Economic modeling of water pricing strategies Nicholas Rivers Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, University of Ottawa, Canada Discussion Paper 1335 September 2013 This article assesses the costs and benefits of introducing a volumetric charge for water abstractions in Canada. and a changing climate, water scarcity is likely to become a more acute problem in the future. Current regulations do not provide effective The Global Water Forum publishes discussion papers to share the insights and knowledge contained within our online articles. The articles are contributed by experts in the field and provide: original academic research; unique, informed insights and arguments; evaluations of water policies and projects; as well as concise overviews and explanations of complex topics. We encourage our readers to engage in discussion with our contributing authors through the GWF website. incentives for firms to efficiently extract water from the environment. In particular, water allocation is primarily the responsibility of provincial governments in Canada, which rely on dated regulatory frameworks to grant licences for water extraction to end-users. Most provinces allocate licences on a first- Keywords: water abstraction, charge, costs, benefits, Canada come first-served system that gives priority to existing water users. 2,3,4 In general, these Although Canada is often recognized as having approaches do not encourage users to use less one of the largest supplies of fresh water in the water than they are allocated. In some cases, world, much of the available water is not near they may actually penalize conservation, since the densely populated southern boundary of water rights based on seniority often include a the country where it is most needed. “use it or lose it” condition such that water As a result, a number of Canadian regions have rights are revoked in the case of non-use. experienced, or are at risk of experiencing, water shortages.1 With increasing population Suggested Citation: Rivers, N. (2013), ‘Economic modeling of water pricing strategies’, GWF Discussion Paper 1335, Global Water Forum, Canberra, Australia. Available online at: http://www.globalwaterforum.org/2013/09/09/economic-‐modeling-‐of-‐water-‐pricing-‐ strategies/ Economic modeling of water pricing strategies Current prices for water abstraction and allocating finite water resources between consumption are also generally trivial. For competing end uses, a more competitive water example, most provinces charge a one-time price application fee for a water use licence that efficiency within existing users, as well as ranges from zero to a few thousand dollars. stimulate Some jurisdictions additionally charge an technologies. Whereas the water sector has annual fee consisting of either a fixed amount exhibited few innovations, relative to other or one that varies based on the volume of sectors, introducing a price that is closer to water used. Where applied, both fixed fees as the true marginal cost would create incentives well as any volumetric fees, are too low to for encourage efficient use and extraction of water investments in new capital infrastructure. An resources. For example, the average cost of increase in the price of self-extracted water self-supplied water manufacturing, in and would likely innovation water agencies improve in to water water make use resource profitable the mining, could also help to confer a portion of the thermal electric economic rent associated with the use of a generation industries is $0.0016, $0.0004, public resource to its owner. and $0.0000005 per m3.2,5 Most of this royalty to capture resource rent is applied average charge is made up of fixed costs, conventionally throughout most other natural meaning resource sectors, including for extraction of that there are effectively no incentives to conserve water at the margin. This type of mineral deposits, removal of standing timber, and, to a lesser extent, fisheries. Governments increasing have previously volumetric charges considered for self- supplied water in Canada. For example, a major federal subsequent government policy inquiry document in and 1987 recommended that water users pay a `realistic price’ based on volume used.6 Likewise, a recent government-sponsored could be designed to Charges reflect any environmental opportunity costs associated with water use, which would further improve the social efficiency of water use. Finally, revenue raised from water use charges could be used to offset other distortionary taxes in the economy. review suggested that water abstraction charges In Rivers and Groves (2013)2, we use a could help to improve the efficiency of water computable general equilibrium (CGE) model allocation.7 There are a number of potential to assess the economy-wide costs and benefits benefits. In addition to more efficiently of implementing a volumetric charge on water Economic modeling of water pricing strategies abstraction in Canada. Our CGE model is well water consumption (water that is abstracted suited for this exercise because it can trace but not discharged back to a body of water). impacts of water pricing through the economy We find that an abstraction charge of about and allows the simulated economy to fully $0.013/m3 reduces water abstractions by 25 adjust to a new equilibrium following the percent. The model suggests that if such a policy intervention. Such models are used charge was implemented as part of a green tax extensively in the analysis of environmental reform, where revenues from water taxation policies in other fields (e.g., energy, climate were used to reduce pre-existing distortionary change) but are less applied in the study of taxes, like labor income taxes, then the costs water policy. of the policy could be dampened. Demand for water consumption is less elastic (i.e. less The model builds on a typical CGE framework to include details that allow us to realistically capture the impact of water use charges on economic and environmental indicators. For example, we supplement economic data that forms the basis of the model with data on water abstraction, recirculation, and discharge in each economic sector. We include detail on both the volume of water used, as well as the costs associated with each stage of extraction, use, and discharge. We also incorporate into the model empirical estimates of the priceresponsiveness of water abstraction responsive to price changes) in the model, so a higher water consumption charge is required to reduce water consumption by an equivalent amount. Our findings suggest a water consumption charge of about $0.21/m3 would cause water consumption to fall by 25 percent. As is the case with water abstraction charges, we find some potential for a green tax shift from existing taxes to water consumption charges to improve welfare in this case (although under more restrictive circumstances). and consumption from a large number of partial Water use charges can help to efficiently equilibrium econometric studies. Finally, the allocate rights to scarce water resources model includes a bottom-up representation of between users (in contrast to the pervasive the electricity generation sector, the sector “first with the largest amount of water withdrawals mechanism in Canada. Canadian provinces), encourage conservation come, first currently served” allocation in in place most within existing users, stimulate innovation We use the model to simulate the imposition aimed at reducing future water use, reflect of a charge on water abstractions as well as on Economic modeling of water pricing strategies environmental costs associated with Our contribution is especially relevant for abstraction and consumption of fresh water, policymakers considering the introduction of and confer a portion of the rents associated new charges on water consumption. Just as with water supply to the public owners of the the “double dividend” literature suggests resource. These advantages led delegates at when dealing with pollution criteria and the Dublin Conference on Water and the greenhouse gasses, our research shows that Environment to declare that water should be using water tax revenues to offset pre-existing considered an “economic good” and that water distortionary taxes can also dramatically pricing should be used to help ration the increase resource.9 attractiveness of a water resources policy, the efficiency and political while also promoting conservation. Footnotes F1. The model is described in detail in Rivers and Groves (2013). Full model code and data is available on the journal repository. F2. An environmental tax shift that results in both a reduction of environmental damage and an improvement in economic efficiency is termed a `strong double dividend’.8 References 1. Lemmen, D., Warren, F., Lacroix, J. and E. Bush (2007), From impacts to adaptation: Canada in a changing climate 2007, Ottawa, ON: Government of Canada. 2. Rivers, N. and S. Groves (2013), “The welfare effect of self-supplied water pricing in Canada: A computable general equilibrium assessment”, Environmental and Resource Economics 55(3): 419-445. 3. Guelph Water Management Group (2007), Characterization of Water Allocation Systems in Canada. Technical Report 1. Guelph, ON: University of Guelph. 4. NRTEE (2010), Changing Currents: Water Sustainability and the Future of Canada’s Natural Resource Sectors. Ottawa, ON: National Roundtable on the Environment and the EconomY. 5. Statistics Canada (2010), Industrial Water Use 2005. Ottawa, ON: Government of Canada. 6. Pearse, P.H., and F. Quinn (1996), “Recent developments in federal water policy: One step forward, two steps back”, Canadian Water Resources Journal 21(4): 329-340. 7. Cantin, B., Shrubsole, D. and M. Ait-Ouyahia (2005), “Using economic instruments for water demand management: Introduction”, Canadian Water Resources Journal 30(1): 1-10. 8. Bovenberg, L. (1999), “Green tax reforms and the double dividend: an updated reader’s guide”, International Tax and Public Finance 6(3): 421-443. 9. ICWE (1992), “The Dublin Statement and report of the conference.” International Conference on Water and the Environment. Dublin. Economic modeling of water pricing strategies About the author(s) Dr. Nicholas Rivers is the Chairholder of the Canada Research Chair in Climate and Energy Policy at the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, University of Ottawa. His research focuses on the economic evaluation of environmental policies, and has been published in economics and energy journals as well as in other popular publications. Additionally, he is co-author of a recent book on climate change policy, Hot Air: Meeting Canada’s Climate Change Challenge. Dr. Rivers has worked for all levels of government, industry, and non-governmental organizations as a consultant on issues related to energy efficiency and climate change program evaluation, policy analysis and development, and economic modelling. He has received awards for his research from the Trudeau Foundation, the Social Science and Humanities Research Council, and the National Science and Engineering Research Council. This article summarises the results of an original study: Rivers, N. and S. Groves (2013), “The welfare effect of self-supplied water pricing in Canada: A computable general equilibrium assessment”, Environmental and Resource Economics 55(3): 419445. About the Global Water Forum The Global Water Forum (GWF) is an initiative of the UNESCO Chair in Water Economics and Transboundary Governance at the Australian National University. The GWF presents knowledge and insights from leading water researchers and practitioners. 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