CHAPTER 4 Strategic Capacity Management Copyright © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Learning Objectives 1. 2. 3. 4. Recognize the concept of capacity and how important it is to “manage” capacity. Explain the impact of economies of scale on the capacity of a firm. Understand Decision Making considerations when choosing a technique Understand how to use decision trees to analyze alternatives when faced with the problem of adding capacity. Capacity Management in Operations • Capacity can be defined as the ability to hold, receive, store, or accommodate • Strategic capacity planning is an approach for determining the overall capacity level of capital intensive resources, including facilities, equipment, and overall labor force size Capacity Planning Time Durations • Long range • Intermediate range: • Short range: Economies and Diseconomies of Scale • Economies of scale: as a business gets larger, the average cost per unit drops • Lower operating and capital costs • Per unit cost of equipment drops • More specialization of labor • At some point, the business becomes too large • Diseconomies of scale becomes a problem LO 2 Other Factors That Affect Business Size • Internal equipment • Labor • Capital expenditures • Transportation costs • Advantages of being close to markets LO 2 Planning Service Capacity • Time: goods can not be stored for later use and capacity must be available to provide a service when it is needed • Location: service goods must be at the customer demand point and capacity must be located near the customer • Volatility of demand: much greater than in manufacturing LO 4 Capacity Utilization and Service Quality • Must consider the day-to-day relationship between service utilization and service quality • Optimal utilization rate is very context specific • Low rates are appropriate when both the degree of uncertainty and stakes are high • Relatively predictable services or service facilities without customer contact can operate much nearer 100 percent utilization LO 4 DECISION MAKING How Much Certainty exists? Complete • Break-even • Calculus • Linear Prog • Integer Prog. • Goal Prog. • Risk decision theory AOV Queuing Theory Decision Trees Simulation PERT and CPM Extreme • Game theory • Coin Flip Six-Step Problem-Solving Process • Step 1: Identify and Select the problem • Step 2: Analyze the problem • Step 3: Generate Potential Solutions • Step 4: Select and Plan the Solution • Step 5: Implement the Solution • Step 6: Evaluate the Solution Using Decision Trees to Evaluate Capacity Alternatives • Decision tree: a schematic model of the sequence of steps in a problem and the conditions and consequences of each step • Decision tree helps understand problem and helps find solution • Decision trees are composed of decision nodes with branches • Squares represent decision points • Circles represent chance events LO 3 Decision Trees E1 [P(E1)] Payoff 1 E2 [P(E2)] E3 [P(E3)] Payoff 2 Payoff 3 Alternative 3 1 1st decision = Event node 2 Ei = Event i P(Ei) = Probability of event i Payoff 2 Alternative 5 Payoff 3 Possible 2nd decision E2 [P(E2)] E3 [P(E3)] = Decision node Alternative 4 Payoff 1 Payoff 1 Payoff 2 Decision Trees 1 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 1 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 1 Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise Sizable response [0.7] High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 1 Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise Sizable response [0.7] High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 1 0.3(20) + 0.7(220) Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise Sizable response [0.7] High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 1 0.3(20) + 0.7(220) Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise Sizable response [0.7] $160 High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 $270 1 Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise $160 Sizable response [0.7] $160 High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 $270 1 Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise $160 Sizable response [0.7] ($160) High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 0.4(200) + 0.6(270) Don’t expand $223 2 Expand $270 $270 1 Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise $160 Sizable response [0.7] 0.4(160)($160) + 0.6(800) High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 0.4(200) + 0.6(270) Don’t expand $242 $223 2 Expand $270 $270 1 Do nothing $40 3 Modest response [0.3] Advertise $160 Sizable response [0.7] 0.4(160)($160) + 0.6(800) $544 High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $242 $223 2 Expand $270 $270 1 Do nothing $40 $544 3 Advertise $160 Sizable response [0.7] $160 $544 Modest response [0.3] High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 Decision Trees Low demand [0.4] $200 Don’t expand $242 $223 2 Expand $270 $270 1 Do nothing $40 $544 3 Advertise $160 Sizable response [0.7] $160 $544 Modest response [0.3] High demand [0.6] $800 $20 $220 ANY QUESTIONS?
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