SEM Market Overview July 2013 SEM Drivers Competition SEM Security of Supply Sustainability 2 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 SEM Objectives – to facilitate the efficient, economic and coordinated operation, administration and development of the Single Electricity Market in a financially secure manner; – to facilitate the participation of electricity undertakings engaged in the generation, supply or sale of electricity in the trading arrangements under the Single Electricity Market; – to promote competition in the single electricity wholesale market on the island of Ireland; – to provide transparency in the operation of the Single Electricity Market; – to ensure no undue discrimination between persons who are parties to the Code; and – to promote the short-term and long-term interests of consumers of electricity on the island of Ireland with respect to price, quality, reliability, and security of supply of electricity. 3 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Single Electricity Market Demand Sell Volume (MWh) Generation Buy Volume (MWh) Charges (€, £) Payments (€, £) 4 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 The SEM – Key Features • Gross Mandatory Pool • All Generators with MEC > 10MW must sell all their output through the SEM • Wholesale market – Suppliers buy electricity from SEM and sell onto end user (retail) • Unconstrained i.e. does not consider reserve, transmission constraints, etc. • Ex-Post pricing i.e. Pricing occurs after the fact. • Deviations between market and system captured by dispatch balancing costs • Capacity Payment to reward available capacity and provide stability 5 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Market Statistics • Established November 2007 • € 3 Billion Annual Wholesale Market • 33 TWh Annual Consumption • 11 GW Registered Capacity • 76 Participants (Invoiced Entities) 6 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Registered SEM Capacity by Fuel Type BIO 13MW PUMP 292MW WIND 1698MW COAL 1331MW DISTL 672MW PEAT 346 MW OIL 793 MW HYDRO 222MW GAS 5556MW 7 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Markets vs. System Operations Bilateral/OTC Contracts Bilateral Contract Settlements Market Operations Public Interruption adv ice Bills and Pay ments f or Electricity and Serv ices Market Inf ormation Generators Generator Of f ers Market Operator (SEMO) Market Settlements Distribution Netw ork Operators Operational Market Settlements Market Schedules Generators (incl. Moyle I/C and Pumped Storage) Suppliers Demand Side Bids Plans Market Schedules DUoS Settlements Information Providers TUoS and Ancillary Serv ice settlements (EIRGRID and NIE) • ESB Netw orks (for • NIE Operations Dispatch Schedules Instructions Transmission System Operators • EIRGRID • SONI Transmission System Ow ners • ESB Netw orks • NIE Distribution Customers) Metering Data Market Schedule Metering Providers • • • • Transmission Network EIRGRID SONI MRSO Northgate (for Transmission Customers) TUoS and Ancillary Serv ice settlements (EIRGRID and NIE) Maintenance Plans (NIE only ) Transmission Network Transmission Network Distribution Network Metering Data Demand & wind generation Weather f orecasts, industry projections & f orecasts economic f orecasts Customers System Operations Transmission Network Energy flow s Information/data flow s Financial flow s 8 SEM Market Process Market Participants Bid Technical Pricing MSQ SMP Settlements Statements Invoices Credit Risk Mgmt Funds Transfer Meter Data Generator Data TSO Data Generator Data Meter Data Supplier Data 9 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 SEM: Trading Interactions Volumes Meter Data Providers (MDPs) Interconnector Administrator Capacity Holdings Interconnector Units Price Effecting Generation Non Price Effecting Generation Price Effecting Demand Non Price Effecting Demand Single Market Operator (SMO) Demand Side Units Bids and Offers (COD/TOD) Generator Units Supplier Units Prices MSQs Public Exchange Rates Banks MSQs & SMPs Capacity Bids Including …. Dispatch Instructions Real-Time Availability Forecast Demand Transmission System Operator (TSOs) Dispatch Schedule Operations Schedule 10 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Market Functions 11 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 SEMO Organisation Market Operations SEMO IT Pricing and Scheduling Functional Team Design and build CMS systems based on Modifications. Settlement Funds Transfer Customer Care and support Registration Manage credit cover Infrastructure Team support Extensive Hardware, Software and Telecommunications infrastructure Market Development Strategic Development SEMO Finance Trading and Settlement Code Funds Transfer Regulatory Affairs Market Modelling Analyse the Market Manage Budgets Audits Financial Reporting 12 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Services provided by SEMO SEMO Services to Customers Service Market Processes Registration Prices and Schedules Settlement Payment Processing Credit Cover Guarantees of Origin Description Dedicated team to assist customer in the process of becoming part of the SEM, through out the registration process. Determination of Market Prices and Schedules, including interconnector flows Issuing P&S 5 times per day Calculation and publication of settlement amounts for the market. For Energy, Capacity and Market Operator Charges Receipt and monitoring of payments to the market. Processing of payments to Participants based on self billing invoices Management of collateral to cover market exposures. Calculation of credit cover requirements and monitoring of compliance Determination of Guarantee of Origin Certificates for the SEM and management of transactions Fuel Mix Determination of the Fuel Mix for Ireland Understanding the SEM and working within the SEM General Queries on the Market Answering questions and queries about the market. Through market helpdesk, website content (including FAQ and training presentations) Education and Training on the Includes market analysis e.g.. price events, how the pricing solver works, special topics etc; and Market Training sessions e.g.. W2TM, Market Overview etc. Market Data Market Systems and Access Static and Dynamic reporting and Webservices functions on the website provide historical and real time data Market Participant Interface (MPI) for private information Technical assistance with market systems, digital certs etc. 13 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 SEMO Services to Customers Service Description Market Change Facilitating Testing with the Market of Through SEMO IT e.g.. market test/trial: scope of change workshops, planning workshops for market trial system releases scenarios, test environment, daily calls during testing period Assistance with the development of Through Market Development modifications to the Code Administration of the modifications Modifications Secretariat, Analysts to assist with understanding implications of changes process Customer Services Market helpdesk Online Self Service, email, phone, fax Market Messages To update customers on real time activities and status of the market processes. Keep them informed of upcoming events etc.. Market Operations Conference Calls Bi-monthly calls to update on recent events and issues, inform of upcoming events and provide reminders. As (MOCC) well as a forum for asking questions. 14 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Pricing & Scheduling 15 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Pricing Key Outputs: – Day Ahead and Within Day Interconnector Flows – Ex-Post Market Prices – Ex-Post Market Schedules Types of Generation Units Thermal Generator (e.g.. gas, coal fired and biomass) Hydro Generator (water powered) Interconnector Units (e.g.. imported/exported energy) Demand Side Unit (e.g.. curtailable load) Wind Unit (e.g.. wind unit, wind farm) Settlement Classes PPMG Priority Dispatch YES NO Controllable NO YES PPTG VPTG PPMG VPMG APTG PPMG: Predictable Price Maker Generator PPTG : Predictable Price Taker Generator VPTG: Variable Price Taker Generator APTG: Autonomous Price Taker Generator Offer Data – Price Maker Generation Data Element Price Quantity Pairs I/C Unit Yes Pumped Storage Unit Yes Demand Side Unit Unit Under Test Yes Energy Limited Unit Other Predictable PPMG Other Variable PPMG Yes Yes Yes No Load Costs Yes Yes Yes Yes Start Up Costs Yes Yes Yes Yes Nomination Profile Yes Decremental Price Yes Max. I/C Unit Export Capacity Yes Max. I/C Unit Import Capacity Yes Priority Flag Yes Target Res. Level Shut Down Cost Yes Yes 19 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Offer Data – Price Taker Generation Data Element Autonomous Generator Unit I/C Residual Capacity Unit Unit Under Test Other Predictable PPTG Unit Price Quantity Pairs Yes No Load Costs Yes Start Up Costs Yes Other Variable PPTG Unit Nomination Profile Yes Yes Yes Decremental Price Yes Yes Yes Max. I/C Unit Export Capacity Max. I/C Unit Import Capacity Priority Flag Target Res. Level Shut Down Cost 20 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Offer Data – Demand Side Units Data Element DSU Price Quantity Pairs Yes No Load Costs Start Up Costs Nomination Profile Decremental Price Yes Max Up Time/Max Down Time Yes Ramp Up/Ramp Down Note: Demand Side Units are modelled as Generating Units (only the demand reduction is considered by the MSP software). Priority Flag Target Res. Level Shut Down Cost Yes 21 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Supply Units Supply units are non physical units created for the purpose of carrying out appropriate Settlement calculations Types of Supply Units in the Market are: • Trading Site Supply Units (TSSUs); means a Supplier Unit that contains only the Demand within a Trading Site, and is settled on a net basis against the Generator Units on that Trading Site under the rules specified in the Code. • Associated Supply Unit (ASU); means a Supplier Unit which is both recorded to a Trading Site and which has its Demand settled on a gross basis with the Generator Unit(s) on that Trading Site under the rules specified in the Code. • Supplier Unit (SU); means the Unit comprising of one or more Generators or Demand Sites which are not Generator Units (for which metered consumption may be positive or negative where such aggregated metered consumption is available). For the avoidance of doubt all Associated Supplier Units, Trading Site Supplier Units and Error Supplier Units shall be Supplier Units as well as other Supplier Units that do not fall into those classes. 23 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Determining Market Schedule & Price Price Takers ON (Zero Price, mainly wind) Price = € 50/MWh ON ON OFF Demand ON 24 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 What is System Marginal Price (SMP) made of…. Shadow Price Uplift SMP Single price for SEM per Trading Period (1/2 hour interval) • Price paid/received by both Suppliers/Generator • Determined using Market Scheduling and Pricing (MSP) Software • Unconstrained Schedule • Scheduled based on optimising lowest Production Cost • Uplift applied to cover Start Up Costs and No Load Costs • SMP bounded by Market Price Cap (€1000/MWh and - €100/MWh) • 25 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 System Marginal Price (SMP) 26 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Influences on Market Price • • • • • Demand Fuel Price Wind Penetration Interconnection Flows Availability of Generation 27 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 SMP Trends 5000 120 4500 Recession - decreasing demand 4000 80 3000 2500 60 2000 1500 Increasing gas prices 1000 500 0 Gas Crisis Big Snow - Demand Driven High Gas Prices Unseasonal cold spell Day Ahead gas price increases Availability of plant 40 MSQ SMP Gas Price 20 0 44-2007 53-2007 9-2008 18-2008 27-2008 36-2008 45-2008 1-2009 10-2009 19-2009 28-2009 37-2009 46-2009 2-2010 11-2010 20-2010 29-2010 38-2010 47-2010 3-2011 12-2011 21-2011 30-2011 39-2011 48-2011 4-2012 13-2012 22-2012 31-2012 40-2012 49-2012 5-2013 14-2013 23-2013 MSQ (MW) 3500 Gas Price (Pence/Therm) SMP (€/MWh) 100 Week No. & Year Link to Original Data Impact of Demand 9th Dec 2012 Ex Ante Market Schedule 300 7000 Price (€/MWh) 5000 200 4000 150 3000 100 2000 50 Demand (MWh) 6000 250 1000 0 0 05:00 04:00 03:00 02:00 01:00 00:00 23:00 22:00 21:00 20:00 19:00 18:00 17:00 16:00 15:00 14:00 13:00 12:00 11:00 10:00 09:00 08:00 07:00 06:00 SMP SYSTEM LOAD 29 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Impact of Fuel Prices BIO 13MW SEM Registered Capacity PUMP 292MW WIND 1698MW COAL 1331MW DISTL 672MW PEAT 346 MW OIL 793 MW HYDRO 222MW GAS 5556MW 30 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 31 Sep-12 Aug-12 Jul-12 Jun-12 May-12 Apr-12 Mar-12 Feb-12 Jan-12 Dec-11 Nov-11 Oct-11 Sep-11 €90 £1.00 €80 £0.90 €70 £0.80 €60 £0.70 €50 £0.60 €40 £0.50 €30 £0.40 €20 £0.30 £0.20 €10 £0.10 €0 £0.00 Gas Price (£/Therm) SMP Aug-11 Jul-11 Jun-11 May-11 Apr-11 Mar-11 Feb-11 Jan-11 Dec-10 Nov-10 Oct-10 Sep-10 Aug-10 Jul-10 Jun-10 May-10 Apr-10 Mar-10 Feb-10 Jan-10 System Marginal Price (€/MWh) Impact of Fuel Prices Volume Weighted Monthly Average SMP & Average Gas Price Gas Price Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Impact of Low Wind • • • Lower wind means less demand met by price takers Generation required by price making generation is greater Therefore units scheduled are more expensive Higher Price = € 75/MWh Demand 32 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 System Demand & Wind Penetration • • Wind Penetration Impacts on SMP High Wind Day versus Low Wind Day 33 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Cycle per Trading Day TD -1 TD -1 TD TD +1 TD +4 Ex. Ante1 Ex. Ante2 Within Day Ex. Post Indicative Ex. Post Initial 09:30 11:30 08:00 14:00 14:00 Modified Interconnector Unit Nominations (MIUNs) for Capacity Holders Modified Interconnector Unit Nominations (MIUNs) for non Capacity Holders Modified Interconnector Unit Nominations (MIUNs) 6pm to 6am Provides Market with Indicative Settlement values regarding Price & Schedule Provides Market with Final Price & Settlement values Provides input to RCUC (real time) COD/TOD locked in 34 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Operational Day – 20th June WD1 TD 20th June • • • • Run Completed 09:30 GWC 08:00 EA1 TD -1 21st June Operational perspective, not Trading Day 5 runs 8am to 5pm 365 days year Run Completed 11:00 GWC 09:30 EA2 Bid submissions must be made by Gate Window Close TD -1 21st June Run Completed 13:00 GWC 11:30 EP1 EP2 07:00 08:00 09:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 TD +1 19th June Run Completed 16:00 Run Completed TD + 4 th 16 June 17:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 35 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Markets vs. System Operations Market Operations (SMO) Bids / Offers Indicative / Initial Metering Determine Ex Ante MS/Prices Determine Ex Post MS/Prices Instruction and Availability Profiling Interconnector Flows Forecasts Determine Operations Schedule System Operations (TSOs) Review / revise Operations Schedule Including … Real Time Availability Group Constraints Reserve constraints Determine Dispatch Instructions Issue Instructions & Log Monitor Including … Real Time Availability Dispatch compliance SO-SO Trades 36 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 RCUC Scheduling Tool • • • RCUC: Reserve Constrained Unit Commitment ABB Software tool, used only by the TSOs, which utilises Linear Programming to optimise Unit Commitment and Economic Dispatch RCUC considers constraints – UUC does not Main Inputs: •Load Forecast •Wind Forecast •Expected Generator Availability •Generator Testing •Reserve Requirement •Transmission Constraint Groups(TCGs) •Hydro Targets •Market submitted prices and generator technical parameters •Interconnector Flows RCUC Outputs: •Generation Schedule •Tie Line Flow Schedule •Reserve Schedule 37 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Settlement 38 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Settlements Cycle Meter Data (MDPs) Market Data (TSOs) Data Submitted Settlement Calculations Compile and Issue Settlement Statements Payment In and Out Compile and Issue Invoices 39 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Wholesale Market €2.9 Billion Capacity € 530 Million Energy €2120 Million Market Operation €24 Million Imperfections €176 Million 40 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Capacity Payment Mechanism Annual Capacity Payment Sum €529,876,722 (2013)* Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec CP1 CP2 CP3 CP4 CP5 CP6 CP7 CP8 CP9 CP10 CP11 CP12 Capacity Charges = Recovery of Capacity Payment. It is intended that in each month: Charges = Payments * http://www.allislandproject.org/GetAttachment.aspx?id=4c23d8a5-c2a6-496b-8788-252d13b8ead2 41 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Settlement Charges & Payments Supplier Charges Generator Payments (& Charges) Energy Charges (weekly) All Supplier units based on Metered Demand and System Marginal Price Energy Payments (weekly) To all Generator units based on Market Scheduled Quantity (MSQ) and System Marginal Price (SMP) Imperfections Charge (weekly) To recover constraint costs, MWP and Uninstructed imbalance payment Constraint Payments (weekly) Apply if Dispatch Quantity (DQ) does not equal MSQ Uninstructed Imbalance Payments If Actual Output (meter data) differs from DQ Make Whole Payments (weekly) Ensures that all Generator Unit Operating Costs are met Testing Charges (weekly) charge in respect of a Generator Unit Under Test in accordance with the Testing Tariff. Capacity Charge (monthly) Charge for recovery of payment Capacity Payments (monthly) A payment in relation to MW availability Market Operator Operating Cost Charge (weekly & monthly) Fixed (FMOC) and Variable (VMOC) Charges per Unit Market Operator Operating Cost Charge (weekly & monthly) Fixed Charge per Units Currency Costs (weekly & monthly) The cost of transacting across more than one jurisdiction 42 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Resettlement Timings Timetabled Resettlement Ad hoc Resettlement When? Settlement date plus 4 months (M+4) When? As and when a High Materiality Formal Query has been upheld or post Month 13 upheld Formal Query Settlement date plus 13 months (M+13) Why? Trading & Settlement Code requirement Updated Meter Data for Non Price Effecting Generation and Demand (NPEG/NPED) Low Materiality upheld Formal Settlement Queries Why? High Materiality = above Settlement Threshold Changes to DQs, Meter Data, Availability etc Who is impacted? Potentially all Participants 43 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Supporting Information for Invoices CD+1WD1 CD +5WD2 CD +Month 4 CD + Month13 Ex. Post Indicative Ex. Post Initial Resettlement Resettlement Statements only Settlement Statements & Invoices Statements & Invoices Statements & Invoices Allows Market to review & query Settlement data Based on Settlement changes from Initial *1 Based on Settlement changes from M+4 Or 3 WD after end of the Capacity Period for Capacity *2 Or 7 WD after end of Capacity Period for Capacity 44 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Invoice Payment Terms Payment IN by 3 Working Days 12:00 Energy & Capacity Payment OUT by 4 Working Days 17:00 Payment IN by 5 Working Days 17:00 VMOC/ FMOC • • • • • Onus on Participant to meet all payments Obligation to pay and then dispute, not withhold payment Can receive up to 28 invoices per month Default Notice will be issued Credit Call made straightaway Note: Resettlement Invoicing (ENG, CAP, VMOC) follows same timelines, however, Generators can receive Invoices which require payment IN to SEM Bank. 45 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Credit Risk Management 46 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Credit Cover • • • Why have Credit Cover? • Reduces financial risk to SEM should Participants default on payment • In the event of a payment default, this credit cover can be used to satisfy outstanding financial obligations to the market Required Credit Cover • Calculated and revised each working day • Credit Cover Increase Notices responded to within two working days • Suppliers – Approx 4 weeks Charges • Generators – Fixed Credit Cover (to cover resettlement) • Approx 90% Energy, 10% Capacity How to Provide Credit Cover • Letter of Credit (Bank Guarantee) and/or Cash Collateral Reserve 47 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Credit Cover Increase Notice 1st Working Day 2nd Working Day Credit Cover Report published containing CCIN value 14:30 17:00 17:00 17:00 How to remedy a CCIN At any stage within the 2 Working Days a Participant can: • Submit increased collateral (cash or increased Letter of Credit value) • Pay Invoice(s) (before due date if necessary) • Enter into Settlement Reallocation(s) If CCIN is not remedied by 17:00 2WD, Participant in Default & subject to Suspension from Market 48 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Market Rules 49 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Market Obligations in the SEM • Trading and Settlement Code (T&SC) • Legal document • Participants agree to abide by the T&SC • The Code documents the rules and obligations of all participants in the SEM Trading & Settlement Code on website • Agreed Procedures (APs) • • • • • Appended to the Code Explain in more detail certain procedures Easier reading The Code takes priority over APs Agreed Procedures on the website Changes to the Trading & Settlement Code and Agreed Procedures • Changes to either document can only made through the Modifications process • Any Party in the Market can raise a Modification for consideration • Details of the Modifications process and Form are available here Modifications Forms and current/approved Modifications on the website 50 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Registering in the SEM • Can take up to 60 days once full paperwork received; • All fees and Credit Cover requirements must be fulfilled prior to trading in the SEM. • All relevant information to assist you in joining the SEM is available here: http://www.sem-o.com/joiningthemarket/Pages/home.aspx 51 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 www.sem-o.com 52 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Website • • • • • • Market Status Market Data Reporting on Market Performance Market Change Joining the Market Training www.sem-o.com 54 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Market Data Dynamic Reporting Provides publically available Market data 55 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 Further Information • • • • • • Helicopter Guide Trading & Settlement Code www.sem-o.com www.allislandproject.org/en/SEM_overview.aspx www.cer.ie www.uregni.gov.uk 56 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 DOCUMENT DISCLAIMER Every care and precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of the information provided herein but such information is provided without warranties express, implied or otherwise howsoever arising and EirGrid plc and SONI Limited to the fullest extent permitted by law shall not be liable for any inaccuracies, errors, omissions or misleading information contained herein. 57 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013 58 Copyri ght © Ei rGrid/SONI 2013
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