Unit 5: Monopoly, Monopolistic Competition, and Oligopoly Lecture #3, Oligopoly McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Oligopoly • A few large producers • Homogeneous or differentiated products • Limited control over price • Mutual interdependence • Strategic behavior • Collusion possible • Entry barriers • Mergers keep # of firms low LO3 11-2 Measuring Oligopolies • Four-firm Concentration Ratio • % output shared by 4 largest firms • 40% or more to be oligopoly • Data shows about one-half of U.S. manufacturing industries are oligopolies • Cars • Cereal • Athletic shoes LO3 11-3 Measuring Oligopolies • Shortcomings of concentration ratios: • Localized markets: ratios measure market share for the entire U.S., but some industries can only produce locally • Inter-industry competition: some products are produced in completely different industries, but compete • World trade: ratios can be inaccurate if there is a lot of foreign competition (Toyota and Honda compete in the same market as Ford and Chevy) LO3 11-4 Measuring Oligopolies • Herfindahl Index • HI = ∑ (market sharen)2 • Solves the problem of one dominant • • LO1 industry Ranges from 0 to 10,000 The larger the index, the higher the market power 11-5 High Concentration Industries (1) Industry Primary copper (2) 4-Firm Concentration Ratio (3) Herfindahl Index 99 ND (1) Industry (2) 4-Firm Concentration Ratio (3) Herfindahl Index Petrochemicals 85 2662 83 1901 Cane sugar refining 99 ND Small arms ammunition Cigarettes 95 ND Motor vehicles 81 2321 80 2515 Household laundry equipment 93 ND Men’s slacks and jeans Beer 91 ND Aircraft 81 ND Electric light bulbs 89 2582 Breakfast cereals 78 2521 78 2096 Glass containers 88 2582 Household vacuum cleaners Turbines and generators 88 ND Phosphate fertilizers 78 1853 Tires 77 1807 Electronic computers 76 Alcohol distilleries 71 Household refrigerators and freezers 85 1986 Primary aluminum 85 ND LO1 2662 1609 11-6 Oligopoly Pricing Strategy • Game-Theory Model • Used to measure pricing behavior of firms • Profit potential from pricing is dependent upon • • LO4 what the other firm does Can be analyzed using a payoff matrix that shows the profits that result from different combinations of pricing strategies Prisoners’ Dilemma is a great way to remember! 11-7 Game Theory Overview RareAir’s Price Strategy LO4 High Uptown’s Price Strategy • 2 competitors • 2 price strategies • Each strategy has a payoff matrix • Greatest combined profit • Independent actions stimulate a response A $12 Low B $15 High $12 C $6 $6 D $8 Low $15 $8 11-8 Game Theory Overview RareAir’s Price Strategy LO4 High Uptown’s Price Strategy • Independently lowered prices in expectation of greater profit leads to worst combined outcome • Eventually low outcomes make firms return to higher prices. A $12 Low B $15 High $12 C $6 $6 D $8 Low $15 $8 11-9 Oligopoly Pricing Strategy • Oligopolies display strategic pricing behavior • Mutual interdependence • Collusion • Incentive to cheat • Prisoner’s dilemma LO4 11-10 Game Theory: Economics of Cooperation • Game theory is the study behavior in situations of interdependence. • Payoff (reward) depends on own actions along with actions of other “players” • Payoff Matrix illustrates the interdependence LO5 11-11 Game Theory: Economics of Cooperation • Prisoners’ Dilemma • Each player has incentive to cheat • If both players cheat, both are worse off • Both are affected by the price and quantity produced by the other • Illustrates how cooperation is hard even when both would be better off LO5 11-12 Game Theory: Economics of Cooperation • Effects of interdependence • Dominant Strategy develops when it is the • • LO5 player’s best action regardless of the other’s Nash Equilibrium occurs when the strategies of both players reinforce one another Tacit Collusion results when firms limit production and raise prices in a way that raises each other’s profits without a formal agreement 11-13 Game Theory: Closing Thoughts • Price Leadership (one changes and the other follows) develops • Firms have a greater incentive to cooperate in long-run situations LO5 11-14 Three Pricing Models for Oligopolies • Kinked Demand Curve • Collusive Pricing • Price Leadership • Reasons for 3 models: • Diversity of oligopolies • Complications of interdependence LO5 11-15 Kinked-Demand Theory • Non-collusive oligopoly • Uncertainty about reactions of rival • Rivals match any price change • Rivals ignore any price change • Assume combined strategy • Match price reductions • Ignore price increases LO5 11-16 Kinked Demand Curve e P0 f D2 Rivals Match g Price Decrease 0 LO5 Q0 MR1 Quantity MR2 Price and Costs Price Rivals Ignore Price Increase MC1 D2 P0 e MR2 f MC2 g D1 D1 0 Q0 MR1 Quantity 11-17 Kinked Demand Curve • Criticisms of the model: • Explains why prices are inflexible, but not how the original price was determined • Ignores how changes in the larger economy may cause price changes • Ex. Price wars result from continued lowering of prices LO6 11-18 Collusive Pricing • Collusion allows firms to limit uncertainty • to maximize profits Cartels form when a group of firms or nations overtly collude • Formally agreeing to the price (P) • Sets output levels for members (Q) • Ex. OPEC • Covert collusion and cartels are illegal in the United States LO6 11-19 Collusive Pricing Price and Costs MC P0 ATC A0 MR=MC Economic Profit Q0 LO6 D MR Quantity 11-20 Global Perspective LO6 11-21 Obstacles to Collusion • • • • • • LO6 Each firm bears different costs, making it hard to agree on a price The larger # of firms, the more difficult it is There is still an incentive for firms to cheat Recession in the economy leaves firms scrambling for market share New entrants could hurt profit, so oligopolists try to block their entry Anti-trust laws prohibit price-fixing 11-22 Price Leadership Model • Price Leadership • Dominant firm initiates price changes • Other firms follow the leader • Price changes are infrequent • Problems • Limit Pricing occurs when prices are • LO6 intentionally set low to limit short-run profit and block entry of new firms Possible price wars when “followers” lower prices ahead of leaders 11-23 Why Advertise? • It is non-price competition, so it is harder • • • LO7 than a price change for competitors to duplicate Desire for new products speeds up technological progress and efficiency Low-cost way of providing information to consumers Can help firms obtain economies of scale 11-24 Oligopoly and Advertising The Largest U.S. Advertisers, 2008 Company Advertising Spending Millions of $ Procter & Gamble $4831 Verizon $3700 AT&T $3073 General Motors $2901 Johnson & Johnson $2529 Unilever $2423 Walt Disney $2218 Time Warner $2208 General Electric $2019 Sears $1865 Source: Advertising Age http://www.adage.com LO7 11-25 Global Perspective LO7 11-26 Oligopoly and Efficiency • Oligopolies are also inefficient • Productively inefficient P > minATC • Allocatively inefficient P > MC LO7 11-27
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