Tree Diagrams Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Five balls are put into a bag. Three are red. Two are blue. A ball is chosen at random and replaced. A second ball is then chosen. Draw a tree diagram to show all the possible outcomes and their probabilities. Lesley Hall @ Soar Valley College Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Tree Diagrams 1st choice R 3 5 You could either pick out a red ball… 3 P(red ball) = 5 2 5 B P(blue ball) = … or a blue ball. 2 5 Lesley Hall @ Soar Valley College Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Tree Diagrams 1st choice 2nd choice R 3 5 2 5 R B R B B Lesley Hall @ Soar Valley College If you chose a red the 1st time, you can still choose a red or a blue the 2nd time. If you chose a blue the 1st time, you can still choose a red or a blue the 2nd time. Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Tree Diagrams 1st choice 3 5 2 5 2nd choice R B 3 5 R 2 5 B 3 5 R 2 5 B Because we replace the first ball the probabilities will stay the same! + =1 Notice that on each pair of branches the probabilities add up to 1. Lesley Hall @ Soar Valley College Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Tree Diagrams 1st choice 3 5 2 5 2nd choice R B 3 5 R 2 5 B 3 5 R 2 5 B List the outcomes … Lesley Hall @ Soar Valley College Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Tree Diagrams 1st choice 3 5 2 5 2nd choice R B 3 5 R RR 9 3 3 + = 25 5 5 2 5 B RB 6 3 2 + = 25 5 5 3 5 R BR 6 2 3 + = 25 5 5 2 5 B BB 4 2 2 + = 25 5 5 Finally check that your …and work out the probabilities add upprobabilities. to 1. Lesley Hall @ Soar Valley College Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Tree Diagrams 1st choice 2nd choice R 3 5 2 5 B 3 5 R RR 9 3 3 + = 25 5 5 2 5 B RB 6 3 2 + = 25 5 5 3 5 R BR 6 2 3 + = 25 5 5 2 5 B BB 4 2 2 + = 25 5 5 You can now use your tree diagram to answer questions. Lesley Hall @ Soar Valley College
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