Health 2.0 Houston February 2013 CONFIDENTIAL Healthcare Growth Partners, LLC 2013 All Rights Reserved Presenter Background Chris McCord is Managing Director at Healthcare Growth Partners HGP is an investment bank and strategic advisory firm focused exclusively on HIT Closed over 50 HIT transactions since 2007 – sell-side, buy-side, capital raise Seen the good and the bad of HIT Served as CFO of a biotech company from technology transfer through three rounds of institutional funding totaling over $30mm Advisor to School of Biomedical Informatics at UT-HSC Working on own HIT start-up Continually frustrated by the lack of organized HIT (and other healthcare) commercialization in Houston Look at HIT from the perspective of where the investment dollars are going HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 2 Where are we? You are here. Phase I (2010-2015) Phase II (2012-2020) (HITECH): Install and ensure the usage of Phase III (2020+) electronic medical (ACA): Lay the records with the foundation for reform 20?? capability of with pilot risk-based (ACO/Bundled collecting and aggregating data across care settings reimbursement models that are dependent on outcomes, quality and efficiency rather than the volume of service HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS Payment): Execute on a streamlined system of robust care coordination and population health to maximize quality as well as efficiency CONFIDENTIAL (Personalized Medicine): Using big data, quality reporting, and genetics, optimize care and medicine based on individualized characteristics 3 What’s Trending in HIT Investments & M&A Themes Communication Mobility Data Aggregation and Intelligence Products EMR (not fading as fast as one might think) Population Health Patient Engagement Care Coordination Near-term Goals Productivity and Efficiency Gains – Create sustainability Reduced Readmissions – Avoid “never” events, etc Higher Quality – Attract patients and provide quality care Lower Cost – Easier said than done Obtain a Competitive Advantage – For-profit or not, competitive dynamics matter HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 4 The Skeptic vs the Idealist Does healthcare IT help solve US healthcare structural flaws & dysfunction… or does healthcare IT exploit them? HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 5 Incentives, Motivations & Stakeholders Segment Skeptic Idealist SS & Medicaid Eligibility Exploit uninsured & gov’t Provide access Urgent Care Cherry pick patients Provide access and quality Utilization Management Deny care – “ration” Streamline care Clinical Documentation Up-code & up-charge Build intelligence EMR Exploit HITECH Population health Health Plans Cherry pick risk Distribute risk Medical Necessity Protect provider Protect patient Depending on the motivation, many healthcare stakeholders, including those in HIT, may have a strong incentive to preserve inefficiency rather than work toward and efficient market. Example: A hospital-employed, salaried physician might approach a care plan differently from an independent physician. HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 6 Big Picture Healthcare Market Evolution Today Trajectory Optimal Siloed Connected Single Database Patient Engagement Doctor in the mirror All stakeholders responsible except patient Mix of patient responsibility plus patient protection & means-testing Market Orientation Minimal Referral management across sites Seamless care coordination Access, Quality, Cost ~50mm uninsured Access meaningfully addressed by ACA Information Cost Optimization Payer Incentives HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS Productivity has decreased (not Utilization Mgmt (payers) helped by HIT) Resource mgmt (providers) Minimize MLR Focus on data and reach, vs riskmanagement CONFIDENTIAL ACA falls short on quality and cost Real-time Clinical Decision Support Minimized role (bundled payments, ACO, etc) 7 Pitfalls and Opportunities in HIT Big bets being placed on accountable care Tuesday’s Wall Street Journal: “Coming Failure of Accountable Care” – Clayton Christiansen says physician behavior is too hard to change Highly complex and highly dependent on HIT Driving just about every aspect of HIT innovation – care coordination, big data, population health, insurance reform, patient engagement, mobility, telemedicine/monitoring, proliferation of alternative site models Industry stakeholders need to ask – how does the vendor value proposition change if accountable care organizations fail or never take hold? Or even more likely – what if they take longer than expected and don’t result in the amount of change that is hoped for? Biggest pitfalls in HIT Getting too far ahead of the innovation curve because the pace of change in healthcare is most often slower than one would hope and expect Focusing too much on product and not enough on sales strategy HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 8 6 Trends in HIT Investments & M&A #1 Thesis: Patient engagement is critical to a care coordination environment The ACA arguably makes everyone responsible for patient care except the patient itself Many facets of patient engagement: marketing, self-responsibility vs monitoring, wellness, drug adherence, readmission management, care coordination Heavy investment: eClinicalworks $25mm investment, multiple VC investments #2 Thesis: Big data is valuable in so many ways Big data can cost big money – Castlight Health has raised over $100mm Data on its own isn’t worth much unless it contains actionable intelligence Unlike other industries, much healthcare data is not discrete, making it difficult to manage Take special care when contracting (as a provider or vendor) given the power in data HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 9 6 Trends in HIT Investments & M&A #3 Thesis: Health insurance runs the risk of being disintermediated by the transfer of risk to providers Health insurance companies are adept at managing risk – when providers take risk, the value proposition for insurance companies is reduced Insurance companies are capitalizing on their access to data and large patient populations (plus risk management and huge balance sheets) and expanding their portfolio of offerings through HIT acquisitions #4 Thesis: There’s a strong need to manage the flow of patients and information across care settings HIE’s contain a subset of the tools required to transition care across settings Referral management (eg, hospital discharge to home care or SNF) is near-term opportunity because of the focus on minimizing hospital readmissions Early bets on care coordination have faced challenges because market is not yet that dynamic HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 10 6 Trends in HIT Investments & M&A #5 Thesis: Health care needs to be provided in lower cost settings than the hospital Bundled payments will reward providers for diverting care to lower cost settings when appropriate The combination of unique workflow requirements and higher patient volumes make alternate sites attractive markets for HIT (home health, urgent care, etc) When managed appropriate, alternative sites can reduce hospital readmissions Home monitoring will take off, but not until providers have reimbursement incentives (which will require many apps/devices to get FDA approval) #6 Thesis: Population health can optimize outcomes through clinical decision support and other tools The core of accountable care, complex population health systems are effectively driving the decisions around the coordination of care using evidenced-based medicine Heavy patient engagement component Population health, when done right, is highly complex and brings together all of the theses HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 11 Houston HIT Environment Most of the building blocks are in-place… $$$ from Angels (from energy) Large, Corporate Feeders Entrepreneurs can build this from scratch. Or the city can recruit it by showcasing the benefits. HIT Houston Expanding Base of Institutional Capital HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS World Class Medical Resources World Class Education Centers Access to Incubators CONFIDENTIAL 12 HIT Valuation Characteristics Deal activity has deviated away from the typical normal distribution toward a more “bi-modal” distribution 2012 Transactions - Revenue Multiples Revenue Multiple Range 0.0x - 1.0x Count 14 12 1.0x - 3.0x 10 8 6 >3.0x 4 2 0 <0.5x 0.5x 1.0x 1.0x 1.5x 1.5x 2.0x 2.0x 2.5x 2.5x 3.0x 3.0x 3.5x >3.5x Characteristics of Business Commoditized offering Product and capability gaps Low or negative gross and EBITDA margins High customer attrition Distressed transaction Technology scalability Significant growth prospects Strategic synergy Competitive sale process License model Expense synergy Prior relationship with buyer Rights to data High revenue synergy Platform investment New market entrant Sustainable business model Addresses healthcare structural challenges Revenue Multiple HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 13 HIT M&A (Including Buyout) Trends HCIT M&A Activity by Year Number of Transactions 350 300 Total Transaction Value ($mm) $25,000 Key Metric – Median Deal Value 2007 - $33 million 2008 - $26 million 2009 - $9 million 2010 - $59 million 2011 - $36 million 2012 - $32 million Number of Transactions 250 $15,000 200 150 $10,000 Total Transaction VAlue $20,000 100 $5,000 50 0 $0 2007 HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS 2008 2009 2010 CONFIDENTIAL 2011 2012 14 Valuation Criteria Factors that lead to premium valuations include high recurring revenue, strong revenue growth, profitability, and large size Recurring revenue is more than just a financial statistic – indicative of attrition and customer stickiness, ROI and strategic pricing models, and adoption and usage It should be highlighted that multiples below are on a trailing basis and include 100% achievement of any contingent consideration Healthcare Growth Partners narrowed its transaction database to include 117 highly relevant transactions with disclosed multiples since 2005 Number of Transaction Type Transactions All HGP-Selected Transactions 117 EV >= $100mm 62 EV < $100mm 55 Profitable Companies 93 Non-Profitable Companies 7 Recurring Revenue Model Companies 52 Non-Recurring Revenue Model Companies 50 Recurring Revenue Model Companies and EV<$100mm 19 HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL Median Median Median Median EV $109.1 $340.2 $23.5 $160.0 $33.0 $215.0 $76.7 $22.0 EV/Revenue 2.30X 2.65X 1.80X 2.50X 0.99X 2.80X 1.90X 2.40X EV/EBITDA 13.1X 13.6X 10.3X 13.2X nmf 13.2X 12.9X 10.0X EBITDA 18% 20% 11% 19% -15% 22% 14% 14% 15 VC/PE HIT Evaluation Criteria Based on our conversations with private equity and growth capital investors focused on HIT, the following criteria are of high importance to institutional investors Financial Metrics: Strong recurring revenue model Focus on companies that are beyond proof-of-concept – the universe of early stage investors has been contracting The universe of HIT companies that meets the private equity profile is relatively small, and those companies are highly sought after Preference for large market opportunity – well in excess of $100mm Business Metrics: The business provides a strong ROI case for its customers If software-intensive, preference for a SaaS or web-based delivery model Scalable business model with competitive differentiation The business addresses a clear and growing pain point within healthcare An acquirer universe that includes more than a handful of potential acquirers Business capitalizes on a post-healthcare reform environment Proven management team HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS CONFIDENTIAL 16 HIT Capital Raise (Non-Buyout) Trends HCIT Capital Raising Activity by Year Number of Transactions 250 Total Transaction Value ($mm) $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 150 $1,000 $800 100 $600 Total Transaction Value ($mm) Number of Transactions 200 $400 50 $200 0 $0 2007 HEALTHCARE GROWTH PARTNERS 2008 2009 2010 CONFIDENTIAL 2011 2012 17
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