Chapter 28: Money, Interest Rates, and Economic Activity Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter Outline/Learning Objectives Section Learning Objectives After studying this chapter, you will be able to 28.1 Understanding Bonds 1. explain why the price of a bond is inversely related to the market interest rate. 28.2 The Theory of Money 2. describe how the demand for money depends on the Demand interest rate, the price level, and real GDP. 28.3 Monetary Equilibrium and National Income 3. explain how monetary equilibrium determines the interest rate in the short run. 28.4 The Strength of Monetary Forces 5. understand the difference between the short-run and long-run effects of monetary policy. 4. describe the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. 6. describe under what conditions monetary policy is most effective in the short run. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 2 28.1 Understanding Bonds For simplicity, we assume that people have two types of financial assets: • money (earns no interest) • bonds (earn interest) MyEconLab www.myeconlab.com Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. For readers interested in learning more about the stock market, the market in which equities are traded, look for A Beginner's Guide to the Stock Market in the Additional Topics section of this book's MyEconLab. Chapter 28, Slide 3 28.2 The Theory of Money Demand Three Reasons for Holding Money The amount of money that everyone wishes to hold is the demand for money. The opportunity cost of holding money is the interest that could have been earned if the money had been used to purchase bonds. There are three reasons for holding money: • the transactions motive • the precautionary motive • the speculative motive Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 4 The Determinants of Money Demanded We focus on three variables: • real GDP (+) • the price level (+) • the interest rate (-) Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 5 Fig. 28-1 Money Demand as a Function of the Interest Rate, Real GDP, and the Price Level This money demand (MD) curve is sometimes called the liquidity preference function. Changes in Y or P cause the MD curve to shift. Changes in the interest rate cause movements along the MD curve. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 6 Money Demand—Summing Up - + + MD = MD (i, Y, P) Remember there are two assets—bonds and money. The decision to hold money is the same as the decision not to hold bonds. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 7 28.3 Monetary Equilibrium and National Income Monetary Equilibrium Fig. 28-2 Monetary Equilibrium Monetary equilibrium occurs when the quantity of money demanded equals the quantity of money supplied: equilibrium interest rate Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 8 The Money Transmission Mechanism Monetary transmission mechanism: • connects changes in MD and/or MS with aggregate demand Three stages: 1. ΔMD or ΔMS Δ in equilibrium interest rate 2. Δi Δ in desired investment expenditure 3. ΔID Δ in AD Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 9 Fig. 28-3 Changes in the Equilibrium Interest Rate Stage 1. Shifts in the MS or MD curves cause the equilibrium interest rate to change. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 10 Fig. 28-4 The Effects of Changes in the Money Supply on Desired Investment Expenditure Stage 2. Changes in the equilibrium interest rate lead to changes in desired investment. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 11 Fig. 28-5 The Effects of Changes in the Money Supply on Aggregate Demand Stage 3. Changes in desired investment lead to a shift in the AE function, and thus a shift in the AD curve. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 12 Fig. 28-6 Summary of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 13 The Slope of the AD Curve In Chapter 23, there were two reasons for the negative slope of the AD curve: • ΔP leads to Δwealth • ΔP leads to ΔNX We can now add a third reason—the effect of interest rates. A rise in P leads to: • an increase in money demand • higher interest rate this reduces desired investment Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 14 MyEconLab www.myeconlab.com Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. For more details about how changes in the price level influence money demand, interest rates, and investment, and help explain the negative slope of the AD curve, look for Interest Rates and the Slope of the AD Curve in the Additional Topics section of this book's MyEconLab. Chapter 28, Slide 15 28.1 The Strength of Monetary Forces Long-Run Neutrality of Money A shift in the AD curve will lead to different effects in the short run than in the long run. In the long run, output eventually returns to Y*. Money neutrality is the idea that changes in the money supply do not have real effects on the economy. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 16 Fig. 28-8 The Long-Run Neutrality of Money What does money neutrality look like? • MD shifts up as P and Y adjust to new long-run equilibrium • interest rate returns to its initial level Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 17 Long-Run Neutrality of Money The proposition of long-run money neutrality is debatable. Hysteresis: the growth rate of Y* may be affected by the short run path of real GDP. Why? • A change in the money supply, through its effect on the interest rate, can affect investment and technological change. • In a long period of unemployment workers can lose human capital, this can affect Y* and its growth rate. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 18 Money and Inflation Fig. 28-9 Inflation and Money Growth Across Many Countries, 1978–2010 Across many countries over long periods of time, the rate of inflation and the growth rate of the money supply are highly correlated. Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 28, Slide 19
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