Digitization driven by AI, IoT and 5G
Patrick Waldemar, VP, Head of Technology in Telenor Research
Standard Norge: 23.05.2017
Digitization
AI - Artificial Intelligence
IoT - The Internet of Things
5G - The fifth Generation Network
5 main categories define digital
Source: McKinsey & Company. Presentation at DigitalNorway Workshop November 2016
Digitalization impacting Norwegian businesses
13%
Airbnb market share for hotel
rooms in Norway
150 million
or 50
million?
Wilh. Wilhelmsen global future
car sales
(90 million today)
1.85
million
Users of Vipps
mobile payment in
Norway
Source: DigitalNorway investor presentation. McKinsey & Company
NOK 70
billion
eCommerce Norway 2015
(30bn goods, 37bn services, 3bn other)
NOK 35 billion
Digitization potential of NCS
(Advanced Analytics 13bn, Process Digitization 13bn,
Robotics 4bn, Connectivity 5bn)
3,162%
kolonial.no revenue growth
2014-2016
What is AI?
AI – Algorithms that allow a
computer to do stuff that in our
opinion requires intelligence
and reasoning.
Ex machina
5
The summer of AI is here...
Powered by the Machine Learning subfield...
Cyril Rokkones, Telenor Research
What drives the AI development?
1) Technology development: Moores Law & drop in computing cost
~3000 NOK
2800 Processors
Source: AMD
7
What drives the AI development?
2) Algorithms: Machine Learning & training of neural networks
What drives the AI development?
3) Availability of data: Mobile phone usage and Internet of Things
9
What is IoT?
Expectations:
24 billion IoT devices connected to the internet by 2020,
Nearly $6 trillion will be spent on IoT solutions in 2016-2020.
Businesses will be the top adopter of IoT solutions to
1) lower operating costs;
2) increase productivity; and
3) expand to new markets or develop new product offerings.
Governments will be the second-largest adopters of IoT ecosystems.
Consumers will lag behind businesses and governments in IoT adoption.
Source: Business Insider, July 2016
Importance of technology platforms and ecosystems
Source: ublox
12
5G: main connectivity technology enabling IoT
Source: Telecoms Intelligence, IoT Outlook 2016
What is 5G?
 5G is empowering verticals
2G
1990
Mobile Voice & SMS
3G
2000
Mobile Internet
4G
2010
Mobile broadband
5G
2020
e-Mobile broadband
Every “Vertical” Connected
?
*25 billion connected devices by 2020 ~Ericsson
14
5G network for
many use cases
Enhanced Mobile Broadband
Source: ITU-R: IMT Vision –
Framework and overall
objectives of the future
development of IMT for 2020
and beyond. Recommendation
ITU-R M.2083-0 (09/2015)
Massive Machine Type
Communications
15
Ultra-reliable and Low Latency
Communications
Programmable networks:
“network slices” sharing physical network
16
17
3 May 2016
5G – A driver for industrial and societal changes
5G is coming
Source: 5G Infrastructure Association: 5G Empowering vertical industries, White Paper, 2016
Digitization driven by AI, IoT and 5G:
Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning is the key driver of digitization
The Internet of Things will make the physical world visible to AI
The fifth Generation Network will be the most important enabler for IoT
Patrick Waldemar, Telenor Research
Email: [email protected]
Additional slides
Source: 5G Infrastructure Association: Vision White
Paper, February 2015
20
When will 5G become available
• Standardisation and regulation
• Business strategy decisions
• Label 5G both technology and commercial
2015
2020
Winter Olympics,
Korea
FIFA World
Cup
21
Summer Olympics,
Japan
2025
FIFA World Cup,
Qatar
When will 5G become available
Source: 5G Infrastructure Association, 5G Pan-European Trials Roadmap Strategy, 28. February 2017