EC 720 - Math for Economists Samson Alva Department of Economics, Boston College November 3, 2011 Problem Set 6 Due Date: 11/11/11, 11:11:11pm 1 Instructions: Solutions should be put in my mailbox, slipped under the door of my office, or emailed to [email protected]. Starred problems are harder and should be a lower priority. 1. Investment with Adjustment Costs Another “canonical” model that often gets analyzed using the maximum principle is the one solved by a firm that faces costs of adjusting its capital stock. During each period t ∈ [0, ∞), this firm produces a flow of Y (t) units of output using a stock of K(t) units of capital according to the production function Y (t) = K(t)α , with 0 < α < 1. The capital stock depreciates at the constant rate δ, where 0 < δ < 1; hence, by investing I(t) units of output at time t, the firm augments its capital stock according to K̇(t) = I(t) − δK(t) At the same time, however, the firm incurs a quadratic cost of adjustment given by φ I(t)2 , 2 where the parameter φ > 0 governs the magnitude of this cost. In this problem, the firm’s choice of I(t) can be positive, in which case the firm is installing new capital, or negative, in which case the firm is selling off existing capital; but either way, the formulation implies that it will incur adjustment costs in making these changes. The firm sells off whatever output remains after its investment choice is made; its profits during period t are therefore K(t)α − I(t) − φ I(t)2 . 2 Finally, let r > 0 denote the constant discount rate, reflecting either impatience on the part of the firm’s owners or a positive rate of interest at which profits received today can generate additional income if saved for the future. 1 November 11, 2011, 11:11pm 1 The firm’s problem can now be stated as: choose continuously differentiable functions I(t) and K(t) for t ∈ [0, ∞) to maximize the discounted value of profits over the infinite horizon, Z ∞ φ e−rt [K(t)α − I(t) − I(t)2 ] dt, 2 0 subject to the capital accumulation equation for all t ∈ [0, ∞), taking the initial capital stock K(0) − K̄0 > 0 as given. (a) Define the Hamiltonian for this problem and write down the first-order condition and the pair of differential equations that, according to the maximum principle, are necessary conditions for the values of I(t) and K(t) that solve the firm’s infinite-horizon problem. (b) Use the necessary conditions to rewrite the system as one involving two differential equations in two unknowns: investment I(t) and the capital stock K(t). (c) Now write down a set of two equations that determine the optimal steady-state values I ∗ for investment and K ∗ for the capital stock (Note: it will not be possible to actually solve these equations for I ∗ and K ∗ algebraically; if you want to find these steady-state values you would have to assign numerical values to each of the model’s parameters and then use a calculator or a computer to find the corresponding numerical values of I ∗ and K ∗ ). (d) Finally, use your results from above to draw a phase diagram that illustrates the following property of the solution to the firm’s problem: starting from any value K(0) > 0 for the initial capital stock, there is a unique value of investment I(0) such that, starting from I(0) and K(0), the optimally-chosen paths for I(t) and K(t) converge to the steady-state values I ∗ and K ∗ . In drawing this phase diagram, it may be helpful to note that while investment I(t) can take on positive or negative values, depending on whether the firm is accumulating or selling off capital, the capital stock K(t) itself must always remain positive when these variables are chosen optimally. (e) Are the necessary conditions above also sufficient? Explain with mathematical arguments. 2. Natural Resource Depletion in Discrete Time Let ct denote society’s consumption of an exhaustible natural resource at each date t = 0, 1, 2, ..., and suppose that a representative consumer gets utility from this resource as described by ∞ X β t ln(ct ) (1) t=0 where the discount factor satisfies 0 < β < 1. Let st denote the stock of the resource that remains at the beginning of each period t = 0, 1, 2, .... Since the resource in nonrenewable, this stock evolves according to the constraint st+1 = st − ct 2 (2) which indicates that consumption during period t just subtracts from the stock, and the stock does not get replenished. Consider a social planner, who chooses sequences ∞ {ct }∞ t=0 and {st }t=1 to maximize the representative consumer’s utility subject to the stock evolution equation, which must hold for all periods t = 0, 1, 2, ..., taking the initial stock s0 = s̄0 as given, and that st ≥ 0 at all times. (a) Write down the current-value Hamiltonian and the necessary conditions a solution must satisfy according to the Maximum Principle. Be sure to write down the relevant transversality condition.2 (b) Given the necessary conditions, what can you conclude about the time-path of consumption. Is it increasing, constant, or decreasing over time, or is it oscillating over time? (c) Show that the consumption at time t is given by ct = β t c0 , where c0 is the consumption at time 0 along the optimum. (d) Show that the transversality condition implies that limt→∞ st+1 = 0. (e) * Show that the stock evolution equation implies st+1 = s̄0 − 1−β t+1 c0 . 1−β (f) Show that c0 = (1 − β)s̄0 , and thus the optimal consumption at time t is ct = β t (1 − β)s̄0 . 3. Sustainable Fishing The undisturbed rate of growth of a population of fish in a certain lake is given by Ṅ (t) = aN (t) − bN 2 (t), where a, b > 0 and N (t) is the population at time t. Let c(t) denote the rate at which fish are being harvested for consumption by cooperative community that owns the lake, and u(c) the flow utility from consumption rate c. The cooperative wishes to sustainably maximize the present value of the discounted stream of flow utility by optimally choosing a fish harvesting plan, where future utility is discounted at rate ρ > 0. Thus, the cooperative solves the following dynamic optimization problem: Z ∞ e−ρt u(c(t))dt max c,N 0 subject to Ṅ (t) = aN (t) − bN 2 (t) − c(t), a N (0) = . b Assume that u0 > 0 and u00 < 0, and that a > ρ. (a) Write down the Hamiltonian in current-value form and find the necessary conditions that the optimal consumption c∗ (t) and population N ∗ (t) paths and that the current-value costate path µ∗ (t) must satisfy, according to the Maximum Principle. What is the necessary transversality condition? 2 See Ireland’s 2010 notes about the Maximum Principle, available at the class website, if you are unsure about how to write the current-value Hamiltonian for discrete time problems. 3 (b) Draw a phase diagram for µ∗ and N ∗ . Depict the saddle-point stable path and a sample trajectory other than the saddle-point stable path. (c) * Can you prove that the condition for a saddle-point stable path hold? (d) Suppose that the utility function is of CES form i.e. u(c) = c1−σ − 1 , 1−σ with σ > 0. Simplify the necessary conditions you found above using this assumption about the utility function and draw a phase diagram for c∗ and N ∗ . (e) Why is it important that N (0) be no greater than ab ? Do you have any intuition why assuming N (0) = ab makes sense? (Hint: what happens in a world without fishing?) (f) How does the steady-state consumption level and fish population level given CES utility depend upon: i. the discount rate ρ? ii. the coefficient of relative risk aversion σ? (g) * Show that the steady-state values of N ∗ and c∗ you found with CES utility is exactly the same for any strictly concave utility function. What is the intuition for why this is true? 4
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