Problem Set 3 Environmental Valuation 1. Arturo derives utility from a composite good X and indoor air quality, Q such that ππ = ππππ. Indoor air quality depends on pollution levels outside, P, and defensive expenditures, D, such that π·π· = ππππ 2 . Arturoβs income is Y and the price of the composite good is equal to 1. 1.1 Write Arturoβs objective along with any constraint(s) that he faces. 1.2 Suppose Y=10 and P=1. What are the optimal amounts of X and Q for Arturo? Show your work by writing the Lagrangian equation along with the relevant first order conditions. 1.3 What happens to X and Q if P increases to 2? What happens to X and Q if Y increases to 20 (assuming P is back to 1)? 1.4 It is observed that low income individuals are exposed to more pollution. Is your answer to part (c) consistent with this observation? 1.1 max ππππ ππ,ππ 1.2 π π . π‘π‘. ππ = ππππ 2 + 1ππ β = ππππ + ππ( ππ β ππ β ππππ 2 ) Lagrange is FOCs ππβ = ππ β ππ = 0 ππππ ππβ = ππ β ππ2ππππ = 0 ππππ ππβ ππππ = ππ β ππ β ππππ 2 =0 Using the first two FOCs we have the equilibrium, ππππ 2 = ππ/2. Substitute the value of ππππ 2 into the last FOC. We derive, ππ β ππ β ππ 2 = 0. So, ππ β = 2ππ . 3 2 If Y=10, X* is 6.67. Substitute the expression for X* into the equilibrium condition ππππ = ππ/2 and solve for Q*. We find, ππβ = ππ 1.3 0.5 οΏ½3πποΏ½ . If Y=10 and P=1 we have Q* is 1.826. If P increases to 2, we find X* still equal to 6.67. But now, Q* is equal to 1.29. If Y increases to 20, we find X* still equal to 13.33. But now, Q* is equal to 2.58. 1.4 Yes because their demand for Q* is lower which means the exposed level of pollution is higher. 2. A housing developer is deciding to purchase a large piece of land currently used as a park in order to convert the park into subdivisions. You are tasked by the government to see if the benefits of selling the land outweigh the benefits from its current use as a park. At the moment, there is no admission fee charged and 4075 people visit the park daily. You have interviewed visitors and delineated 6 geographical zones where the visitors originate. The following table summarizes the travel cost of visitors to the park: 2.1 Using the travel cost method calculate, calculate the demand schedule illustrating the total number of visitors at different admission fee levels for fees from $1 to $5. Show your solution for at least one fee level. (Hint: try to find the equation relating travel cost to visitors per population). Answer: Need to find visitor equation: V/pop = 0.06-0.01*C. Using this equation and adjusted levels of travel cost, we can calculate the predicted level of visitors with a fee of $1: Zone 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Travel cost ($) 1+1 2+1 3+1 4+1 5+1 6+1 Population 50000 25000 12500 6000 8000 10000 Visitor/population 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 Visitors 2000 750 250 60 0 0 3060 So now we get 3060 visitors when an admissions fee of $1 is imposed. Do this for fees from 1 to 6 and we arrive at the following demand schedule: Price Total Visits 0 4075 1 3060 2 2125 3 1250 4 500 5 0 2.2 Given the results from 2.1, you estimate the inverse demand curve as P = 6 β (1/815)*Q where P is the admission fee and Q is the number of visitors. Using this fact and the information above calculate the daily value of keeping the land as a park. You can still get an approximation of surplus by solving for each level visitors per day when the entrance fees are 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 . This is what I found: P 5 4 3 2 1 500 1250 2125 3060 4075 Here, an approximation of the area under this curve is simply: $4075+$3060+$2125+$1250+$500 = $11,010 per day. Alternatively, you could have plugged in values of P = 0, 1, 2, 3, etc to get this demand schedule: Price Total Visits 0 4890 1 4075 2 3260 3 2445 4 1630 5 815 6 0 Note that your results will differ slightly depending on which method you use but both methods are correct. Here, an approximation of the area under this curve is simply: $4890+$4075+$3260+$2445+$1630+$815 = $17,115 per day. 2.3 Using an interest rate of 5%, please compute the present value of the benefits the park delivers from year 1 on (Hint: the present value of an annualized benefit in perpetuity is annual return divided by the interest rate). You may assume that each year's benefits are 365 times the daily benefit and arrive in a single payment: e.g., the annual value for year 1 is 365 times the daily value and arrives in one payment at t=1. That is, you do not need to worry about the timing of daily payments within the year. Answer: You will get: 365 days x $11,010 per day = $4,018,650 per year. So, the annualized value is: $4,018,650 / 0.05= $80,373,000. Note this is an underestimate since we calculated an approximation If you use the provided equation, you get, 365 days x $17,115 per day = $6,246,975 per year. So, the annualized value is: $6,283,475 / 0.05= $124,939,500. Note this is an underestimate since we calculated an approximation 1.4 If a developer would be willing to pay $28 million for the land, and conversion would eliminate the benefits of the park starting in year 1, what should be done? Explain. Answer: The present value of the land as a park is larger than the value that a developer would give. Therefore development is not recommended. Our analysis is also an underestimate so we are undervaluing the land. Note that since we use TCM, we may even be undervaluing the park because non-use value is not included. 3. The Bighorn Sheep population is dwindling. A group would like to put it in the endangered species list but they need to attach an economic value to the species. If you were tasked to derive the value of the Bighorn Sheep, what is the most appropriate valuation technique given that you have a large amount of budget and sufficient time to conduct a thorough study? Describe in detail how this valuation technique is conducted for this particular species. Enumerate the advantages and disadvantages of this technique for this case. The best technique to use is Contingent Valuation Method. This technique entails constructing a hypothetical market situation to obtain willingness to pay of respondents to preserve the Bighorn Sheep population. A survey needs to be conducted to establish the willingness to pay to increase the Bighorn Sheep population in a particular locality. The survey may be a mail-in, internet, telephone or face to face survey. If we have unlimited budget, I recommend a face to face survey. The survey should contain a few important elements: (1) clear definition of the market and (2) clear representation of the elicitation method. The market should be defined such that we are talking clearly about increasing the population of Bighorn Sheep. Information regarding what Bighorn sheep is, what it looks like and what it does in the ecosystem should be presented. We need to specify the payment mechanism which I propose to be a monthly contribution to an organization that is specifically tasked to be a sanctuary and research center to study population preservation of the sheep. Pictures showing different population clusters during the current time and what it will be afterwards can be provided so that individuals know what this actually entails. A referendum choice should be presented to minimize bias. Once the data has been gathered, determine average WTP for preserving Bighorn Sheep. Then determine the marginal effect of Bighorn Sheep population on WTP using a regression analysis. After which, use the estimated regression to determine total consumer surplus from the Bighorn Sheep population. Main advantage: This technique allows us to capture nonuse value of Bighorn Sheep which other techniques cannot do. Disadvantages: Respondents may give hypothetical answers. Embedding bias may also occur if people have had past preconceived notions of other sheep species. Strategic bias may also occur if there are respondents who are extremely passionate on this issue one way or the other.
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