Mideast Market Administrator's B u l l e t i n Federal Order No. 33 D avidZ .W alker, M arketA d m inistrator Phone: (440)826-3220 T o llF ree: (888)751-3220 E m ail: clevelandm a1@ sprynet.com W ebPage: w w w .fm m aclev .com August 2003 RAPID RISE IN CHEESE MARKET NETS NEGATIVE PRODUCER PRICE DIFFERENTIAL The announced JulyP roducerP riceD ifferential(P P D )fo rO rder33 is $-0.10. T h isisthefirsttim esincetheM ideastO rderw asfo rm edinJanuary 2000that anegativePPDhasbeenannounced. T h eP P Discalculatedby sum m ingthevalueofallm ilkinthepoolusedinC lassesI,II,IIIandIVat the applicable class/com ponent prices less the producer value of all com ponentspricedattheC lassIIIbutterfat,p roteinandothersolidsprices. T h eP P Dtherefo rerepresentstheam ountb yw hichtheblendedclassvalue o fthepoolexceedsthatC lassIIIprice. IftheC lassIIIp riceexceedstheother C lassp ricesanegativePPDm ayoccur. T h isw asthesituationinJuly. T h is p riceinversion, w heretheC lassIIIp riceexceedstheotherC lassprices, is theresultofthetim ingofthecalculationoftheC lassp rices. T h eN ational A g ricultural S tatisticsService (N A S S )announcesw eekly com m odityp ricesbasedonthecheese, butter, nonfat drym ilkandw hey pow dersalestransactions. Thesecom m odityp ricesareusedtocom pute com ponentp ricesthatapplytothevariousclasses. T h eC lassIandC lassII skim pricesareannouncedinadvanceofthem onthinw hichtheyapplyw hile theC lassIIbutterfatandtheC lassIIIandIVp ricesareannouncedthew eek afterthem onthinw hichtheyapply. T h e refo re,thereisap p roxim atelyasix w eekdifferenceintheannouncem entsandlargefluctuationsincom m o d ity p ricescanhaveagreatim pactontheC lassprices. T h eN A S Ssurveyprice forcheddarcheeseincreasedfrom$1.1387perpoundfortheJulyadvance p ricesannouncedJune20,usedtoestablishtheC lassIp rice,to$1.3497w ith theJulyfinalpricesannouncedA ugust1, usedtoestab lishC lassIIIprices. T h israpidincreaseintheN A S ScheesepriceresultedinaJulyC lassIIIp rice thatishigherthantheotherthreeC lassprices. T h isresultedintheaverage classifiedvalueofthepoolbeinglessthantheC lassIIIvalueandtherefore anegativePPD . W hiletherapidriseinthecheesepricehadanegativeim pactonthePPD portionoftheproducerpaym ents,ithadaveryp o sitiveim pactontheoverall returntoproducers. T h eS tatisticalU niformP riceof$11.68hasincreased $1.05overlastm onthand$0.83overJuly2002. T h eN A S Scheesepricehas alreadyincreasedsubstantiallyoverthe$1.2685announcedonJuly18,2003 that w as used to calculate the A ugust C lass I p rice. S h o u ldthis trend continue,theresultw illbeanegativ eP P DinA ugustbutalsoacontinuedrise intheS tatistical U niformP rice. USDA SETS HEARING TO CONSIDER AMENDING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND ARIZONA-LAS VEGAS MILK MARKETING ORDERS U S D Aw ill holdapublichearingbeginningat8:30a.m . onSeptem ber 23,2003attheSheratonA irportH otel,1600South52ndS t.,T e m p e ,A rizona, onproposalsthatw o u ldam endcertainproducer-handlerprovisionsinthe PacificN o rthwestandA rizona-LasV egasm ilkm a rketingorders. P roposalstobeconsideredw ouldendtheregulatoryexem ptionfro mthe pricingandpoolingprovisionsofthePacificN orthwestandtheA rizonaL asV egasm ilkmarketingordersforproducer-handlersw hoseC lassIroute d isp o sitionexceedsthreem illionpoundsperm onth.Inaddition,ap roposal w ill beconsideredthat w ouldelim inatetheabilitytosim ultaneouslyp o o l thesam em ilkontheA rizona-LasV egasm ilkorderandonaS tate-operated o rderthatprovidesform arketw idepooling. Thenoticeofthehearingw aspublishedintheA ug.6Federal Register. C o p iesm aybeobtainedfromthePacificN o rthwest,A rizona-L asV egas& W esternm ilkmarketingordersoffice,U S D A /A M S /D airyP rogram s, 1930 -220thS treet, S .E ., S u ite102, B o thell,W ashington98021-8471orU S D A / A M S /D airyP rogram s, 10050N orth25thA venue, S u ite302, Phoenix,A Z 85021-1664orA M S /D airyP rogram s,U S D A S top0231-R o o m 2971,1400 IndependenceA venue, S W ,W ashington,D .C . 20250-0231. JUNE MILK PRODUCTION DOWN 0.1 PERCENT M ilkproductioninthe20m ajo rS tatesduringJunetotaled12.3billion pounds,dow n0.1percentfromJune2002.M ayrevisedproduction,at13.0 b illionpounds, w asdow n0.4percent fro mM a y2 0 0 2 . T h eM ayrev ision rep resentedadecreaseof9m illionpoundsfro mlast m onth’ sprelim inary productionestim ate. P roductionperco winthe20m ajorS tatesaveraged1,587poundsfor June, unchangedfromJune2002. Thenum berofm ilkcow sonfarm sinthe20m ajo rS tatesw as7.77m illion head, 10,000headlessthanJune2002, and11,000headlessthanM ay 2003. T h eM ideastM arketingA reahasfourstatesrepresentedinthe20m ajo r statesusedabove. TheyareIndiana, M ichigan, O hio,andPennsylvania. M ilkproduction in these M ideast states duringJune to taled 2.0billion pounds, dow n24m illionpoundsor1.2percentfromJune2002. P roductionperco wintheM ideaststatesaveraged1,538poundsforJune, 22poundsaboveJune2002. Thenum berofcow sonfarm sintheM ideaststatesw as1.3m illionhead, 16,000headlessthanJune2002. JULY 2003 POOL SUMMARY Classification of Producer Milk C lassI 521,934,715 C lassII 251,726,536 C lassIII 183,838,831 C lassIV 60,781,149 T o tal 1,018,281,231 Producer Prices P roducerPriceD ifferential B u tterfatP rice P roteinPrice O therS o lidsPrice S o m aticCellA d justm ent R ate S tatistical U nifo rmP rice Percent 51.2 24.7 18.1 6.0 100.0 $(0.10) /cw t 1.2055 /lb 2.5480 /lb (0.0124) /lb 0.00067 /cw t 11.68 /cw t MIDEAST MARKET ADMINISTRATOR'S BULLETIN AUGUST 2003 ANNOUNCEMENT OF PRODUCER PRICES Federal Order No. 33 JULY 2003 COMPUTATION OF PRODUCER PRICE DIFFERENTIAL P O U N D S C lassIS k imV alue C lassIB u tterfat C lass I L o cationD ifferential C lassIIS N FV alue C lassIIB u tterfat C lassIIIP ro teinV a lue C lassIIIO therSolidsV alue C lassIIIB u tterfat C lassIVS N FV alue C lassIVB utterfat S o m aticC e llV alueII/III/IV TOTAL PRODUCER MILK VALUE B U T T E R F A T S K IM / P R O T E IN 511,978,694 N O N F A T S O L ID S O T H E R S O L ID S 9,956,021 521,934,715 21,143,054 15,301,610 5,354,429 10,431,312 6,668,932 5,060,120 4,017,119 1,018,281,231 35,943,682 29,755,164 58,068,669 O v e rages B eginning Inventory TOTAL ADJUSTMENTS P R IC E V A L U E $7.92 /cw t $40,548,712.55 1.1790/ lb 11,738,148.78 (264,286.40) 0.7356/ lb 15,552,830.48 1.2125/ lb 18,553,202.16 2.5480/ lb 13,643,085.07 (0.0124)/ lb (129,348.27) 1.2055/ lb 8,039,397.54 0.6605/ lb 3,342,209.26 1.2055/ lb 4,842,636.97 81,894.13 $115,948,482.27 $16,771.18 109,662.40 $ TOTAL HANDLER OBLIGATIONS $116,074,915.85 T o talP ro teinV a lue T o talO ther S o lidsV alue B utterfat V alue T o talS o m aticC e ll V alues TOTALS 29,755,164lbs 58,068,669lbs 35,943,682lbs @ @ @ $2.5480 (0.0124) 1.2055 $ (75,816,157.86) 720,051.48 (43,330,108.66) (58,212.57) $ 2,409,511.76 N et P roducerLocatio nA d justm ents 1/2U n o b ligatedB alanceProducerSettle m e n tF u n d $ T o tal-D ividedbyTotalPounds R ateofC ashR eserve PRODUCER PRICE DIFFERENTIAL at Cuyahoga County, OH* COMPONENT PRICES 1,018,281,231 lbs (0.0518585) (0.0481415) $ (0.10) / cwt 1,018,281,231 (528,065.66) (490,215.86) $ (1,018,281.52) COMPUTATION OF UNIFORM PRICE 2003 $1.2055 / lb 2.5480 / lb (0.0124) / lb 0.00067 /cw t 0.6605 / lb CLASS PRICES July 2002 $1.0929 / lb 1.8095 / lb 0.0150 / lb 0.00055 /cw t 0.7633 / lb C lassIIIP rice -3.5%B F P roducer P rice D ifferential* S tatistical U niformP rice 2003 $ 11.78 (0.10) $11.68 C lassI* C lassII C lassIII C lassIV *S u b ject toL o c a tionA d justm ent. 2002 $9.33 1.52 $10.85 CLASSIFICATION OF PRODUCER MILK July 2003 $11.77 10.63 11.78 9.95 581,446.10 1,300,000.00 $ July B utterfat P rice P ro teinP rice O ther S o lidsPrice S o m aticC e ll A d justm ent R ate N onfat S o lidsPrice 126,433.58 July 2002 $12.62 11.14 9.33 10.45 C lassI C lassII C lassIII C lassIV T o tal 2003 Product lbs. 521,934,715 251,726,536 183,838,831 60,781,149 1,018,281,231 2002 Product lbs. 522,927,772 102,187,085 779,755,040 25,250,042 1,430,119,939 ORDER 33 MARKET SUMMARY Julyp roducerreceip ts o f1.02billionpoundsw ere28.8percent lo w e r T h eP roducerP riceD ifferentialfo rtheM ideastM arketingA reafo rJuly w e r thanJuly2002productionof1.43 2003w as$-0.10andtheS tatisticalU nifo rmP ricew as$11.68forthem onth. thanJune2003, and28.8percentlo illionpounds.P roducerm ilkallocatedtoC lassIaccountedfor51.2percent T h eS tatisticalU nifo rmP riceis$1.05higherthanlastm onth,andis$0.83 b o fthetotalproducerm ilkinJuly2003, m orethanthe34.0percentinJune higherthanJuly2002. andm orethanthe36.6percentinJuly2002.A to talof9,385producersw ere T h eP roducerB u tterfatP riceof$1.2055perpoundincreased4.79cents p o o ledontheM ideastO rderw ithanaveragedailydeliveryof3,500pounds fro mJune2003andisup11.26centsfromayearago.T h eP roteinPriceof com paredto11,349producerspooledinJuly2002w ithanaveragedaily $2.5480isup60.46centsfro mlastm onthandisup73.85centsfromJuly deliveryof4,065pounds. 2002. T h eO therS o lidsPriceinJulyw as$-0.0124perpound, anincrease T h em arketaveragecontent o fproducerm ilkwasasfollow s:B u tterfat fro mlast m onth’ spriceof$-0.0200andadecreaseof2.74centsfro mlast ;P rotein2.92% ;O therS o lids5.70%andN onfatS o lids8.62% . July .T h eO therS o lidsPricew asnegativeduetotheaveragew holesalep rice 3.53% o fdryw heypow derbeinglessthanthem akeallowancepriceof15.9cents forthem onth.T h eS o m aticC e llA d justm entratefo rJulyw a s$ 0 .00067. MIDEAST MARKET ADMINISTRATOR'S BULLETIN AUGUST 2003 COMMODITY RECAP: CHEESE PRICES RISING RAPIDLY T h eN A S Sm onthlycom m odityp ricesforcheesehaverisensharplyinthepastsixw eeks. TheJunew eightedaveragecheesepricew as$1.1576perpound andtheA ugustw eightedaveragecheesepriceispredictedtobebetw een$1.50and$1.60perpound. T h ew eightedaveragecheesepriceperpoundaveraged $1.1313in2000, $1.4264in2001, $1.1855in2002,andhasaveraged$1.1576sofarin2003. T h eN A S Sm onthlycom m odityp ricesforbutterhaveshow ngradualgaininthepasttw om o n ths.T h eJunebutterpricew as$1.0797perpoundandthe A ugustbutterp riceisestim atedtobebetw een$1.18and$1.22perpound.Thebutterpriceperpoundaveraged$1.1408in2000,$1.6304in2001,$1.0931 in2002, andhasaveraged$1.0767sofarin2003. T h eN A S Sm onthlycom m odityp ricesfornonfatdrym ilkp o w derhavebeenrelativelyflatforthepastfivem onths. T h eM archnonfatd rym ilkp ricew as $0.8051perpoundandtheestim atefo rtheA ugust nonfat d rym ilkp riceisbetw een$0.8050and$0.8150perpound. Thenonfatd rym ilkpriceperpound averaged$1.0115in2000, $0.9791in2001, $0.9043in2002, andhasaveraged$0.8079sofarin2003. T h eN A S Sm onthlycom m odityp ricesfordryw h e yp o w derhaveshow nim p rovem entsinceJune. TheJunedryw heypricew as$0.1396perpoundand theA ugustdryw heypriceisp redictedtobebetw een$0.1500and$0.1570perpound. T h ed ryw h e yp riceperpoundaveraged$0.1863in2000,$0.2700 in2001, $0.1974in2002, andhasaveraged$0.1551sofarin2003. Butter Price Weighted Av erage Cheese Price $1.6500 $2.1000 $1.5000 $1.7500 $1.3500 $1.4000 $1.2000 $1.0500 $1.0500 $0.7000 $0.9000 Jan Mar 2000 May 2001 Jul Sep 2002 Jan Nov Mar 2000 2003 May 2001 Jul Sep 2002 Nov 2003 Dry Whey Prices NFDM Prices $0.3200 $1.0500 $1.0000 $0.2700 $0.9500 $0.9000 $0.2200 $0.8500 $0.1700 $0.8000 $0.7500 $0.1200 Jan Mar 2000 May 2001 Jul Sep 2002 Nov Jan Mar 2000 2003 May 2001 Jul Sep 2002 Nov 2003 Weighted Averages - Butterfat, Protein, Other Solids, Somatic Cell Count by State Federal Order No. 33 June 2003* S tate N umberof P roducers M ichigan O hio W isconsin Indiana Pennsylvania N e wY o r k Illinois W est V irginia C alifornia O ther Poundsof M ilk(000) B u tterfat -----W eighted A verages----O ther S C C P rotein Solids (000) 2,477 2,539 1,827 1,250 1,369 472 84 86 460,534 321,470 257,533 142,610 122,412 95,107 11,691 6,776 3.51 3.67 3.58 3.61 3.68 3.58 3.60 3.57 2.95 3.00 2.93 2.99 3.00 2.94 2.96 3.07 5.74 5.71 5.75 5.74 5.70 5.70 5.77 5.69 288 329 300 308 370 257 318 435 132 11,301 3.65 3.04 5.74 350 T o tal/A verage 10,236 1,429,435 3.59 2.96 5.73 308 ___________________ *T o talsm aynotaddduetorounding. D ataprovidedonaonem onthdelaybasis. June 2002 ------W eighted A verages-----Poundsof O ther S C C M ilk(000) B u tterfat P rotein Solids (000) 467,679 308,032 421,618 120,225 134,999 98,302 13,544 6,193 46,137 12,133 3.53 3.60 3.65 3.59 3.63 3.61 3.59 3.52 3.57 3.61 2.92 2.98 2.92 2.95 2.98 2.90 2.95 3.02 2.99 3.01 5.76 5.73 5.71 5.73 5.72 5.69 5.76 5.70 5.71 5.74 273 318 282 320 359 258 342 356 292 384 1,628,861 3.59 2.94 5.73 296 United States Department of Agriculture PRSRT STD U.S. POSTAGE PAID Cleveland, Ohio Permit No. 2511 Mideast Market Administrator Bulletin 7851 Freeway Circle P.O. Box 30128 Cleveland, Ohio 44130 POSTMASTER: Time Sensitive Material - Deliver Promptly The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or familial status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at (202)720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Jamie L. Whitten Building, 14th and Independence Avenue SW. Washington, DC 20250-9410 or call (202) 7205964 (voice and TDD). USDA is an Equal Opportunity provider and employer. FEDERAL ORDER DATA JULY 2003 M arketingA rea1/ F O1 F O5 F O6 F O7 F O30 F O32 FO 33 F O124 F O126 F O131 F O135 1/ 2/ N o rtheast- (Boston) A ppalachian- (Charlotte) F lorida- (Tampa) S o u theast- (Atlanta) U pperM idw est- (Chicago) C entral- (Kansas City) Mideast - (Cleveland) PacificNorthwest-(Seattle) S o u thw est- (Dallas) A rizona-LasV egas-(Phoenix) W estern-(Salt Lake City) T o tal P roducer M ilk C lassI C lassI Percent (000) (000) % 2,016,824 480,581 226,404 551,309 660,023 759,813 1,018,281 411,485 595,392 243,853 176,100 845,718 370,270 196,225 365,682 327,804 374,014 521,935 172,453 325,128 82,925 92,613 41.9 77.1 86.7 66.3 49.7 49.2 51.2 41.9 54.6 34.0 52.6 P roducer P riceD ifferential $0.68 2/ 2/ 2/ (0.41) (0.29) (0.10) (0.85) 0.23 2/ (0.34) N am esinparenthesesareprincipalpointsofm arkets. P roducersinthesem arketsarepaidonthebasisofauniformskimandbutterfatp rice. MINIMUM PARTIAL PAYMENT PRICE FOR AUGUST 2003 ..................................... $9.95 /cwt. S tatistical U nifo rmP rice $12.46 12.49 13.46 12.47 11.37 11.49 11.68 10.93 12.01 11.53 11.44
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