Annex 3 Risk Management Guide A higher education institution (HEI) can face a multitude of risks. It is inescapable and is relevant to ask ‘what is the risk of doing X?’ but also to question ‘what is the risk if we don’t?’ This guide provides a brief overview of the risk management process at City University London. The guide offers a number of ideas and poses questions which should be considered when updating, renewing or starting a new risk register. Towards the end of this guide there are a number of snapshots of the documentation used at City to capture strategic risks. In addition to this, the Governance and Risk responsibility structure is also identified. 1. What is Risk? Risk concerns both opportunities and threats. An HEI may experience risks that are a threat to current activities but at the same time by being too over cautious may prevent opportunities being taken. By considering the actions and decisions that are taken by City we can start to determine how factors may be preventing us from meeting our key objectives. Positive risk management should help City University London to: Have increased confidence in achieving its desired outcomes Effectively constrain threats to acceptable levels Take informed decisions about exploiting opportunities ‘Risk identification is partly about trying to eliminate the number of unknowns’ (CUC & the Leadership Foundation, 2009: Getting to Grips with Risk). An institution must be mindful that there are some risks that they have yet to consider and in some cases may not even know about. The list of risks that are identified should be comprehensive, consistent and complete; however, risks can arise at any point of a project lifecycle and these should also be considered. 2 Who should own your risk? The Vice Chancellor is responsible for the management of the University, including all the risks to the University. To assist the Vice Chancellor with this challenge, there are Strategic Risk Owners identified from the University’s delegated responsibility framework and their areas of individual authority. This alignment with the delegations framework ensures that the risk owner has the authority to fulfil their responsibilities. Each level of owner has a particular set of responsibilities: Annex 3 Strategic Risk Owners – responsible for management and control of all aspects of their risks, including the implementation of measures taken in respect of each risk (whether these risks are within one particular activity or at the strategic or strategic sub-risk level, school and portfolio level or programme level including business processes, operational services and projects). Risk Owner – responsibility for management and control of all aspects of their risks whether strategic sub-risk, school or portfolio risk, operational risks and programme and project level risks. Action Owners - a delegated role responsible for taking actions in relation to a specific risk and for keeping the risk owner apprised of the situation. 3 What do we mean by controlling the risks? Controls are actions or strategies that have been put in place to help to reduce, or mitigate, the risk, both in terms of likelihood of occurrence and severity of outcome. Remember that an institution does not want to be so risk-adverse that opportunities are not taken. However, the controls should help an institution avoid exposed decisions leading to financial loss. 4 What is the level of risk? It is important for us to prioritise risk so that the University can focus on the most important issues. At City University London we assess risk by considering the likelihood of a risk occurring and the impact that this would have on the University. Impacts may be cost, time, management attention, loss of reputation and loss of market share. The University also considers the risk once actions have been made. This is known as ‘net risk’ or ‘post-control risk.’ By considering where the risk was before the actions were in place (‘pre-control risk’) we are able to determine the effectiveness of the controls we are putting in place. 5. Future management of the risk It may be appropriate that once controls have been put in place the risk is deemed tolerable and therefore no further action may need to be taken. In this case, the risk may even be taken off the risk register as an expired risk. It is, however, not appropriate to forget about this risk escalating at a later date. If the risk is intolerable it is essential to consider further actions to reduce the risk. It is good practice to consider the consequence of the action but also to delegate the responsibility to an appropriate staff member with an intended completion date for the task. In some cases an action may be on-going and it is worth considering the action becoming a control at a later date. Annex 3 6. Risk Map Once post-control risks have been assessed for the impact and likelihood they can be plotted on a risk map. The map at City University London operates on a ‘traffic light’ system whereby the risks sitting in the red section of the map (i.e., above the University’s tolerance line) are the areas of most concern. It is the risks above the tolerance line that have been identified as being those with the biggest threat to the business of the University and will be the primary concern of Council. 7 Risk reporting Risk reporting is the key aspect of the risk management process. The Senior Team of the University are reliant on the information with which they are provided. It is essential to provide the right level of detail for the smooth running of the risk management process. At City, high level risks (those above the tolerance line) are reported to Council. Those below the tolerance line at the strategic level are monitored by the risk owners and discussed at ExCo. School and portfolio risks are dealt with within the structure of each particular school or portfolio. Where these operational risks become a greater risk to the University they are escalated up to the strategic risk register for consideration at a University-wide level. 8. School Risks Operational risks at School and Portfolio level are considered as part of the Planning Round. The risks associated with achieving the school plans are considered by the Strategy and Planning Unit and aggregated up so that areas of risk common across the University can be identified. Schools and portfolios will also have their own risks not common with others. An example of this is the fulfilment of the NHS contract in the School of Community and Health Sciences. 9. Project Risks Risks at the project level are managed by the Projects Team in IPCS. Much of the detail of risk management is held within the Prince2 project management environment. 10. Annual Review The risk register is reviewed biannually at all levels. As part of the review the controls, actions and risk significance is reconsidered. Any changes will be documented and where appropriate, risks that have escalated above the tolerance line will be reported to Council. Annex 3 As part of the annual review Audit and Risk Committee will consider the University’s risk appetite and advise Council to move the tolerance line if required. The risk policy will also be monitored annually and can be changed if necessary. These exercises all form part of reporting to HEFCE in the Annual Monitoring Statement. 11. Description of controls Controls are put in place to alleviate, or mitigate, the chances of a risk occurring. Generally, higher priority risks will have more controls in place to try to reduce the likelihood of a risk occurring. However, some risks are external to the University and the level of controls may be limited as action by the University may not reduce the risk. It is important to consider the consequence of implementing controls. Controls should help to reduce the risk, not just be put in place to seem that action is being taken. Action should reduce the risk or at least maintain the level of the risk. Controls can expire if they are no longer relevant in the consideration of a risk. This can occur when the University strategy is updated or policy changes are implemented. Annex 3 12 Risk Register: A brief overview The main body of work associated with Risk Management at City University London is focussed on the Risk Register. The Register identifies the major risks for the University and links them to the Strategic Plan. This ensures that we consider all risks in achieving the plan. Figures 1 and 2 show the two parts of the Risk Register. Figure 1 shows the tabular Risk Register which is used as a quick guide to the risk. Figure 2 is the risk analysis sheet which provides the detail of the actions the University has in place already, further actions that Link to the Strategic Plan The Corporate (KPI) and Operational Performance Indicators (Op) identified to achieve the Strategic Plan Risk Description Substantial risks to achieving the Strategic Plan Pre Control Risk Impact (1-5) Likelihood (15) Significance Risk colour in accordance with University's risk appetite Controls Controls in place to constrain the risk Post Control Risk Impact (1-5) Likelihood (1-5) Significance Risk colour in accordance with University's risk appetite 1.1 Controls 4 2 8 Risk toleration If the post control risk is deemed intolerable identify further actions required stating responsibility, timescale and cost Risk Owner Person responsible for ensuring risk manageme nt Current Status Closed, Reducing, Increasing, Imminent or No Change 1 Quality of Education KPI - Student experience KPI - Governance & Compliance Op - Student recommendations Op - Retention rates Op - Programme introductions/ amendments/withdrawals Op - Employer engagement in curriculum devt Op - Results of external programme audits Op - Timely completion of institutional reviews Programme Development 4 4 16 the University intends to put in place, and the key indicators to measure the level of the risk. Figure 1: Part of the tabular risk register 1.1 Actions DVC Education Review Summer 2009 Annex 3 1.1 Programme Development Controls in Place: Strengthened marketing intelligence in programme approval COO focus on marketing, brand and publicity management Address key development areas through Planning Round at ExCo Staff development unit created offering improvement of teaching and learning supported by Schools and enhancement strategies Annual/Periodic reviews of course viability to BoS and APPSC Annual review of courses with professional accreditation First year student survey to assess student experience Action plans in response to NSS Institutional audit discussed at ExCo and scaled up through audit liaison committees in Schools. Further Actions required: Action Effective co-ordination of University and School based market research Review University’s UG offerings including core curriculum Review University’s graduate offerings Regular poll of alumni about courses from 2010 All student to receive core curriculum by 2010 Module feedback approach to gain consistent student feedback 2nd yr & PG survey assessing wider scope than NSS INTO initiative to improve PG entry flows and quality Business related education review feeding into UG Review Associate Deans (L&T) role defined and strengthened Timetabling review ADS established as a development unit Responsibility Target Date Marketing ? DVCE/Head of ADU Report in June 09 Achieved 2010/11 2010 2010 2008/09 2009 June 09 Summer 09 Monitoring/Early warning mechanisms/KPIs: KPI – Student experience % agree response on NSS (3rd yr UG only). NSS results by School and League Table results Figure 2: Detailed risk analysis Annex 3 13 Risk Appetite/Risk Map It is important for the University to assess the level of risk it is willing to accept. When monitoring it is essential to keep the University’s Council informed of the high level risks. In order to do this, the Audit and Risk Committee recommend a risk tolerance on an annual basis. Any risk which is deemed to fall above the tolerance line, in this case into the red area of the risk map, must be approved and sanctions put in place by Council, ExCo and the Projects Board. A full risk map can be viewed as part of the Risk Management documentation and would usually identify where each of the risks are plotted on the map, and potentially where they have moved from as part of the monitoring. Net Risk Assessment (risk after considering controls in place) over the next 5 years or life of the project Impact Criteria 5 year Impact or over life of the project Catastrophic 5 Financial net impact of 6-20% of turnover Substantial regulatory consequences Major negative sanction by Hefce Major international adverse publicity Death of an individual or several major injuries Major 4 Financial net impact of 3-5% of turnover Addressable regulatory consequences Adverse publicity in national papers Major injury Impact University forced to cease business Loss of a substantial part of University/School Financial net impact >20% turnover Multiple major injuries or deaths Financial net impact of 1-2% of turnover No regulatory consequences Adverse publicity locally or in THES Minor injury City University Risk Tolerance Line Any risks which fall above this line will need Council/ExCo/Project Board approval and sanction Serious 3 Moderate 2 Financial net impact of less than 1% of turnover No other significant impacts Minor 1 1 Rare University Social Science IHS Law Informatics Engineering Cass Arts Projects % of cost 1% 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 1% £m of turnover (2005/6) 3% 6% 4.1 8.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.1 2.2 0.3 0.5 3% 6% 20% 27.4 1.9 6.4 1.8 1.6 2.7 7.3 1.8 20% 2 3 4 5 Possible Likely Very likely Almost certain Likelihood within 5 years or life of project 0 - 5% 6-20% 51-80% >80% 21-50% Extremely unlikely or Low but not More likely to occur Almost certainly will Fairly likely to occur virtually impossible impossible than not occur Your assessment of probability should depend on factors such as past history, current circumstances and the nature of controls in place Annex 3 14 Governance and Risk responsibilities All members of staff have a duty to be aware of the day to day risks within the University and to be aware of the risks operating within their School or Portfolio. At the strategic level risks are owned by members of the Senior Management Team. There is currently a list of fifteen strategic risks which are deemed to be of vital importance to the running of the University. These risks can be found within the Strategic Risk Register. City University Governance and Risk Responsibilities (from July 2009) Deputy Vice Chancellor Responsible for Management Responsible for University Planning Dinos Arcoumanis DVC Education DVC Research and International Responsible for : Responsible for: Learning and Development Centre Research International Education Relationships Susan Nash PVC Director of City Law School Responsible for : City Law School Responsible for Governance of the University Julius Weinberg Acting VC Julius Weinberg David Bolton Council Members of the University Christina Slade Ken Grattan PVC Director of School of Community and Health Sciences Conjoint Dean, School of Social Science and Arts Conjoint Dean, School of Informatics and SEMS Dean of Cass Business School Responsible for: Responsible for: Responsible for : Responsible for: Mary Watts School of Community and Health Sciences School of Social Science School of Informatics School of Arts School of Engineering and Mathematical Science Richard Gillingwater Cass Business School Henrietta Royle Frank Toop Chief Operating Officer University Secretary Responsible for : Responsible for: Governance Finance Internal Audit Human Resources Commercial office Academic Development Unit Information Services Dean of Students Marketing Dean of Validations Development and Alumni Relations John Tibble Services for Students Kevin Gibbons Property and Facilities
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