Public Finance Seminar
Spring 2015, Professor Yinger
Bidding and Sorting
Bidding and Sorting
Class Outline
Bidding
Sorting
Allocative Efficiency and Equity
Bidding and Sorting
Three Related Questions
How do households select a community in
which to live?
=The subject of this class.
How do communities select the levels of local public
services and the property tax rate? (= Demand!)
Under what conditions is the community-choice
process compatible with the local voting process?
(=General Equilibrium)
Bidding and Sorting
Tiebout
Charles Tiebout argued in a famous 1956 JPE article that
people shop for a community, just as they shop for other
things.
◦ This process came to be known as “shopping with one’s feet.”
◦ The Tiebout model became very influential both because it
identified an important type of behavior to be studied
◦ and because it concluded that the community-choice process is
efficient.
◦ Although Tiebout’s model has neither a housing market nor a
property tax, many people (not including me) still accept his
efficiency claim, at least to a first approximation.
Bidding and Sorting
The Consensus Model, Assumptions
1. Households care about housing, public services, and
other goods.
2. Households fall into distinct income/taste classes.
3. Households are mobile (i.e. can move costlessly across
jurisdictions).
◦ So an equilibrium cannot exist unless all people in a given
income/taste class achieve the same level of satisfaction.
4. All households who live in a jurisdiction receive the same
level of public services.
Bidding and Sorting
The Consensus Model, Assumptions, 2
5. Residence in a jurisdiction is a precondition for the
receipt of public services there (an assumption undermined
by some education choice programs).
6. Public services are financed through a local property tax.
7. An urban area has many local jurisdictions, which have
fixed boundaries and vary in their local public service
quality and property tax rates.
8. Households are homeowners (or else they are renters
and the property tax is shifted fully onto them through
rents).
Bidding and Sorting
Bidding
These assumptions describe a housing market
in which households compete for access to
the most desirable locations, i.e., those with
the best combinations of public services and
property tax rates.
This competition takes the form of housing
bids, with different bids for different types of
household.
Bidding and Sorting
Bidding, 2
An analysis of bidding is based on 4 concepts:
◦ Housing is measured in units of housing services, H, which can
be thought of as quality-adjusted square feet.
◦ The associated housing price, labeled P, is what a household
bids per unit of H per year.
◦ The rent for a housing unit, R, equals PH. If the unit is an
apartment, R = PH is equivalent to the annual rent.
◦ If the unit is owner-occupied, R is not observed but is implicit.
The value of a housing unit, V, is the amount someone would
pay to own that unit; it equals the present value of the flow of
net rental services associated with ownership or V = PH/r = R/r.
Bidding and Sorting
The Bid Function
P is the amount a household is willing to pay per
unit of H in a jurisdiction with service quality S
and property tax rate t: P = P{S, t}.
A bid function is defined for all values of S and t,
regardless of whether or not these values are the
ones a household actually experiences.
We will have to do some more work to figure
out market prices.
Bidding and Sorting
The Bid Function, 2
This logic is expressed in the following two
figures.
Figure 1 shows how bids (P) change as S changes
(holding t constant).
Figure 2 shows how bids change as t changes (holding
S constant)
These curves hint at the idea that housing prices
reflect S and t but we are not quite there yet.
Bidding and Sorting
Figure 1: Housing Bids as a Function of Public Service
Quality (Holding the Property Tax Rate Constant)
Bidding and Sorting
Figure 2: Housing Bids as a Function of the Property
Tax Rate (Holding Public Service Quality Constant)
Bidding and Sorting
Sorting
If all household are alike, then Figures 1 and 2
describe market outcomes; in equilibrium housing
prices will adjust to exactly compensate
households who end up in low-S or high-t
jurisdictions.
This compensation idea is a key to the intuition.
But obviously households are not all alike, and
different types of households must sort across
jurisdictions.
Bidding and Sorting
Sorting and Slopes
The key idea in the consensus model is that
households sort according to the steepness of
their bid functions.
The slope is ∂P/∂S; a steeper slope corresponds
to a greater willingness to pay (WTP) for an
increment in S.
Housing sellers prefer to sell to the highest
bidder, so a steeper slope wins where S is higher.
Bidding and Sorting
Figure 3: Consensus Bidding and Sorting
Bidding and Sorting
The Price Envelope
In Figure 3, the observed market price function is
the envelope of the underlying bid functions, say
PE.
This function shows how S and t show up in
housing prices.
This phenomenon is known as capitalization,
because it has to do with the impact of annual flows S
and t ) on the value of a capital asset (a house).
As we will see, many studies estimate capitalization!
Bidding and Sorting
Sorting and Bid-Function Heights
One subtle point in Figure 3 is that the heights of the bid
functions adjust so that each type of household has enough
room.
To get the logic right, start with a point at which the bid
functions of two groups intersect—i.e., their heights are
the same.
From this starting point, it is obvious that the group with
the steeper bid function bids more where S is higher.
It is impossible to shift the heights around so that (a) both
groups live somewhere and (b) the group with the flatter
slope lives where S is higher.
Bidding and Sorting
The Single-Crossing Condition
It is logically possible for household type A to have a
steeper bid function than household type B at one value of
S and for a household type B to have a steeper bid function
at a different value of S.
In this case it may be impossible to find an equilibrium.
Almost all scholars rule out this case with the so-called singlecrossing condition, which is that if household type A has a
steeper bid function than household type B at one value of S, it
also has a steeper bid function at any other value of S.
This assumption is equivalent to a regularity condition on the
underlying utility functions.
Bidding and Sorting
Sorting and Empirical Research
Figure 3 has 2 key implications for empirical
work.
First, any estimate of the impact of S on P (or on
R or V) blends willingness to pay (movement
along a bid function) and sorting (shifting across
bid functions).
In Figure 3, for example, (P3 – P1) does not measure any
group’s WTP for S3 versus S1.
It is very difficult to untangle these two effects!
Bidding and Sorting
Sorting and Empirical Research, 2
Second, the market relationship between S
and P, that is, the envelope, is very unlikely to
be linear (or even log-linear).
Because sorting is based on bid-function slopes, the
slope of the winning bidder (the one we observe)
goes up as the level of S increases.
Bidding and Sorting
Normal Sorting
Under normal circumstances, higher-income
households will pay more for an increment in S.
See Figure 4, where MB = MWTP (and a 2
subscript indicates high-income).
So high-income households will normally win the
competition in high-S jurisdictions.
Low-income households win the competition in
low-S jurisdictions because they are willing to
accept low H, e.g. by doubling up.
Bidding and Sorting
Figure 4:The Demand for Local Public Services
D2 = MB2
Bidding and Sorting
Normal Sorting, 2
The formal condition for normal sorting is that
the ratio of the income and elasticities of demand
for S must exceed the income elasticity of
demand for H .
Note that α matters because a household’s
willingness to pay for S (and hence its bid) is
spread out over the number of units of H it buys.
Bidding and Sorting
Sorting and Inequality
Sorting results in a system of local governments
in which some jurisdictions are much wealthier
than others.
Moreover, as discussed earlier in the class, the
cost of public services is often linked to poverty.
The overall result is a federal system in which
both resources and costs are unevenly
distributed—and in which higher-income people
receive higher levels of S.
The key normative tradeoff: community choice
versus equality of opportunity.
Bidding and Sorting
Heterogeneity Within a Jurisdiction
Sorting implies a tendency for jurisdictions to
be homogeneous by income.
But this homogeneity is not complete:
Other factors influence demand.
Heterogeneous communities arise where bid
functions cross. See Figure 3. Many household
types could live in a large jurisdiction.
Bidding and Sorting
Sorting and Tax Rates
Figure 3 holds t constant.
In fact, t does not affect sorting.
Any household is willing to pay $1 to avoid $1 of property
taxes (or to bid 1% more in a location where t is 1% lower).
Sorting only involves S.
Nevertheless, sorting is sometimes shown with net
bids that reflect both S and t. See Figure 5.
Bidding and Sorting
Figure 5: Consensus Bidding and Sorting Net of Taxes
Bidding and Sorting
The Hamilton Approach
Bruce Hamilton (Urban Studies 1975) developed a
model with three additional assumptions:
Housing supply is elastic (presumably by movement in
jurisdiction’s boundaries).
Zoning is set at exactly the optimal level of housing for
the residents of a jurisdiction.
Government services are produced at a constant cost
per household.
Bidding and Sorting
Hamilton, 2
The striking implication of the Hamilton
assumptions is that capitalization disappears. See
Figure 6.
Everyone ends up in their most-preferred
jurisdiction, so nobody bids up the price in any
other jurisdiction.
This prediction (no capitalization) is rejected by
all the evidence (to be covered in future classes).
Bidding and Sorting
Figure 6: Hamilton Bidding and Sorting
Bidding and Sorting
Is a Federal System Efficient?
Tiebout (with no housing or property tax) said
picking a community is like shopping for a shirt
and is therefore efficient (in the allocative sense).
This result is replicated with a housing market
and a property tax under the Hamilton
assumptions.
These assumptions are extreme and the model is
rejected by the evidence.
Bidding and Sorting
Sources of Inefficiency
1. Heterogeneity
Heterogeneity leads to inefficient levels of local public
services.
Outcomes are determined by the median voter; voters
with different preferences experience “dead-weight
losses” compared with having their own jurisdiction.
See Figure 7.
Bidding and Sorting
Figure 7: Inefficiency Due to Heterogeneity
Bidding and Sorting
Heterogeneity in Services?
The consensus model assumes that all households in a
jurisdiction receive the same services.
This is not true; higher-income neighborhoods have better
police protection and probably better elementary schools,
for example.
This eliminates some of the inefficiency in Figure 7—but
adds to inequality.
This topic is poorly understood; research is needed!
Bidding and Sorting
Sources of Inefficiency
2. The Property Tax
Producers of housing base their decisions on P,
whereas buyers respond to P(1 + t/r), (which, as
we will see is constant across jurisdictions).
This introduces a so-called “tax wedge” between
producer and consumer decisions, which leads to
under-consumption of housing.
Bidding and Sorting
Hamilton and Inefficiency
These two sources of inefficiency disappear in
Hamilton’s model:
Boundaries adjust so that all jurisdictions are
homogeneous (despite extensive evidence that
boundaries do not change for this reason).
Zoning is set so that housing consumption is
optimal (despite the incentives of residents to
manipulate zoning).
Bidding and Sorting
Conclusions on Efficiency
The Hamilton model shows how extreme the
assumptions must be to generate an efficient
outcome.
Nevertheless, most scholars defend our federal
system as efficient,
Instead of identifying policies, such as
intergovernmental aid programs, to improve its
efficiency.
Bidding and Sorting
Subject
Entry 1
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