Health Information and Basic Medical Statistics Dr. Pracheth R. Introduction • Mechanism: collect, analyze , transmit information needed : organize health services • Up-to date information • Data: events : little meaning-alone • Convert to information-summarize Uses • Measure health status, quantify health problems • Comparison • Planning, management of programmes • Assess health services-objectives • Degree of satisfaction: beneficiaries Census • Collect, compile, publish-demographic, economic, social data • Specified time-all persons-country/territory • Census Act 1948 • De facto: allocates them as per place where they are found • De jure: residence Functions of census • Provide demographic information: age, sex • Income • Planning action Registration of vital events • Live births, deaths, fetal deaths, marriage, divorce, adoptions • Central Birth and Death Registration Act 1969: 21 days • Lay-reporting: first-line health workers Sample registration system • Continuous enumeration: birth, deaths by enumerator • Independent surveys: 6 months-investigator: cross-check • Covers whole country • Reliable information Notification of diseases • Incidence, distribution of specific diseases • List vary: country to country • WHO- IHR: cholera, plague, yellow fever • Louse-borne typhus, relapsing fever, polio, influenza, malaria, rabies, salmonellosis: surveillance Limitations of notification • Under-reporting • Subclinical : escape • Accuracy of diagnosis • Uses: Fluctuations of disease frequency Early warning of outbreaks Hospital records • Registration, notification: inadequate • So hospital: basic information • Drawbacks: Tip of iceberg Cant be generalized to community Uses of hospital records • Utilization of health services • Geographic location of patients • Cost of hospital care • Distribution of diagnosis Disease registers • Register: permanent record • Cases : followed up • Duration of illness, case fatality • Frequency of disease Record linkage • Bring together records-person/family-different places • Medical record linkage: maintenance recordshealth • Study association between diseases • Problem: volume of data • So limited scale: chronic diseases, family studies Epidemiological surveillance • Diseases are endemic: programmes launched • Part of it: surveillance • Report on new cases • Control disease Population surveys • Health information system should be population based • Health survey: surveys-any aspect of health • When disease studied-morbidity survey Continued….. • Types: Health interview survey Health examination Health records Questionnaire • Single survey: problems of recall • Follow-up surveys: more accurate Others • Environmental health data • Health manpower statistics • Records of OPDs, PHCs, Private Practitioners Normal Distribution Continued…. Continued… Continued….. • Heights, blood pressure, marks Standard deviation • Root-mean square deviation • Measure of how spread out numbers are • 68% of values are within 1 standard deviation of the mean • 95% of values are within 2 standard deviations of the mean • 99.7% of values are within 3 standard deviations of the mean Sampling • Procedure to select representative units • Probability/Non-probability • Probability: Simple random Systematic random Stratified random Cluster Simple random • Every unit: population-equal chance • Population: small, homogenous, numbers easily available: village • Select 10 subjects randomly from a population of 100,you can write their names, fold them up, mix them then pick ten. Systematic Random • 100 students (N) in a class and we wish to select a sample of 20 students (n) , first write the names of 100 students in alphabetical order • N/n: sampling fraction (k) • First: randomly, then every kth • Easier to draw Stratified Random • Heterogenous population • Population: strata: simple random in each strata • Add all samples • Example: Socio-economic status- 5 classes Cluster sampling • Heterogenous population • Group units : geographical location • Select clusters from population-simple random sampling • From selected cluster: each and every unit included • Assess vaccination coverage • Completed lists not available: useful Non-Probability • Purposive/judgement • Incidental sampling • Convenient: telephone directory, registers Null Hypothesis (H0) • How far difference between two things –real or due to chance: testing hypothesis • No difference between two drugs • Smoking has no role in cancer • Two groups: smokers, non-smokers: compare • Difference more than twice standard error (variation among sample means): null hypothesis rejected • P<0.005= difference real- H0 rejected Continued…. • Type 1 error: H0 rejected even though it should be accepted • Type 2 error: Accepting a false H0 Tests of Significance • Tests to measure chance of occurrence of biological variation • Mean weight gain: 2 kgs – nutritional supplement, 1 kg: control • Whether difference of 1 kg due to chance/ supplement • Measures p value Continued…. • Quantitative data: SE of mean SE of difference between 2 means: Sample size > 30: Z test Sample size < 30: t test • Qualitative data: SE of proportion SE of difference between two proportions Chi-square test SE of mean • Distribution of sample means about the true mean • One sample: SD, how accurate is the sample ? What about true mean ? • Calculate SE of mean, set up confidence limits • 25 males; 20-24 years, mean temp: 98.14 deg F, SD=0.6 • SE= SD/ √n=0.6/ √25= 0.12 • 95% confidence limits: population mean: 98.14±(2X0.12)= 97.90 to 98.38 degree F SE of difference between 2 means Continued…. • Real difference: 370-318-=52 > twice SE (2X7.5) • Significant Sample size > 30: Z test Sample size < 30: t test SE of proportions • Proportion of males in village: 52 % • Random sample: 100 people-40% • Proportions: p and q • SE= √(pq/n)= √(52X48/100)= 5 • 2 SE: either side of 52 • 52+2(5)= 62 and 52 -2(5)=42 • Observed proportion: 40%- significant SE of difference between two proportions • Trial of two whooping cough vaccines Continued…. • Observed difference: 24.4-16.2= 8.2 • 2X SE= 2X6.02= 12 • Not significant Chi-square test • Find out the association between 2 attributes • Categorical variables Contingency table Right-handed Left-handed Total Males 43 9 52 Females 44 4 48 Totals 87 13 100 THANKS A LOT
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