RESEARCH OFFICE VACANCY REPORT OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Contributors SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 1 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Key Findings As at Q2 2016, the national office vacancy rate as recorded by SAPOA was 10.5% - 40bps down from the quarter before. In square meters terms, an aggregate of 143k sqm was let during the past quarter while 75k sqm of stock was added to the survey sample- a positive net absorption of around 68k sqm. The latest quarter also saw asking rentals continue its above inflation trend by posting a year-on-year growth of 9.1% - up from 8.6% in the quarter before. The rise, however, is more a product of supply side dynamics than it is demand-driven. Current asking rentals are based on a better quality sample than a year ago with several prime office developments having come on line in the last year. Recent data suggests that the fundamentals underlying the office sector recovery are becoming increasingly fragile. The latest economic growth and employment data suggests a stagnant, flat growth environment. The latest business confidence number declined to 32 (from an already pessimistic 36) implying an overall negative sentiment among business executives which is likely to see industry decision makers maintaining an increasingly selective approach to capital allocation. Business & Financial services capital investment – a leading indicator of office vacancy rate – declined by more than 7% y/y to March implying that office vacancy rates could deteriorate first before improving. The latest quarter saw a 1.1% improvement in the level of A-grade vacancy rate while the Prime and B-grade vacancy rate softened slightly. Important to note though is that the improvement in vacancy rate wasn’t broad-based as 17 of the 53 nodes surveyed actually saw occupancy rates slide (many by 1%+ q/q). On a municipal level, the lowest office vacancy rate at quarter end was recorded for the City of Cape Town with 7.8% - 70bps up from the quarter before. Inner city office vacancy rates remain high and at almost double the level of city decentralised nodes – a similar situation as the previous two cycles when vacancies were nearing peak levels. During the quarter ending June 2016, the Sandton node had the largest positive impact by recording an improvement of 1.2% thereby contributing around 10bps to the overall decline. Other notable contributors to the overall improvement was Randburg, the Joburg CBD, Umhlanga & Fourways. Development activity continues to be concentrated with 85% of office development taking place in 10 nodes with Gauteng office nodes dominating the rankings table. Sandton continues to account for the bulk of development activity. The office sector is still firmly entrenched in its recovery phase- which is however, becoming increasingly fragile as a result of the sectors macro drivers. SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 2 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Latest Headline Results & Economic Drivers As at Q2 2016, the national office vacancy rate as recorded by SAPOA was 10.5% - 40bps down from the quarter before. In square meters terms, an aggregate of 143k sqm was let during the past quarter while 75k sqm of stock was added to the survey sample- a positive net absorption of around 68k sqm. The latest quarter also saw asking rentals continue its above inflation trend by posting a year-on-year growth of 9.1% - up from 8.6% in the quarter before. The rise, however, is more a product of supply side dynamics than it is demanddriven. Current asking rentals are based on a better quality sample than a year ago with several prime office developments having come on line in the last year. The latest uptick in rental growth needs to be put in context though. On an inflation-adjusted basis, office rentals are down more than 10% over the past 5 years having grown at only half the rate of inflation recorded over this period. LONG TERM TREND - VACANCY RATE & ASKING RENTAL GROWTH SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 3 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Latest Headline Results & Economic Drivers Despite the 40bp decline recorded for the last quarter, the sideways trend observed since 2011 remain in tact– ever since vacancies increased to 9.8% post the recession of 2009. The second quarter of 2015 saw a promising 60bp improvement - the largest quarter-on-quarter decline since 2008- but even then there still wasn’t a clear downward trend with more than half of office nodes surveyed reporting deteriorating vacancy rates compared to the quarter before. VACANCY RATE - QUARTER ON QUARTER SHIFT (BPS) & NET ABSORPTION (SQM) SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 4 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Latest Headline Results & Economic Drivers Recent data suggests that the fundamentals underlying the office sector recovery are becoming increasingly fragile. The latest economic growth and employment data suggests a stagnant, flat growth environment while business confidence and capital investment slumped worryingly in their latest reporting periods. The latest business confidence number declined to 32 (from an already pessimistic 36) implying an overall negative sentiment among business executives which is likely to see industry decision makers maintaining an increasingly selective approach to capital allocation – especially expansionary. Business & Financial services capital investment – a leading indicator of office vacancy rate – declined by more than 7% y/y to March implying that office vacancy rates could deteriorate first before improving. As noted in previous reports, the current cycle remains similar in many ways to the period 2000/01 when both office sector and macroeconomic fundamentals were at a similar crossroads. External factors weighed on the South African economy (much like today) leading to the office vacancy rate eventually peaking more than 2 years later in 2003. A sustained improvement in the office vacancy rate relies on a strengthening of these macroeconomic drivers so in summary, the office sector still faces a range of headwinds not least of which is economic growth and job creation. ECONOMIC DRIVERS - OFFICE SECTOR: 1990 - PRESENT SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 5 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Latest Headline Results & Economic Drivers The graphic below illustrates the relationship between business capital investment and the office vacancy rate. Historically, this measure has led office vacancy cycle by 10-14 quarters. Given the recent slump in the Business & financial services capital investment measure, this could mean that vacancy rates could deteriorate before getting better. The previous economic cycle saw a strong recovery in capital investment (period ’04-’07) – driven by robust GDP growth while the current GDP growth forecast suggests a more moderate upturn in economic growth – in fact forecasts from the SARB, ratings agencies and the World Bank have recently been adjusted downwards. That said, the current cycle is likely to see a more muted level of capital investment implying a shallower, more protracted, bumpier office vacancy recovery this time around relative to the 2004-2008 cycle which was driven by a real GDP growth of above 3.5%. CAPITAL INVESTMENT - FINANCIAL & BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR VACANCY RATE ON RIGHT HAND AXIS (REVERSED) SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 6 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Office Vacancy & Rental Growth By Grade The latest quarter saw a 1.1% improvement in the level of A-grade vacancy rate while the Prime and B-grade vacancy rate softened slightly. At 4.9%, the prime office vacancy rate is still high in historical terms having increased from below 2% since the end of 2013. The vacancy rate of secondary offices – while still high – have improved significantly over the past 2-3 years. In some nodes this is due to offices being converted to residential units while in others evidence suggests that tenants may be trading down the quality curve as business confidence remain at level below 50. Important to note though is that the improvement in vacancy rate wasn’t broad-based as 17 of the 53 nodes surveyed actually saw occupancy rates slide (many by 1%+ q/q). This underlines the importance of nodal selection for property fund and asset managers in the current market with location playing a similarly important role as office quality and other characteristics such as floorplate size & accessibility. VACANCY RATE JUNE 2016 WEIGHTED CONTRIBUTION TO VACANCY RATE SHIFT JUNE 2016 VACANCY RATE TREND 1990/03/01 TO 2016/06/01 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 7 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Office Vacancy & Rental Growth By Grade On a municipal level, the lowest office vacancy rate at quarter end was recorded for the City of Cape Town with 7.8% 70bps up from the quarter before. While the City of Cape town’s office occupancy rate as a whole was up 60bps there was significant movement in the underlying nodes and grades. The Waterfront saw a weakening of 4.1% while Century City and Pinelands saw vacancy rates recede by 2.7% and 2.2% respectively. The two largest markets – the CBD & Bellville – offset this to a degree. The City of Cape Town was the only metro office market to record a declining office occupancy rate. Nelson Mandela Bay, a relatively small market, saw the largest improvement (-1.7%). On a weighted basis, the City of Johannesburg contributed the most to the overall improvement with a 70bp strengthening contributing 40bps to the aggregate change. Tshwane & EThekwini recorded positive shifts of 60 & 20bps respectively – a combined weighted contribution of around 10bps to the overall move. VACANCY RATE JUNE 2016 WEIGHTED CONTRIBUTION TO VACANCY RATE SHIFT JUNE 2016 VACANCY RATE TREND 1990/03/01 TO 2016/06/01 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 8 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Office Vacancy & Rental Growth By Location – Cbd Vs. Decentralised Inner city office vacancy rates remain high and at almost double the level of city decentralised nodes – a similar situation as the previous two cycles when vacancies were nearing peak levels. In saying that, inner city vacancies are currently lower than it was in 2003 as a result of structural change brought about by the conversion of CBD offices to residential space. During the quarter ending June 2016, the national inner city office vacancy rate was down 30bps to 15.0% while the country’s city decentralized nodes posted an aggregate vacancy rate of 9.0% - 40bps down from the previous quarter. The current level of inner city office vacancies is largely driven by the CBD of Johannesburg where the aggregate vacancy rate ended the quarter at 20.6%. The Pretoria CBD recorded the largest improvement among the inner city office markets with a 60bp improvement. The largest contributors to the improvement in the City Decentralised vacancy rate was Sandton, Randburg, Umhlanga, Fourways & Parktown which recorded a combined decline of 3.0% and contributed 25% of the overall sector improvement. CURRENT OFFICE VACANCY RATE JUNE 2016 WEIGHTED CONTRIBUTION TO VACANCY RATE SHIFT JUNE 2016 VACANCY RATE TREND 1990/03/01 TO 2016/06/01 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 9 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Which Nodes Drove The Change In Vacancy? On a nodal level, there is significant variance – both in terms of absolute vacancy rate and the direction of their recent trends up or down. The graphic below illustrates the top 5 nodes in terms of positive & negative impact on the overall vacancy rate. During the quarter ending June 2016, the Sandton node had the largest positive impact by recording an improvement of 1.2% thereby contributing around 10bps to the overall decline. Other notable contributors to the overall improvement was Randburg, the Joburg CBD, Umhlanga & Fourways. All other nodes had a combined contribution of 20bps to the overall decline in vacancy rate. Century City & Pinelands had the largest negative impact on the overall office vacancy rate with upward shifts of 2.7% and 2.2% respectively contributing a combined 15bps to the shift in the national figure. WEIGHTED CONTRIBUTION TO VACANCY RATE SHIFT BY NODE SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 10 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Office Development Activity Several large office developments came onto the market in the past 2 quarters which saw aggregate development come off slightly. Another reason for the decline is that some development schemes are scaling down speculative building activity and opting to only complete phases which are pre-let. At the end of the current quarter, developments under construction totalled 825k sqm. Expressed as a percentage of existing market stock, development activity is currently at 4.7% -off the highs of 2007-’08 but still on the high side given the absence of growth drivers on a national level. The overall pre-let rate of developments has softened recently following a slight improvement in the previous quarter. As at the end of Q2, the national pre-let rate of developments where ground has been broken was recorded at 62.2%. The construction time of some large projects recently breaking ground did have an impact on this but a decline in the pre-let rate could weigh on rental growth given that new developments will compete with completed stock for tenants. OFFICE DEVELOPMENT TREND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY & PRE-LET RATE (1993 - CURRENT) SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 11 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Office Development Activity Development activity continues to be concentrated with 85% of office development taking place in 10 nodes with Gauteng office nodes dominating the rankings table. Sandton continues to account for the bulk of development activity and as at quarter end constitutes 42% of national office development. This is actually down on the recent high of 46% as development activity in other nodes pick up. The rapidly growing Waterfall node and Rosebank round out the top 3 with several large scale developments in progress. On a regional level, Gauteng accounts for more than 75% of current office developments by GLA in the nodes forming part of the SAPOA OVS. OFFICE DEVELOPMENT UNDER CONSTRUCTION SQUARE METERS; 1990/03/01 TO 2016/06/01 DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY BY NODE; JUNE 2016 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 12 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Development – Focus On Sandton Given that Sandton accounts for more than 40% of current office development it is worth having a closer look at the node. The graphic below plots the current office developments in the node according to estimated completion date and maps them spatially for added context. The graphic emphasises the size of the current developments underway in Sandton relative to other developments nationally. The spatial map underlines just how important the Gautrain was as a catalyst for real estate development as all 6 current major developments are within 700m of the Sandton station. The majority of these developments are single tenanted corporate head offices which talks to another risk, back fill vacancies as a result of corporate real estate consolidation. Once these developments are complete and tenanted, several currently occupied premises (in some cases concentrated in one node) will be vacated & would need to be re-let in a challenging macroeconomic environment. OFFICE DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE CURRENTLY UNDER CONSTRUCTION; SANDTON HIGHLIGHTED DEVELOPMENT LOCATION MAP SANDTON OFFICE DEVELOPMENT SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 13 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Which Nodes Could Come Under Pressure? Given the level of development activity that remains high relative to the historical trend it’s important to form a view of demand alongside the supply picture. While some nodes may have a high level of development relative to others - these might be mostly pre-let which would not impact as negatively on rentals. The graphic below breaks down the top & bottom 5 nodes based on their current total vacancy rate and level of development activity to establish an indicator of short to medium term pressure on rental growth. As an example, the fast growing Waterfall node is currently deemed to be higher on the pressure index than the Sandton node based on these measures. This factor will change over time (especially in the case of large, multi-year projects) as more development space is completed and a higher proportion is pre-let before it comes onto market. On a national level, the pressure index is currently at .40 – down from a recent high in 2013 of .69 but far off the lows of .06 experienced before the recession and global financial crisis. On the other side of the pressure spectrum are mature, popular nodes such as Melrose, Arcadia, Bellville, Pinelands and Rondebosch/Newlands. These nodes are generally mature, popular offices nodes with low vacancy rates and limited opportunities for greenfield developments which should underpin short term rental growth. NODES UNDER PRESSURE? PRESSURE FACTOR - TOP 5 & BOTTOM 5 BASED ON VACANCY RATE, UNIET DEVELOPMENTS & DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY PRESSURE FACTOR A FUNCTION OF TOTAL VACANCY & DEVELOPMENT SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 14 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Which Nodes Could Come Under Pressure? Further analysis of the total vacancy rate on a nodal level reveals that several nodes currently have a fairly wide spread between their ‘total’ vacancy rate (incl. un-let developments) and the vacancy rate on completed/existing property. Speculative developments pose a downside risk to rental growth if unlet and a failure to do so might see the node’s vacancy rate converge on the current ‘total vacancy rate’. In the case of Randburg, unlet new developments currently hold a potential downside risk of 8.4% impact on vacancy rate as the vacancy rate of completed property is 9.5% but including unlet developments in this figure ups it to around 18%%. As mentioned in prior reports, Rosebank is also potentially subject to some backfill risk with the upcoming move of Sasol from several buildings in the node to its new head office in Sandton. NODES WHERE SPECULATIVE DEVELOPMENT POSE SHORT TERM RISK TOTAL VACANCY RATE INCLUDES COMPLETED PROPERTY & DEVELOPMENT UNDER CONSTRUCTION SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 15 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Where Are We In The Office Property Cycle? The office sector is still firmly entrenched in its recovery phase- which is however, becoming increasingly fragile as a result of the sectors macro drivers. But given the recent up & down trend in vacancy rates & stabilisation of rental levels across most office grades it would be fair to say the recovery remains on track or now. However, the future trend depends largely on the strength of growth drivers- most notably financial & business services employment growth & capital investment. An absence thereof could see the sector’s momentum stagnate leading to a deterioration in vacancy rate, pressure on rentals & worst case scenario drop back into recession. Capital investment into financial & business services have declined sharply in the quarter to June following an encouraging improvement in quarters prior. This brings into doubt the strength of the recovery in vacancy rates and may see . As far as development activity & the total vacancy rate (incl. new developments) are concerned, the office sector is currently mid-way relative to historical levels on both these measures. Ideally, the next move should be towards ‘2006’ or ‘2008’ on the graphic below– i.e. a situation where demand exceeds a healthy level of supply. 2016 IN CONTEXT MIDDLE OF THE ROAD SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 16 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Gross Asking Rentals (R/(m2) Previous Months Total Rentable Area (m2) Area Available for leasing (m2) Vacancy Rate (%) 3% 6% 9% MIN MAX MED 100 75 75 135 100 95 106 93 90 85 59 80 90 85 80 87 80 80 Total Rentable Area (m2) Area Available for leasing (m2) Gross Asking Rent CITY OF JOHANNESBURG BEDFORDVIEW A B C Total 157 63 16 237 010 994 774 778 BRAAMFONTEIN A B C Total BRUMA A B C Total 3 9 5 18 441 145 829 415 2,2% 14,3% 34,8% 3,9% 11,8% 33,0% 6,4% 10,6% 9,6% 4,2% 11,4% 32,1% 7,7% 9,4% 7,9% 8,4% 209 142 98 451 821 838 516 175 14 14 2 31 363 670 642 675 6,8% 10,3% 2,7% 7,2% 10,5% 2,7% 8,7% 9,9% 2,7% 13,0% 4,4% 2,7% 7,0% 7,3% 7,8% 8,2% 49 39 2 90 089 179 460 728 5 4 1 11 693 379 875 947 11,6% 11,2% 76,2% 3,3% 14,1% 76,2% 6,6% 9,6% 76,2% 3,3% 16,2% 81,6% 13,2% 10,0% 10,4% 13,7% 18 29 1 50 776 316 574 956 622 5,5% 6,2% 10,4% 16,6% 5,5% 7,0% 10,7% 14,1% 1,7% 5,2% 9,6% 14,1% 6,1% 7,1% 8,4% 8,8% 7,2% 6,2% 27 225 141 394 843 715 209 767 5,0% 23,8% 34,6% 8,8% 23,7% 33,5% 8,8% 22,9% 34,9% 6,8% 24,0% 34,7% 20,6% 21,0% 20,9% 20,8% 4,7% 11,9% 4,6% 6,1% 4,7% 6,7% 5,0% 8,3% 5,1% 4,7% 4,8% 5,2% 0,0% 18,5% 17,3% 0,0% 19,3% 18,8% 0,0% 8,4% 37,1% 0,0% 9,5% 17,9% 10,1% 10,7% 10,1% 6,6% BRYANSTON/EPSOM DOWNS P A B C Total 14 295 283 11 604 011 325 562 806 704 CBD JOHANNESBURG A B C 559 415 948 294 407 591 Total 1 915 300 CONSTANTIA KLOOF A B Total 314 188 21 743 335 931 14 664 2 587 17 251 CRESTA/BLACKHEATH/RANDPARK P A B Total 75 54 42 171 000 110 035 145 10 033 7 272 17 305 000 148 244 392 17 676 100 17 776 0,0% 10,5% 1,4% 0,0% 14,7% 0,0% 0,0% 15,4% 0,0% 0,0% 12,7% 0,0% 8,8% 11,9% 12,4% 10,3% 16 400 60 191 76 591 6 548 6 548 0,0% 10,9% 11,7% 67,1% 16,2% 67,1% 10,1% 8,5% 11,7% 29,9% 26,3% FOURWAYS P A B Total 25 169 7 201 GREENSTONE P A Total HOUGHTON/KILLARNEY A Total 111 035 111 035 11 149 11 149 10,0% 10,2% 10,5% 9,2% 10,0% 10,2% 10,5% 9,0% 28 000 75 75 75 120 110 75 90 80 75 155 110 90 90 155 195 153 95 155 145 115 90 110 54 25 110 100 80 110 75 50 90 75 135 95 118 95 105 59 125 131 115 90 95 150 188 150 112 150 110 152 144 94 182 128 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 28 200 16 000 171 6 160 6 160 165 6 103 1 458 180 17 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 HYDE PARK/DUNKELD A B Total Illovo P A B Total 40 867 74 533 115 400 22 172 27 222 600 802 164 566 MELROSE/WAVERLEY P A B C Total 116 39 16 3 175 MIDRAND P A B C Total MILPARK A B C Total 000 338 697 500 535 RIVONIA A B C Total 8,9% 12,8% 11,7% 10,2% 16,4% 6,0% 16,9% 16,1% 6,1% 1,4% 8,4% 8,0% 14,0% 7,1% 9,5% 14,5% 15,0% 7,9% 7,9% 1,6% 2,8% 0,0% 5,3% 1,5% 3,0% 0,0% 5,3% 4,1% 2,9% 1,2% 7,1% 4,3% 2,1% 1,2% 1,3% 1,8% 1,8% 3,6% 3,5% 0,0% 8,1% 8,8% 50,6% 0,6% 11,7% 10,1% 0,0% 2,9% 10,3% 10,4% 0,0% 8,8% 9,3% 8,0% 8,2% 27 178 18 224 900 926 012 838 15 482 4 276 19 758 0,0% 8,7% 23,7% 0,0% 7,9% 23,7% 0,0% 4,5% 0,0% 0,0% 2,2% 0,0% 8,8% 8,2% 3,5% 1,7% 70 169 16 200 86 369 15 312 15 312 21,8% 0,0% 20,7% 0,0% 24,3% 0,0% 19,9% 19,1% 17,7% 16,9% 19,5% 19,8% 0,0% 3,4% 29,9% 0,0% 0,0% 3,4% 32,4% 0,0% 0,0% 39,1% 0,0% 0,0% 39,1% 0,0% 14,4% 14,9% 20,0% 20,0% 2,4% 8,5% 2,1% 2,0% 11,3% 2,1% 2,0% 7,1% 3,5% 2,1% 7,5% 4,2% 6,2% 7,8% 5,3% 5,6% 30 61 77 6 175 000 859 700 300 859 2 100 23 256 25 356 791 265 970 026 2 837 18 921 378 22 136 32 54 345 22 454 000 667 769 400 836 553 37 876 4 690 43 119 0,0% 1,0% 11,0% 20,9% 0,0% 0,3% 15,0% 25,7% 0,0% 1,0% 9,9% 25,7% 0,0% 1,0% 10,1% 25,7% 9,5% 12,5% 8,9% 9,1% 10 251 5 267 500 447 834 781 367 42 986 43 353 3,5% 17,1% 0,0% 3,5% 17,1% 0,3% 14,3% 20,9% 0,3% 15,6% 20,6% 0,0% 16,2% 16,2% 18,1% 18,5% 116 223 17 358 RANDBURG Total 7,1% 0,0% 7,0% 8,9% 52,1% PARKTOWN P A B C 25,1% 4,3% 670 057 793 520 NEWTOWN Total 1 881 1 119 186 3 186 20,4% 8,6% 28 25 9 63 Total A B C 300 279 639 218 10,9% 7,8% 876 931 970 785 562 A B Total 2 28 1 32 12,4% 4,1% 12 407 282 18 722 MORNINGSIDE P A B C 5 074 3 083 8 157 119 130 130 165 130 130 210 140 115 240 230 165 225 160 150 225 130 225 250 225 166 80 80 80 75 55 70 149 142 70 100 80 70 75 110 82 65 130 115 85 95 95 92 82 90 135 125 90 123 100 90 85 55 45 130 73 85 100 65 130 120 17 000 14 500 164 6 680 6 680 146 48 500 47 000 110 85 75 55 130 95 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 18 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 ROSEBANK P A B C Total 67 137 165 13 384 SANDTON P A B 565 767 223 Total 1 556 000 501 923 582 006 571 912 391 874 SUNNINGHILL A B Total 224 761 126 849 351 610 WATERFALL P A 23 139 51 435 74 574 Total WOODMEAD A B Total 347 599 59 124 406 724 0,0% 6,3% 10,4% 1,2% 0,0% 8,7% 6,7% 3,4% 0,0% 10,3% 7,9% 7,9% 0,0% 13,3% 7,0% 6,6% 6,8% 6,1% 7,4% 8,0% 5,1% 15,8% 7,1% 4,6% 18,3% 7,1% 4,1% 17,0% 7,4% 4,4% 15,0% 6,9% 10,7% 11,9% 11,1% 10,1% 24 190 24 190 10,8% 0,0% 10,8% 0,0% 9,4% 0,0% 9,3% 0,0% 6,9% 6,9% 6,1% 6,0% 6 800 6 800 0,0% 13,2% 9,6% 10,4% 2,0% 9,1% 9,6% 10,4% 2,0% 27 513 28 396 55 909 7,9% 48,0% 13,1% 17,1% 12,9% 26,0% 7,6% 28,4% 13,7% 13,3% 13,4% 8,5% 8 664 17 213 168 26 045 28 121 15 165 818 118 971 907 116 110 145 161 95 75 75 100 171 171 250 200 145 220 208 175 125 100 171 171 160 128 145 56 294 25 894 230 346 000 57 500 220 23 191 23 191 108 61 027 14 452 171 6 000 500 18 000 9 000 3 000 3 000 192 145 100 85 100 171 171 90 75 155 130 124 103 98 85 45 150 100 70 120 90 61 150 110 45 180 160 95 170 123 70 CITY OF CAPE TOWN BELLVILLE A B C Total 369 162 21 553 CLAREMONT A B C Total 62 46 9 118 797 441 618 856 9 13 4 27 547 761 678 986 2,6% 8,5% 21,6% 2,5% 8,4% 22,1% 3,1% 7,7% 22,1% 4,8% 10,2% 22,4% 5,1% 5,0% 5,2% 7,1% 636 586 679 901 4 1 1 7 673 379 502 554 7,5% 3,0% 15,5% 5,5% 4,8% 11,4% 1,5% 4,6% 11,9% 1,4% 8,0% 14,4% 6,4% 5,7% 3,8% 5,6% 10 34 49 12 106 200 507 410 732 849 19,6% 9,5% 9,7% 11,1% 21,2% 11,4% 8,6% 11,6% 25,0% 9,1% 7,3% 16,4% 30,8% 9,4% 9,3% 18,3% 10,3% 10,6% 10,0% 11,7% 4,5% 4,5% 4,7% 3,4% 4,1% 3,8% 4,7% 6,0% 4,5% 4,3% 4,0% 5,1% 125 793 861 779 15,3% 7,6% 14,8% 3,9% 6,3% 12,9% 11,6% 5,0% 15,7% 52,0% 5,2% 18,1% 9,5% 6,9% 7,1% 12,2% 1 735 7 196 8 931 0,9% 21,0% 0,8% 6,0% 1,5% 16,4% 1,7% 9,0% 3,8% 1,6% 3,8% 2,8% CBD CAPE TOWN P A B C 52 361 509 114 Total 1 037 000 883 362 710 955 RONDEBOSCH/NEWLANDS A B 71 654 28 077 99 731 Total CENTURY CITY P A B Total 46 247 39 333 PINELANDS A B Total 480 576 563 619 200 975 34 241 235 216 3 209 1 255 4 464 7 18 5 31 185 95 80 50 185 188 140 120 185 130 100 70 138 110 175 135 168 123 155 130 110 175 165 120 165 135 110 110 95 145 120 130 100 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 19 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 WATERFRONT P A B 18 69 6 93 Total 000 555 298 853 0,0% 8,7% 0,0% 0,0% 3,2% 0,0% 0,0% 5,7% 0,0% 0,0% 5,1% 0,0% 6,4% 2,4% 4,2% 3,7% 0,0% 9,0% 5,7% 8,0% 0,0% 9,0% 5,7% 9,1% 0,0% 13,1% 2,9% 7,1% 0,0% 13,7% 5,8% 7,7% 7,4% 7,8% 8,5% 9,1% 7,6% 19,8% 15,4% 3,4% 16,2% 15,4% 3,5% 16,2% 15,4% 4,5% 16,2% 15,4% 12,7% 9,5% 9,6% 10,0% 16,6% 8,7% 14,7% 16,0% 7,2% 15,4% 16,6% 10,2% 16,1% 15,2% 10,2% 15,1% 13,9% 13,4% 14,7% 13,9% 41,9% 1,3% 3,7% 14,0% 24,3% 4,3% 4,3% 0,0% 6,3% 4,0% 4,6% 0,0% 4,6% 1,4% 5,3% 0,0% 10,1% 7,9% 4,4% 2,8% 293 702 326 321 10,1% 5,8% 8,2% 13,6% 8,6% 5,1% 27,1% 8,7% 4,7% 37,6% 5,7% 6,1% 6,3% 8,6% 9,5% 7,6% 5 735 8 616 14 351 8,5% 6,1% 14,0% 4,9% 12,6% 4,9% 8,0% 6,1% 6,9% 7,9% 7,1% 6,6% 3,6% 10,5% 1,1% 8,1% 10,5% 1,1% 4,9% 11,6% 1,0% 4,9% 11,8% 1,5% 5,0% 6,7% 5,6% 5,9% 6 032 6 032 170 185 175 26 000 1 930 235 6 617 145 eTHEKWINI MUNICIPALITY BALLITO P A B C 3 20 7 14 46 632 640 496 411 179 55 33 17 106 621 303 653 577 4 6 2 13 234 588 713 535 203 437 605 245 30 13 50 94 896 186 622 704 Total BEREA A B C Total CBD DURBAN A B C Total 186 151 344 682 HILLCREST/GILLITS P A B C 6 18 6 1 32 Total 267 748 402 446 863 UMHLANGA/LA LUCIA P A B Total 22 270 28 321 658 198 386 242 WESTVILLE A B Total 67 847 141 562 209 409 1 851 430 1 149 3 430 2 628 252 237 202 3 319 2 15 2 20 100 60 53 190 70 100 125 60 60 90 75 65 125 160 95 110 100 88 65 50 35 109 85 75 75 75 55 118 95 85 150 130 130 100 150 120 113 93 150 5 840 164 90 100 164 165 130 164 130 118 42 694 90 85 140 130 130 110 4 000 CITY OF TSHWANE ARCADIA A B C Total 125 111 110 347 570 310 610 490 4 11 1 17 487 730 189 406 BROOKLYN/NIEUW MUCKLENEUK/GROENKLOOF/WATERKLOOF A B Total 149 210 102 814 252 024 CBD PRETORIA A B C Total 134 362 210 707 580 472 300 352 5 496 8 690 14 186 1 45 7 55 789 464 833 086 3,7% 8,5% 4,0% 9,2% 3,6% 12,8% 2,2% 14,8% 5,6% 6,2% 7,5% 7,5% 1,3% 12,5% 3,7% 1,3% 13,6% 3,7% 1,3% 13,4% 4,4% 1,3% 13,1% 3,6% 7,8% 8,3% 8,4% 8,0% 150 50 70 150 95 95 150 85 83 125 85 180 170 135 120 65 60 60 65 100 95 65 80 75 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 20 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 CENTURION CBD A B 13,4% 21,4% 12,3% 21,2% 8,4% 19,8% 10,9% 20,3% 17,7% 17,1% 14,7% 16,1% 7,8% 11,5% 7,9% 12,6% 5,7% 10,9% 8,3% 9,3% 10,4% 11,3% 9,5% 9,0% 8,3% 13,1% 8,5% 13,0% 6,0% 12,1% 12,2% 11,1% 9,7% 9,9% 7,8% 11,9% 3,1% 4,6% 12,6% 0,0% 3,1% 4,6% 15,0% 0,0% 11,3% 7,3% 6,7% 0,0% 11,3% 9,5% 7,4% 0,0% 7,8% 9,0% 7,3% 8,3% 288 911 690 889 8,6% 8,7% 35,5% 9,9% 9,8% 37,0% 10,7% 8,9% 37,9% 11,5% 8,8% 70,4% 9,2% 10,5% 10,6% 11,8% 62 630 4 615 30 890 250 3 000 101 Total 96 520 4 966 PTA OTHER EASTERN SUBURBS/ ROUTE 21 A 132 382 11 659 B 185 260 21 575 C 33 810 2 072 Total 351 452 35 306 SUNNYSIDE C 72 700 1 179 Total 72 700 1 179 7,4% 0,8% 3,4% 9,9% 0,8% 11,2% 5,0% 0,9% 13,8% 5,6% 0,3% 0,0% 5,1% 7,1% 3,6% 3,3% 8,8% 11,6% 6,1% 9,5% 11,7% 6,7% 9,3% 11,3% 2,8% 11,7% 12,4% 4,0% 10,0% 10,4% 9,8% 11,3% Total 210 010 233 937 443 947 HATFIELD/HILLCREST A B Total 80 000 197 970 277 970 28 240 50 162 78 402 6 220 22 740 28 960 HIGHVELD TECHNOPARK & EXTENSIONS A B Total 422 792 164 932 587 724 35 092 21 644 56 736 LYNNWOOD/MENLO PARK/PERSEQUOR PARK/HAZELWOOD P A B C Total 44 65 111 13 235 680 861 290 800 631 1 393 3 041 14 053 18 487 MENLYN/FAERIE GLEN/ASHLEA GARDENS A B C Total 224 125 7 357 505 130 588 223 19 10 2 32 SILVER LAKES/ THE WILLOWS A B C 1,6% 1,6% 1,6% 1,9% 1,6% 1,6% 1,6% 1,9% 100 65 165 143 125 98 140 80 175 150 158 100 101 85 166 128 80 110 65 55 130 110 85 95 75 70 175 135 166 154 120 185 123 77 160 110 85 148 125 110 8 900 8 900 215 44 000 39 000 148 8 275 3 275 180 24 075 24 075 165 3 067 3 067 140 124 90 166 139 103 135 112 66 144 110 85 107 100 90 4 100 68 85 75 70 70 70 125 105 75 125 135 85 125 125 80 130 130 130 70 75 73 90 68 110 68 110 68 NELSON MANDELA BAY MUNICIPALITY CENTRAL/PARK DRIVE B 8 388 Total 8 388 GREENACRES P 4 287 A 18 474 B 48 416 C 747 Total 71 924 NEWTON PARK P 16 621 A 967 B 3 514 Total 21 102 WALMER/FAIRVIEW A 19 927 B 3 011 Total 22 938 1 485 1 485 100 403 7 316 7 819 1 600 1 307 2 907 5 395 244 5 639 17,7% 18,9% 11,7% 7,1% 17,7% 18,9% 11,7% 7,1% 2,3% 2,2% 15,1% 0,0% 2,8% 3,8% 15,4% 0,0% 0,0% 3,9% 13,9% 0,0% 0,0% 7,8% 13,9% 0,0% 10,9% 11,5% 11,5% 12,1% 9,6% 0,0% 37,2% 9,6% 0,0% 28,7% 9,6% 0,0% 28,7% 9,6% 0,0% 28,7% 13,8% 12,4% 12,4% 12,4% 27,1% 8,1% 31,0% 32,3% 32,0% 7,3% 30,6% 7,3% 24,6% 31,3% 27,0% 25,7% SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 21 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 Notes To The Sapoa Office Vacancy Area Descriptions Definitions SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 22 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 23 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 SAPOA CONTAC T DE TAILS • T: 011 883 0679 • F: 011 883 0684 Email: [email protected] • Web: www.sapoa.org.za 24 OFFICE VACANCY REPORT Q2 - June 2016 About MSCI For more than 40 years, MSCI’s research-based indexes and analytics have helped the world’s leading investors build and manage better portfolios. 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