Press Release 9 February 2015 Analysing global yields World Office Yield Spectrum Savills Vietnam Co.,Ltd 18th Floor, Fideco Tower 81-85 Ham Nghi Street District 1, HCMC T: +84 8 3823 9205 savills.com.vn Hong Kong and Tokyo have the lowest office property investment yields in the world according to ground breaking research published by leading property adviser Savills. In Savills World Office Yield Spectrum, published in conjunction with Deakin University, while San Francisco and Sydney offer amongst the most attractive office investment yields in the world. Australian co-ordinator of the publication and Savills National Head of Research Tony Crabb said, ‘Globally, interest rates remain low and are anticipated to remain low for the foreseeable future. Commercial property yields in particular continue to look attractive.’ In bond markets 10 year yields closed out the year around 2 percent in the United States, 1.8 percent in the UK, 0.6 percent in Germany, 0.35 percent in Japan and 2.8 percent in Australia. When you look at the yields on offer in core office markets around the world the spread is between 2 percent and up to 4 percent. These are very attractive returns in a low growth, low inflation investment climate. According to Crabb, ‘burgeoning amounts of sovereign debt coupled with impaired budgetary positions and an ageing population demanding more from governments is likely to keep interest rates low for years to come. As the world population ages, a great deal of retirement saving can be expected to chase yield. This, when combined with low interest rates, can be expected to keep downward pressure on income returns into the foreseeable future.’ In the United States, the emerging economic recovery from the GFC, the end of Quantitative Easing and the prospect of interest rates rising see such a wide range of office investment yields. Core stabilised markets such as New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles provides returns in the mid 5% range. Move further afield to Dallas, Washington DC, Houston and San Diego and you can achieve yields in the 7% range. Savills Vietnam Savills Vietnam is the largest and most experienced real estate practice with offices in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. The company provides comprehensive property services such as: Residential Sales, Commercial Leasing, Residential Leasing, Research & Consultancy, Valuation & Feasibility Study, Banking & Corporate Services, Investment Brokerage & Advisory, Retail Consultancy & Leasing, Property & Asset Management, Tenant Advisory & Representation, Industrial Consultancy & Leasing, Marketing & Creative services. Savills Vietnam has won the Asia Pacific Property Awards 2014 for “Best Real Estate Agency in Vietnam”, “Best Lettings Agency in Vietnam” and “Best Property Consultancy in Vietnam”. Moreover, in International Property Awards scope, Savills has been awarded “Best Lettings Agency in Asia Pacific” and “Best Real Estate Agency in Asia Pacific”. The company consists of over 1,000 experienced and professional staff nationwide. Press Release Europe - characterised by France, Germany and the UK - has very stabilised core market office investment yields of between 3.5% and 4.5%. Given the extremely low interest rate environment in Europe it is hardly surprising these are the prevailing yields. In Asia, the core markets of Hong Kong and Tokyo look expensive whilst Singapore looks to provide the best value. Core market value can be found in Seoul and Singapore. Ho Chi Minh City is the highest market yield in the region with 9.71%. Manila had the second highest with a 9% market yield. Ha Noi had the third highest yield with 8.9%. Taipei has the lowest yield, 1.85%. Ho Chi Minh also has the highest effective yield, with 9.3%. Hanoi again is ranked 3rd with 8.57% yield. Market Yields Simon Smith, Senior Director, Savills Research Asia Pacific commented, “Because AsiaPacific remains challenging in yield terms, there are early indications that capital flows are reversing and more real estate capital is leaving the region than entering it. In 2014, US$22.4 billion flowed into the region while US$37.4 billion left, mostly for Europe and the U.S. Initially targeting first tier cities, this capital is now looking for opportunities in fringe Savills Vietnam Savills Vietnam is the largest and most experienced real estate practice with offices in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. The company provides comprehensive property services such as: Residential Sales, Commercial Leasing, Residential Leasing, Research & Consultancy, Valuation & Feasibility Study, Banking & Corporate Services, Investment Brokerage & Advisory, Retail Consultancy & Leasing, Property & Asset Management, Tenant Advisory & Representation, Industrial Consultancy & Leasing, Marketing & Creative services. Savills Vietnam has won the Asia Pacific Property Awards 2014 for “Best Real Estate Agency in Vietnam”, “Best Lettings Agency in Vietnam” and “Best Property Consultancy in Vietnam”. Moreover, in International Property Awards scope, Savills has been awarded “Best Lettings Agency in Asia Pacific” and “Best Real Estate Agency in Asia Pacific”. The company consists of over 1,000 experienced and professional staff nationwide. Press Release Effective Yields and second tier locations. Cap rate spreads remain healthy in some local markets and Tokyo, Osaka, Sydney and Melbourne continue to attract significant investor demand. Most notable has been a decline in the appeal of China where yields remain heavily compressed, overbuild is evident in many markets and economic growth has failed to match expectations.” -endsFor enquiries, please contact: Vo Ngoc Thao (Ms.) Corporate Communications Manager (HCMC) Savills Vietnam Co., Ltd Dinh Huong Linh (Ms.) Corporate Communications Manager (HN) Savills Vietnam Co., Ltd T:+84 8 3823 9205 Ext:153 F:+84 8 3823 4571 E:[email protected] T:+84 8 3823 9205 Ext:112 F:+84 8 3823 4571 E:[email protected] T:+84 4 3946 1300 Ext:112 F:+84 4 3946 1302 E:[email protected] Savills Vietnam Savills Vietnam is the largest and most experienced real estate practice with offices in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. The company provides comprehensive property services such as: Residential Sales, Commercial Leasing, Residential Leasing, Research & Consultancy, Valuation & Feasibility Study, Banking & Corporate Services, Investment Brokerage & Advisory, Retail Consultancy & Leasing, Property & Asset Management, Tenant Advisory & Representation, Industrial Consultancy & Leasing, Marketing & Creative services. Savills Vietnam has won the Asia Pacific Property Awards 2014 for “Best Real Estate Agency in Vietnam”, “Best Lettings Agency in Vietnam” and “Best Property Consultancy in Vietnam”. Moreover, in International Property Awards scope, Savills has been awarded “Best Lettings Agency in Asia Pacific” and “Best Real Estate Agency in Asia Pacific”. The company consists of over 1,000 experienced and professional staff nationwide. Press Release Vu Kieu Linh (Ms.) Marketing & PR Director Savills Vietnam Co., Ltd
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