Group Problems - Hypothesis Testing CIVL 3103 1. Suppose that an engineering firm is asked to check the safety of a dam. What type of error would it commit if it erroneously rejects the null hypothesis that the dam is safe? What type of error would it commit if it erroneously accepts the null hypothesis that the dam is safe? What would the likely impact of these errors be? -, 2. An experiment was performed to compare abrasive wear of two different laminated materials. Twelve pieces of material 1 were tested by exposing each piece to a-machine measuring wear. Ten pieces of material 2 were similarly tested. In each case, the depth of wear was observed. The samples of material 1 gave an average wear of 85 units with a sample standard deviation of 4, while the samples of material 2 gave an average of 81 and a sample standard deviation of 5. Can we conclude that the abrasive wear of material 1 exceeds that of material 2 by more than 2 units? Use a p-value to determine your answer. Assume the populations to be approximately normal with equal variances. 3. Arsenic concentration in public drinking water supplies is a potential health risk. An article in the Arizona Republic (Sunday, May 27, 2001) reported drinking water arsenic concentrations in parts per billion (ppb) for 10 metropolitan Phoenix communities and 10 communities in rural Arizona. The data are shown in the table below. Determine if there is any difference in mean arsenic concentrations between metropolitan Phoenix communities and communities in rural Arizona at the ex = 0.05 level of significance. Assume the populations to be approximately normal with unequal variances. Metro Phoenix Phoenix, 3 Chandler, 7 Gilbert, 25 Glendale, 10 Paradise Valley, 6 Peoria, 12 Scottsdale, 25 Tempe, 15 Sun City, 7 Mesa, 15 Rural Arizona Rimrock,48 Goodyear, 44 New River, 40 Apachie Junction, 38 Nogales, 21 Black Canyon City, 20 Sedona, 12 Payson, 1 Casa Grande, 18 Buckeye, 33 4. An article in the Journal of Strain Analysis (1983, Vol. 18, No.2) compares several methods for predicting the shear strength for steel plate girders. Data for two of these methods, the Karlsruhe and Lehigh procedures when applied to nine specific girders, are shown in the table below. Determine whether the Karlsruhe Method produces higher strength predictions on average than does the Lehigh method, at the a = 0.0 I level of significance. Girder 1 2 3 Karlsruhe Method 1.186 1.151 1.322 Lehigh Method 1.061 0.992 1.063 4 1.339 1.062 5 1.200 1.065 6 1.402 1.178 7 1.365 1.037 8 1.537 1.086 9 1.559 1.052 0rv0£ 'P rt6lLrm Teh hrij ~o1hUis 1. Ho:~c~~ I+a ~ VJ 1L61- stek ~I;t tk~ ~4 .7Jt~ "- .Nj-Q.cf rJ..edpt + t: Hv ~~. Ifo 3? '0fX- 7T ~ ~~~~~~jt_Jiux~ ~ ~p~ 1I d.bf~~~ J-NLfVtJ Ji T~ .~ w-e nVJu· ~~fr I~ ]I ~ ~ ~;pi; WJj re ~ tLJ0p.- if ~~ W/UFt~~~~. )~ .- J :: O.'d.-r SJ) z: 0 T~, 1133(, +h : ,)JJ.o::::: J..-ht ~?D~o ·f.;£lJIMOJ ~~~ 0 d -60. ~ I P\l -= ----".> +pMwJ'7 i 01 ) -t i 0 \ ) '2> -=- fV1JJ1I\ATlo ~ m ~ I .JY00-l- _1N~. ""J. q "l OI13S0/fOIl ()-I d 3CJ ~ I ~(qt /'" J. ,~q lo ~ut.i-J-n. 'L~ ~.~ -p~~~%4n,~ <= Oldl-O_c: _ (I2-U6 ~ +t~ ~ttWQ ~ ~ 7 ili-wl ,·hud'()Jlol~ (J~--- J~oJ-o{~,6( <-J1\L j(~~ ~ ~~ t,&-;!;~~ 3 7 25 10 6 12 25 15 7 15 48 44 40 38 21 20 12 1 18 33 Column 1 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Confidence Level(95.0%) 12.5 2.414079074 11 7 7.633988327 58.27777778 -0.438203372 0.767040306 22 3 25 125 10 5.461026259 0.119 0.159 0.259 0.277 0.138 0.224 0.328 0.451 0.507 Column 1 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 0.273555556 0.045186684 0.259 #N/A 0.135560052 0.018376528 -0.560604493 0.687695234 0.388 0.119 0.507 2.462 9 Column 1 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 27.5 4.853978895 27 #N/A 15.34962902 235.6111111 -0.988830641 -0.288143481 47 1 48 275 10 (; TDiST (' \.j)/ t P (I, LL~ 04 I 'ZO ) I) ,~~, ~~ b-01}/tc Q ) l,LttLcLL (,9'/ 0, fa, ) , cr dlu~t h;(rdi~~- c~ Yit1Z. a£le'l/l-Za/-cJ"'C. aLLe~ ~L 11(h-;:;::' {O -~~t:::: IS< c r c.a:«: -jD~L,uf 66 I>-L ~dxd cl =·0, I s-: <c :::c I D v: \tL,-;;L1 s: (S3 S S t ~ cCytl\. -:::: 7dJ.? 4 /1 It:-- S c-~; '0;: 0(0) -t--, (3v1;~ ,f/o Stt-v''l/..f'~ ) :,)AJ(VI, -- 6"i, !,,uL ::::. '-I· W-zL \ /{.,-utvl - -bIID / - s. 0 - ~- ! ~U&JL/ (\ ~6 ckkA~G \ jlu;; 0 007:: 0h~_j4~o.-- B" rr~u-hw_ ,oS S := [J. ,I 6L ( LL~dL-.0~"G) c /Ui {1.-C i -/-UL>c, r: °6 /'
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