Sediment budgets and salt marshes: a zero-sum game Neil K. Ganju U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sediment budget like a bank account Blackwater NWR Direct deposits Rivers Estuary Ocean Balance Elevation and areal coverage of system Automatic withdrawals Currents Waves Dredging - System includes marsh plain, mudflats, and channels - “Stable” system means elevation and areal footprint of all components is constant A “stable” system can be upset by sea-level rise Direct deposits Rivers Estuary Ocean Balance Elevation and areal coverage of system Automatic withdrawals Currents Waves Dredging Sea-level rise - Sea-level rise represents a relative decrease in elevation of the marsh - More sediment is needed to keep account balance stable A “stable” system can be upset by sea-level rise Direct deposits Rivers Estuary Ocean Automatic withdrawals Currents Waves Dredging Sea-level rise - If no additional source of funds, balance gets depleted A “stable” system can be upset by sea-level rise Direct deposits Rivers Estuary Ocean Automatic withdrawals Currents Waves Dredging Sea-level rise ???? - Once sediment in account is depleted, marsh is “in debt” - Sediment-based “lifespan” is time left until marsh is in debt - Debt means scavenging of marsh plain to feed mudflats and channels Accounting a difficult first step: sediment flux Sediment flux (kg/s) What does flux tell us? Sediment budget What does flux tell us? Sediment portfolio Wetland sediment fluxes: what have we learned? Schooner Creek: Suk et al., 1999 Sediment budget is correlated with open water coverage 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 = 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶, 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓, 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣𝑣 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 UVVR excellent indicator of sediment budget Optimal UVVR ~ 0.10 UVVR can be measured and tracked through time with aerial imagery/satellites UVVR = 0.1 UVVR = 1 Lifespan is correlated with open water coverage UVVR good indicator of sediment-based lifespan Lifespan an estimate of when sediment reserves held in the marsh plain are needed to satisfy withdrawals Most vulnerable marshes have lifespan <200 y UVVR = 0.1 UVVR = 1 Knowledge gap: Bay-wide sediment budget USGS NYWSC established sediment flux site on Marine Parkway Bridge Nov. 2014 Preliminary results show small import Rutgers studies show similar results WHOI numerical modeling of entire Hudson/JB system agrees Hudson River Estuary and NY/NJ Harbor sediments may be only reliable holding in portfolio Knowledge gap: marsh-specific sediment budgets JoCo marsh: UVVR ~ 0.4 Sediment budget? Lifespan? Big Egg marsh: UVVR ~ 0.7 Sediment budget? Lifespan? Ramifications of sediment budget/UVVR in Jamaica Bay JB marshes certainly experiencing a sediment deficit Lifespan likely < 200 y Quantifying sediment budget critical if engaging in sediment replenishment Quantifying lifespan critical for planning habitat provision
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