Chapter 17 EQUITY-PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Chapter 17 Questions What are the two generic equity portfolio management styles? What are three techniques for constructing a passive index portfolio? What three generic strategies can active equity-portfolio managers use? How does the goal of a passive equityportfolio manager differ from the goal of an active manager? Chapter 17 Questions What investment styles may portfolio managers follow? In what ways can investors use information about a portfolio manager’s style? What skills should a good value portfolio manager possess? A good growth portfolio manager? Chapter 17 Questions How can futures and options be useful in managing an equity portfolio? What strategies can be used to manage a taxable investor’s portfolio in a taxefficient way? What are four asset allocation strategies? Generic Portfolio Management Strategies Passive equity portfolio management Long-term buy-and-hold strategy Usually track an index over time Designed to match market performance Manager is judged on how well they track the target index Active equity portfolio management Attempts to outperform a passive benchmark portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Attempt to replicate the performance of an index May slightly underperform the target index due to fees and commissions Strong rationale for this approach Costs of active management (1 to 2 percent) are hard to overcome in risk-adjusted performance Many different market indexes are used for tracking portfolios Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Not a simple process to track a market index closely Three basic techniques: Full replication Sampling Quadratic optimization or programming Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Full Replication All securities in the index are purchased in proportion to weights in the index This helps ensure close tracking Increases transaction costs, particularly with dividend reinvestment Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Sampling Buys representative sample of stocks in the benchmark index according to their weights in the index Fewer stocks means lower commissions Reinvestment of dividends is less difficult Will not track the index as closely, so there will be some “tracking error” Tracking error will diminish as the number of stocks grows, but costs will grow (tradeoff) Expected Tracking Error Between the S&P 500 Index and Portfolio Samples of Less Than 500 Stocks Expected Tracking Error (Percent) Exhibit 17.2 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 500 400 300 200 100 0 Number of Stocks Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Quadratic Optimization Historical information on price changes and correlations between securities are input into a computer program that determines the composition of a portfolio that will minimize tracking error with the benchmark This relies on historical correlations, which may change over time, leading to failure to track the index Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Completeness Funds Passive portfolio customized to complement active portfolios which do not cover the entire market Performance compared to a specialized benchmark that incorporates the characteristics of stocks not covered by the active managers Passive Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Dollar-cost averaging Purchasing fixed dollar investments per period over time Prevents buying too many shares at high prices and too few shares when prices are low Often part of a passively managed portfolio strategy Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Goal is to earn a portfolio return that exceeds the return of a passive benchmark portfolio, net of transaction costs, on a risk-adjusted basis Need to select an appropriate benchmark Practical difficulties of active manager Transactions costs must be offset by superior performance vis-à-vis the benchmark Higher risk-taking can also increase needed performance to beat the benchmark Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Three Strategies Market timing - shifting funds into and out of stocks, bonds, and T-bills depending on broad market forecasts and estimated risk premiums Shifting funds among different equity sectors and industries or among investment styles to catch hot concepts before the market does Stockpicking - individual issues, attempt to buy low and sell high Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Global Investing: Three Strategies Identify countries with markets undervalued or overvalued and weight the portfolio accordingly Manage the global portfolio from an industry perspective rather than from a country perspective Focus on global economic trends, industry competitive forces, and company strengths and strategies Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Sector Rotation Position a portfolio to take advantage of the market’s next move Screening can be based on various stock characteristics: Value Growth P/E Capitalization Key is to determine what to “rotate into” Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Style Investing Construct a portfolio to capture one or more of the characteristics of equity securities Small-cap stocks, low-P/E stocks, etc… Value stocks (those that appear to be underpriced according to various measures) Low Price/Book value or Price/Earnings ratios Growth stocks (above-average earnings per share increases) High P/E, possibly a price momentum strategy Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Does Style Matter? Choice to align with investment style communicates information to clients Determining style is useful in measuring performance relative to a benchmark Style identification allows an investor to fully diversify a portfolio Style investing allows control of the total portfolio to be shared between the investment managers and a sponsor Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Value versus Growth Growth investing focuses on earnings and changes in company fundamentals Value investing focuses on the pricing of stocks Over time value stocks have offered somewhat higher returns than growth stocks Active Equity Portfolio Management Strategies Expectational Analysis and Value/Growth Investing Analysts recommending stocks to a portfolio manager need to identify and monitor key assumptions and variables Value investors focus on one key set of assumptions and variables while growth investors focus on another Such an analysis can help determine timing strategy for buying/selling Asset Allocation Strategies Many portfolios containing equities also contain other asset categories, so the management factors are not limited to equities Four asset allocation strategies: Integrated asset allocation Examine capital market conditions and investor objectives and constraints Determine the allocation that best serves the investor’s needs while incorporating the capital market forecast Asset Allocation Strategies Strategic asset allocation Using historical information, generate optimal portfolio mixes based on returns, risk, and covariances, adjusting periodically to restore target allocation Tactical asset allocation Often a contrarian asset allocation strategy dependent on expectations Insured asset allocation Adjust risk exposure for changing portfolio values; more value means more ability to absorb losses Asset Allocation Strategies Selecting an allocation method depends on: Perceptions of variability in the client’s objectives and constraints Perceived relationship between the past and future capital market conditions
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