REV 01 TOPIC 5 NATIONAL INCOME DETERMINATION REV 01 Planned Aggregate Expenditure (AE) • Planned aggregate expenditure is the total amount the economy plans to spend in a given period. It is equal to consumption plus planned investment. AE C I REV 01 Equilibrium Aggregate Output (Income) • Equilibrium occurs when there is no tendency for change. In the macroeconomic goods market, equilibrium occurs when planned aggregate expenditure is equal to aggregate output. Aggregate output = Planned aggregate expenditure Y = AE ( C + I ) REV 01 Equilibrium Aggregate Output (Income) REV 01 Equilibrium Aggregate Output (Income) Deriving the Planned Aggregate Expenditure Schedule and Finding Equilibrium (All Figures in Billions of Dollars) The Figures in Column 2 are Based on the Equation C = 100 + .75Y. (1) (3) (4) (5) (6) AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION (C) PLANNED INVESTMENT (I) PLANNED AGGREGATE EXPENDITURE (AE) C+I UNPLANNED INVENTORY CHANGE Y - (C + I) EQUILIBRIUM (Y = AE) 100 175 25 200 - 100 No 200 250 25 275 - 75 No 400 400 25 425 - 25 No 500 475 25 500 0 Yes 600 550 25 575 + 25 No 800 700 25 725 + 75 No 1,000 850 25 875 + 125 No AGGREGATE OUTPUT (INCOME) (Y) (2) Equilibrium Aggregate Output (Income) (1) Y=C+I ( 2 ) C = 100 + 0.75Y ( 3 ) I = 25 By substituting (2) and (3) into (1) we get: Y = 100 + 0.75 Y + 25 REV 01 There is only one value of Y for which this statement is true. We can find it by rearranging terms: Y - 0.75 Y = 100 + 25 0.25 Y = 125 Y = 125 / 0.25 Y = 500 The Saving/Investment Approach to Equilibrium REV 01 If planned investment is exactly equal to saving, then planned aggregate expenditure is exactly equal to aggregate output, and there is equilibrium. REV 01 The S = I Approach to Equilibrium • Aggregate output will be equal to planned aggregate expenditure only when saving equals planned investment (S = I). REV 01 The Multiplier • The multiplier is the ratio of the change in the equilibrium level of output to a change in some autonomous variable. – An autonomous variable is a variable that is assumed not to depend on the state of the economy - that is, it does not change when the economy changes. • In this chapter, for example, we consider planned investment to be autonomous REV 01 The Multiplier • The multiplier of autonomous investment describes the impact of an initial increase in planned investment on production, income, consumption spending, and equilibrium income. • The size of the multiplier depends on the slope of the planned aggregate expenditure line. REV 01 The Multiplier Equation • The marginal propensity to save may be expressed as: DS MPS DY • Because DS must be equal to DI for equilibrium to be restored, we can substitute DI for DS and solve: • • DI MPS DY therefore 1 multiplier MPS or 1 DY DI MPS 1 multiplier 1 - MPC REV 01 The Multiplier • After an increase in planned investment, equilibrium output is four times the amount of the increase in planned investment.
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