Content Includes: Reasons Why Investors Use Liquid Alternatives Liquid Alternatives: Investor and Fund Manager Outlook April 2015 Launches of New UCITS and Alternative Mutual Funds Average Minimum Investment Size of Liquid Alternative Funds Typical Fund Terms of Liquid Alternative Funds 10 Largest Liquid Alternative Funds by Assets under Management alternative assets. intelligent data. Liquid Alternatives: Investor and Fund Manager Outlook Liquid Alternatives - Introduction The rise of liquid alternative products, such as UCITS and alternative mutual funds, have opened up the possibility of hedge fund investment for more than just the largest investors. These regulated products, with lower investment minimums and fees, have proved attractive to retail clients, and institutional investors and funds of hedge funds have shown an increasing interest in these products. In this section, we examine the current universe of hedge funds structured under UCITS 798 64 $199bn the UCITS and ’40 act regimes, taking a closer look at the barriers to entry and the investors in these funds. Alternative Mutual Funds Number of active UCITS funds. Number of new UCITS funds launched in 2014. Assets under management of UCITS funds (as of December 2014). 348 53 $240bn Number of alternative mutual funds. Number of new alternative mutual funds launched in 2014. Assets under management of alternative mutual funds (as of December 2014). Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Reasons Why Investors Use Liquid Alternatives 51% Increased Liquidity* 31% Increased Transparency* 28% Regulated Nature of the Structure* *Proportion of current investors in liquid alternatives. $414,000 Alternative Mutual Funds Lower Costs Involved* Source: Preqin Investor Interviews, November 2014 Average Minimum Investment Size of Alternative Mutual Funds $190,000 19% Performance in 2014 +1.45% Return of UCITS funds over 2014. +4.36% Return of alternative mutual funds over 2014. UCITS Funds $1.261mn Commingled Hedge Funds Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst 2 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com Liquid Alternatives: Investor and Fund Manager Outlook Overview of Liquid Alternative Funds In recent years, there has been a proliferation of alternative routes into hedge funds, with new structures rising to prominence that offer investors greater liquidity and transparency with lower barriers to entry. In Europe, the UCITS structure has been a way for hedge funds to offer their hedge fund strategies to those investors looking to allocate to hedge funds through a more regulated and liquid product. Similarly, in the US, there has been significant growth in the number of hedge funds offered through a ’40 act mutual fund structure. In this section, we take a look at the demand for liquid alternatives and why they are attractive to investors. Fig. 1: Investors’ Reasons for Investing in Liquid Alternatives Increased Liquidity 53% Increased Transparency 31% Increased Regulation 28% Lower Cost 19% Better Returns 9% Better Opportunities 9% Less Leverage 3% Lower Volatility 3% Less Risk 3% Other Why Do Investors Allocate to Liquid Alternatives? 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Proportion of Respondents Preqin surveyed institutional investors with a current allocation to an alternative mutual fund or UCITS product in order to gain insight into their attitudes towards investing in liquid alternatives (Fig. 1). The majority of those interviewed (53%) cited increased liquidity as the leading reason for investing in hedge funds through a liquid alternative structure. Looking at Fig. 2, we can see that both alternative mutual funds and UCITS funds grant their investors more frequent access to capital compared to traditional, commingled hedge funds, which makes them an attractive solution for investors that want frequent access to capital. Increased transparency (31%) and access to a regulated strategy (28%) are other leading reasons for investing in liquid alternatives. Source: Preqin Investor Interviews, November 2014 Fig. 2: Mean Terms & Conditions for Liquid Alternative Funds vs. Hedge Funds Terms & Conditions 1.55% 1 56 have an average minimum investment size of $414,000. Nineteen percent of investors stated that they allocate to liquid alternatives as a lower-cost route into hedge fund investment (Fig. 1). Both UCITS and alternative mutual funds charge, on average, lower management fees than commingled hedge funds (Fig. Fig. 4: UCITS Fund Launches Each Year as a Proportion of Total Hedge Fund Launches 160 30% 20% 13% 8% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 4% 2% 0% Other Foundation Public Pension Fund Insurance Company Endowment Plan Family Office Private Sector Pension Fund Asset Manager 2% Wealth Manager 12% 11% UCITS Hedge Funds Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Investor Profiles © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com No. of UCITS Fund Launches Alternative Mutual Funds 40% Fund of Hedge Funds Manager 1.04% 3 16% 15% 140 14% 13% 12% 120 12% 9% 100 80 5% 60 0 152 126 2% 5 2001 2% 9 10 2003 8 21 31 6% 92 90 4% 3% 3% 8% 138 5% 40 20 6% 10% 8% 8% 64 46 51 4% 2% Proportion of Total Hedge Fund Launches Proportion of Investors Active in Liquid Alternatives 1.42% Liquid alternative funds also have lower barriers to entry which make them accessible to a wide range of investors (Fig. 2). The minimum investment for alternative mutual funds is $190,000; the average hedge fund, on the other hand, requires a minimum investment that is five times higher. UCITS funds 48% 0% 1,261 Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst 62% 10% Hedge Funds 190 Redemption Frequency (Days) 60% 50% Alternative Mutual 414 Management Fees Fig. 3: Proportion of Investors Allocating to Liquid Alternative Hedge Funds 70% UCITS Funds Minimum Investment ($000s) 0% 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Year of Inception No. of UCITS Fund Launches Proportion of Total Hedge Fund Launches Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst 3 Liquid Alternatives: Investor and Fund Manager Outlook Liquid Alternative Fund Launches Alternative mutual funds have seen a rise in prominence over the past few years, as shown in Fig. 5. 2014 saw the highest number of alternative mutual fund launches on record; it is likely the final number of alternative mutual funds launched in 2014 will be even higher than this, as more data becomes available in the first half of 2015. This illustrates that fund managers are increasingly looking to diversify their product line-up to meet the demands of a growing audience of investors looking to gain access to hedge fund strategies. Undeniably, 2014 has witnessed the growth in significance of alternative mutual funds within the hedge fund industry, with the proportion of alternative mutual fund launches reaching the highest on record, at 7% of all hedge fund launches. In contrast, there has been a decline in the number of UCITS-compliant hedge fund launches over the past few years (Fig. 4). Post-financial crisis, there was a surge in UCITS launches as fund managers responded to investor demands for liquid, regulated and transparent structures with new products that could meet these needs. This increase in the number of UCITS launches reached a peak in 2010, a year in which 152 new UCITS products came into market. In 2014, 64 hedge funds strategies offering a UCITS No. of Alternative Mutual Fund Launches 8% 7% 50 7% 6% 40 5% 30 3% 10 3% 2% 20 0 1% 2 1% 1% 1% 4 4 5 34 1% 1% 16 8 21 12 3% 39 5% 4% 4% 53 52 42 3% 2% 1% 1% 11 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year of Inception No. of Alternative Mutual Fund Launches Proportion of Total Hedge Fund Launches Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Fig. 6: Strategy Breakdown of UCITS Fund Launches by Year of Inception 100% 90% Proportion of Fund Launches Fig. 3 shows that fund of hedge funds managers make up the largest proportion of investors with an allocation to alternative mutual funds (62%) and UCITS hedge funds (48%). Fund of hedge funds managers were among the earliest adopters of these products, and many have begun to use liquid alternatives as part of their wider hedge fund investments. Asset managers and wealth managers account for 12% and 11% respectively of investors allocating to UCITS funds; the liquid, transparent and familiar structure meets the needs of the clients these asset managers and wealth managers serve, and these groups play a significant role in channelling capital into liquid alternatives. In the US, foundations have a significant interest in alternative mutual funds: 13% of all alternative mutual fund investors tracked by Preqin are in this group. 60 4% 16% 21% 80% 70% 60% 2% 2% 13% 10% 8% 13% 40% 1% 9% 4% 5% 25% 18% 31% 1% 4% 1% 9% 17% 14% 16% 10% 21% 9% 3% 9% 4% 7% 2% 7% 6% 6% 7% 22% 8% 4% 15% Niche Strategies 19% 8% 1% Multi-Strategy 9% 4% 17% 20% 25% 24% 29% 50% Relative Value Strategies Credit Strategies 32% Event Driven Strategies 30% 46% 20% 10% 51% 42% 38% 37% 47% 52% 51% 40% 26% Macro Strategies Equity Strategies 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year of Inception Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Fig. 7: Strategy Breakdown of Alternative Mutual Fund Launches by Year of Inception 100% 90% Proportion of Fund Launches Investors in Liquid Alternatives Fig. 5: Alternative Mutual Fund Launches Each Year as a Proportion of Total Hedge Fund Launches Proportion of Total Hedge Fund Launches 2). These traits have opened up the opportunity to invest in hedge funds to a wider audience of investors; in turn, those hedge fund managers that offer their strategies as liquid alternatives can grow assets across a broad spectrum of allocators. 13% 13% 6% 80% 14% 33% 25% 9% 6% 6% 40% 30% 17% 13% 25% 18% 31% 50% 21% 21% 24% 70% 60% 9% 24% 15% 10% 5% 6% 10% 21% 2% 18% 3% 27% 21% 25% 19% 11% 2% 24% 19% 4% Multi-Strategy Relative Value Strategies Credit Strategies 10% 24% 17% Event Driven Strategies 64% 21% 38% Macro Strategies 20% 10% 38% 38% 25% 29% 31% 33% 24% 28% 13% Equity Strategies 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year of Inception Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst 4 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com Liquid Alternatives: Investor and Fund Manager Outlook 10% 8.88% 9% 7.93% 8% 7.74% 7% UCITS Hedge Funds 6% 4.84% 5% 3.78% 4.10% 4% 3% 3.28% 2.27% 2% 1.45% 1.44% 0.82% 1% 0.74% 0.01% 5-Year Annualized 3-Year Annualized 2-Year Annualized Q4 2014 Q3 2014 -0.19% Q2 2014 All Hedge Funds 0.23% -0.13% 2014 0% -1% Q1 2014 It is unsurprising, given the liquidity restrictions imposed on the structures, that liquid strategies, such as equity strategies and macro strategies, are dominating both the alternative mutual fund and UCITS landscape (Fig. 7 and Fig. 6, respectively). However, despite offering daily liquidity, a greater proportion of alternative mutual funds offer credit strategies than is seen among UCITS funds; in 2014, nearly a quarter of all alternative ’40 act fund launches had a credit focus, compared to just 9% of UCITS. Fig. 8: Performance of UCITS Hedge Funds (As at December 2014)* Net Returns structure were launched; however, this number is expected to increase to around the same level as seen in 2013 and 2012, 90 and 92 respectively, as more data becomes available. Return Period Performance of Liquid Alternatives 10% 8.88% 7.89%7.93% 7.91% 8% 7.74% 6.24% 6% 2.27% 2.00% 2.41% 2% 1.44% 0% Alternative Mutual Funds 4.36% 3.78% 4% All Hedge Funds 1.00% 0.23% 5-Year Annualized 3-Year Annualized 2-Year Annualized 2014 Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q4 2014 -0.19% -1.09% -2% Q1 2014 In 2014, UCITS hedge funds were unable to avoid the difficulties affecting the broader hedge fund industry, posting 1.45% for the year. This was more than five percentage points down on the gains posted in 2013 (+6.82%). Q4 proved to be the worst quarter for UCITS funds, with a slight gain in November failing to offset the marginal declines seen in October and December (Fig. 8). Fig. 9: Performance of Alternative Mutual Funds (As at December 2014)* Net Returns As regulated products, liquid alternatives are subject to restrictions on the instruments and leverage that fund managers can employ, which limits the implementation of the full hedge fund strategy. As a result, these products tend to produce lower returns, with lower volatility than their commingled hedge fund counterparts (Fig. 10) Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Return Period Fig. 10: Rolling Volatility of UCITS Hedge Funds, Alternative Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds and S&P 500 Benchmark, January 2012 - December 2014* 20% 18% Alternative Mutual Funds 16% 14% UCITS Hedge Funds 12% 10% S&P 500 8% 6% All Hedge Funds 4% 2% Nov-14 Sep-14 Jul-14 May-14 Mar-14 Jan-14 Nov-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jan-13 Nov-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 May-12 Jan-12 0% Mar-12 Despite the disappointing performance in 2014, UCITS-compliant hedge funds and alternative mutual funds continue to demonstrate their ability to consistently deliver absolute returns over the longer term. Annualized gains of 3-5% were posted by UCITS hedge funds over the two-, three- and five-year periods to the end of 2014. Although more volatile (Fig. 8), alternative mutual funds have delivered higher returns in the region of 6-8% over the same periods (Fig. 9). Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Three-Year Volatility In the alternative mutual fund space, Q3 proved the most testing, with a loss in July followed by a decline in September, representing the worst month for alternative mutual funds in over a year. Despite the performance in 2014 failing to match the double-digit return generated in the same period last year, the Alternative Mutual Fund benchmark beat the Preqin All-Strategies Hedge Fund benchmark in 2014 (Fig. 9). Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst *Please note, all performance information includes preliminary data for December 2014 based on net returns reported to Preqin in early January 2015. Although stated trends and comparisons are not expected to alter significantly, final benchmark values are subject to change. © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com 5 Liquid Alternatives: Investor and Fund Manager Outlook Outlook As more investors look to diversify their portfolios by investing in hedge fund strategies, there has been a proliferation of alternative structures to the offshore commingled product to allow these investors access to the asset class. The US mutual fund structure and European UCITS structure have allowed fund managers to replicate their strategies in a transparent, liquid, regulated and familiar structure, which can appeal to both retail clients and, increasingly, institutional investors. Although the limitations on the strategy may impact the ability of liquid alternatives to deliver the same level of performance as hedge funds, the lower volatility and barriers to entry will continue to appeal to investors seeking alternative investments which can deliver consistent, risk-adjusted returns. For fund managers looking to strengthen their product offerings and appeal to a broader group of investors, the growing interest in these products from a large range of investors may lead to inflows in 2015. Fig. 11: 10 Largest Liquid Alternative Funds by Assets under Management Manager Structure Assets under Management Core Strategy Standard Life Investments UCITS $35.4bn as at 30 September 2014 Multi-Strategy J.P. Morgan Asset Management Alternative Mutual Fund $26.9bn as at 30 September 2014 Long/Short Credit GS Strategic Income Fund Goldman Sachs Asset Management Alternative Mutual Fund $25.9bn as at 30 September 2014 Long/Short Credit BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities Fund BlackRock Alternative Investors Alternative Mutual Fund $20.5bn as at 30 September 2014 Long/Short Credit MainStay Marketfield Fund MainStay Investments Alternative Mutual Fund $16.0bn as at 30 September 2014 Multi-Strategy J.P. Morgan Asset Management UCITS $9.5bn as at 30 September 2014 Fixed Income Arbitrage Morgan Stanley Investment Management UCITS $8.6bn as at 30 September 2014 Macro Natixis Global Asset Management Alternative Mutual Fund $8.0bn as at 30 September 2014 Long/Short Equity AQR Capital Management Alternative Mutual Fund $6.4bn as at 30 September 2014 Managed Futures/CTA John Hancock Investments Alternative Mutual Fund $5.9bn as at 30 September 2014 Multi-Strategy Fund Standard Life Global Absolute Return Strategies Fund J.P. Morgan Strategic Income Opportunities Fund JPMIF Income Opportunity Fund Morgan Stanley Investment Funds Diversified Alpha Plus Gateway Fund AQR Managed Futures Strategy Fund John Hancock Global Absolute Return Strategies Fund Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Key Facts 53% Proportion of investors in liquid alternatives that allocate capital as a result of the increased liquidity of these funds. These funds have lower investment minimums and fees, which allow smaller investors and retail clients to access hedge fund strategies. Alternative mutual funds have outperformed alternative UCITS on a one-, two-, three- and five-year annualized basis. Data Source: Preqin’s Hedge Fund Analyst contains detailed profiles for over 1,400 UCITS and alternative mutual funds, including information on investment focus, fund strategies, geographic and industry preferences, and much more. Preqin’s Hedge Fund Investor Profiles provides access to comprehensive profiles for over 340 investors that are open to investing in liquid alternative funds. Profiles include information on current and target allocations to hedge funds, assets under management, strategy and geographic preferences and much more. For more information, please visit: www.preqin.com/hedge 6 © 2015 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com Liquid Alternatives: Investor and Fund Manager Outlook Performance of UCITS and Alternative Mutual Funds Fig. 12: Net Returns of Top Performing UCITS Hedge Funds in 2014 Manager Core Strategy Net Return in 2014 (%) Auriga Investors SEB Asset Management Milltrust International GAM Sector Asset Management Long/Short Equity Macro Long Bias Foreign Exchange Long Bias 54.38 34.83 29.33 23.30 21.15 Fund Montserrat Global Fund - B SEB Asset Selection Opportunistic Fund - C (H-NOK) Milltrust India Fund GAM Star Discretionary FX - GBP Sector Healthcare Value Fund - Class A NOK Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Fig. 13: Net Returns of Top Performing Alternative Mutual Funds in 2014 Manager Core Strategy Net Return in 2014 (%) Daman Investments ProFund Advisors ProFund Advisors BlackRock Alternative Investors Long Bias, Value-Oriented Long/Short Equity Long/Short Equity Long/Short Equity 231.95 45.20 36.83 31.18 Touchstone Investments Long/Short Equity 30.37 Fund Daman Fifth Fund Biotechnology UltraSector ProFund - Investor Class Health Care UltraSector ProFund - Investor Class BlackRock Real Estate Securities Fund - Investor A Touchstone Global Real Estate Fund - Institutional Class Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Fig. 14: Net Returns of Top Performing UCITS Hedge Funds, January 2012 - December 2014 Fund Montserrat Global Fund - B Arcus Japan Fund - Relative Institutional Class Sector Healthcare Value Fund - Class A NOK Tiburon Taiko Fund - Class A (JPY) Vitruvius Japanese Equity Portfolio - BI (JPY) Manager Core Strategy Auriga Investors Arcus Investment Sector Asset Management Tiburon Partners Belgrave Capital Management Long/Short Equity Long Bias Long Bias Long Bias Long Bias Annualized Return, 2012-2014 (%) 39.72 29.83 28.80 22.96 22.91 Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Fig. 15: Net Returns of Top Performing Alternative Mutual Funds, January 2012 - December 2014 Fund Biotechnology UltraSector ProFund - Investor Class Daman Fifth Fund Health Care UltraSector ProFund - Investor Class Consumer Services UltraSector ProFund Investor Class Merk Currency Enhanced U.S. Equity Fund Institutional Class Manager Core Strategy Annualized Return, 2012-2014 (%) ProFund Advisors Long/Short Equity 73.05 Daman Investments ProFund Advisors Long Bias, Value-Oriented Long/Short Equity 72.62 41.93 ProFund Advisors Long/Short Equity 38.27 Merk Investments Foreign Exchange 21.58 Source: Preqin Hedge Fund Analyst Access In-Depth Data on Top Performing Hedge Funds Preqin’s Hedge Fund Analyst features performance data for more than 11,200 hedge funds and share classes worldwide, offering a complete overview of the performance of the industry over time. 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