Selection 1(2000)1–3, 135–145 Available online at http://www.akkrt.hu Avoiding Catch-22 of Early Evolution by Stepwise Increase in Copying Fidelity I. SCHEURING Department of Plant Taxonomy and Ecology, Research Group of Ecology and Theoretical Biology, Eötvös University, Budapest, Hungary (Received: 10 January 2000, Accepted in revised form: 25 April 2000) One of the most famous problems of early evolution is the reconstruction of the evolutionary processes creating a sophisticated, enzymatically aided replication apparatus from a system of primitive self-replicating oligomers. It is known that the selectively maintained length, and thus the amount of information coded in replicators, are limited by their copying fidelity, and that this length was too short in the primordial phase to code for specific replicase enzymes. However, as argued generally, copying accuracy could not be increased without the help of specific enzymes. In this paper, we suggest a step-by-step solution to this paradoxical situation through studying both nonenzymatic or enzymatic replication. In the nonenzymatic case, longer templates may enhance replication fidelity by their structural modification, while longer macromolecules could be a bit more precise replicase enzymes in the enzymatic situation. If this increased copying accuracy is sufficiently high, and naturally if the longer replicators outcompete the shorter ones, then the information content maintained in the winner template is increased. I use simple strategic models to study the possibility of these coevolutionary processes. It is pointed out that the necessary per unit increase of copying fidelity decreases rapidly with increased template size, and it could be very small even at shorter templates. Comparing the results to experimental data suggests that most probably it is the speed of replication and decomposition of macromolecules rather than copying accuracy, that limits the length of replicators. Keywords: Error catastrophe, replicators, prebiotic evolution, RNA enzymes, copying fidelity 1. Introduction Many scientists interested in the origin of life think that there must have been a prebiotic phase in which self-replicating oligomers were the only evolutionary units on Earth (Eigen, 1971; Gilbert, 1986; Maynard Smith and Szathmáry, 1995; Joyce and Orgel, 1999). The most adequate candidates for this role are RNAs or alternative genetic systems that preceded the RNA world (Egholm et al., 1992; Eschenmoser, 1997; Joyce and Orgel, 1999). This view is supported by the replicative and very diverse enzymatic capability of RNAs (Zaug and Cech, 1986; Landweber, 1999 and ref. therein). Although nonenzymatic self-replicating RNAs are not discovered yet, some artificial nucleic acid oligomers can repli- Corresponding author: I. Scheuring, Department of Plant Taxonomy and Ecology, Eötvös University, H-1083 Budapest, Ludovika tér 2, Hungary, E-mail: [email protected] cate without any enzyme (von Kiedrowski, 1986, 1993; Sievers and von Kiedrowski, 1994). Similarly, RNA-catalyzed RNA polymerization experiments (Ekland and Bartel, 1996) support the hypothesis of a nucleic acid-based prebiotic world. Nearly thirty years ago, Eigen (1971) used the mathematical apparatus of population genetics for modeling the selection and mutation processes of replicating macromolecules. He pointed out that the length of selectively maintainable replicating molecules is limited by copying fidelity and by the selective superiority of the best replicator. Molecules longer than a limit should produce astronomical numbers of copies to yield a single error-free copy. Considering nonenzymatic replication and assuming the copying fidelity per nucleotide per replication to be 0.99, the maximum length of the winner macromolecule is about 100 nucleotides (Maynard Smith, 1983). For further increasing this length the copying fidelity has to be increased, which requires the presence of specific enzymes. Prebiotic repli- 136 I. SCHEURING cators smaller than 100 units were too short to code for such enzymes, however. This is “Catch-22” of prebiotic evolution (Maynard Smith, 1983) or Eigen’s paradox (Szathmáry, 1989). Earlier hypotheses attempting to solve this problem assume that, besides competition, there is some kind of cooperation among the replicators, which can maintain the coexistence of different replicators. Thus, the information necessary to code for a replicase enzyme is stored in smaller cooperative fragments. Eigen and Schuster (1979) assumed the replicators to be complete molecular mutualists, that is, every molecule type catalyzes both its own replication and that of another member of the system. In this so-called hypercycle, the coexistence of competitor-mutualist molecules is typical, but the system is unstable in both evolutionary and dynamical terms (Szathmáry, 1989). Eigen’s model assumed “point-like” macromolecules living in a perfectly mixed medium. This idealisation can be offset by considering macromolecules as discrete entities moving on a surface by a diffusion for example. Coexistence of different replicators is typical in these nonperfectly mixed spatially explicit models if some kind of cooperation is assumed among the macromolecules (Boerlijst and Hogeweg, 1991; Czárán and Szathmáry, 1998). In the meantime, experimentalists pointed out that template-directed selfreplicating oligomers display “parabolic” population growth at higher template concentrations (von Kiedrowski, 1986, 1993; Sievert and von Kiedrowski, 1994; Lee et al., 1996). The word “parabolic” means that template concentration increases with the square of time. This behavior follows from the self-inhibition of templates due to dimerization. Interestingly, the characteristic behavior of parabolic replicating systems is not competitive exclusion but the coexistence of different replicators (Szathmáry and Gladkih, 1989). Thus, the necessary information was maintained partially in different shorter templates by parabolic replication. Apparently we do not fall into the catch now, but in reality we could not invalidate the Eigen paradox this way. First, selfinhibition is effective only at template concentrations too high to be likely in prebiotic situations (Maynard Smith and Szathmáry, 1995). At low concentrations, however, templates evolve according to the Eigen equations, thus we arrive at the paradoxical situation again (Wills et al., 1998). Second, if replication is limited by a common resource and only single strands decompose spontaneously, then types with the lowest fitness are selected out even in parabolic systems (Lifson and Lifson, 1999). Third, if we assume a mechanism that creates high template concentrations, then the survival of everybody excludes the possibility of Darwinian selection. The explanation of the problem starts from the hypothesis that, at this prebiotic phase, replication was non enzymatic. However, most of the previous solutions of this problem consider more or less elaborated catalytic connections among the macromolecules. Thus, we investigate the possibility of a stepby-step increase in copying fidelity considering two different mechanisms: nonenzymatic template directed and enzymatic replication. Our basic assumption is either that the copying accuracy of template-directed replicators depends on the length of the replicating macromolecules or the replicase function of the macromolecules could increase with length. Similarly to protein-based enzymes, chemical reactions occur in the active center of the RNA-enzymes. This center contains approximately 7 to 40 nucleotides (Landweber, 1999). The other nucleotides are responsible for the stabilization, orientation and “tuning” of the active center and for the stability of the entire molecule. So, adding new monomers to small RNA-enzymes or replicators can increase their effectiveness and stability. The shorter the molecule the more meaningful is this effect. Then, the following process can increase the selectively maintained information: at the beginning, the length of the winner nucleotide chain is below the threshold. Then, a longer and fitter mutant emerges the different structure of which allows for more precise template-directed self-replication. Alternatively this mutant and/or its nearest neighbors in the sequence space act as a more accurate replicase enzyme. If this longer mutant replicates with an increased precision, then it has a higher chance to avoid the error catastrophe. In this case, the winner of the selection will be a longer information carrier macromolecule until an even longer and more precise replicator defeats it, and so on. A really long replicator molecule and a precise replication process would be the end of these recursive evolutionary steps. Recently, a similar hypothesis has been put forward by Poole et al. (1999), but they do not explain the mechanism and the plausibility of this positive feedback in detail. ERROR CATASTROPHE AND COPYING FIDELITY It is shown in the following sections that the above scenario is highly possible if either nonenzymatic template-directed self-replication or catalytically aided replication is considered. First, I determine the conditions in which longer master sequences are selected for. Then, I give the necessary increase of copying fidelity by replicator length to avoid the error catastrophe in the longer system. The possibility of this scenario is discussed in the light of existing experimental data. 2. Selection for longer templates 2.1. The template-directed case Let us consider Eigen’s (1971) equation, which describes the mutation- selection process of replicating macromolecules: . x i = (Ai Q − D i ) x i + n ∑w j ≠ i , j =1 ij xj − (1) – F (x 1 , x 2 ,..., x n ) x i , (i = 1,..., n ) where xi is the concentration of sequence i, Ai is the total rate of replication, Q is the copying fidelity per replication, Di is the spontaneous decay rate, wij-s are the mutation rates (the probability that a copy of i will be type j) and Φ is a function introduced to maintain constant total concentration in the chemostate. For convenience, the complementary nature of replication is disregarded. As mentioned above, template-directed self-replication leads to these equations at low concentrations. Consequently, equation (1) is the mathematical model of template-directed or (nonenzymatic) self-replication in the biologically adequate limit case (Wills et al., 1998). Maynard Smith (1983) analyzed a simplified version of Eigen’s model. Because his more tractable equations lead to the same qualitative results as the original ones, I start from Maynard Smith’s model. He divided the population of different replicators into two parts: the fittest master (denoted by m) and all the rest (denoted by j). j stands for a fictitious sequence, each parameter of which is the average of the corresponding parameter values in the quasispecies. It is assumed that there are no back mutations to the master, because it is much more likely that mutant sequences mutate to other mutants than 137 to the master. Consequently, Q = 1 in the mutant class. Then, equation (1) becomes: ½m = (AmQ – Dm) xm – xm Φ (xm, xj), (2a) ½j = (Aj – Dj) xj + Am(1 – Q) xm – xj Φ (xm, xj) (2b) where xm + xj = 1 and Φ (xm, xj) = (Am – Dm) xm + + (Aj – Dj) xj keeps the total concentration constant during replication. Equation (2b) indicates that the concentrations are scaled to sum up to one. Now, following Maynard Smith (1983), I show that the length of the selectively maintained information is limited by copying fidelity. The master sequence is selectively maintained if the concentration of the master is greater than zero at dynamical equilibrium, that is, when ½m = 0 and ½j = 0. Solving equations (2a–b) we conclude that the equilibrium concentration of the master is positive if Q> Aj − D j + D m Am 1 = , s (3) where s is the selective superiority of the master sequence. Relation (3) can be simplified to Q > Aj/Am by exploiting the fact that the difference of the decay rates must be much smaller than the replication rates. This assumption enables us to neglect decay rates Dj and Dm in (2a–b) (Maynard Smith, 1983). Let q be the average copying fidelity of one nucleotide base per replication and N the number of bases in the sequences. Then, the copying fidelity of the master is Q = qN. It is known, however, that −N 1 − q q N ≈ e ( ) , so that from relation (3) we obtain N< ln s , 1−q (4) which means that the selectively maintained quantity of information (N) is limited by the per unit copying fidelity (q) (Eigen, 1971). The upper limit for N, mentioned in the Introduction, is estimated from this relation, and the related problem of prebiotic evolution is called Eigen’s paradox (Szathmáry, 1989). If increased copying fidelity belongs to longer templates, then q must be some increasing function of N. From condition (3) we have that Q (N ) = q (N )N > A j / Am . (5) 138 I. SCHEURING in the A j >> D j − D m limit. Let us imagine now that a new M mutant sequence emerges in the system. We are interested in the possibility of increasing the coded information, so the mutant is assumed to a nucleotide longer unit, and q is some increasing function of N. Then, using the previously introduced notations and denoting the new master and its mutants with index M and J, respectively, the selection process can be described by: ½m = [Amq(N)N – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ)] xm, (6a) ½M = [AMq(N + 1)N+1 – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ)] xM, (6b) ôj = Ajxj + Am(1 – q(N)N)xm – xjΦ(xM, xm, xj, xJ), (6c) ôJ = AJxJ + Am(1 – q(N + 1)N + 1)xM – – xJ Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ), (6d) where xM + xm + xj + xJ = 1, Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ) = AMxM + + Amxm + Ajxj + AJxJ . The invading mutant M outcompetes the resident m if its net growth rate is greater than that of m, that is, if AMq(N + 1)N+1 – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ) > Amq(N)N – – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ), or equivalently if AM q (N )N . > Am q (N + 1 )N +1 (7) The above condition changes somewhat if the decay rates are not neglected; I shall discuss that case later. 2.2. The enzymatic case The other possibility is that sequences or some parts of them behave as primitive replicase enzymes, named as ribozymes. These ribozymes, being in a well-mixed chemostate, catalyze the replication according to their relative concentrations. We assume that ribozymes are obligatory for replication. If molecules would replicate in template-directed and enzymatic way simultaneously, then the second order enzymatic process can be neglected because of the very small absolute template concentrations (Wills et al., 1998). Thus, the above defined situation can be modeled by the following phenomenological equations: ôm = amCm(xm, xj)xm – xmΦ(xm, xj), (8a) ôj = ajxj + am(1 – Cm(xm, xj)) xm – xjΦ(xm, xj), (8b) where Cm(xm, xj) = q(N)Nxm + Õ(N)Nxj and xm + xj = 1, Φ(xm, xj) = amxm + ajxj. Cm(xm, xj) estimates the catalytically aided copying fidelity, where q(N) is the per base copying accuracy of master replication if it is aided by other masters. Similarly, Õ(N) is the per base copying fidelity if masters replicated by the catalytic help of mutants. Because all mutants are collected into a single class in this model, Õ(N) is an average value which characterizes the mutants. If the system is not saturated by the substrate, then reaction speed is proportional to enzyme concentration, which is assumed in the function Cm(xm, xj). Enzymes can modify replication speed as well, thus the total enzyme function is Em(xm, xj) = hmq(N)Nxm + + hjÕ(N)Nxj, where hm, hj are kinetic constants. One of the speed constants is greater than the other, say let hm > hj , then Em(xm, xj) > hj(q(N)Nxm + hjÕ(N)Nxj) = hjCm(xm, xj). Denoting hjAm by am, we estimate the replication speed of the master from lower bound in (8a–b). It seems to be strange that the enzymatic interactions do not emerge in (8b), but it is the result of a similar estimation. Since mutants replicate into the mutant class, the enzymatic effect is Ej(xm, xj) = εmxm + εjxj with the kinetic constants εm and εj. If, for example εm > εj then Ej(xm, xj) < εm(xm + xj) = εm. Thus, the enzyme function can be estimated from upper bound by εmAj = aj replication rate. This “worst case” assumption helps us give a fair and simpler estimations to be used later. We can determine the stable nonzero equilibrium density of master sequence from (8b) assuming that ôj = 0 and substituting, 1–xm into xj. After some rearrangement, we conclude that x *m = a m q (N )N − a j a m (1 − q (N )N ) + a m q (N )N − a j . (9) Like in the nonenzymatic situation, the master avoids the error catastrophe if its concentration is positive at equilibrium. There are two basically different cases when the x *m > 0 condition is satisfied, if either aj (10) q (N )N > , am or ERROR CATASTROPHE AND COPYING FIDELITY aj 1 (11) =1 − . am s Condition (10) suits the scenario when the mutants give – on average – a precise and effective catalytic aid to the master. It has to be stressed that the actual value of q(N) is not important here, it could even be zero. The second case requirest Õ(N)N to be very small, and q(N)N to be greater than a fixed value. We have to investigate the stability of the fixed points as well. Substituting 1–xm into xj and analyzing equation (8a), we find that condition (10) always leads to a stable fixed point, while relation (11) defines an unstable fixed point at x *m . In the latter case, the x ** m = 0 fixed point is stable indicating that the master is selected out (see Appendix A). Thus, I do not discuss further. Now a master M, being one unit longer than master m, is introduced in the system. Because enzyme fidelity depends on the length of the replicators, the mutants of M (denoted by J) form a new mutant class. With this notation, the system is evolved by the dynamics q (N )N << 1 and q (N )N > 1 − ôm = [amCm(xM, xm, xj, xJ) – – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ)] xm ôM = [aMCM(xM, xm, xj, xJ) = (q (N )N − q (N )N ) x *m + q (N )N (q (N )N +1 − q (N )N +1 ) x *m + q (N )N +1 . (13) (12b) (9)). Thus, q(N)N x *m >> Õ(N)N (1 − x *m ) in (13). Then condition (13) simplifies to (12c) ôJ = aJxJ + aM (1 – CM (xM, xm, xj, xJ)) xm – – xJ Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ), aM q (N )N x *m + q (N )N (1 − x *m ) = > a m q (N )N +1 x *m + q (N )N +1 (1 − x *m ) (12a) ôj = ajxj + am (1 – Cm(xM, xm, xj, xJ)) xm – – xj Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ) speed is built into am and aM, and the enzymatic effects in the mutant classes are estimated from above by aj and aJ. To avoid unnecessary complications, we assume that mutants are identical with their masters in length, and both mutant classes have the same average catalytic activity at a given length (that is Õj(N) = ÕJ(N) = Õ(N)). Again, we are interested in the conditions which allow M to outcompete the resident master sequence. The rare M mutant can spread in the resident system if ôM > 0 when xM ≈ 0, xJ = 0 and ôm > 0. Then, we obtain the condition for the invasion of M from equations (12a) and (12b): For a more convenient analysis of the above relation, we study it in three characteristic cases. In the first case, the master has a more accurate enzymatic function than the mutant, that is, q(N)N >> Õ(N)N. Then, x *m ≈ 1 − x *m or x *m >> 1 − x *m (see equation – – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ)] xM 139 (12d) where xM + xm + xj + xJ = 1, Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ) = aMxM + amxm + + ajxj + aJxJ, Cm (xM, xm, xj, xJ) = q(N + 1)NxM + q(N)Nxm + + Õ(N)Nxj + Õ(N + 1)NxJ, CM (xM, xm, xj, xJ) = q(N + 1)N + 1xM + + q(N)N + 1xm + Õ(N)N + 1xj + Õ(N + 1)N + 1xJ. Functions Cm (xM, xm, xj, xJ) and CM (xM, xm, xj, xJ) estimate the average copying fidelity of replicators m and M. As before, the enzyme-modified copying aM 1 > . a m q (N ) (14) We refer to this limit as the “dominant” situation. In the second possible case the master and the mutants possess approximately the same enzymatic function, which means that q(N)N ≈ Õ(N)N. Then, independently of the actual value of x *m , the condition of invasion becomes aM /am > 1/q(N)N ≈ 1/Õ(N). Mutants and master help one another’s replication effectively, so this is the “cooperative” case. In the third characteristic situation, the master’s enzymatic function is insignificant, while it exploits the mutant enzymes thoroughly, that is, Õ(N)N >> q(N)N. Since mutants help the replication of the master, we may call this case the “altruistic” or “parasitic” limit. Then, Õ(N)N x *m >> q(N)N x *m in (13), and M can invade if aM 1 > . a m q (N ) (15) 140 I. SCHEURING On the other hand, M could be the winner of the selection if a rare m could not invade into a resident population M. It means that ôm < 0 when xm ≈ 0, xj = 0 and ôM = 0. Following the previous analysis and approximations, we conclude that m does not invade the resident master M if It is reasonable to assume that increasing AM (aM) entails the increase of AJ (aJ) in the mutant class as well, consequently selective superiority does not change meaningfully, that is, S ≈ s. Then, comparing inequality (5) with (18) we conclude that condition (18) is valid if aM 1 > a m q (N + 1 ) Q(N + 1) ≥ Q(N). (16) when q(N)N >> Õ(N)N at the dynamic equilibrium, or aM 1 > , a m q (N + 1 ) (17) when Õ(N)N ≈ q(N)N or Õ(N)N >> q(N)N. It can be seen from the structure of (12a) and (12b) and from conditions (14–17) that m and M could coexist in none of the dominant, cooperative and altruistic cases. Thus, we may assume that if M can invade in the resident quasispecies, then m generally will be outcompeted at the dynamic equilibrium (for mathematical details, see Appendix B). Since Õ(N) and q(N) must be monotone increasing functions, conditions (14) and (15) are stricter than (16) and (17). If a rare M can invade the resident m, then it is stable against the invasion of rare m-s. Consequently, inequilibrium pairs of (10) and (14) or (10) and (15) give biologically relevant conditions for a sequence to be a master, and to be a successful invader in the enzymatic model. (20) Similarly, it follows from (10) and (19) that Û(N + 1) ≥ Û(N) is a sufficient condition for M to be an information carrying master sequence in the enzymatic model. Since the above conditions are identical for Q(N) and Û(N), we concentrate only on Q(N) below. Q(N) is originally defined for positive integer values of N, but this function could be extended for every positive real z value. We define Q(z) to be a continuous and differentiable extension of Q(N). Thus, condition (20) is supported if Q′(z) ≥ 0, that is, if (q (z ) z )′ ≥ 0. After derivation it means that z (ln q (z ))′ + ln q (z ) ≥ 0. (21) If the inequality is replaced by an equation sign, then the resulting differential equation gives a sufficient function for q(z) that enables the information integration through the step-by-step mechanism. Let us substitute ln q(z) with L(z), so that we have to solve 1 L ′ (z ) + L (z ) = 0. z (22) α , where a is z the constant of integration. Consequently, if the per unit copying fidelity increases at least according to Integrating this equation yields L (z ) = α 3. Avoiding the error catastrophe q (N ) = e N , The mutant M could be a hopeful invader only if it is resistant against the error catastrophe as well. According to equation (5), it requires in the nonenzymatic case that then the longer invading mutant remains resistant against the error catastrophe. Since q(N) is an increasing function of N, a < 0. (An identical expression is valid for Õ(N).) Substituting this form of q(N) into (7) we conclude that M can be fitter than m if AM > Am in the nonenzymatic case. That is, if copying accuracy increases with the increased coded information according to (23), then the longer mutant is the winner of the selection, provided it replicates faster than the resident master. However, if decay rates are not neglected in (6a–c), then Q (N + 1 ) = q (N + 1 )N +1 > AJ / AM = 1 / S. (18) Relation (10) reflects the enzymatic situation, that is, M avoids the error catastrophe if Q (N + 1 ) = q (N + 1 )N +1 > a J / a M = 1 / S. (19) (23) ERROR CATASTROPHE AND COPYING FIDELITY (24) is the condition for M to be the winner of selection. That is, M can overcome m even if it replicates slower, provided it is more resistant against spontaneous decomposition. We studied the enzymatic model for some special cases. In the “dominant” case, the invasion of M is determined by q(N) (14), which is much greater than Õ(N). The master is the best template of the replication and it has an outstanding enzymatic capability as well. As these functions are in negative trade-off, this situation is improbable and is not treated in more detail. In the cooperative and in the altruistic situations, M is a successful invader if aM > am / /Õ(N) = am / ea/N. Like in the nonenzymatic situation, if death rates of replicators differ in (12), the invasion condition for M modifies to a M (q (N )N x *m + q (N )N (1 − x *m )) − D M > > a m (q (N )N +1 x *m + q (N )N +1 (1 − x *m )) − D m , (25) thus M can invade easier if it decays slower than m. 4. Discussion Let us see the biological relevance of these results. It is an important property of the function exp(a/N) that it increases very fast for small N-s, but much slower if N is high above a (Fig. 1). The longer the ribozymes and templates the smaller copying fidelity enhancing suffices for increasing the length of replicators. Eigen and Schuster (1979) thought the copying fidelity q to be about 0.99 and the length of the selectively maintained master sequence to be about 100 nucleotides in nonenzymatic replication. According to recent experiments, 0.99 seems to be an optimistic value for q. Ekland and Bartel (1996), using specialized RNA polymerizing ribozyme, found that q is between 0.76 and 0.96 depending on the AU/GC ratio. This ribozyme is about 100 units long and with the help of an external template it can polymerize oligomers up to six nucleotides. Assume that our master replicates about e to e3 times faster than the mutants, that is, s is between e ≈ 2.7 and e3 ≈ 20. Substituting s and the values of q q(N) AM q (N + 1 )N +1 − D M > Am q (N )N − D m 141 N FIG. 1. The necessary per unit copying fidelity in function of unit number. The parameters are a = –1, (solid line) and a = –3, (dashed line) measured by Ekland and Bartel into (4), we conclude that N, the selectively maintained replicator length, is between 4 and 75. The lowest value applies if ln s = 1 and the RNAs consist of A and U nucleotides only (q = 0.76), the highest one when ln s = 3 and RNAs are pure GC sequences (q = 0.96). Knowing N and q, we can estimate a from (23), which is approximately between –1 (ln s = 1) and –3 (ln s = 3). These functions are plotted in Fig. 1. We are interested in the necessary increase in per base replication fidelity when the length increases from N to N + 1, which is estimated by q(N + 1) – q(N). Figure 2 shows this difference as a function of N. The necessary increase of copying fidelity is 4 × 10–2 in the worst, and 5 × 10–4 in the best case in our estimation (see Fig. 2). The ribozyme in Ekland and Bartel’s experiment is probably too long to leave room under the error threshold. However, Joyce and Orgel (1999) argue that the minimum size of a replicase ribozyme is about 40–60 nucleotides, because they must form a “dumbbell” or a pseudoknot structure to have enzymatic activity. They do not exclude completely that a single stem-loop, containing 12–17 nucleotides, has some replicase activity as well. This later view is supported by the fact that very short oligomers with 7 nucleotides have been demonstrated to show catalytic activity (Landweber, 1999). These values are in concordance with our estimated size for a selectively maintained replicator-replicase system. The mutant M can outcompete m if its net growth rate is greater than that of the resident one (AM > Am) in the nonenzymatic case, or if aM > am / eα/N in the “cooperative” and “altruistic” situation. Since M is 142 I. SCHEURING TABLE 1 The necessary conditions for invasion and the avoidance of the error catastrophe q(N+1)–q(N) Maximum length of replicators Necessary increase of copying fidelity Necessary increase of replication speed Nonenzymatic Enzymatic case case N N FIG. 2. The difference of copying fidelity in function of N in a log-log plot. Arrows indicate the estimated worst (diamonds, N = 4, α = –1, q = 0.76,) and the best cases (crosses, N = 75, α = –3, q = 0.96). The dashed line decreases with N–2, showing a strong decreasing trend in the difference of copying fidelity one unit longer than m, the replication rate per unit has to be increased in the longer template. Table 1 collects the estimated values necessary for invasion and to avoid the error catastrophe of the longer mutant in the nonenzymatic and in the enzymatic situations. For example, if the resident oligomers are four units long, then the invader has to copy at least 5 units in the same time to invade. It means that AM/Am has to be greater than 1.25. According to Table 1, we can conclude that to replicate faster sets up a more rigorous condition to increase the length of replicators than the error catastrophe itself. As I have shown above, if the longer replicator is more stable against spontaneous decay, then it could be the winner of the selection even it has a slower replication rate (see (24, 25)). Similarly, if replication fidelity increases even more than the sufficient exp(a/N) function demands, then the longer replicator outcompetes the smaller one easier (see (7, 14, 15)). Naturally, it can happen that the longer replicator kills out the smaller one, but itself is not resistant against the error catastrophe. Then, both the master and its mutants will be present at a very low concentration in the original Eigen model (Eigen, 1971). Because concentrations become very low, it is highly probable that sooner or later the master dies out by external disturbance (Eigen and Schuster, 1979). In this case a smaller master can invade and the system q(N + 1) – q(N) > AM /Am > aM/am/eα/N > 4 4 × 10–2 (α = –1, q = 0.76) 1.25 1.6 75 5 × 10–4 (α = –3, q = 0.96) 1.02 1.03 The estimation process is described in the main text returns to the initial state. This cyclical process continues until a longer invading master increases the copying accuracy in the necessary manner as well. It is important to note that our enzymatic model is identical to a two-membered hypercycle in which one of the replicators (the master) can mutate into the other one (mutants). It is well known that selfish parasites, which do not give any enzymatic help to the other members of the hypercycle but exploit the others as ribozymes for their replication, infect and kill the hypercycle (Szathmáry, 1989). This evolutionary problem does not emerge in this model even if the master exploits the mutants totally (hmq(N) = 0), because masters (including the selfish ones) mutating to the mutant class, produce ribozymes for its reproduction continuously. To be stable against selfish parasites is an important question, and this problem is under study in a spatially explicit cellular automaton model, where backward mutations and trade-offs among the enzymatic and replicative functions are considered as well. Acknowledgements I am grateful Tamás Czárán, János Podani, Csaba Pál, Eörs Szathmáry, and to an anonymous reviewer for comments and helpful criticism. The financial support from the OTKA (Hungarian Scientific Found), T025793 and T029789 is gratefully acknowledged. Special thanks are due to Inter Metal Ltd. for supporting my traveling expenses. ERROR CATASTROPHE AND COPYING FIDELITY 143 APPENDIX A APPENDIX B Substituting 1–xm into xj in (8a) and rearranging the right-hand side of this equation we obtain We show below that M and m masters could not coexist at the studied situations in the enzymatic system. That is, if M can invade when it is rare, then it will outcompete the resident m. Equations (12a–d) describe the dynamics of master (m), its mutants (j) and the invader (M) with its J mutants as follows: ôm = Ax m2 + Bx m , where A = a m (q (N )N − 1 ) + a j − a m q (N )N , B = a m q (N )N − a j . (A1) ôm = The fixed points of (A1) are x *m = a m q (N ) − a j N a m (1 − q (N )N ) + a m q (N )N − a j and x ** m = 0. [amCm(xM, xm, xj, xJ) – – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ)] xm ôM = [aMCM(xM, xm, xj, xJ) (B1a) – – Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ)] xM (B1b) ôj = ajxj + am (1 – Cm(xM, xm, xj, xJ)) xm – – xj Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ) (B1c) ôJ = aJxJ + aM (1 – CM (xM, xm, xj, xJ)) xM – – xJ Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ) (B1d) where xM + xm + xj + xJ = 1, Φ(xM, xm, xj, xJ) = aMxM + amxm + + ajxj + aJxJ, Cm (xM, xm, xj, xJ) = q(N + 1)NxM + q(N)Nxm + + Õ(N)Nxj + Õ(N + 1)NxJ, FIG. 3. The graphical representation of (A1) when A < 0. The value of xm changes along the horizontal line according to dxm/dt, which determines the velocity and direction of this change. Arrows indicate the direction of change showing that x *m is stable and x *m* is unstable According to standard vector field analysis (see Strogatz, 1994), the stability of the fixed points is determined by A. If A < 0 then x *m is stable and x ** m is unstable, while stability is reversed when A > 0 (Fig. 3). According to (10), aj – amÕ(N)N < 0, and naturally q(N)N – 1 < 0, consequently A < 0 and x *m is globally stable. In the second studied situation q(N)N – 1 > – aj / am (11). Then am(q(N)N – 1) + aj > 0 and – amÕ(N)N can be neglected in A. Thus A > 0 and x *m is unstable. CM (xM, xm, xj, xJ) = q(N + 1)N + 1xM + + q(N)N + 1xm + Õ(N)N + 1xj + Õ(N + 1)N + 1xJ. Templates m and M might be in coexistence if both x *m and x *M fixed points are positive. Let us assume indirectly that x *m and x *M are the positive solutions of (B1). Then it follows from equations (B1a) and (B1b) that a m C m (x *M , x *m , x *j , x *J ) = = a M C M (x *M , x *m , x *j , x *J ), or in expanded form am(q (N )N x *m + q (N + 1 )N x *M + q (N )N x *j + + q (N + 1 )N x *J ) = (B2) 144 I. SCHEURING = aM(q (N )N +1 x *m + q (N + 1 )N +1 x *M + +q (N )N +1 x *j + q (N + 1 )N +1 x *J ). (B3) We study the conditions of invasion of M and its resistance against invasion of m in special cases in the main text. In the “dominant” limit (q(N)N >> Õ(N)N), the frequency of masters could not be much smaller than the frequency of mutants (see equation (9)). Thus, the second two terms can be omitted in both sides of (B3): a m (q (N )N x *m + q (N + 1 )N x *M ) = = a M (q (N )N +1 x *m + q (N + 1 )N +1 x *M ). (B4) M is assumed to be a successful invader which means that aM > am/q(N). Substituting this relation into (B4) and knowing that q(N) increases monotonically we conclude that the right side of (B4) is greater than the left side if the fixed points are positive. We arrived at a contradiction, so our indirect assumption was invalid. The cooperative situation assumes that q(N)N and Õ(N)N are in the same order. Suppose that q(N)N < Õ(N)N. Then, the right side of (B3) can be estimated from below aM (q (N )N +1 x *m + q (N + 1 )N +1 x *M + +q (N )N +1 x *j + q (N + 1 )N +1 x *J ) > > aMq (N )(q (N )N x *m + q (N + 1 )N x *M + +q (N )N x *j + q (N + 1 )N x *J ). 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