TRANSHUMANISM 2.0 Natasha Vita-More Cultural Strategist 2.0 Sustainable Transhumanism Transhumanism History Transhumanism arose out of an inspirational dream that a handful of unrelated forward thinkers shared and came together to bring about. Transhumanism, like other cultures of society, grew into the global culture it is today. But what is the projected or expected state of transhumanism, and what will be the defining lines that will determine if it will or can become a powerful driving force of the future? 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Building Materials “transhuman” is used by FM Transhumans in LA Transhuman Arts Statement Breakthroughs – TransCentury Transhuman Update airs Term “Extropy” is created Terms “Transhumanist and “Transhumanism” are used Extropy: Journal of Transhumanist Thought emerges Extropy Institute develops Extropians email list develops Extro Conferences are held Aleph develops transhumanist Resources in Sweden Transhumanist FAQ written “Introduction to Transhumanism” written Transcedo develops in Netherlands TransVision Conference is held De:Trans develops in Germany WTA develops Transhumanism — Cultural Evolution Early 1980s Mid 1980s Late 1980s Early 1990s Mid 1990s Late 1990s What is the projected or expected state of transhumanism, and what will be the defining lines that will determine if it will or can become a powerful driving force of the future? Probable future Current situation Actions necessary Possible future Current situation IMPACT One way to build and guide the impact of transhumanism and have enormous impact on global society is to formulate a plan. Can transhumanism be a driving forces of change? IMPACT Recent Discontinuities Constants Recent Discontinuities Stakeholders Constants Trends Emerging Issues Stakeholders Constants Recent Discontinuities Trends Potential Events New Ideas Emerging Issues Recent Discontinuities Trends Stakeholders Constants Potential Events Critical Uncertainties Environmental Political Economics Technological Environmental Environmental Environmental Social Environmental Social Environmental Economics Political Environmental Environmental Technological Environmental Environmental Environmental Environmental Environmental Storytelling Entertainment Social Environmental Environmental Blogocracy Networks Environmental Environmental Technological Social Activism Rapid Global change Environmental Environmental Economics Political Social Anxiety Environmental Clean Sustainable Environment Transpolitical Internal Situation Core Values Capability Assumptions Concerns Communication Plans External Situation Internal Situation Category Strength Weakness 1. Transhumanist Culture Global Educated Professionals Students Life extension activists Technology activists Deep concern for the future Individuals & free thinkers Political diversity Varied social backgrounds No central organization Arrogant Selfish and/or unrealistic Science fiction Associated with utopians Loss of clarity in political viewpoint Lack of a joint mind-think status Social conflicts External Situation Category Opportunities Threats 1.Competitors Learning and sharing opportunities Need to succeed Learn what people want Potential for our ideas being misconstrued Opportunists Pressure from need to succeed Stress from added pressures People not wanting 2. Market trends Anticipate trends Loss of focus 3. Social changes Living longer Technological successes Overpopulation Technological disasters 4. New technology Molecular nanotechnology Technological disasters ________________ Strategic Assessment People served Their needs Transhumanist services Transhumanist benefits People who want to learn about the future and the effects of rapid technological change caused by technology Resources Recent Findings Research material Websites Email lists Conferences and Summits Satisfaction in being a reliable source of information for the public Recognition and credit in books, periodicals and university courses as being a futurists’ think-tank People who are concerned about the consequences of technology Consistent knowledge about the pros and cons of technology Papers and reports Assurances that the challenges and consequences are being addressed objectively Proactionary Principle Opportunity to introduce the Proactionary Principle to the world Sense of accomplishment that an organizational priority is successful People who are interested in philosophy and social trends Information about the 21st century culture Access to discussion groups focusing on global social change World’s larges resources on transhumanism Leading thinkers on transhumanism and the philosophy of Extropy Original papers, magazines and articles on transhumanism and posthumans Maintaining the integrity of transhumanism and Extropy Students who want to get credit for internships or extra credit for courses Direction and advice Reliable information and resources Means to meet people and network Extropy Campus Website and email lists Access to University professors Reading material Feedback and support Enjoyment for being of service to the educational community Satisfaction in expanding the number of people trained in and/or knowledgeable about the future Futurist Organizations Recruits Collaborations Check out the Competition Track record of successes Quality Experience Satisfaction in meeting and working with other futurists Communication What business are we in and why? We are in the business of____________. There is a growing need for _______________. The officers of our organizations are enthusiastic about our ________ business and the potential for a successful future. Where are we headed? We are headed in the direction of _________. What do we stand for as a cultural movement? We stand for___________. Evolution of Sustainable Transhumanism Sustainable Body 90% 80% 70% 60% Human 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Transhuman Posthuman 2005 2015 2005 2015 2025 2025 2035 2045 2025 2035 2045 population of transhumans transhumanists increase humans decrease posthumans increase more transhumans than humans more posthumans than transhumans Stakeholders Everyone Planners and Developers Rulemakers and Regulators Inventors and Investors PLAN AHEAD We need a strategic plan to realize the vision of transhumanism A set of strategic priorities to put vision into action Organizations and people to take on projects Balanced Performance Measures to check our successes How Can We Think Ahead? Trend Analysis: systematic collection of data concerning what is occurring in the world around us. Precursor analysis: stages of events as they progress from the past, through the present to the future. Scenario analysis: series of possible future events that could occur in the future. The future is assumed to be “creatable,” which implies that we have a choice. The future is “knowable,” which implies you have to look. The future is “unpredictable,” which implies you have to be clear about what values to take with you. Finally, the future controls the present, which implies you need vision. Five ways people view the future The future will represent a logical extension of the past. The future will be determined by the beliefs and actions of various individuals, organizations, and institutions. The future will reflect a replication of past events. The future will result from a series of events and actions that are essentially unpredictable and, to a large extent, random. The future will be shaped by a complex mixture of inexorable trends, random events, and the actions of key individuals and institutions. TRANSHUMANISM 2.0 Natasha Vita-More Cultural Strategist Extropy Institute, President Transhumanist Arts & Culture, Founder
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