State PreK Contacts Meeting February 3, 2015 Total matched records after duplicates resolved Datapoint not permissable Out of range scores Do not have valid assessments in all 3 required domains Level 1 Exclusions Less than 3 months between entry and exit assessment Entry assessment completed at 30 months or less Exit assessment completed at less than 39 months Total exclusions Total records included in final FY13-14 data set 0 0 11,395 11,395 11,395 401 10,994 22 10,972 55 10,917 0 478 10,917 10,917 71% male Average of 19.3 months between entry and exit Entry assessment was conducted at a range of ages but primarily around 36 months OSEP Categories a. Percent of preschool children who did not improve functioning b. Percent of preschool children who improved functioning but not sufficient to move nearer to functioning comparable to sameaged peers c. Percent of preschool children who improved functioning to a level nearer to same-aged peers but did not reach d. Percent of preschool children who improved functioning to reach a level comparable to same-aged peers e. Percent of preschool children who maintained functioning at a level comparable to same-aged peers Total Outcome A BDI-2 Personal-social Domain n % Outcome B BDI-2 Communication Domain n % Outcome C BDI-2 Adaptive Domain n % 238 2.2 318 2.9 276 2.5 1,366 12.5 2,232 20.4 1,796 16.5 471 4.3 961 8.8 363 3.3 2,404 22.0 3,456 31.7 2,040 18.7 6,438 59.0 3,950 36.2 6,442 59.0 N=10,917 100% N=10,917 100% N=10,917 100% Outcome A Personal-social FY 2013-14 Outcome B Communication Outcome C Adaptive N SS#1 % SS#2 % SS#1 % SS#2 % SS#1 % SS#2 % 10,917 64.2 81.0 63.4 67.8 53.7 77.7 Longitudinal Trends Outcome A Personal-social Outcome B Communication Outcome C Adaptive N SS#1 % SS#2 % SS#1 % SS#2 % SS#1 % SS#2 % 09-10 3,549 70.6 84.1 65.6 64.4 60.7 80.8 10-11 8,161 67.1 82.8 65.3 67.8 57.8 80.1 11-12 10,890 63.3 82.0 63.5 68.2 54.2 79.4 12-13 11,285 63.1 81.9 63.4 68.4 54.9 79.0 13-14 10,917 64.2 81.0 63.4 67.8 53.7 77.7 Summary Statement #1 85 80 75 70 Outcome A 65 Outcome B 60 Outcome C 55 50 FY 09-10 FY 10-11 FY 11-12 FY 12-13 FY 13-14 Summary Statement #2 85 80 75 70 Outcome A 65 Outcome B 60 Outcome C 55 50 FY 09-10 FY 10-11 FY 11-12 FY 12-13 FY 13-14 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% ANY C/D/E 50% ALL C/D/E 40% ANY D/E 30% ALL D/E 20% 10% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Variability Across Districts SS#1 Personal-Social 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 SS#1 Communication 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 SS#1 Adaptive 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 SS#2 Personal-Social 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 SS#2 Communication 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 SS#2 Adaptive 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 100 90 80 70 60 Severe delay at entry (Personal-Social) 50 SS#1 40 SS#2 30 20 10 0 n = 989 n = 425 n = 738 n = 1188 100 90 80 70 60 Severe delay at entry (Communication) 50 SS#1 40 SS#2 30 20 10 0 n = 425 n = 738 n = 1188 n = 989 100 90 80 70 60 Severe delay at entry (Adaptive) 50 SS#1 SS#2 40 30 20 10 0 n = 425 n = 738 n = 1188 n = 989 Targets Outcome A BDI-2 Personal-social Domain Outcome B BDI-2 Communication Domain Outcome C BDI-2 Adaptive Domain SS#1 SS#2 SS#1 SS#2 SS#1 SS#2 (2,875/4,479) (8,842/10,917) (4,417/6,967) (7,406/10,917) (2,403/4,475) (8,482/10,917) 64.2% 81.0% 63.4% 67.8% 53.7% 77.7% Target 63.6% 82.4% 63.9% 68.9% 55.4% 79.5% Target Met? Yes No No No No No Data Summary Statement #1 Outcome A 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 Outcome A - Actual Data Outcome A - Target Summary Statement #1 Outcome B 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 Outcome B - Actual Data Outcome B - Target Summary Statement #1 Outcome C 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 Outcome C - Actual Data Outcome C - Target Summary Statement #2 Outcome A 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 Outcome A - Actual Data Outcome A - Target Summary Statement #2 Outcome B 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 Outcome B - Actual Data Outcome B - Target Summary Statement #2 Outcome C 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 Outcome C - Actual Data Outcome C - Target Bjorn Lomborg, interviewed recently on the Freakonomics podcast hosted by Stephen Dubner, discussed how he and his group of economists and other social scientists helped the U.N. develop targets for the second set of Millenium Goals. They started with169 proposed targets within more than a dozen major categories such as poverty, famine, climate change, and sustainable industrialization. Too many goals! So Lomborg and his group rated each goal based on three criteria: cost, reality of achievement, and impact. Only a dozen goals were given top rating by Lomborg’s group. They were goals that people already had solutions for; that could be widely implemented at fairly low cost; and that could be expected to have a very significant impact. Applying Lomborg’s reasoning to improving outcomes for preschool children with disabilities, some questions we might ask ourselves could be: What do we already know about improving children’s social relationships, acquisition and use of knowledge and skills, and use of appropriate behaviors to meet their needs? What can we do within current resources? What changes in current practice will have the greatest impact on children?
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