Operational implications of increasing levels of product variety Dr Philip Brabazon Offerings in the market place • • • • • • • • • • Early 1970’s Late 1990’s Television screen sizes 5 15 Dental flosses 12 64 Trainer styles 5 285 Contact lens types 1 36 Bicycle types 8 31 New automotive models 140 260 Soft drinks 20 87 TV channels 5 185 Pain relievers 17 141 Magazine titles 339 790 Cox W M, Alm R (1998), The right stuff: America's move to mass customization, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Annual report 1998, Dallas CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 2 New product introductions • • • • • • • • Total - NPI 1980 4,414 1998 24,965 Cereals Ice cream, frozen yoghurt Spices, extracts, seasonings Deodorizers, air fresheners Paper towels, napkins Milk, yoghurt drinks Coffee Beer, ale 34 57 61 53 11 26 11 25 192 556 403 372 126 255 384 187 CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 3 CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon http://www.adidas.com/Eyewear/content/uk/products/ 4 CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon http://www.adidas.com/Eyewear/content/uk/products/ 5 Variety impacts Increasing ‘live’ product range Responsiveness suffers Stock & WIP increase Batch size shrinks Competitiveness suffers Quality problems increase Lead times increase Scheduling complexity increases Changeovers increase CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 6 Make-to-Stock Fulfilment system Replenishment initiates completion activities Forecasts influence supply process Supply line 1 Supply line 2 Completion Activities Supply line 3 Customer Supply line 4 Inventories of materials, components, or products CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 7 Implications of Variety Demand variability index 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Average demand per period CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 8 Make-to-Stock Fulfilment system Greater variability in inventory ~ greater overall inventory levels Supply line 1 Supply line 2 Supply line 3 Supply line 4 Supply line 5 Supply line 6 Completion Activities Customer Supply line 7 Supply line 8 Supply line 9 CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 9 Make-to-Order Supply line 1 Supply line 2 Customer orders initiate completion activities Supply line 3 Supply line 4 Supply line 5 Supply line 6 Completion Activities Customer Supply line 7 Supply line 8 Supply line 9 CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 10 Fulfilment Process: Reported models Stage 1 Centralised process and inventory of the common assembly 2a a Plant 1 A 2b b Plant 2 B 2c c Plant n Y Production facilities Inventories of each product Stage 1 Stage 2 Regional plants and products Customers in each region Customers of each product A Plant Production facilities B Components Products Customers Y Inventories at each location Customers at each location CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon Part assembled products (Vanilla boxes) 11 Multiple fulfilment mechanisms Production Pipeline Customer CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 12 ‘Floating’ decoupling point system Switch ‘to-order’ Initial ‘plan’ is based on Forecast Production plan and process Customer CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 13 Fulfilment options Specification match A planned product exactly matches the Customer’s specification Specification substitution Customer receives a product with one or more superior features in the product Specification redundancy Customer receives a product with one or more additional features Specification compromise Customer gets a different product to the one requested Specification reconfiguration The product is amended to be exactly as the customer has ordered CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 14 Reconfiguration Production Plan Factory Stock Customer Order fulfilment pipeline CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 15 Reconfiguration Customer Cost of reconfiguration CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 16 Re-configuration cost curves Gradual Ingredient Postponed Decoupled Cost to reconfigure first last Pipeline stages first last Pipeline stages first last Pipeline stages first last Pipeline stages Different components / assemblies could have different cost curve CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 17 Reconfiguration cost and investment Cost per product reconfiguration Optimum for low frequency of reconfiguration Optimum for high frequency of reconfiguration Investment in flexible fulfilment resources CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 18 Comparison of fulfilment systems Conventional Stock Forecast feed Pipeline Customer BTO queue Open Pipeline Stock Forecast feed Pipeline Customer BTO queue CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 19 Comparison of stock levels Conventional Open Pipeline CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 20 Implications to control Feed control process Stock Pipeline Customer Market demand profile BTO queue CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon 21 Implications to control Feed control Adjustment control Stock BTO queue CORL Launch, June 2014, Brabazon Mid-pipeline mix adjustment Customer Market demand profile 22
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