“Helping You Push the Horizon” FEASIBILITY DECISION: INFEASIBLE HORIZON INVESTMENTS LLC. Business Feasibility Study Group 7 Daniel Youse Josh Mann Drexel University Executive Summary The race to the moon inspired a generation and gave this country an identity and a universal belief in our supremacy over the world. American’s love to be inspired, they love to feel like they are ahead of the rest of the world and in recent years this feeling of supremacy has been lost. Other countries are closing in and America is losing its luster. The desire for excellence is still there, recently where the government has given up, commercial companies have stepped in. SpaceX recently completed the first commercial space flight to International Space Station and companies like Planetary Resources have unveiled ambitious plans to harvest asteroids for resources. Americans love to be inspired and the time for the fever to catch is close again. Horizon Investments would be a limited liability corporation owned and operated by the members of group seven. This investment company would be a unique blend of venture capital and hedge fund. The target consumer would be atypical investors, young adults and other members of the society that normally don’t invest. We target these investors not with promises of major returns but with the idea that they will help “push the horizon of technology”. Utilizing a simplified online investment platform we will attempt to make first time investors smoothly transition into having a portfolio. Customized weekly newsletters that focus on what new technological innovations the investor has helped fund. These will help people feel like they are contributing to something larger then themselves. In the long term these investments wouldn’t be donations to a company, the investors would maintain a share of Horizon Investment fund that loaned the money. As the company grows so would the funds’ return on the original investment and so would the investors’ return on their contribution to the fund. Another selling point of the funds will be the chance to help fund the next Facebook, the next IBM, or the next Microsoft. The fund approach allows investors to pull their resources and broaden their investments in emerging technologies. The industry we are approaching is a broad one with literally hundreds of firms involved in both venture capital and investments. This mean it would be difficult for us to stand out if we were targeting the same investors. Our targeting of young adults will be unique in the investment market and our use of technology to inspire our investors will also be a unique approach to that market. The 20 to 34 year old demographic doesn’t contain the most money but it is broad in numbers. We will look to exploit a large volume of investors over a few wealthier investors. Our products will start out as limited; we will only offer three funds, two with specific focuses and one broad technology fund. The three starting funds will be Horizon Technology, Horizon Space, and Horizon Energy. Our primary means of income will be advisory fees for managing the funds and transaction fees for moving around shares, including an early termination fee. We will need a small business loan to get the business off the ground. The major issue is the critical mass of fund value. If the funds are too small they don’t have enough investment capital to spread around. With too little diversity the fund will become very risky and could cave with a single investment not panning out. Financially we will need a small business loan to get started. The issue again is enough capital to start the funds. Banks and other financial institutions require collateral to give small business loans and no institution will loan us the millions required to get the funds to critical value with our physical collateral. A bank isn’t knowingly going to loan us money to make risky investments. We could get a loan for the actual startup cost devoid of the investment capital. The idea is to capitalize on the idealism of young adults and impress on them that collectively they could make a difference in their future. People are always interested in the later technology from Google Glasses to mining asteroids, the market is there to take advantage of but the capital required for startup may be too great. Concept of Business Products Our products will be investment funds that target new technological fields. We will allow investors that want to get involved in progressing technology a chance to help newer innovations get off the ground. All of our funds will be organized to focus on specific market areas. Examples of funds include: Horizon Technology – A broad fund that targets emerging technologies Horizon Energy – focuses on the latest energy companies or companies developing technology in the energy market Horizon Connection – focuses on companies developing new modes of mass communication Horizon Space – focuses on companies pushing into space or developing supporting technologies Horizon Longevity – focuses on biomedical technologies that advance the human life span Horizon Nano – focuses on companies supporting Nano technologies and carbon Nano tubes Horizon Quarks – focuses on companies utilizing particle physics in developing technologies Customer Base Our targeted investor is young adults or first time investors. We will attempt to inspire them to help make a difference and believe a younger audience will be more receptive to this message. Young adults have grown up in a world of constant changes in technology and have seen entrepreneurs like Bill Gates or Mark Zuckerberg amass a fortune using innovation. This target audience is more likely to be idealistic and less concerned about immediate return on investment. Also our chosen web based distribution method will work better with this audience. Distribution Horizon Investments will be a web based investment firm. We will attempt to develop the most streamlined investment process possible, utilizing a minimalist approach to the entire website. Currently attempting to sign up for any web based investment company can be a long task. Our limited offering and focus away from instant returns will actually aid us in cutting down on the complexity of the interface. In addition to being able to check the current value of their fund and the current fund holdings, investors will receive a weekly newsletter that illustrates what new advancements in technology they help fund. Growth The main point of growth will not be immediately recognized. Transfer fees and advisory fees charged to the individual funds will cover daily expenses but the true profit will come when a technology we’ve invested in finally hits the market. The concept is much like venture capital in the respect that we invest early on in the technology and when/if it develops into a product we reap large rewards. Normally investing in a small startup technology can be a risky venture, we allow investors to mitigate their risk and increase their impact by pooling the money and diversifying the portfolio. The issue with this type of growth is it is unpredictable but the high risk is necessary for the higher reward. Income The company will collect fees based on a percentage of the funds value for advisory fees while managing that fund. We will also collect fees for transfers of money and early withdrawal fees. Withdrawal fees will be necessary to diminish “day trading” type behavior. Investing in our funds might be a compulsory act driven by a moment of inspiration and we want mitigate to investors having the same but opposite compulsion to withdraw. As the funds grow in size we will collect larger amounts in advisory fees. In addition we will also have supplied a large portion of the startup capital to the fund and can sell or transfer our shares as capital is needed. These will be high risk and high reward investments so the goal will be to remove large portions of our original investment as time goes on so the fate of the company isn’t tied directly to one fund. Industry Analysis Porter’s 5 forces Matrix Force Rivalry Among Companies Bargaining Power of Suppliers Bargaining Power of Buyers Threat of New Entrants Threat of Substitute Products/Services Importance 2 Threat to Industry 3 Weighted Score 6 4 5 20 5 3 15 3 4 5 4 15 16 Total 72 Rivalry Among Companies There is constant competition in both the venture capital and hedge fund markets and this competition normally centers on getting the most investors. Our business will not focus on the same clients that the majority of investment firms target. The venture capital market is the opposite; it normally focuses around competition for the best ideas. While most startups have to pitch their idea to venture capital firms in the hopes of getting money, some startups are lucky enough to have venture capitalist fight over them. The Rivalry between venture capitalist for a great idea is more likely to affect our business model. Bargaining Power of Suppliers Since we don’t have suppliers in the normal sense we applied this to the companies we are investing in. If new startups refuse our capital because it requires giving up a portion of their business we will not be able to follow our intended business model. We have to demonstrate that we are the best source of startup capital for newer technology firms. Bargaining Power of Buyers Obviously having people invest in the funds is paramount. Initially the funds will not generate value by themselves because the investments will be in high risk areas. The fund might actually lose value if substantial investments don’t work out. To this end keeping new investors coming in is very important. Threat of New Entrants We are targeting a previously ignored customer base but each customer isn’t going to contribute a substantial amount. Our business model depends on the volume of investors. New entrants into the market will diminish our market share and steal investors away. Threat of Substitute Services The threat of substitute services is another major threat because if established investment firms start offing similar investment funds then we will lose clients to companies with better reputations. SWOT As a fund specializing in technology we have a job to inform new investees about the great opportunities they may have. We put our focus into technology investments targeting young adults and new investees. We are not an attractive industry compared to others. We must make our investment appealing to the public in a down economy like today. We need to create the biggest returns possible for our customers and be able to keep them in a position to keep us investing. Strengths-Being less distracted in an industry is going to be our key to success. As other hedge funds have lost sight of their goals and fell behind in the race we will continue to be on top of each and every new change. Keeping our operations in order by maintaining proper data will save us from the headaches of facing other hedge funds in the industry. Our data marketing will allow us to analyze any and all opportunities that arise and be able to take advantage of them before the competition capitalizes. We will have a tight leash on internal media and file downloads keeping track of all information we obtain to prevent the spread of any incorrect data. Weaknesses- We will face big challenges within the firm that will tend to keep us from focusing on our goals. As technology changes at a rapid rate, we must have investors on top of each and every move. Staying ahead and keeping data well organized and making an opportunistic move can and will most likely be our biggest weakness. One cannot be on top of each and every subject, leading the industry. Being in a recession, we also have some internal factors that can cause us to crash. In rough times, employees have been known to steal information within and sell it to competitors. Opportunity- As a rapid growing industry we have the opportunity to capitalize while the economy is in a recession. Businesses tend to increase in innovative technology during these harsh times to change the downward slope of stock prices. We will take advantage of every change that is made and keep our focus on new investees and younger adults looking to buy into discretionary investments. Threats- In such a broad industry, we have threats all around us causing us to be just another pea in the pod. Being in a recession since 2008, the eyes are on investors and the world is going to have someone to blame. Hackers have stepped up their game and have become even better at stealing our information. Competitors with better risk management tools are going to keep us on our toes. We must be the best in the market with portfolio pricing and counterpart risk. Competitor Analysis Hedge funds in the new innovative technology industry such as DigitalGlobe, which provide commercial earth imagery products and solutions, reported net purchase of 1.3 million shares in 2012. This is about 3.69% of their total float of 35.20M shares. First quarter earnings showed $87 million, which was up 12% over last year. The firm has been increasingly buying and increasing their EPS. First Solar, which manufactures and sells solar modules using a thin film semiconductor technology. They reported a $449 million loss on revenue of $497.9 million. They had their second ever loss and ended the year 2011 by firing over 30% of their workforce. Competitors are taking new technology mainly using energy and natural resources to create large gains. Over all they have been successful, but at any given time they may hit a downfall only to rise back to the top. Competitors are consistently buying out others and taking a new direction in the industry. With such a broad industry, change is almost certain and any firm must be willing to make a turn. New to this market, we will focus on innovative technologies to idealistic young adults and help them invest in something that may brighten their future. Most technologies are targeted at the higher class which mean large investments, larger risk, but also bigger gains. We take a big risk entering this industry, but by taking advantage of our competitors’ weaknesses and standing out we will move forward. We will be young and diligent just like our investees and keep them informed on new information as it comes in from research and data polls. We will invest only in technology that will bring the larger of returns and provide the most for our firm. The other side of our competition will be Venture Capitalist. We aid at being the preferred source of capital for innovative companies. This market is broad with multiple sources of capital for new companies. The Venture Capital market is mainly controlled by wealthier investors and our main problem will be getting enough name recognition that new and innovative companies will come to us as a source of capital investment. Market Analysis Target Market Our targeted market for investors will be young adults and first time investors. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has the following information on the income of our target demographic as of the first quarter of 2012. Age (Years) 20 to 24 25 to 34 Number of Workers 7,548,000 24,017,000 Median Weekly Yearly Earnings Earnings $463 $24,076 $702 $36,504 As you would expect the total median weekly earnings of our target audience is rather low compared to older demographics. However there is a substantial number of working adults in these age ranges that we believe have been largely ignored by the investment community. If we extrapolate the total amount of money earned in a year by these demographics and assume a 1% investment rate we get an available market size of $10.5 Billion dollars. Age (Years) 20 to 24 25 to 34 Number of Workers 7,548,000 24,017,000 Median Weekly Yearly Earnings Earnings Total money 1% investment $463 $24,076 $181,725,648,000 $1,817,256,480 $702 $36,504 $876,716,568,000 $8,767,165,680 Total: $10,584,422,160 This target market isn’t normally inclined to investment but is predisposed to compulsive buying. Our focus of inspiration will attempt to pull them into the investment community. Our board approach won’t focus on a specific education level or profession we will instead use mass marketing toward the target age group in general. Since we will be a web based investment firm, the majority of our focus will be on consumers in this demographic that use the internet. We will not accept foreign investments in the beginning to simplify the tax reporting of the entire system. Our other target market will be startup companies that have innovative technologies they are looking to develop and bring to market. It is important we target these companies to expand our investments and see higher returns if the technology impacts the market. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated a 7.2% growth in semiconductor and other electronic component manufacturing and a 14.5 % growth in computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing from 2010-2020. These industries will be a large part of our investments and the data supports future expansion of the markets. Entry Strategies After the initial creation of the company we will spend two months setting up the office, computer server, installing investment software and setting up the website. After this period we will develop our initial offering and begin investing our startup capital. Over the next two months we will have developed our funds’ investments and when we have balanced our portfolio we will go live with the website. We will also begin a heavy advertising campaign on technology blogs, News sources, and other websites visited by youth. We will also place a few ads in magazines that share our target demographic like Maximum, Cosmopolitan and Popular Mechanics. We will also eliminate the initial transaction fees for the first 10,000 customers. We estimate it will still take about 3.5 years’ worth of advertising and word of mouth for the company to truly penetrate our target audience. Product Development Funds As stated earlier Horizon investments will offer a range of funds targeting specific technology centers. The mix of the funds will be 50% developed companies that are working on new technologies and 50% new companies developing their first products. For investments in developed companies shares will be acquired through a broker at market value and the value of the investment maintained like any other normal investment. Investment in new companies will work slightly different. Our firm is part hedge fund and part Venture Capital we will approach new companies (or after our reputation is established they will approach us) work out an agreement for the investment and how much of the company the fund will retain. Normally the Venture Capital market is contained to wealthier investors; our funds will allow average and new investors to pull their money to join in. Our initial offering will include the following funds and the newer companies we are likely to invest in: Horizon Technology NanoWatt - http://www.nanowattdesign.com/ - a company developing new ultra low power integrated circuits Sensatex Inc - a Company focused on development of smart textile systems to collect physiological signals. Could help doctors and weight loss enthusiasts monitor body functions. Lightning Motorcycles - http://www.lightningmotorcycle.com/ - developing the world’s fastest electronic motorcycle. Stirling Project - http://volodesigns-sterlingproject.blogspot.com/ - Developing a highly efficient Stirling engine that can use multiple fuel source to develop energy. Ovonyx, Inc – http://www.ovonyx.com/ - a company developing new semiconductor memory technology that has faster write and erase speeds the conventional flash memory. Horizon Energy Soluz - http://www.soluzusa.com/ - a Firm developing a commercializing Micro Power using solar PVs in developing countries BetaBatt - http://www.betabatt.com/ - Developing reliable battery replacements using patented 3D energy conversion architecture. Nanosolar - http://www.nanosolar.com/ - building cost-efficient solar panels Horizon Space Sierra Nevada Corporation - http://www.spacedev.com/ - A Corporation that develops high performance components and systems to be utilized in space. SpaceX - http://www.spacex.com/ - A company that recently sent a rocket to the International Space Station and had also lined up contracts with satellite companies to deliver them to space. Planetary Resources - http://www.planetaryresources.com/ - A company developing technology with the long term goal of mining near Earth asteroids for minerials In addition to the companies listed above the funds would also invest in stable companies with a proven track record of innovation. Some of these companies would include Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Dow, and IBM. These companies would represent the stabilizing force for the funds’ assets. As stated earlier the mix of risk to stability will be maintained around 50/50. This allows for the risky investments in new companies without jeopardizing the entire funds’ assets. It also keeps with the funds objectives of expanding technology since most of the large firms invest heavily in research and development. The three funds listed above will be the first for Horizon to offer. Future funds will also include Horizon Connection, Horizon Longevity, Horizon Nano, and Horizon Quarks. These funds will be developed as Horizon amasses capital to expand. By limiting our initial offering we ensure we can maximize the focus of our capital so the fund can have an impact on the companies it invests in. Complications A major complication to this set up is getting the companies involved. They have to be willing to allow outside investments with the expectation of future returns. As discussed in the market analysis the world of Venture Capital is diverse and getting companies to choose it as the solution to their capital problem could be difficult in the beginning. Once the fund has established a reputation companies will be more open to the support but there will be a period of slow starting. Another complication, and probably the most damaging, is the critical mass of the fund value required to be effective. If the fund is too small the advisory fees won’t support the company and the funds won’t be able to offer sufficient capital to start ups. Without enough capital to start the fund will stagnate and not draw in additional investors. This is a major issue with the target audience of the funds and the high volume, low amount investments. This short coming will be discussed further in the finance section. Ideas for future Horizon’s goal is the expansion of human technology in many fields and in support of that Horizon will also target patents in the future. After the funds have established themselves in the industry another tactic we would employ is patent swaps and buying industry patents. By asking companies that want capital sign an agreement that allows other companies to use some of their patents (at a fair use price) Horizon will build a bank of patents available to all of its companies. This will spur cooperation between the firms Horizon has invested in and lead to more innovation. Furthermore, Horizon will also explore the possibility of buying patents that will aid development in key industries and offer them at a low licensing fee. Horizon will not be directly involved in the industry and will offer the patent to any company it has investments in. This will reduce the restrictive nature of patents and turn a profit for the fund. Companies will be willing to add their patents to the swap because it expands the patent they have access to using. Since Horizon will have investments in all firms involved we will benefit from any new developments. Finances Key Assumptions In order to estimate the financial position of Horizon Investments several key assumptions had to be made. Advisory Fee Rate of 5% Fee per Trade of $6.97 (Based on analysis online in next section) Initial growth in capital from investors of 5% per year for the first 3.5 years Future capital increase rates per year from investors after 3.5 in the following table Fund Name Horizon Technology Horizon Energy Horizon Space Capital increase rate 40% 48% 35% These rates were decided on by estimating the target markets interest in each area of technology. The raise in energy prices has been a major concern for many in recent years so it is natural to assume there will be major interest in creating alternate means of energy development. Fund value growth rate of 2% per year for the first 3.5 years Future fund growth rates per year in the following table Fund Name Horizon Technology Horizon Energy Horizon Space Value increase rate 7.00% 2.00% 0.50% Returns on these high risk investments are difficult to forecast. We used conservative estimates for the growth rate of each fund because several investments might actually lose value offsetting some of the gains. Initial Fund Capital of $1M per fund *This will be discus in the conclusion Split of Finances The financial position of Horizon investments is difficult to estimate because of the overwhelming issue of startup capital for fund value. To better understand the finance of the company we will approach them with two different sets of financial records. First we will show what the company’s finances will look like assuming an investment of $3 million dollars from an outside source. The problem with defining this source is that a bank will not loan the money without collateral and venture capitalist aren’t going to help fund a company that will eventually directly compete with them. This means the required $3 million dollars will have to come from a private investor in the company. At this time we have been unable to identify such an investor. We will offer the financial records assuming that such an investor could eventually be identified. Second we will offer the example of $100,000 of investment capital. This represents the maximum amount of money the members of group seven could gather without suffering financial ruin. With $3 million from outside investor Projected Fund Investments As with most companies Horizon will go through a period of slow growth at the start. We estimate that during this time we can increase the investments in the fund by 5% per year. Below is an estimate growth in total invested capital. This growth will stem from new investors finding our website and investing money. As our reputation grows so too will the new capital invested. Original Capital Investment The Original capital investment is set at $1 million per fund. This is a critical number for the company to be realizing an income by 2016. A breakdown of this is contained on the Pro Forma Income Statement. Funds total Invested Capital ( IN MILLIONS) Initial Investment Period 5% growth Example Funds Horizon Technology Horizon Energy Horizon Space Total Orignal Capital Investment 2012 $1.00 $1.00 $1.00 $3.00 $3 2013 $1.05 $1.05 $1.05 $3.15 2014 $1.10 $1.10 $1.10 $3.31 2015 $1.16 $1.16 $1.16 $3.47 2016 $1.62 $1.71 $1.56 $4.90 2017 $2.27 $2.54 $2.11 $6.91 2018 2019 2020 $3.18 $4.45 $6.23 $3.75 $5.55 $8.22 $2.85 $3.85 $5.19 $9.78 $13.85 $19.64 Initial Rate (4 Years) 5% Est. Growth 2021 Rate $8.72 40.00% $12.17 48.00% $7.01 35.00% $27.89 123.00% Projected Fund Investments Capital Invested In MILLIONS $450.00 $400.00 $350.00 $300.00 $250.00 Horizon Technology $200.00 Horizon Energy $150.00 Horizon Space $100.00 $50.00 $0.00 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Project Net Fund Value Including the estimated increase in capital growth and using the estimate growth rate for the companies listed in the Key Assumptions we have forecasted the value for our funds. Estimated Net Fund Value In Millions Initial Investment Period 5% growth Example Funds Horizon Technology Horizon Energy Horizon Space Total Original Capital Investment 2012 $1.02 2013 $1.07 2014 $1.12 2015 $1.18 2016 $1.73 $1.02 $1.02 $3.06 $3.00 $1.07 $1.07 $3.21 $1.12 $1.12 $3.37 $1.18 $1.18 $3.54 $1.75 $1.57 $5.05 2017 $2.43 2018 $3.40 2019 $4.76 2020 $6.66 Growth Rate (4 Years) 2% Est. Growth 2021 Rate $9.33 7.00% $2.59 $3.83 $5.67 $8.38 $12.41 $2.12 $2.86 $3.86 $5.22 $7.04 $7.13 $10.09 $14.29 $20.26 $28.78 2.00% 0.50% 9.50% Estimated Net Fund Value Fund Value IN MILLIONS $450.00 $400.00 $350.00 $300.00 $250.00 Horizon Technology $200.00 Horizon Energy $150.00 $100.00 $50.00 $0.00 Horizon Space Cash Needs Assessment Advisory fees are based off of 5% of the total fund value and will be charged to the fund directly. Transactions fees are based on an escalation of transactions that coincides with investment of more capital. In addition the more clients using the funds the more moving of money will take place. Financing will include a $250,000 small business loan from National Penn Bank. Current rates are around 7.5% for the term of 4 years. This will cover the need startup capital for the actual company but not the need capital to get the funds running, which will be discussed in the conclusion. Horizon Investments LLC Cash Budget Cash Balance, Beginning Add Receipts Advisory Fees Transaction Fees Total Receipts: Total Cash Available: Less Disbursements: Direct Labor Rent Advertising Insurance Utilities Office Equipment Computer Software Computer Hardware Total Disbursements Excess(deficiency) of Cash Available Over Disbursements Financing: Borrowings Repayments Interest Total Financing Cash Balance, Ending Year 2013 2014 $146,002.50 $128,406.38 2015 $119,261.06 $2,091.50 $153,000.00 $155,091.50 $155,091.50 $20,915.00 $160,650.00 $181,565.00 $327,567.50 $21,333.30 $168,682.50 $190,015.80 $318,422.18 $21,759.97 $177,116.63 $198,876.59 $318,137.65 $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $5,709.00 $53,900.00 $7,200.00 $259,089.00 $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $192,280.00 $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $192,280.00 $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $192,280.00 2012 $0.00 ($103,997.50) $250,000.00 $250,000.00 $146,002.50 $135,287.50 ($6,044.73) ($836.39) ($6,881.12) $128,406.38 $126,142.18 ($6,044.73) ($836.39) ($6,881.12) $119,261.06 $125,857.65 ($6,044.73) ($836.39) ($6,881.12) $118,976.53 Pro Forma Income Statement Our Pro Forma Income Statement is done for the next 5.5 years. It is estimated that we will not release a positive income until 2016. Depreciation of Office Equipment is calculated using the straight line method over a period of seven years. Salaries are $50,000 per employee including the pay roll tax of $9,840 per employee. A breakdown of Startup Costs and employee taxes are in the following section. Horizon Investments LLC 2012 Net Revenue Traction Fees Advisory Fees Total Revenue Operating Expenses Adverising Insurance Depreciation Office Equipment Purchase of Office Equipment Computer Software Salaries Total Operating Expenses General Expenses Utilites Telephone and internet Web Hosting Rent Payroll Taxes Total General Expenses Other Expenses Loan Interest Total Revenue Total Expenses Earnings before Taxes Taxes Net Income 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 $2,091.50 $153,000.00 $155,091.50 $20,915.00 $160,650.00 $181,565.00 $21,333.30 $168,682.50 $190,015.80 $21,759.97 $177,116.63 $198,876.59 $30,681.55 $252,614.03 $283,295.59 $43,323.37 $356,723.33 $400,046.70 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $0.00 $13,160.00 $51,400.00 $160,640.00 $233,200.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 ($6,881.12) ($6,881.12) $283,295.59 $228,654.88 $54,640.71 $0.00 $54,640.71 $400,046.70 $228,654.88 $171,391.82 $0.00 $171,391.82 $0.00 $155,091.50 $298,216.00 ($143,124.50) $0.00 ($143,124.50) ($6,881.12) ($6,881.12) ($6,881.12) $181,565.00 $228,654.88 ($47,089.88) $0.00 ($47,089.88) $190,015.80 $228,654.88 ($38,639.08) $0.00 ($38,639.08) $198,876.59 $228,654.88 ($29,778.29) $0.00 ($29,778.29) With $100,000 from group members *All descriptions above still apply the only change is the startup capital for the funds Projected Fund Investments (Change in Scale) Funds total Invested Capital ( IN THOUSANDS) Initial Investment Period 5% growth Example Funds Horizon Technology Horizon Energy Horizon Space Total Original Capital Investment 2012 $33.33 $33.33 $33.33 $100.00 $100 2013 $35.00 $35.00 $35.00 $105.00 2014 $36.75 $36.75 $36.75 $110.25 2015 $38.59 $38.59 $38.59 $115.76 2016 $54.02 $57.11 $52.09 $163.23 2017 2018 $75.63 $105.88 $84.52 $125.09 $70.33 $94.94 $230.48 $325.92 2019 $148.24 $185.14 $128.17 $461.54 2020 $207.53 $274.00 $173.03 $654.56 Initial Rate (4 Years) 5% Est. Growth 2021 Rate $290.55 40.00% $405.52 48.00% $233.59 35.00% $929.66 123.00% Capital Invested In Thousands Projected Fund Investments $500.00 $400.00 $300.00 Horizon Technology $200.00 Horizon Energy Horizon Space $100.00 $0.00 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Project Net Fund Value (Change in Scale) 2012 $34.00 2013 $35.70 2014 $37.49 2015 $39.36 2016 $57.80 2017 2018 $80.93 $113.30 Growth Rate (4 Years) 2% Est. Growth 2019 2020 2021 Rate $158.61 $222.06 $310.88 7.00% $34.00 $34.00 $102.00 $100.00 $35.70 $35.70 $107.10 $37.49 $37.49 $112.46 $39.36 $39.36 $118.08 $58.25 $52.35 $168.41 $86.21 $127.59 $70.68 $95.41 $237.82 $336.30 $188.84 $279.48 $413.63 $128.81 $173.89 $234.76 $476.26 $675.44 $959.27 Estimated Net Fund Value ( IN THOUSANDS) Initial Investment Period 5% growth Example Funds Horizon Technology Horizon Energy Horizon Space Total Original Capital Investment 2.00% 0.50% 9.50% Fund Value IN ThousandS Estimated Net Fund Value $500.00 $400.00 $300.00 Horizon Technology $200.00 Horizon Energy $100.00 Horizon Space $0.00 Cash Needs Assessment Horizon Investments LLC Cash Budget Year Cash Balance, Beginning Add Receipts Advisory Fees Transaction Fees Total Receipts: Total Cash Available: Less Disbursements: Direct Labor Rent Advertising Insurance Utilities Office Equipment Computer Software Computer Hardware Total Disbursements Excess(deficiency) of Cash Available Over Disbursements Financing: Borrowings Repayments Interest Total Financing Cash Balance, Ending 2012 $0.00 2013 ($1,897.50) 2014 ($174,788.62) 2015 ($346,993.69) $2,091.50 $5,100.00 $7,191.50 $7,191.50 $20,915.00 $5,355.00 $26,270.00 $24,372.50 $21,333.30 $5,622.75 $26,956.05 ($147,832.57) $21,759.97 $5,903.89 $27,663.85 ($319,329.84) $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $5,709.00 $53,900.00 $7,200.00 $259,089.00 $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $192,280.00 $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $192,280.00 $160,640.00 $18,000.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $5,640.00 $192,280.00 ($251,897.50) ($167,907.50) ($340,112.57) ($511,609.84) $250,000.00 $250,000.00 ($1,897.50) ($6,044.73) ($836.39) ($6,881.12) ($174,788.62) ($6,044.73) ($836.39) ($6,881.12) ($346,993.69) ($6,044.73) ($836.39) ($6,881.12) ($518,490.96) Pro Forma Income Statement Horizon Investments LLC Net Revenue Traction Fees Advisory Fees Total Revenue Operating Expenses Adverising Insurance Depreciation Office Equipment Purchase of Office Equipment Computer Software Salaries Total Operating Expenses General Expenses Utilites Telephone and internet Web Hosting Rent Payroll Taxes Total General Expenses Other Expenses Loan Interest Total Revenue Total Expenses Earnings before Taxes Taxes Net Income 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 $2,091.50 $5,100.00 $7,191.50 $20,915.00 $5,355.00 $26,270.00 $21,333.30 $5,622.75 $26,956.05 $21,759.97 $5,903.89 $27,663.85 $30,681.55 $8,420.47 $39,102.02 $43,323.37 $11,890.78 $55,214.14 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $0.00 $13,160.00 $51,400.00 $160,640.00 $233,200.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $6,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,880.00 $0.00 $0.00 $160,640.00 $170,520.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 $5,640.00 $1,920.00 $96.00 $18,000.00 $39,360.00 $65,016.00 ($6,881.12) ($6,881.12) $39,102.02 $228,654.88 ($189,552.86) $0.00 ($189,552.86) $55,214.14 $228,654.88 ($173,440.74) $0.00 ($173,440.74) $0.00 $7,191.50 $298,216.00 ($291,024.50) $0.00 ($291,024.50) ($6,881.12) ($6,881.12) ($6,881.12) $26,270.00 $228,654.88 ($202,384.88) $0.00 ($202,384.88) $26,956.05 $228,654.88 ($201,698.83) $0.00 ($201,698.83) $27,663.85 $228,654.88 ($200,991.03) $0.00 ($200,991.03) Other Financial Records Tax Break down on $50,000 per Employee FICA OASDI $2,100.00 FICA Medicare $725.00 Federal Tax $5,465.00 State/ Local Est 3% $1,550.00 Total $9,840.00 Office Furniture Desks Chairs Lighting Filing Cabnets 4 drawer Vertical Filing Cabnets 4 drawer Lateral Bookshelves 4 shelf Safe Outside Signs Computer Equipment Computers Monitors Server Server Rack Backup Hard drives Computer Software Microsoft Office Professional Vitech Equitrak Software for investments QTY 4 8 4 4 3 4 1 3 Itemized Startup Items Price Total Comments $300.00 $1,200.00 100 $800.00 50 $200.00 200 $800.00 500 $1,500.00 120 $480.00 500 $500.00 60 $180.00 4 8 1 1 2 $500.00 $100.00 $4,000.00 400 150 $2,000.00 $800.00 $4,000.00 $400.00 $300.00 4 $350.00 $1,400.00 1 $50,000.00 $50,000.00 Basic Home Office Computer loaded with Windows 7 19" Dual monitor setup on every computer Bare Bones server Bare bones open post frame 3TB external Backups Conclusion As discussed in the financial section the crux of the business comes down the finding an initial investor to supply the fund startup capital. While three million dollars is the require amount to be earning an income by 2016 it still isn’t enough for the funds to diversify enough to be stable while still offing investment capital to startup technology companies. The growth potential is there but the funds need to be able to handle the loss of significant investments. At the three million dollar mark any loss on investment could irrevocably cripple the fund. Even the idealistic investors that the funds are targeting won’t suffer the feeling of throwing their money away. To become a viable source of venture capital the funds need to be able to give out multiple investments when good ideas are presented. This requires a large amount of money on hand or investments with high liquidity. The nature of the majority of the funds investments will be long term, preventing rapid shifts in focus when new ideas come up. Constant injections of new capital will be required to maintain the funds ability to invest in newer technologies. With the low value investments of the target audience an extremely high volume of investors will be required to maintain the funds ability to invest. Since no source of the millions required to truly grow the company to critical mass can be identified we must decide this idea is infeasible. The age old adage still applies in this situation “You need money to make money”. If a benefactor or group of benefactors could be identified the idea could be feasible but would require major financial backers ready to inject new capital if the funds suffered heavy losses on high risk investments.. Sources United States. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Usual Weekly Earnings of Wage and Salary Workers: First Quarter 2012. Washington: GPO, 2012 Web. <http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/wkyeng.pdf> United States. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Industry Employment and output projections to 2020. Washington: GPO, 2012 Web. <http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art4full.pdf> Vitech. Vitech Systems Group, Inc. 2012. Web. 1 Jun. 2012 <http://www.vitechinc.com/investment_overview.asp> Staples.com. Stables Inc. 2011. Web. 3 Jun. 2012 <http://www.staples.com/>
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