result
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
must
be
carefuly
distinguished
as
the
elementary
random
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
events and
areStatistics
not always
equiprobable.
witness and
weStatistics
can
Probabilities
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and Statistics As aProbabilities
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Probabilities and Statistics
use
the
simmetry
priciple:
similar
events
must
have
equal
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
probabilities.
Equiprobable elementary random events
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
Example.
we withdraw
a ball
a box, Probabilities
any ball and
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the
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and Statistics
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and from
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and
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and
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and
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same
probility to be chosen.
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balls of different
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and Statistics
colors: two
white andProbabilities
three black,
a black Probabilities
ball has and
a different
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and Statistics
and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
probability
of occurrence
than a white ball. Probabilities
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and Statistics
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Example.
we toss a Probabilities
fair die, and
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probability
of occurrence
of a
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andIf
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and Statistics
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and Statistics
and Statistics
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number
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for all the
numbers from
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6 .
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if threeand
faces
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number
the remaining
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and Statistics
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have 2, 3,andand
4 respectively,
then
the elementary
outcomes
have
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different and
probabilities.
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Seminar’s Exercises
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Random Events:Probabilities
I.1.,
I.2.
(a), I.3., I.4.Probabilities
(a,Probabilities
c), I.6.
(a, b,
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and Statistics
and Statistics
d) , I.7 and
(b,c)
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Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probability
function:
II.7., and
II.8.,
II.13., II.17.,
II.19.,
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and Statistics
Probabilities
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and Statistics
Probabilities
and
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Probabilities
and
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Probabilities
and
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II.20., II.22. (b, c)
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Reserve:
II.24., II.27.,
II.30.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
End
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Exercises - Random Events
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
I.1. Three
şi 3 flip,and
inStatistics
this order,Probabilities
a coin. The
winner
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and players,
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and
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and
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and
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is the player which gets the tail first. The set of random events
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is (0
for head
1 for tail)
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1 Probabilities
01 001 0001
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and Statistics
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and Statistics
and Statistics
a) Determine
the random
events
defined Probabilities
like follows:
Ai
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player
i
wins
the
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i
1
3.
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and Statistics
b) Determine the following
random events Probabilities
A1Probabilities
A3and
, AStatistics
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1
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and
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and
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A
A
.
1
2
3
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A
A
.
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false: A1Probabilities
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and Statistics
and or
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3 Probabilities
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I.2.Probabilities
A limo and
which
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and transports
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I.3. Two dice are tossed (one red and one black). LetandAStatistics
be the
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random event
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randomandevents
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andand
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experience.
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a) A and
B Statistics
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as possible
the following
expressions
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b)Probabilities
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and Statistics
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I.6.Probabilities
Let A, and
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and C be Probabilities
three random
events associated
with
a
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random
experience.
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the following
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a)Probabilities
only A and
occurs
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three
events;
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and
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and
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b) A and C occur but not B ;
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c) at least
two of theProbabilities
three events
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and Statistics
d) exactly
one of theProbabilities
three events
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e) at most
three of them
occur.
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I.7.Probabilities
Let A and
B randomProbabilities
events. and Statistics
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and Statistics
and Statistics
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and
A
A BProbabilities
A B
and B
A
B
A Statistics
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b)Probabilities
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A B andA
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c)Probabilities
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Let A beProbabilities
the set and
of Statistics
outand rolling
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comes where the roll is an odd number. Let B be the set
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of outcomes
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the sets
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and part
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on bothandsides
of the equality
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verify that
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II.1. Weand
consider
experience
1 and
2 Statistics6 .
Probabilities
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and Statisticswith Probabilities
and Statistics
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and
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WeProbabilities
know that
P
1
2,
P
1
2
3
1
2
3
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5 6Probabilities
and P and Statistics
1Probabilities
6. Weand
define
1
2
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and Statistics
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and
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and
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events A
1
2
4
5 ,B
3
4
5
6 and C
3
4
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and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
a) Events
A and B are
compatible?
What Probabilities
about Aand
and
C?
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and
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and
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and
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b) Compute P A B C , P A B , P A C and P B A .
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and StatisticshavingProbabilities and Statistics
II.2. Weand
consider
experience
1
2
6
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and
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We knowand
that
P
P
1 6 and Probabilities
P
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2and Statistics
2 and
3 Statistics
4
5
and Statistics
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and Statistics
2 3.Probabilities
We define
the following
random eventsProbabilities
AProbabilities
3 Statistics
4
5 ,
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and
B Probabilities
.
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1
3and 4Statistics
5 and C
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a)Probabilities
Events and
A Statistics
and B areProbabilities
complementary?
aboutand
BStatistics
and
and Statistics What
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and
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and
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Probabilities
and
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C?
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b) Calculate
P A CProbabilities
, P A and
B Statistics
, P B A Probabilities
C andand
P Statistics
A C .
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II.3.
Let A
B be two
random
events associated
with
a
Probabilities
and and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics such
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random experience
that PandBStatistics
A
1 Probabilities
3, P A andBStatistics
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and
P
A
B
1
3.
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and P
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a)Probabilities
Compute
A , P AProbabilities
B , P and
A Statistics
B and PProbabilities
A B and
. Statistics
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A Statistics
and B are complementary?
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and
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ible?
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II.4. Let
and B be
two random
associated
with a
Probabilities
and A
Statistics
Probabilities
and StatisticseventsProbabilities
and Statistics
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random experience such
that P A B
1 Probabilities
6, P A andBStatistics
1 6
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and Statistics
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andProbabilities
P B A
1 3.
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A
B
and
P A andBStatistics
.
a)Probabilities
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P
A
B
,
P
A
B
,
P
and Statistics
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and StatisticsA andProbabilities
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b) Events
A and B are
compatibile?
B A are
compleProbabilities and Statistics
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mentary?
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and
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and
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II.5. Let A and B be two random events such that
P AandB
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2 7,Probabilities
P A and
B Statistics
1 7 andProbabilities
P A Band Statistics
5 7.
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( n )=
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a) Calculate P (A), P (B ), P (A [ B ), P (A n B ) and P (B n A).
=
b) Events A and B are complementary? But compatible?
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.6.
Let A
B be two
random
events associated
with
a
Probabilities
and and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics such
Probabilities
random experience
that PandBStatistics
A
2 Probabilities
5, P A andBStatistics
1 5
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and
P
A
5
8.
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and P
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a)Probabilities
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B , P AProbabilities
B , P and
A Statistics
B and PProbabilities
A B and
. Statistics
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b)Probabilities
Events and
A Statistics
and B are Probabilities
complementary?
and Statistics But compatible?
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Probabilities
and
Statistics
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and
Statistics
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and Statistics
II.7. Let A and B be two random events associated
with a
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
random experience
that PandAStatistics
B
1 Probabilities
6, P A andBStatistics
5 6
Probabilities
and Statistics such
Probabilities
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
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and P B A
1 3.
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a)Probabilities
Calculate
P A , P AProbabilities
B , P and
AStatistics
B and P
A B and
. Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b)Probabilities
B and A
are
complementary?
A
and
A
B
are
compatible?
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
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Probabilities
and Statisticssuch that
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II.8. Weand
consider
experience
2
6
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We
know
that
P
1
3,
P
5
6
2 Probabilities
3
3
4 and
5 Statistics
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1 6. Define
the and
following
events
A
4
5and Statistics
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,B
C
2Probabilities
3
4 and
5 Statistics
4 Probabilities
5
6 and
1 Probabilities
4
5 . and Statistics
and Statistics
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( )=
=
( n )=
=
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( n )=
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=
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a) A and B are complementary? What about A and B .
b) Compute P A [ C , P C n B and P A B .
(
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Exercises - Probability Function
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II.9.
We consider
a random
experience
with
1
2 and Statistics
6 .
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and Statistics
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Statistics
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P
7 12, P Probabilities
3 and
2 Probabilities
4
6 and Statistics
3
5
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P
5
12.
We
define
the
following
random
events
2 and
4 Statistics
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A Probabilities
,B
and C Probabilities
1
3and 5Statistics
1Probabilities
2
4 and6 Statistics
1
6 .and Statistics
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a)Probabilities
Events and
A Statistics
şi C are complementary
to each other?
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A
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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and B sunt compatible?
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Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
b) Calculate
P A Probabilities
B C and
, PStatistics
B C , PProbabilities
C A ,andPStatistics
B A
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
B C . Probabilities and Statistics
and and
P Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.10. Consider
experience
with only
six possible
Probabilities
and Statisticsa random
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and StatisticsreProbabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
sults
s1 s2
s6 . We know that P s2 s5
1and6Statistics
and
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
2P Probabilities
s1 s4 and Statistics
P s2 s3 Probabilities
s5 s6 ; and
define
the
following
random
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
ands2Statistics
events Aand Statistics
s1 s2 s4 sProbabilities
s3 s5 s6 Probabilities
and C and Statistics
s1 s4 .
5 , B
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
a) Events
A and B are
compatible?
What Probabilities
about Aand
and
C?
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
and
b) Compute
P B Probabilities
A C ,andPStatistics
C B , PProbabilities
A B and
(f! ; ! ; ! g) = =
(f! ; ! g) = =
= f! ; ! ; ! g = f! ; ! ; ! ; ! g
= f! ; ! g
( [ ( \ )) ( ) ( n ) ( n )
( \ )
(f
= f ; ;:::; g
; g) = (f ; ; ; g)
=f ; ; ; g =f
( )
P A B .
(f
; ; ;
g
;
g) = =
=f
( [ ( \ )) ( n ) ( \ )
;
g
Exercises - Probability Function
=f
g
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.11.
Consider
a randomProbabilities
experience
having
s1 s2 and Statistics
s6 .
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
Statistics
and 2Statistics
We knowandthat
P s1 Probabilities
s3 s6 and Statistics
2 5, P sProbabilities
5 and
2 s4
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
P s2 s4ands6Statistics 3 5. Probabilities
We define
the following
random
events
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
and Statistics
A Probabilities
s5 s6 and
, BStatisticss2 s4 Probabilities
s5 s6 and
C
s1 s3Probabilities
s5 .
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statisticsto each
Probabilities
Statistics
a)Probabilities
Events and
A Statistics
and C are Probabilities
complementary
other? and
Events
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
A and B
compatible?
Probabilities
and are
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b)Probabilities
Calculate
P B C ,Probabilities
P A Cand and
P C Probabilities
A.
and Statistics
Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and StatisticsreII.12. Consider a random experience with only six possible
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
sults
s1 s2
s6 . Weandknow
s1 s2 and
s4Statistics
s5
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statisticsthat P
Probabilities
Statistics
and1Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
2P Probabilities
s3 s6 andand
P s3 sProbabilities
s
2.
Let
us
define
the
fol4 6
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
lowing
random
events AProbabilities
s1 and
s2 Statistics
s5 , B
s4 and
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
andC
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
s1 Probabilities
s2 s3ands5Statistics
s
.
and 6Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
a) Events A and B are
compatible?
What Probabilities
about Aand
and
C?
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
b) Compute
P B C
, P A andBStatistics
, P C AProbabilities
and and Statistics
(f ;
=f
(f
;
;
(f
g) = =
; ;
g) = =
g =f ; ; ; g
=f
; g)
=f
;
g)
g
; ;
( [ ) ( )
( n )
g
(f
; ;:::;
f ; ; ; ; g
(f
(f
g) = =
=f ; ; g
; ;
; ;:::;
= =
; ; ;
=f g
( [ ) ( ) ( n )
P (B \ (A [ C )).
g) =
=
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.13.
Let us
a random
sample
Probabilities
andconsider
Statistics
Probabilitiesexperience
and Statistics whose
Probabilities
andspace
Statistics
Probabilities
and
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
is
of the following
functions
can
1 Statistics
2
3
4 Probabilities
5 . What
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
be
a
probability
on
?
Why?
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
1
1
1
1
Probabilities and1Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
a) P and
P and3 Statistics P 4Probabilities
Pand 5Statistics ;
1 StatisticsP
2 Probabilities
Probabilities
3
9
3
9
9
Probabilities and 1
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
1
1
1 and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
andP
Statistics
b) P and
P
P
P
1
2
3
4
5
8
4
2 and Statistics
Probabilities and 4
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
3 and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
;
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
8
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
1
1
1
1 and Statistics3
Probabilities
c)Probabilities
P 1 and Statistics
P 2
P 3 and Statistics
P 4 Probabilities
P 5and Statistics
.
2
8
8
8 and Statistics8
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and
Statistics
II.14.
Let and
A Statistics
and B be Probabilities
two random
events associated
with
a
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
random
experience such Probabilities
that P A
B
1 4,
P A
1 3,
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
and P B
1 2. Compute P A B , P A B , P B A ,
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
andP
A
B
.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and
Statistics
II.15.
Let and
A Statistics
and B be Probabilities
two random
events associated
with
a
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
= f! ; ! ; ! ; ! ; ! g
(! ) = ; (! ) =
(! ) = ; (! ) =
(! ) =
( )=
( [ )
;
=
(! ) =
;
;
;
(! ) = ; (! ) = ; (! ) =
(! ) = ; (! ) = ; (! ) =
(! ) =
;
(! ) =
;
(! ) =
( \ )= = ( )= =
( [ ) ( n ) ( n )
(
)=
(
) = 1=6
( n A),
random experience such that P A [ B
3=4, P A \ B
şi P B
4=5. Compute the probabilities for A, A, B
( )=
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics events
Probabilities
and A
Statistics
II.16.
Let Aandand
B be two
disjointandrandom
with P
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
0 3 Probabilities
and P Band Statistics
0 5. What
is the probability
of Probabilities
the eventand Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a)Probabilities
exactly and
one
of the two
events and
occur?
Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b)Probabilities
B occurandbut
A doesn’t
?
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
c)Probabilities
both events
occur? Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.17.
Two and
senior,
s1 and Probabilities
s2 and three
juniors j1Probabilities
, j2 and jand
in
3 are
Probabilities
Statistics
and Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
andisStatistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
a chess tournament.
Any
senior
twice as likely
to win
as any
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
junior. and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a) Findandthe
chances that
a junior
wins the Probabilities
tournament.
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b) What
the probability
that
s1 or j1 wins
the tournament?
Probabilities
andis
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
:
( )=
:
( )=
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
Statistics
and Statistics
II.18.
Outand
ofStatistics
the students
in a and
class,
60 areProbabilities
geniuses,
70
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
loveProbabilities
chocolate,
and
40
fall
into
both
categories.
Determine
the
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
probability that a randomly selected student is neither a genius
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
nor a chocolate
lover. Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics signs
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
II.19.
US and
president
in to and
law
a resolution
onlyandifStatistics
this
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
resolution
Congress
and Senate.
60 andof
all
Probabilitiesisandvoted
Statisticsin both
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
andpass
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
Statistics
resolution
the Congress,
70and Statistics
pass the Senate,
andand80
pass
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
at least of
one of the Probabilities
two chambers.
the probability
Probabilities
and Statistics
and StatisticsCompute
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
that
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a) a certain
resolution
comes and
to Statistics
president, Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b)Probabilities
a certain
resolution
passes
exactly one ofProbabilities
the
twoand
chambers.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
%
%
%
%
%
%
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.20.
A student
has toProbabilities
choose and
two
between Probabilities
three faculative
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics Maths,
Probabilities
and StatisticsHe chooses
Probabilities
and Statistics
courses: and
French,
and History.
History
with
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
probability
5
8,
French
with
probability
5
8,
and
chooses
both
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities and1Statistics
and Statistics
History
and and
French
with probability
4. What isProbabilities
the probability
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
thatProbabilities
he willandchoose
Butandthe
probability
that and
heStatistics
will
Statistics Maths?
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
choose History
or French?
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.21. Three
horses compete
in Statistics
arace: H1Probabilities
, H2 , and
3 . H1
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and
and H
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
has twice the chances to win compared to H2 , and H2 twiceStatistics
the
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
chances
to
win
compared
to
H
.
3
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a)Probabilities
What are
the
probabilities
of
winning
of
the
three horses?
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and is
Statistics
Probabilitiesthat
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
b) What
the probability
the first or
the second
horse
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
doesn’t
win?
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.22. Let A and B beProbabilities
two random
events. Show
that
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
and Statistics
a)Probabilities
P A B
1 P AProbabilities
P Band Statistics
P A B Probabilities
;
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
=
=
=
( \ )=
( ) ( )+ ( \ )
b) P (A [ B ) = P (A n B ) + P (A \ B ) + P (B n A);
c) P (AB ) = P (A) 2P (A \ B ) + P (B ).
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.23.
Prove
the following
identities
(A, B , and
C are
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and three
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
random
events)
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
B
1; and Statistics
a)Probabilities
P A B
P A BProbabilities
B and
AStatistics
P A Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
b)Probabilities
P A B
P A
P A B
1;
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
c) P Aand Statistics
B C
P
A
PandAStatistics
B
P Probabilities
A B and
CStatistics
1;
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and
A B
PProbabilities
A P Band. Statistics
d) P Aand Statistics
B
P A Probabilities
P B
P Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and A
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.24. Let
1 , A2 şi A3 be three random events.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and the
Statistics
Probabilities
andholds
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a)Probabilities
When
following
relation
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
P A1 and
A2Statistics
A3
PProbabilities
A1 A2and Statistics
P A1 A3 Probabilities
P A1 and
A2Statistics
A3
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b) Show
if A Probabilities
B C and Statistics
, then
Probabilities
andthat,
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
(
(
(
(
\
\
\
\
) + [( n ) [ ( n )] + ( \ ) =
)+ ( )+ ( \ )=
\ )+ ( )+ ( \ )+ ( \ \ )=
) ( ) ( )= ( \ ) ( ) ( )
( \( [ )) = ( \ )+ ( \ )+ ( \ \ )?
\ \ =?
P [(A[B )\(B [C )\(C [A)] = P (A\B )+P (B \C )+P (C \A):
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.25*.
Two students X Probabilities
and Y follow
a courseProbabilities
for which
one
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
and Statistics
could getandone
of the three
grades:
A, B or Probabilities
C. The probability
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
that X gets
B is 0 3; the
probability
that Y Probabilities
gets B isand0Statistics
4. The
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
probability that neither get A but at least one gets B 0 1. What
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
is the
probability
that at Probabilities
least oneand
gets
B but none
of them
gets
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
C?
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.26*. In
a box thereProbabilities
are ten and
balls
numbered
from 1andtoStatistics
10; we
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
and Statistics
Statistics
and Statistics
randomly
select
two balls Probabilities
from theand
box.
What isProbabilities
the probability
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
thatProbabilities
the sum
the numbers
on the
if
andof
Statistics
Probabilities
and balls
Statisticsis oddProbabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a)Probabilities
the twoand
balls
are simultaneously
selected? Probabilities and Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b)Probabilities
the twoand
balls
are selected
one and
byStatistics
one without
removing?
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
c)Probabilities
the twoand
balls
are selected
one and
byStatistics
one and removed?
Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
:
:
:
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.27*.
For a biased die Probabilities
the probability
of occurrence
of a face
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
andon
Statistics
Statistics
is proportional
with the
number
that face.Probabilities
We tossandthe
die.
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
andis
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
a) What
the probability
that
we get an even
number?
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
andis
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
b) What
the probability
that
we get a prime
number?
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
andthe
Statistics
II.28. Aand
dieStatistics
is weighted
so thatand
the
even numbers
have
same
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
chance ofandappearing,
the
odd numbers
the sameandchance
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statisticshave Probabilities
Statistics of
Probabilitiesand
and Statistics
Statisticsas likely
Probabilities
and Statistics
appearing,
each even Probabilities
number and
is twice
to appear
as
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
anyProbabilities
odd number.
Find the
probability
that
and Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a)Probabilities
a primeandnumber
Statistics appears;
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b)Probabilities
an evenand
number
Statistics appears;
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
c)Probabilities
an odd and
prime
numberProbabilities
appears.
Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
II.29.
A six-sided
die is Probabilities
loaded inanda Statistics
way that each
evenandface
is
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Probabilities
Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
twice as and
likely
as each Probabilities
odd face.andAll
even faces
are equally
likely,
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
as
are
all
odd
faces.
Find
the
probability
that
the
outcome
is
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a)Probabilities
an odd and
number;
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
b)Probabilities
less than
and4;
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
c)Probabilities
an evenand
prime
number.
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and times;
Statistics which
Probabilities
andlikely:
Statistics a
II.30. A fair die is rolled
three
is more
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
sum of 11
a sum of Probabilities
12? (de and
Méré
to his friend
Pascal.)
Probabilities
andor
Statistics
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
Probabilities
Probabilities
Probabilities
II.31*.
If PandAStatistics0 9 andP
B and0Statistics
8, show that
P A andBStatistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
0 7.Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
a)Probabilities
Prove that
P A B Probabilities
P A and Statistics
P B
1. Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and
Statistics
Probabilities
and Statistics
b) Prove by induction the Bonferroni inequality: given
n ranProbabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
dom
events
A
A
A
we
have
2Probabilities
n and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics 1
Probabilities and Statistics
!
Probabilities and Statistics \
and
Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
n Probabilities
n
X
Probabilities and Statistics
and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Ai
P Ai
n 1
P Probabilities
i 1
i 1
:
( )=
( )=
:
( \ )>
:
( \ )> ( )+ ( )
;
;:::
=
>
=
( )
+
:
Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Exercises - Probability Function
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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Bibliography
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
Probabilities and Statistics
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Probabilities and Statistics
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