Bentham or Nash? On the Acceptable Form of Social Welfare Functions* YEW-KWANG N G Monash University. Clayton, Victoria 3168 The acceptability of the Nash Social Welfare Function is questioned because a minute (perhaps hardy perceivable) werfare change of;someone with a very low welfare level might overwhelm enormous welfare changes of others. The axiomatic derivation of the Nash S W F by Kaneko and Nakamura is analyzed. Arguments for and against social welfare as separable in, linear in, and an unweighted sum of individual werfares are critically discussed. Separability follows from the individualistic ethics (Fleming,Sugden and Weale). Linearity followsfrom the 'logic'of rational choice in the face of risk (Harsanyi) . (Diamond's counter-example is rejected.) Unweighted sum follows from either ( i ) informational restriction precluding interpersonal comparison of welfare levels (D 'Aspremont and Gevers, Maskin); or (ii) with finite sensibility. equation ofjustperceivable increments of werfare across persons (Edgeworth) or the Weak Majority Preference Criterion ( N g ) . policy on individual welfares. I also agree with Friedman (1953, p.5) that much disagreement on policy issues is due to different judgements about the objective effects of different policy measures instead of disagreement about the ultimate policy objective. Nevertheless, there is also much scope for disagreements of the latter type which must also impinge on our agreement or the lack of it on the desirable policies to pursue. Even if there is a consensus on the policy effects, agreement on the 'correct' form of SWF need not settle all problems. This is so since different individuals and different social groups may fight for their self-interests rather than pursuing the overall welfare even if everyone agrees, at an ethical level, on the 'correct' social objective. These selfinterested social groups may even include governments which typically d o not behave like a benevolent despot maximizing social welfare. Collective decisions are undertaken by ordinary people like voters, politicians, and bureaucrats who I Introduction What should the social objective be? Should we be maximizing the Benthamite SWF (social welfare function) of the sum of individual welfaresl, or the Nash SWF of the product of individual welfares, or perhaps something else? Should only individual welfares enter our SWF? It is true that even if we have agreement on answers to questions as posed above, we are far from being in agreement in social policies, as we may still disagree as to the effects of a particular * I am grateful to Murray Kemp, Amartya Sen, Robert Sugden and two anonymous referees for comments. lThe welfare of an individual may differ from his preference (or utility) due to a concern for others, ignorance and imperfect foresight, or irrationality. (See Ng, 1979, p. 7ff.) In this paper, I shall largely abstract away this difference between welfare and preference.The concept of SWF used here is Bergsonian instead of Arrovian. 238 1981 BENTHAM OR NASH? 239 may base their decisions more on their own interests. This was pointed out nearly a century ago by Wicksell (1896) and repeatedly emphasized by the Virginia School, especially Buchanan (e.g. 1975, 1978; Buchanan, er al., 1978). Despite substantial works in this area (e.g. Downs, 1957; Olson, 1965; Tullock, 1965, 1976; Niskanen, 1971; Breton, 1974; Brennan and Buchanan, 1980; Fiorina and Noll, 1978; see also surveys by Ferejohn and Fiorina, 1975; Mueller, 1979; Peacock and Wiseman, 1979), most studies in welfare economics still concentrate on analyzing what is socially optimal in some sense, as though presuming that governments will pursue social optimality. This is partly due to the complicated nature of actual public choice. processes and partly due to the fact that the simple social-optimaiity approach can still usefully serve as a n ideal to aim at, a standard to compare wit), and a foundation to base. further analysis on. F o r example, an important contribution in the recent public choice literature concerns what constitutional limits will best constrain self-interested government bureaucrats to function (especially with respect to the amount of government revenue raised) in a socially desirable way (Brennan and Buchanan, 1980). But what a r e the socially optimal constitutional limits depends also on the form of SWF. Thus the abstract discussion on the 'ideal' social objective is still of relevance.z Hence, while believing that the contribution of the Virginia School should be given more attention, I shall concentrate here on the ideal form of SWF instead of on how to implement it in practice. Thirdly, it is true that questions of what is the ideal SWF or what we ought to pursue necessarily involve value judgements which cannot be scientificalIy right or wrong. Nevertheless, one can show what are the implications of certain value judgements and thus convince their believers to disclaim them, or vice versa. In other words, value judgements may be shown to be non-basic (Sen, 1967, 1970 Ch. 5; Ng, 1979, Appendix IA). Thus, there is much scope for logical argument in the realm of ethics. In the next section, I question the acceptability of the Nash SWF. In Section 111, I critically discuss arguments for and against the Bentham SWF at different levels: separability, linearity, a n d unweighted sum. The last section provides a brief summary. At the risk of repetition, it may be added that nothing normative can be deduced from positive premises alone (Hume's law). Hence, any attempt to reject or accept any SWF must be based on some value premises. For example, I explain in the next section that the Nash SWF implies certain things I believe most people r e g a r d as ethically unacceptable, and that one of the conditions used to derive the Nash SWF is also unacceptable. However, the acceptance or rejection must ultimately be based on one's ethicai intuition. Something that is obviously ethically unacceptable (or otherwise) to me need not necessarily appear the same to others. Readers must make up their own mind. (The Appendix addresses some methodological issues on the rejection of axiomatic theories.) In a somewhat similar spirit, Dennis Mueller suggested in a private conversation that, due to practical difficulties of welfare measurement, the specific SWF I derived (Ng, 1975) is difficult to use in specific social decision, but could be used to adjudicate among different voting methods (and, may I add, any other schemes, principles etc.) depnding on which method tends to yield results more consistent with the SWF. 'On the reasonableness of the Pareto principle, see Ng (1979, Section 2.1). Sen (1979, 1981) however argues strongly against welfarism (social welfare is a function of and only of individual welfares) itself. See Ng (198 I ) for a defence of welfarism. 4 1 skipover the technical point that there does not exist a real-valued function for a lexicographic ordering; representation by vectors of real numbers is still possible. I1 A Crifique o/ the Nash SWF It seems reasonable to start from a Paretian SWF where social welfare is an increasing function of and only of individual ~ e l f a r e s But . ~ we still have to choose from a large number of SWFs ranging from theleximin on one extreme through the Nash, the Bentham, etc., to the leximax on the other e ~ t r e m e .T~h e leximin S W F is the lexicographic extension of the maximin SWF which maximizes the welfare of the worst-off individual. The lexicographic extension specifies that if the welfare of the worst-off individual is held constant, then social welfare increases if the welfare of the second worst-off individual increases, and so on. The leximax is the lexicographic extension of the maximax which maximizes the welfare of the best-off. Both the maximin and the maximax violate the Pareto principle but their lexicographic extensions do not. But both leximin and leximax 240 THE ECONOMIC RECORD are so patently unacceptable' that I will waste no space arguing against them. In fact, but for the surprising attention to Rawls in recent years, they are not worth even a mention except as limiting cases. In contrast, the Nash S W F or something close to it seems to be more reasonable and seems to command widespread support.6 I Shall thus concentrate on it in this section. First it must be noted that an individualistic, Paretian SWF (Bergsonian) must be based on interpersonal comparison of cardinal individual utilities o r welfares. Kemp and Ng (1976) and Parks (1976) establish the impossibility of ordinality and Sen (1970, pp. 123-30), DeMeyer and Plott (1971), Osborne (1976) and Kalai and Schmeidler (1 977) establish the impossibility of non-comparibility.' In fact, even if it were possible to have a S W F based only on ordinal welfares, it would be meaningless to distinguish between say the Nash S W F (which maximizes the product of individual welfares) and the Bentham SWF (which maximizes the sum). If individual welfare indices are just ordinal, we can always transform a Nash S W F into a Bentham SWF and vice verso, and similarly for many others, by suitable monotonic transformation of individual welfare indices. For e x a m p l e , M a x W = I l W' is equivalent t o Max Y = C V i where Vi=log Wi. Thus we shall discuss the problem in the framework of interpersonally comparable cardinal individual welfares. The S a s h SWF maximizes the product of individual welfares.* When any individual welfare W'becomes smaller, the social welfare significance of a given increase in others' welfares ( W'") also 'Why is an infinitesimal welfare improvement of the worst-off worth an enormous welfare loss by others, including the second, third. . . wont-oE? If one puts oneself in the position of the worst-off individual, one will almost certainly reject the leximin SWF resolutely. (See Ng, 1975, p. 558.) a Forexample, see Fair (1971). Kaneko and Nakamura ( 1979). In a recent survey, I asked a random sample of economists in British universities whether they believe in or are more inclined towards the Bentham or the Nash SWF; over 50 per cent of the respondents chose Nash. ' S e e Pollak (1979) for some extensions of the KempNg-Parks results and Roberts (1980a. 1980b. 1980~) which cover a number of related issues. ONash (1950) was concerned with the more positive quation ofbargaining where a status quo position is also clearly defined. The Nash SWF is used, however, in a normative context. SEPT. becomes smaller. When any W' becomes zero or negative, the Nash SWF violates the Pareto principle since any increase in (W+9 then leaves social welfare unchanged or even decreases it. To avoid this, the Nash SWF has to be confined to positive individual welfares. Even so restricted, the acceptability of the Nash SWF is still doubtful. For example, consider the social states a, b, c, dwith the indtvidual welfare indices as displayed below. According to the Nash SWF, W ( a ) > W(b). But many people find it ethically desirable to provide happy life for 998 miserable individuals even if this involves making a n equally miserable person 2 a little bit worse off still. This is probably why some people choose to give up their lives for the good of other^.^ Also, according to the Nash SWF, W(c) > W(d). But one may be prepared to sacrifice 2000 welfare units of the well-off person 1 if 998 miserable individuals can be made fairly happy, especially if, a s a bonus, the worst-off Mr 2 can also be made a little better o f f . ' O a b 1000 1 1000 1(j-3000 I 1000 0 0 b I 0 1000 Recently, Kaneko and Nakamura (1979) showed that an apparently reasonable set of conditions uniquely implies the Nash SWF. How d o we reconcile our rejection of the Nash SWF with this recent result? A closer examination of their conditions reveals an unacceptable one that in itself comes very close to implying the Nash SWF, as shown below. The conditions are: (I) the Pareto principle, (11) 'Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives with Neutral Property', (111) Anonymity, ( I V ) Continuity. I find all these conditions reasonable in 'Here the choice is not maximizing one's own welfare, a divergence between preference (or utility) and welfare due to a concern for the welfare of others discussed in Ng ( 1979, p. 78.). '"As a finn believer of the Bentham SWF, I do not regard this minute increase in M r 2's welfare as of much significance.The 'bonus' is given to the Rawlsians. 1981 24 1 BENTHAM OR NASH? the context except Condition 11. In themselves, both Independence and Neutrality (properly defined) are reasonable conditions, but I shall argue that Condition I1 is defined in a way that implies more than just Independence and Neutrality p u t together, at least in the interpersonally comparable cardinal utility framework. (On the other hand, in the pure ordering approach, Condition I1 can easily be strengthened to rule out any SWF. See Kemp and Ng, 1976, 1977.) To avoid using heavy notations, 1 shall give a verbal explanation instead of repeating the formal statement of Condition 11. ~~ scale factor. It is convenient to adopt the convention of choosing welfare origins such that the worst social state x, corresponds to all individuals having zero welfare. It can then be seen that an individual's ordering of the first versus the second prospect will be the same as that of the third versus the fourth for all probability distributions a and B if his weifare indices have the same proportion between a, and a2 and between b, and b,, i.e. Wl(ul)/(W'(a2) = W1(b1)/W'(b2).'* With this understanding, the ethical implication of Condition 11and its near equivalence with the Nash S W F can be readily seen. ~ ~~ 01 02 b, b, ~ ~~ C1 Person I 0.001 1000 0.000 000 00 1 0.001 I000000 I Person 2 1000' 0.001 I 000 000 I 0.000 000 00 1 0.00 I First Kaneko and Nakamura define a worst social state x, where all individuals are in their Worst. This is called the origin, and social welfare is evaluated by considering increases of individual weffares from this .worst state. Now if we take any two (say a,, az) out of the set of social states (excluding those as bad as x,, the worst social state), we can form a prospect (a,a,, azu2,a 3 x o ) where the a's (and similarly the ps below) are probability distribution summed to unity. With the same three states q , a,, x,, we may form a second prospect by choosing a different probability distribution &, 3/, &. An individual may be indifferent between the two prospects or may prefer one to the other. If we choose another pair of social states b,, bz, we may similarly form two prospects (a1619 a,b,, a 4 (the third), (P,bl, P A B 4 (the fourth) using respectively the same two probability distributions a and fl as above. Now Condition I1 says that, if for each and every individual, his ordering of the first versus the second prospect is the same as that of the third versus the fourth for all probabiIity distributions a and j3, then social ordering of social states uI versus a2 must also be the same as that of b, versus b,. Kaneko and Nakamura assume that each individual has a weak ordering over social states satisfying the Marschak (1950) axioms for expected utility maximization. This ensures the existence of a preference-representing utility or welfare function with only two degrees of freedom, an origin and a For illustrative purposes, consider first the case of only two persons. After fixing the welfare origins, we are still left with one degree of freedom in individual welfare indices. Let us use this degree of freedom to scale these indices such that they are interpersonally comparable to the ethical observer. Consider the welfare indices displayed in the accompanying table. In the state u I , person 1 is very close to his worst state while person 2 is fairly happy. In a2, the reverse is true. If our SWF is anonymous, we should have a, socially indifferent to az.(This, however, is not an essential part of our argument.) Now consider 6, and 6,. It seems reasonable to regard 6, as preferable to b,. Though person 1 is even closer to the worst state still, person 2 is very much more better off in b, than in b,. As the welfare index of 0.001 is already very small, a fvrther reduction to any (non-negative) figure cannot mean much of a deterioration. This social superiority of b, to b, can be made even more convincing ifwe further consider cI and c2. Now, it is person 1 who finds c1 much more preferable to c2. Let us form the prospects P, = (fb,, fcI), P, = (+b2,f c J Since individual preferences satisfy the " I f a, .Wi(a,) + 22 .W'(aa,) + a, .O > , = , < + b2 .W'(QU,) + fi, .O, multiplying ' 9 ( a , ) andW(a,) by a constant clearly leaves the inequality or equality unchanged. In fact, one may also show that Condition I1 is satisfied only if the proportionality requirement holds, but this is not relevant to our purposes here. fl, .W'(o,) 242 THE ECONOMC RECORD Marschak axioms, both individuals choose PIover P,. However, by construction, both b , , b2 and c,, cz satisfy the precondition of Condition I1 with respect to aI, a,. So, if we are socially indifferent between a , and a2, Condition I1 demands us to be socially indifferent between b1 and bZ and between c, and c,. If W ( a , ) = W(a,) and if we transform a , , a, into b,, b2 by multiplying each individual welfare index by a constant (which may differ over individuals), we must still have W(b,) = W(b,) from Condition 11. This can be satisfied by a continuous SWF if it is in the multiplicative form. We also need the condition of Pareto principle to ensure the correct sign of the multiplicative SWF and the condition of Anonymity to dispense with the need to enter each W‘ into the SWF with differingpowers. Also, the condition of Continuity rules out lexicographic orderings and hence ensures representation by a continuous numerical function. The above are of course just explanatory remarks put in a non-rigorous form. The contribution of Kaneko and Nakamura is to show rigorously that their set of conditions uniquely implies the Nash SWF. But the meaning of Condition I1 has not been adequately explained. To exemplify this last point further, consider the welfare indices of the following case of four persons. It is clear that a, is preferred to a2 by the Bentham, the Nash, the maximin, the leximin, the leximax, or the naive ‘equity’ SWF (which ranks social states inversely to the ratio of the highest to the lowest individual welfares), and in fact by any SWF satisfying Anonymity and the Pareto principle. Now, by construction of the welfare indices, b, and b, satisfy the precondition of Condition I1 with respect to a, and a,. Thus, if we prefer a , to a*, Condition I1 dictates us to prefer b, to b, as well. But this latter social preference ( b , over b2)no longer follows from Anonymity and the Pareto principle. In fact, according to the Bentham, the maximin, the leximin, the maximax, the leximax, or the naive ‘equity’ SWF, b, is preferred to b , . From the above, it is clear that the ‘neutrality’ of SEPT. Condition I1 contains much more than the usual requirement of neutrality (between alternatives) and in fact binds us almost to something equivalent to the essence of the Nash SWF. It may also be noted that, just as the Nash SWF is not invariant with respect to the choice of an origin, Condition 11is not invariant with respect to the choice of the third state (x,,) in formulating the prospects. If x,, is replaced by the bliss state or any other state, the same Condition I1 then produces a different result. Thus, why the ‘neutrality’ should be applicable (if at all) only with respect to x,, remains a mystery. 111 Steps to the Bentham SWFSeparability, Linearity and Unweighted Sum The Bentham SWF maximizes the unweighted sum of individual welfares. This entails that social welfare is a separable and linear function of individual welfares. We shall first consider arguments supporting separability and linearity before those supporting unweighted sum. (A) Separability-Fleming (1952) and Sugden and Weale (1979) Fleming establishes separability, i.e., W = X f ( W’) from a very reasonable set of axioms: the existence of a SWFl2; the Pareto principle, and the ‘Elimination of Indifferent Individuals’ (strong version). For some problems, the existence of a SWF (which presupposes a social ordering) may be a strong assumption to make. But this axiom imposes no restriction at all on the question of which SWF we should adopt. Taking also the Pareto principle as acceptable, let us thus concentrate on the crucial ‘Elimination of Indifferent Individuals’ (Fleming’s Postulate E). POSTULATE E (Elimination of Indifjerent Individuals): Given at least three individuals, suppose that both individuals i and j are indifferent between x and iand also indifferent between y and y’ but individual i prefers x (or x’) to y (or y’) and individualj prefers y (or y‘) to x (or x’). Suppose also that all other individuals are indifferent between x and y, and indifferent between Y and y’ (but not necessarily indifferent between x and x’and between y andy‘). Then social preferences Fleming only lists postulates ensuring the existence of a social ordering. With continuity, this ensures the existence of a SWF as well. Continuity and the existence of a S W F is implicitly assumed in Fleming’s denvation. The existence of a social ordering alone is not sufficient for Fleming’s purpose as a lexicographic social ordering cannot be represented by a SWF at all. 1981 BENTHAM OR NASH? must always go in the same way between x and y as they d o between x‘ and y‘. The ethics behind the postulate is the following. In the choice between x and y , since all other individuals are indifferent, social preference should be decided by the preferences of individuals i andj. Suppose the preference of individual i of x over y is judged on some grounds (stronger, worthier, etc.) to outweigh the dispreference of j such that x is socially preferred toy. Then in the choice between x‘ and y’, since all other individuals are again indifferent for both i andj, x is indifferent to x‘ and y is indifferent toy‘, so the preference of i ofx’ over y‘ must also outweigh the dispreference ofj to give X’ socially preferred to y’. The strength and possible objections to the postulate spring from the fact that, while all other individuals are indifferent between x and y and between x’ and y‘ they are not necessarily indifferent between x (or y) and x’ (or y’). Thus some people may want (probably based on some misunderstanding, see below) to base the social judgement as t o whether the preference of individual i should outweigh the dispreference o f j on the welfare levels of other individuals. One possible reason for this is that welfare levels are misunderstood to be something else such as income levels. Then, even if individual i (and also]) has the same income levels between x and X’ and between y and y’, his welfare change between x and y may be different from that between x’ and y‘ if the income levels of other individuals differ and produce external effects on i (and also j ) . However, Postulate E does not refer to income levels but holds individual i (and]) indifferent between x and x’ and between y and y’, taking everything into account. The objection to Postulate E requires in fact the rejection of individualistic ethics. As Harsanyi (1955) explains, Postulate E is a natural requirement of individualistic ethics. Fleming’s set of axioms ensures that social welfare is a separable function of individual welfares, i.e., W = Zff WQ.For any given set of the J i functions, we may a d o p t m o n o t o n i c transformations making W a sum of the transformed individual welfare indices, as Fleming does. This, however, is not permitted by the cardinal welfare framework. As Fleming himself is emphatic in pointing out, the transformed indices need not bear direct relationship to say a cardinal measure of happiness. Thus, in our interpersonal comparable cardinal welfare framework, we must view Fleming’s result as no more than separability. 243 A recent contribution in support of a separable S W F is Sugden and Weale (1979). They adopt a set of very compelling axioms within the individualistic, contractarian framework which implies Fleming’s Postulate E and the separability in social welfare function. I find their argument so persuasive that I do not find their following conclusion presumptuous: ‘In so far as our argument is valid, therefore, future formulations of welfare economics should include this separability requirement as a matter of course’. I do not believe there is any escape from this separability satisfying the individualistic ethics. Those who prefer a nonseparable SWF should have a hard time reconciling with their simultaneous belief (as most of them apparently do) in individualism. However, separability may easily be regarded as a stronger result than it really is. In fact, within the confine of a separable SWF, enormous flexibility is still possible. For example, if we write W = Z( W’)l-m/(l-~)where a is some constant, we have a Paretian and anonymous SWF which is separable. But by varying the value of SI,we can accommodate virtually all degrees of ‘egalitarianism’. With a = 0, wehavetheBenthamSWF;witha = 1, wehave the Nash SWF, with CL approaching infinity, we approach the maximin SWF. Thus, the result on linearity is an important advance over separability. (B) Linearity-Harsanyi ( 1953, 1955) Harsanyi shows that W=WW’(where each k’is a constant) by assuming that social as well as individual preferences satisfy the set of axioms for expected utility maximization (Marschak 1950) and that the society is indifferent between any two prospects which are indifferent to every individual. This appears to me to be very reasonable. But there is an apparently very persuasive objection raised by Diamond (1967). Consider a society of two identical individuals, 1 and 2, facing a choice between two alternatives x and y, with two equally probable states of nature iz and /?; let the cardinal and interpersonally comparable individual welfare indices be as shown in the following table (ignoring z for the moment): 244 THE ECONOMIC RECORD Harsanyi's set of axioms implies that the society is indifferent between x and y (by suitable scaling). But many people may find y (strictly) preferable to x. If we ask why is y preferable to x, there may be two different answers. First, consider Diamond's explanation: 'I a m willing to accept the sure-thing principle for individual choice but not for social choice, since it seems reasonable for the individual to be concerned solely with final states while society is also interested in the process of choice' (Diamond, 1967, p. 766). But the society consists of individuals. If all individuals are concerned with final states, why should the society be concerned with the process of choice? I can think of only two reasons why the society may be concerned with the process of choice that are consistent with individualism. First, some individuals in the society have views about the process of choice and will be hurt or feel happy by the adoption of certain processes. In this case, what needs to be done is just to amend the pay-off matrices or to construct a more complex one to take account of this feeling. This is then not a valid ground against Harsanyi's set of axioms and the implied SWF, provided the feeling about the process of choice has been taken into account in the welfare calculus. Secondly, even if no individual in the society now has any feeling about the process of choice a s such, it may still be regarded as a legitimate concern since the process of choice may affect the welfare of individuals in the future who may not exist now. In this case again, what needs to be done is just to take account of the effects on individual welfares in the future as well. Thus, I cannot find any ground consistent with individualism that is a valid objection to Harsanyi on the grounds of the process of choice or the like. Let us turn to a different objection. Even if the feeling for the process of choice, the welfare of future generations, etc., has been taken into account or has been abstracted away, some people may still regard y as preferable to x because y gives individual 2 a 'fair shake' while x does not. To be socially indifferent between x and y is thus regarded as being unfair against 2. But I fail to see why it is unfair if the society is also indifferent between y and -7 (see the table above), as Harsanyi's axioms dictate. Is it unfair against both individuals (!) to be socially indifferent between x, y and z, despite the fact that both individuals are indifferent between y and a 50-50 chance of x and z? It is probably difficult to convince those who still regard SEPT. y as preferable to both x and I,but I hope that the following argument will persuade at least some of them to have a second thought. Let us accept the reasonable assumption that social welfare is continuous in individual welfares (an infinitesimal change in individual welfares does not cause a big jump in social welfare). To prefer y over x and z then implies that if we change the welfare indices of y sufficiently slightly, then this new alternative y* is still preferred to x. To see this more intuitively, note that we have to change the welfare indices by a finite amount (due to continuity), say to y' (see the table below; the precise figure is immaterial) to make it indifferent to x. We can then increase the welfare indices back a little toy" which will then be preferable to x and z . I wish to show that the adoption of a S W F dictating this preference is detrimental to the welfare of both individuals and hence irrational at least from the viewpoint of individualism, when individual preferences satisfy the Marschak axioms. We do not adopt a SWF to guide our social choice for one particular known instance only. Rather, once a SWF is adopted, it is used for all instances until, for some reason, it has been discarded in favour of another. Moreover, even if we consider a once-and-for-all choice only, we do not know which particular alternatives that choice will involve at the 'constitutional stage' or the 'original position'. Thus, on the abstract problem of the ideal SWF, we must consider all possible instances of choice. For the particular instance of the choice between x and y", the preference of y" over x does not appear to be clearly unreasonable. The expected welfare ( E W 9 of both individuals being0.45 withy" (noting that OT = fi = ))and EW' = I , E W z = 0 with x. Since 2 gains 0.45 and I looses 0.55 in terms of expected welfare by the choice ofy" over x, it does not necessarily appear to be a social loss to the non-Benthamite. Similarly, this is true for the preference ofy" over z. However, ex nnle, we d o not know whether we will be confronted with the choice between y" and x or between y" and z; both must be regarded as equally probable. I t then becomes clear that if individual preferences satisfy the Marschak axioms, both individuals would be in favour of the adoption of a SWF preferring both x and z toy" rather than the reverse, since the preference ofy" over x and z gives E W = EW = 0.45, while the reverse preference gives E W = EWL = 0.5. Individualism thus clearly dictates the adoption of the linear SWF. 1981 245 BENTHAW OR NASH? reject social welfare as a sum of individual welfares must explain why either WE or EW (but not both) is acceptable and the other is not. This is not an easy task within the individualistic ethics, ignoring incorrect probability estimates. While Harsanyi's result of a linear SWF is a strong one, it does not provide a system of weights (for any particular set of scales for individual utility indices, or a set of scales for any particular system of weights), a difficulty emphasized by Pattanaik (1968).'* Thus the result on unweighted sum by the finite sensibility approach is a significant advance. Before discussing this, let us discuss another result on unweighted sum that is, however, based on ussuming that this problem of interpersonal comparison of welfare differences has been solved somehow. It may be objected that the above argument is based on regarding (meta) social welfare as a function of expected individual welfares, i.e., W E = W ( E W 1 ,. . ., E W 3 = W ( E j 0 , . . ., Z, 0, WT) where 0, is the probability of a state of nature times the probability of that choice instance. For example, confining only to the two equally probablechoice instances x against y" and z against y", the probability of a prevailing in the choice instance x againsty" is 4 x = In the presence of risk, perhaps it is better to maximize expected welfare as a function of ex-post individual welfares, I.e.,EW= Z,O,W(C,. . ., W",).However,itcanbe seen that, even using this latter criterion, the choice of y" over x and z is still clearly undesirable since E W W ) = tW(0.9, 0) + +W(O, 0.9) and EW(x, z ) = fW(1,O) + )W(O, I).ThusEW(x,z) > E W W ) i f W is increasing in individual welfares, i.e., if the Pareto principle is satisfied. v, + a. r U I 2 B I I 0 0 U 1 0 Y" Y' Y X B a B a B a P 0 0 I I 0 1 0.89 0 0 0.89 0.9 0 0.9 In the presence of risk, ignoring differences in (or incorrect) probability estimates (on which see Harris and Olewiler, 1979J,there seem to be good grounds for either maxihizing social welfare as a function of individual expected welfares or maximizing expected social welfare as a function of ex-post individual welfares. Within the framework of individualism, neither objective can be rejected as unreasonable. The reasonableness of both W E and EW can in fact be used as an argument for a linear SWF. If social welfare is a sum (unweighted or weighted with constant individual weights k 3 of individual welfares, then WE and EW are equivalent. Thus W E = ZjkiXjO,Wj = C,O,CfkiWj = E W . I f social welfare is not a sum of individual welfares, the maximization of EWand WEwill not, in general, yield the same r e ~ u 1 t . Thus l ~ those who l 3 If W E and EWalways yield the same result, we have W E = W(Z,O,V. . . ., E,o,w:, = EW = z,e,wyj, . . ., W?. Differentiation with respect to W) gives dW/dEW'=c?W/dWj at any given situation. Such an equality cannot hold through for every set of8's unless W is a sum (unweighted or weighted with constant individual weights) of its arguments. 0 (C) Unweightrd Sum-D'Aspremont and Cevers ( I 977) and Maskin ( 1978) While the derivations of the separability and linearity in the S W F discussed above are fully based on ethical postulates, the theorem on utilitarianism by D'Aspremont and Gevers ( 1977, p. 203) is partly based on informational restriction. With the Pareto principle and Anonymity, a SWF must assume the Benthamite form if interpersonal comparison of (individual) welfare levels is not possible though comparison of welfare drferences is possible.15 Roughly, this result may be given the "Pattanaik also raises some other objections though questioning the popufar objection by Arrow ( I 963). Time permitting, I hope to pursue these and related issues in another paper. For Harsanyi's own reply to Diamond, see Harsanyi (1975). "Since D'Aspremont and Gevers are dealing with social welfare functionals (Sen, 1970, p. 129). they need the additional assumption of Independence (of irrelevant alternatives) which is much weaker that Arrow's correspondingcondition as Arrow's framework rules out the relevance of' preference intensities. In fact, in the framework of social welfare functionals where preference 246 THE ECONOMIC RECORD following intuitive explanation. T h e Pareto principle ensures that social welfare depends positively on and only on individual welfares. Anonymity requires that different individuals be treated alike. Level non-comparability then leaves only individual welfare differences to be treated on the same footing. Moreover, invariance of social choice with respect to individual welfare levels (vertical shift in the whole individual welfare function) also rules out any non-linear, though anonymous function. This leaves the Bentham SWF as the only choice. Maskin (1 978) relaxes level non-comparability by requiring what he calls ’full comparability’ (and by assuming a weaker version of the Elimination of Indifferent Individuals). This terminology which originates with D’Aspremont and Gevers is unfortunate, As Maskin himself (p. 94) observes, ‘full comparability’ still imposes some restriction. In fxt, it rules out some form of interpersonal comparison. Specifically it requires, among other things, that social choice be invariant with respect to a (vertical) shift in all individual welfare functions by a common value. This is less restrictive than the level non-comparability of D’Aspremont and Gevers (1977, p. 201) which requires invariance of social choice even in the presence of unequal vertical shifts in individual welfare functions. However, i t still imposes a real restriction (though i t happens to be one that I am personally ethically in favour of). For example, consider the welfare indices in the following table. I x I: Y I 200 100 100 100010 Y‘ ~ 100 10 1 100’00 100001 Personally, I find y clearly socially preferable to x. But many people may prefer x t o y (as would be the case for a Nash SWF), considering the welfare gain of Mr 2 from 1 to 10 units as more important than the loss of Mr 1 from 200 to 100 units. If we intensity is a relevant consideration, Independence is a compelling condition (Ng, 1979, pp. 142-4). In contrdst, a (Bergson)SWF necessarily satisfies Independencesince W(xJ depends only on W’(x), i = 1, . . ., n by construction. It is my conjecture that every nonlexicographic(or at least every continuous) social welfare functionalsatisfying Independence can be represented by a Bergson SWF. SEPT. construct a new pair of social states x’ and y’ by raising both individual welfare levels by 100 000, these same people may now find y’ preferable to x’, as is the case of a Nash SWF. Now. both individuals being fairly well off, the gain of 9 units may not be considered worth the loss of 100 units. If we have truly fufl comparability, this kind of ethics should be accepted as logical (though I find i t unpalatable). But it is, in fact, ruled out by Maskin‘s condition of ‘full comparability’. (D) Unweighted Sum - the Finite Sensibility Approach Recognizing that human beings are not infinitely sensitive, a just noticeable increment of happiness may be used as an interpersonally valid unit of welfare. This approach has a long tradition. The concept was touched on as far back as 1781 by Borda and in 1881 by Edgeworth. Edgeworth took it as axiomatic or, in his words, ’a first principle incapable of proof, that the ‘minimum sensibile’ or the just perceivable increments of pleasure, of all pleasures for all persons, a r e equatable (Edgeworth, 1881, pp. 7ff., 60ff.). Armstrong (1951), Goodman and Markowitz (1952), and Rothenberg (1961) have also discussed the problem. It has also been explored in its morr positive aspects in decision theory and psychology, using the term ‘just noticeable difference’. (See Fishburn, 1970, for a survey.) Assuming finite sensibility, Ng (1975) derives the Bentham SWF based mainly on the following postulate: Weak Majority Preference Criterion (WMP): For any two alternatives (or social states) .r and y , if no individual prefers y to x and (1) if n, the number of individuals, is even, at least n/? individuals prefer .r to y ; (2) if n is odd, at least (n-1)/2 individuals prefer x to y and at least another individual’s welfare level is not lower in .Y than in y , then social welfare is higher in x than in y . As Mueller observes, WMP is obviously a combination of both the Pareto principle and the majority rule principle that is at once significantly weaker [hence more acceptable as a sujicient condition for a social improvement] than both. In contrast to the Paretocriterion it requires a majority to be better o f f ,rather than just one [individual], to justify a move. And, in contrast to majority rule, it allows the majority to be decisive only against an 1981 BENTHAM OR NASH? indifferent minority. In spite of this apparent weakness, the postulate nevertheless proves strong enough to support a Benthamite social welfare function [Mueller, 1979, pp. 181-21. The reason why W M P leads us to the Bentham SWF is not difficult to see. It requires that individual welfare differences sufficient to give rise to preferences of half of the population must be regarded as socially more significant than differences not sufficient to give rise to preferences (or dispreferences) of another half. Since any group of individuals comprising 50 per cent of the population is an acceptable half, this effectively makes a just perceivable increment of welfare of any individual equivalent to that of any other individual. The ethical argument supporting WMP and the Bentham SWF and replies to a number of possible objections have been outlined in Ng (1975, Section 5). Here, we consider the following objection raised in a personal discussion by David Friedman (cf: Sen, 1970, p. 94; Pattanaik, 1971, p. 150). If individual welfare levels are continuous (which is the assumption used in Ng, 1975), then even an indifference may involve a welfare difference. It is thus not clear that a just perceivable increment of welfare should be regarded as interpersonally equatable. For example, a person poor in perception or reporting may fail to notice or report a welfare difference more significant in some subjective sense than one noticed or reported by another more perceptive person. On the other hand, if welfare levels are discontinuous so that individual welfare does not change until an increment of pleasure is perceived, then these discontinuous little jumps in welfare may differ across individuals in some sense and hence should not be regarded as equivalent. My reply to the above objection is several fold. First, it may be noted that the above objection is not against the principle of the Bentham SWF (i.e. Was an unweighted sum of W')but just against the way the various W' should be best measured or interpersonally compared. In other words, if the marginal preference of a person half as perceptive (in terms of reporting a given amount of subjective welfare) as another is counted twice as important, the above objection will presumably no longer apply. Thus, this objection is properly regarded rather as pointing to the difficulty of making interpersonal comparison of welfare than as an objection against the Bentham SWF as such. 247 Secondly, if we shy away from making any interpersonal comparison of cardinal individual welfares, then a S W F is impossible. Thus, for the question of which SWF to adopt, we must accept some form of comparison. Most methods of interpersonal welfare comparison are rough estimates (if not guesstimates) perhaps partly influenced by personal value beliefs. It seems to me that the method of measuring the levels of just perceivable increments of pleasure offers to date the most promising objective way of making interpersonal comparison. (On some practical difficulties and ways to overcome them, see Ng, 1975, Section 9.) If we accept the above objection, it just means that even this best available method is not ideal. With finite sensibility (which is an indisputable fact) and without some form of interpersonal comparison, we cannot make a reasonable social choice except in the unlikely cases where every individual strictly prefers x to y . Even the indifference of one individual is sufficient to cloud the issue unless we are prepared to make the interpersonal comparison that any welfare difference associated with his indifference is not strong enough to overshadow the preferences of others. Thirdly, even if it is true that a just perceivable increment of welfare differs across individuals either due to different 'perceptive' powers or due to different 'jumps' in welfare, how are we to know whose just perceivable increment is larger and whose smaller? In the absence of specific knowledge regarding this, it seems best to regard them as equal. (CJ Lerner, 1944, p. 29ff.f.; Sen, 1973.) If we adopt the convention of designating an average just perceivable increment of welfare as one, then the just perceivable increment of any particular individual, in the absence of any specific knowledge, may be expected to have a probability distribution such as depicted in Figure 1, i.e., he is just as likely (if a t all) t o have a lower as a higher than average value. We can thus minimize our mistake by taking his increment to be one, the average value (Ng, 1980). Our arguments for taking a just perceivable increment of welfare as equatable across individuals (at least in the absence of an eudiamonometer) seem to be supported by the following argument of Harsanyi: The metaphysical problem would be present even if we tried to compare the utilities enjoyed by diererent persons with identical preferences and with identical expressive reactions to any situation. Even in this case, it would not be THE ECONOMIC RECORD FIGURE1 inconceivable that such persons should have different susceptibilities to satisfaction and should attach different utilities to identical situations . . . identical expressive reactions may well indicatedifferent mentalstates withdifferent people. At the same time, under these conditions this logical possibility of different susceptibilities to satisfaction would ,hardly be more than a metaphysical curiosity. If two objects or human beings show similar behaviour in all their relevant aspects open to observation, the assumption of some unobservable hidden difference between them must be regarded as a completely gratuitous hypothesis and one contrary to sound scientific method. (This principle may be called the ‘principle of unwarranted differentiation’.) In the last analysis, it is on the basis of this principle that we ascribe mental states to other human beings at all: the denial of this principle would at once lead us to solipsism. Thus in the case of persons with similar preferences and expressive reactions we are fully entitled to assume that they derive the same utilities from similar situations [Harsanyi 1955. p. 317. Many people are, however, reluctant to regard a unit increase in the welfare of the better-off as equivalent to B unit increase in that of the worse-off. First, this may be due to what I called ‘utility illusion’ or the double-discounting of the incomes of the rich (Ng, 1975, Section 2). Psychological studies show that, apart from extremal values, the just noticeable increment to any stimulus value is a constant proportion of that value, or Sensation = k log Stimulus. Thus, by equating just perceivable increments of welfare, we are already discounting the incomes of the rich very heavily. To discount further their welfares involves double-discoun ting. SEPT. Secondly, many people may have in mind the undesirable effects of a high degree of inequality apart from the diminishing marginal welfare of income, due to external effects, social conflicts, etc. These are, however, all taken into account by a (long-run) Bentham SWF. Thirdly, we may have ‘pure egalitarianism’ which is apparently very appealing but is foreign to my ethical intuition. Suppose I have two children, one very happy and one not very happy. If I have only one serve of icecream, I will have no hesitation a t all to give it to the one who enjoys ice-cream more, whether i t happens to be the happy child o r the less happy child, assuming no envy, etc. In other words, I will consider only the amount of happiness (whichever child enjoying it) 1 can increase rather than the amounts of happiness they already possess. IY Brief Summary After an introductory section justifying the discussion of the acceptable form of SWFs, the acceptability of the Nash SWF (and by extension, similar ‘egalitarian’ SWFs) is questioned because a minute (perhaps hardly perceivable ) welfare change of an individual with a very low welfare level might overwhelm enormous welfare changes of other individuals. The axiomatic derivation of the Nash SWF by Kaneko and Nakamura (1979) IS analyzed and the acceptability of one of their axioms is questioned. Arguments leading to the Bentham SWF are discussed at several levels. First, ‘social welfare should be a separable function of individual welfares’. The arguments of Fleming (1952) and Sugden and Weale (1979) are reviewed and shown t o be based on nothing m o r e t h a n the individualistic ethics. Separability is thus a compelling requirement for any S W F consistent with individualism. Secondly, Harsanyi (1953, 1955) shows further that our S W F must be linear in (a weighted sum of) individual welfares by assuming that social as well as individual preferences satisfy the Marschak axioms for expected utility maximization and that two prospects are socially indifferent if they are indifferent to all individuals. It is argued that Diamond’s (1967) famous ‘counterexample’ need not affect the acceptability of Harsanyi’s axioms as a SWF is not chosen just for one particular known instance only. Thirdly, social welfare must be an unweighted sum of individual welfares if, with some reasonable ethical requirements such as the Pareto principle and Anonymity, informational 1981 249 BENTHAM OR BASH? restriction precludes interpersonal comparison of welfare levels in some Senses (D'Aspremont and Gevers, 1977; Maskin, 1978). W i t h full comparability, we still have the Bentham result if, recognizing that human beings are not infinitely sensitive, the just perceivable increments of welfare of all persons are taken as equatable (Edgeworth, 1881) or if the Weak Majority Preference Criterion (which is at once significantly weaker than the Pareto principle and the majority rule principle) is accepted (Ng, 1975). An objection to this is replied to in some detail. APPENDIX On the Rejection of Axiomatic Theories It might be reasoned that, since I reject the Nash SWF on the unacceptability of some of its implications, so o t h e r s can reject t h e Bentham S W F on the unacceptability of some of its implications. So why waste valuable pages going through sets of axioms that imply the Bentham SWF? Logical arguments may, establish ' A implies B'. If B contains something ethical, so must A. If one is certain that B is not acceptable, one should reject B a n d hence a fortiorireject A . But if 'A implies B'holds, one should also explain why A is unacceptable, to complete the job. But quite often one is not absolutely certain that B is or is not acceptable. If A can be shown to be acceptable (usually A is broken down toa number ofsimple parts called axioms; an axiom is not necessarily acceptable though a good axiom is simple, straightforward, and acceptable), then one can be persuaded that B should also be acceptable. I have shown ( I ) that the Nash SWF implies something dejnitely not acceptable in my view and hence I can reject the Nash SWF on this ground. Moreover, I have also shown (11) that a set of axioms (Kaneko and Nakamura) used to derive the Nash SWF contains something unacceptable. If one definitely agrees with (I), one must reject the Nash SWF. If one does not agree or is uncertain about (I) but agrees with (II), he should reject Kaneko and Nakamura but should suspend judgement about the Nash S W F before he has further arguments. This is so because if A implies B. the fact that A is not acceptable does not imply that B is also unacceptable (though it is possible that B is unacceptable). 'No person should be hanged' ( X ) implies that 'Innocent persons should not be hanged' ( Y).That Xis Unacceptable (to some people) does not imply that Y must also be unacceptable. Since I want toreject the NashSWF(notjust suspendingjudgement), I must not only show that theset ofaxiomsused toderiveit contains some unacceptable parts, I must also show that the Nash S W F itself is or that it implies something definitely unacceptable. On the other hand, I believe in the Bentham SWF which many people do not accept. One way to convince them is t o argue in its favour directly. Another way is to show that a set of reasonable axioms ( A ) implies the Bentham SWF (B). If this implications holds, those still rejecting B should explain why A is unacceptable. 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