Chapter 1 Economic Models Nicholson and Snyder, Copyright ©2008 by Thomson South-Western. All rights reserved. Outline of Microeconomics • • • Microeconomics: The Allocation of Scarce Resources Models Uses of Microeconomic Models Microeconomics: The Allocation of Scarce Resources • Scarcity implies trade-offs • Resources (workers, raw materials, capital, and energy) are available in limited supply. • Which goods and services should be produced? • How should we produce those goods and services? • Who gets to consume those goods and services? • Decision-makers • Individuals (consumers) • Firms • Government The Themes of Microeconomics Trade-Offs CONSUMERS Consumers have limited incomes, which can be spent on a wide variety of goods and services, or saved for the future. WORKERS • Workers also face constraints and make trade-offs. • People must decide whether and when to enter the workforce. • Workers face trade-offs in their choice of employment. • Workers must sometimes decide how many hours per week they wish to work, thereby trading off labor for leisure. FIRMS Firms also face limits in terms of the kinds of products that they can produce, and the resources available to produce them. Microeconomics: The Allocation of Scarce Resources • Prices determine resource allocation • Which goods? How to produce? Who gets them? • Prices answer these important questions by influencing decision-makers. • Markets • A market is where interactions between consumers, firms, and the government occur. • Prices of goods and services are determined in a market. Microeconomic Models • Economists use models to describe economic activities • A model is a description of the relationship between two or more economic variables. • Understanding this relationship allows economists to predict how a change in one variable will affect another variable. • Economic models: • have assumptions that simplify things relative to the real world • make theoretical predictions that we can test empirically • involve maximizing something (e.g. consumer satisfaction, firm profits) subject to resource constraints Uses of Microeconomic Models • Predicting individual decisions • Does it pay financially to go to college? • Should a homeowner purchase a insurance? • Predicting firm decisions • Should a movie theater charge lower prices for matinee show? • Should Coca-Cola advertise more if Pepsi does? • How does a mining company’s extraction decision depend on interest rates? • Predicting government decisions • What is the impact of a new tax on tax revenues raised? • How can pollution taxes reduce global warming? Features of Economic Models • Ceteris Paribus assumption • Optimization assumption • Distinction between positive and normative analysis Ceteris Paribus Assumption • Ceteris Paribus means “other things the same” • Economic models explain simple relationships – focus on only a few forces at a time – other variables are assumed to be unchanged Optimization Assumptions • Many models assume that economic actors are rationally pursuing some goal – consumers seek to maximize utility – firms seek to maximize profits (or minimize costs) – government regulators seek to maximize public welfare Positive-Normative Distinction • Positive economic theories seek to explain the economic phenomena that are observed • The truth of a positive statement can be tested. • Normative economic theories focus on what “should” be • A normative statement contains a value judgment that can’t be tested. Disagreement: Normative versus Positive – Economists sometimes disagree about assumptions and models and also about what policy to use. – Some disagreements can be settled by appealing to further facts, but others cannot. – Disagreements that can’t be settled by facts are normative statements — statements about what ought to be. – Disagreements that can be settled by facts are positive statements—statements about what is. Competitive versus Noncompetitive Markets ● Perfectly competitive market Market with many buyers and sellers, so that no single buyer or seller has a significant impact on price. Other markets containing a small number of producers Finally, some markets contain many producers but are noncompetitive; that is, individual firms can jointly affect the price. Market Price ● Market price Price prevailing in a competitive market. • In markets that are not perfectly competitive, different firms might charge different prices for the same product. • This might happen because one firm is • Trying to win customers from its competitors, • Customers have brand loyalties that allow some firms to charge higher prices than others. • The market prices of most goods will fluctuate over time, and for many goods the fluctuations can be rapid. The Economic Theory of Value • The founding of modern economics – The Wealth of Nations is considered the beginning of modern economics – Distinction between value and price • Value meant “value in use” • Price meant “value in exchange” The Economic Theory of Value • Labor theory of exchange value – the exchange values of goods are determined by the costs of producing them • primarily affected by labor costs – diamond-water paradox • producing diamonds requires more labor than producing water The Economic Theory of Value • The marginalist revolution – the exchange value of an item is determined by the usefulness of the last unit consumed • since water is plentiful, consuming an additional unit has a relatively low value The Economic Theory of Value • Marshallian supply-demand synthesis – supply and demand simultaneously operate to determine price – prices reflect both the marginal valuation that consumers place on goods and the marginal costs of producing the goods The Economic Theory of Value • Water – low marginal value – low marginal cost of production – low price • Diamonds – high marginal value – a high marginal cost of production – high price Supply-Demand Equilibrium The supply curve has a positive slope because marginal cost rises as quantity increases Price Equilibrium QD = Q s S P* D Q* The demand curve has a negative slope because the marginal value falls as quantity increases Quantity per period Supply-Demand Equilibrium • What happens to the equilibrium price if either demand or supply shift? • A shift in demand will lead to a new equilibrium Supply-Demand Equilibrium Price An increase in demand... S …leads to a rise in the equilibrium price and quantity. 7 5 D’ D 500 750 Quantity per period The Economic Theory of Value • General equilibrium models – the Marshallian model is a partial equilibrium model • focuses only on one market at a time – for more general questions, we need a model of the entire economy • must include the interrelationships between markets and economic agents The Economic Theory of Value • Production possibilities frontier – can be used as a basic building block for general equilibrium models – shows the combinations of two outputs that can be produced with an economy’s resources A Production Possibility Frontier Quantity of food (per week) Opportunity cost of clothing = 1/2 pound of food 10 9.5 Opportunity cost of clothing = 2 pounds of food 4 2 3 4 12 13 Quantity of clothing (per week) A Production Possibility Frontier • Resources are scarce • Scarcity we must make choices – each choice has opportunity costs – opportunity costs depend on how much of each good is produced Production Possibility Frontier and Economic Efficiency • Suppose that an economy produces 2 goods: x and y, • Labor is the only input. • The production function for good x and y can be written: • Total labor available is constrained by lx + ly < 200 • Construction of the PPF in this economy is: lx + ly < 200 Opportunity Cost • Suppose that the production possibility frontier can be represented by x 2 0.25y 2 200 • Assume that the economy is on the frontier, the opportunity cost of y in terms of good x can be derived by solving for y as • Solve for Y to find the slope y 800 4 x 2 • If we differentiate, we get dy 4x 2 0.5 0.5(800 4 x ) ( 8 x ) dx y Concavity of A PPF dy 4x 2 0.5 0.5(800 4 x ) ( 8 x ) dx y • Suppose that labor is equally divided between x and y, the number of units of • When x = 10, y = 20, dy/dx = -4(10)/20 = -2 • Suppose labor is allocated as 144 and 56, then outputs are • When x = 12, y 15, dy/dx = -4(12)/15 = -3.2 • The slope rises as x rises Inefficiency • Now the PPF becomes: • X2 + 0.25Y2 = 180, • x = 10, then y output is now y = 17.9. • • The loss of output 2.1 units of y is a measure of the labor market being inefficient. Again, if equal allocation of labor is being done, then we would have, x= 9.5 and y = 19.
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