Benefits of New England’s Proposed Capacity Market David LaPlante, Vice President, Wholesale Markets Strategy April 26, 2006 1 Effective Capacity Market Completes Wholesale Market Design • Wholesale markets kicked off in 1999 with single energy clearing price as interim design • Standard Market Design brought locational energy prices and multi-settlement in 2003 • Ancillary Services Markets improved in 2006 by adding locational reserve market to encourage quick start facilities and opportunity for demand to bid directly into market • Capacity Market improvements are last major piece of market design March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 2 Markets Creating Development Activity: Potential Capacity Additions 1600 1400 1200 Not yet known Nuclear Oil Wind & Biomass Natural Gas/Oil MW 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 3 Growing Peak Drives Need to Build More Resources ISO-NE Summer Peak as Percent of Average Hourly Load 175 165 155 145 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 4 Forward Capacity Market Goals • Induce investment to maintain adequate resources over the long term • Allow new capacity resources to compete and set price • Assure high level of performance from resources when needed • Address market power in capacity market and energy market • Together with other markets, send price signals for both an efficient mix and efficient operation of resources March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 5 FCM Encourages Appropriate Investment in All Resources • Holding auction three years in advance of need allows time for new development • New capacity: Option to select five year commitment • Easier to attract investment, reducing risk • Existing capacity: Gets annual auction price • Provides stable revenue stream to support reliable operations March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 6 FCM Includes All Resources • Demand recognized as important resource – To meet capacity needs and/or reduce capacity obligation • Opportunity for energy efficiency to participate in FCM market – New programs may be eligible for transition payments • Intermittent resources to be treated as capacity resource • Demand Resources and Intermittent Resources Working Groups formed to develop eligibility details March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 7 FCM Protects Consumers • Capacity resources must be available during hours of high prices/operating reserves shortage for full payment – Works to mitigate reliability issues seen during January cold snap • Capacity payments reduced when energy price exceeds a threshold • Consumers don’t pay twice for capacity and energy March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 8 FCM Addresses Market Power • Bids from new capacity are assumed to be competitive • Requires existing capacity to offer into the market – New England market is concentrated, especially in smaller zones – Risk that owners of large amounts of generation could withhold capacity and force prices higher – Market Monitor will review bids of existing capacity • Places limits on offers for those that wish to retire or leave the market March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 9 Effort to Prepare and Administer FCM • Approve bidder qualifications – Financial assurance interconnection analysis site and schedule for new development • Review and monitor offers – Self supply criteria – Restriction for de-list and export bids • Reports to FERC – Requirements for different zones – Market Monitoring determinations • Determine Installed Capacity Requirement (ICR) for 2010-2011 power year by next summer • First FCM auction first quarter of 2008 March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 10 Overall Action Plan for Reliability, Adequacy, and Cost Control • Complete market improvements to build reserve resources and new capacity • Encourage capacity resources with diverse fuel types – Tackling state siting barriers to the development of non-gas generation • Reduce the growth in peak demand – Time differentiated retail rates for large customers March 2006 © 2006 ISO New England Inc. 11
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