Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ Jim Braun IceCube Fall 2007 Collaboration Meeting Progress Since Lake Geneva • 2005 unblinded: – http://www.icecube.wisc.edu/~jbraun/2005_point_source/ • 2006 unblinded: – http://www.icecube.wisc.edu/~jbraun/2006_point_source/ • Improvements in methodology: – http://www.icecube.wisc.edu/~jbraun/2006_point_source/sensitivity.html • Internal report on methodology coming soon IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 2 Review: Sensitivity Improvement: ~30% IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 3 Use of Energy Information IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 • Mean number of signal events required to reach 5s in 50% of simulated experiments at d=42.5o • 2006 data is background • Compare unbinned search with and without using Nch • Utilizing Nch information improves discovery potential for spectral indices g < 3.3 • Effect is 30% for E-2, representing a 45% total improvement over the binned search Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 4 2005 Unblinding log10(p-value) Highest Significance: 3.58s Chance Probability: 69% IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 Object P-value MGRO J2019+37 0.152 Mrk 501 0.184 Mrk 421 ~1 NGC 1275 0.064 Crab Nebula ~1 Cyg X-3 0.458 GRS 1915+105 0.581 80% Chance of observing p = 0.064 given 26 sources Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 5 2006 Unblinding Significance Highest Significance: 3.58s Chance Probability: 84% IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 Object P-value MGRO J2019+37 0.064 Mrk 501 ~1 Mrk 421 0.227 NGC 1275 ~1 Crab Nebula 0.456 Cyg X-3 0.012 GRS 1915+105 0.005 12% Chance of observing p = 0.005 given 26 sources Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 6 2005 + 2006 Sensitivity of 2005-2006 analysis near E2dF/dE = 7x10-11 TeV cm-2 s-1 5 year search: 5x10-11 TeV cm-2 s-1 3.82s Significance IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 Object P-value m90* MGRO J2019+37 0.065 12.83 Mrk 501 0.228 8.83 Mrk 421 ~1 5.71 NGC 1275 0.106 10.98 Crab Nebula 0.438 6.67 Cyg X-3 0.033 13.37 GRS 1915+105 0.031 14.12 * 10-11 TeV cm-2 s-1 Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 7 Plans for 2000-2006 • Expect to combine 2005+2006 with 2000-2004 Zeuthen five year data set – Will not reoptimize cuts for 2000-2004 • Expected sensitivity: ~3x10-11 TeV cm-2 s-1 • Finish by the end of the year • Will not include 1997-1999 B10 data as previously planned – 465 total events in most recent 1997-1999 analysis – Considering poorer angular resolution and 25% contamination, equivalent to less than 40 days AMANDA-II livetime IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 8 The Crab (Because Everyone Keeps Asking) • 2000-2004: Excess (10 events, 6 expected) • 2005-2006: Slight excess • 2006 IC-9: Excess • If the excesses are indeed a signal, we would possibly observe ~3s for this source – Significance reduced to ~2s with a catalogue of 26 sources – Depends on Nch values of events observed in 20002004 IceCube Collaboration Meeting Fall 2007 Neutrino Point Source Searches with AMANDA-II m-DAQ: 9
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