Size-alike Graphs Part B

State PreK Contacts Meeting
February 3, 2015
Total matched records after duplicates resolved
Datapoint not permissable
Out of range scores
Do not have valid assessments in all 3 required
domains
Level 1
Exclusions Less than 3 months between entry and exit
assessment
Entry assessment completed at 30 months or less
Exit assessment completed at less than 39 months
Total exclusions
Total records included in final FY13-14 data set
0
0
11,395
11,395
11,395
401
10,994
22
10,972
55
10,917
0
478
10,917
10,917



71% male
Average of 19.3 months between entry and exit
Entry assessment was conducted at a range of ages
but primarily around 36 months
OSEP Categories
a. Percent of preschool children
who did not improve functioning
b. Percent of preschool children
who improved functioning but not
sufficient to move nearer to
functioning comparable to sameaged peers
c. Percent of preschool children
who improved functioning to a level
nearer to same-aged peers but did
not reach
d. Percent of preschool children
who improved functioning to reach
a level comparable to same-aged
peers
e. Percent of preschool children
who maintained functioning at a
level comparable to same-aged
peers
Total
Outcome A
BDI-2
Personal-social
Domain
n
%
Outcome B
BDI-2
Communication
Domain
n
%
Outcome C
BDI-2
Adaptive
Domain
n
%
238
2.2
318
2.9
276
2.5
1,366
12.5
2,232
20.4
1,796
16.5
471
4.3
961
8.8
363
3.3
2,404
22.0
3,456
31.7
2,040
18.7
6,438
59.0
3,950
36.2
6,442
59.0
N=10,917
100%
N=10,917
100%
N=10,917
100%
Outcome A
Personal-social
FY 2013-14
Outcome B
Communication
Outcome C
Adaptive
N
SS#1
%
SS#2
%
SS#1
%
SS#2
%
SS#1
%
SS#2
%
10,917
64.2
81.0
63.4
67.8
53.7
77.7
Longitudinal Trends
Outcome A
Personal-social
Outcome B
Communication
Outcome C
Adaptive
N
SS#1
%
SS#2
%
SS#1
%
SS#2
%
SS#1
%
SS#2
%
09-10
3,549
70.6
84.1
65.6
64.4
60.7
80.8
10-11
8,161
67.1
82.8
65.3
67.8
57.8
80.1
11-12
10,890
63.3
82.0
63.5
68.2
54.2
79.4
12-13
11,285
63.1
81.9
63.4
68.4
54.9
79.0
13-14
10,917
64.2
81.0
63.4
67.8
53.7
77.7
Summary Statement #1
85
80
75
70
Outcome A
65
Outcome B
60
Outcome C
55
50
FY 09-10 FY 10-11 FY 11-12 FY 12-13 FY 13-14
Summary Statement #2
85
80
75
70
Outcome A
65
Outcome B
60
Outcome C
55
50
FY 09-10 FY 10-11 FY 11-12 FY 12-13 FY 13-14
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
ANY C/D/E
50%
ALL C/D/E
40%
ANY D/E
30%
ALL D/E
20%
10%
0%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Variability Across
Districts
SS#1
Personal-Social
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
SS#1
Communication
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
SS#1
Adaptive
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
SS#2
Personal-Social
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
SS#2
Communication
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
SS#2
Adaptive
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
100
90
80
70
60
Severe delay at entry (Personal-Social)
50
SS#1
40
SS#2
30
20
10
0
n = 989
n = 425
n = 738
n = 1188
100
90
80
70
60
Severe delay at entry
(Communication)
50
SS#1
40
SS#2
30
20
10
0
n = 425
n = 738
n = 1188
n = 989
100
90
80
70
60
Severe delay at entry (Adaptive)
50
SS#1
SS#2
40
30
20
10
0
n = 425
n = 738
n = 1188
n = 989
Targets
Outcome A
BDI-2
Personal-social
Domain
Outcome B
BDI-2
Communication
Domain
Outcome C
BDI-2
Adaptive
Domain
SS#1
SS#2
SS#1
SS#2
SS#1
SS#2
(2,875/4,479)
(8,842/10,917)
(4,417/6,967)
(7,406/10,917)
(2,403/4,475)
(8,482/10,917)
64.2%
81.0%
63.4%
67.8%
53.7%
77.7%
Target
63.6%
82.4%
63.9%
68.9%
55.4%
79.5%
Target
Met?
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
Data
Summary Statement #1
Outcome A
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19
Outcome A - Actual Data
Outcome A - Target
Summary Statement #1
Outcome B
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19
Outcome B - Actual Data
Outcome B - Target
Summary Statement #1
Outcome C
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19
Outcome C - Actual Data
Outcome C - Target
Summary Statement #2
Outcome A
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19
Outcome A - Actual Data
Outcome A - Target
Summary Statement #2
Outcome B
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19
Outcome B - Actual Data
Outcome B - Target
Summary Statement #2
Outcome C
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19
Outcome C - Actual Data
Outcome C - Target


Bjorn Lomborg, interviewed recently on the
Freakonomics podcast hosted by Stephen
Dubner, discussed how he and his group of
economists and other social scientists helped
the U.N. develop targets for the second set of
Millenium Goals.
They started with169 proposed targets within
more than a dozen major categories such as
poverty, famine, climate change, and
sustainable industrialization. Too many goals!


So Lomborg and his group rated each goal
based on three criteria: cost, reality of
achievement, and impact.
Only a dozen goals were given top rating by
Lomborg’s group. They were goals that
people already had solutions for; that could
be widely implemented at fairly low cost; and
that could be expected to have a very
significant impact.




Applying Lomborg’s reasoning to improving
outcomes for preschool children with
disabilities, some questions we might ask
ourselves could be:
What do we already know about improving
children’s social relationships, acquisition and use
of knowledge and skills, and use of appropriate
behaviors to meet their needs?
What can we do within current resources?
What changes in current practice will have the
greatest impact on children?