The RAND Corporation Targeting Managerial Control: Evidence from Franchising Author(s): Francine Lafontaine and Kathryn L. Shaw Reviewed work(s): Source: The RAND Journal of Economics, Vol. 36, No. 1 (Spring, 2005), pp. 131-150 Published by: Blackwell Publishing on behalf of The RAND Corporation Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1593758 . Accessed: 20/05/2012 02:32 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Blackwell Publishing and The RAND Corporation are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The RAND Journal of Economics. http://www.jstor.org RANDJournalof Economics Vol.36, No. 1, Spring2005 pp. 131-150 Targeting managerial from franchising control: evidence Francine Lafontaine* and Kathryn L. Shaw** Franchisors simultaneouslyoperate outlets under two distinct incentive schemes:franchising and companyownership.Using an extensivepanel dataset,we show that experiencedfranchisors maintaina stable level of corporateownershipover time.However,the targetedrate of company ownershipvaries considerablyacrossfirms.Weshow thatfranchisorswithhigh brandnamevalue, measuredby majormedia expendituresand otherproxies, have high rates of companyownership. Weargue thatfranchisors with valuable brandshave high rates of companyownershipso they have incentives to exert more control and they can betterprotect their brandsfrom franchisee free-riding. 1. Introduction * Over the last thirtyyears an extensive theoreticalliteratureon incentive contractshas been developed, but there has been only limited testing of alternativemodels. Consider,for example, two standardincentive pay contracts:a firm may compensate its managersusing a flat salary and rewardthem with promotionsbased on personalperformanceevaluations(a "subjective"pay plan), or the firmmay pay a salarybut also rewardmanagerswith profitsharingor stock options (an "objective"pay plan based on an agreed-uponmeasuredoutcome). Firms often use both incentive mechanisms.But underwhat conditions should a firmrely more heavily, for example, on profit sharing than on promotions?The literaturehas considered this question extensively for high-level executive compensation,but much less is known about pay plans for lower-level managersor employees.1 Franchisingfirmsprovidean opportunityto assess firms' choices of incentivepay schemes. Franchisorstypicallyeitherown a given outletandpay its managera salarywith promotion,raises, and bonuses as incentives,or they franchise,in which case the managerowns the assets andearns * Universityof Michigan;[email protected]. **StanfordUniversityand NBER; [email protected]. We gratefullyacknowledge financialsupportfrom the National Science Foundation(NSF) undergrantno. SBR9312083, and from the Stephen M. Ross School of Business at the Universityof Michigan, for this research.We thank participantsat a numberof conferences and seminarsfor theirhelpful comments and suggestions. We also thankWendy Petropoulosand RobertPicardfor their invaluableassistance.The usual caveat applies. 1For reviews of the empirical literatureon incentive pay, see Gibbons (1998), Gibbons and Waldman(1999), Lazear(1995, 1999), Jensen and Murphy(1999), and Prendergast(1999). Copyright? 2005, RAND. 131 132 / THERANDJOURNAL OFECONOMICS the profits that the outlet generates (minus the royalty rate or fee paid to the franchisor).Most franchisorshave both company-ownedand franchisedoutlets, but firms differ in the degree to which they rely on companyownershipversus franchising--some chains are entirelyfranchised while others have a large percentageof outlets owned and controlledby the companydirectly.2 The question,then, is why do companieschoose differentrates of ownership? We hypothesize that franchisingfirms with greaterinvestmentsin their brandname will own more of their outlets. Managersof franchisedoutlets maximize their own profits, not the profitsof the franchisingfirm.The factorsthatcontributeto the profitsof an individualoutlet do not necessarily correspondto those that contributeto the profits of the chain. In particular,the franchisorplaces a greatervalue on the chain'sbrandname andreputationthando the franchisees, due to the free-riderproblem:the franchiseeprofitsonly from the brandto the extent it increases its local profits,whereas the franchisorbenefits from increases in sales induced by the brandin all outlets in the chain.Thus, the franchiseehas an incentiveto underinvestin activitiesthatfoster brandname value relative to the chain (Brickley and Dark, 1987; Blair and Kaserman,1994). To overcome this, the franchisingfirmmay choose to own outlets outrightinsteadof franchising them and hire managerswhose actions are monitoredmore carefully and who are paid a salary largely on the basis of a performanceevaluationthat takes into accountboth outlet performance and the maintenanceof brandname value (see Bradach(1997) for evidence of lower-powered incentivesin companyunits).The incentivesof these managersto maximize an outlet'sprofitsare not as high poweredas those of franchisees,but in turn,they also have less incentiveto increase theirprofitsat the expense of the chain or of the brandname value. In that sense, they affordthe chain the opportunityto bettercontrolthe value of its brand. The choice describedhere for franchisingfirms-between using the low-poweredincentives of a subjectivepay plan versusthe more high-poweredincentivesof an objectiveprofit-basedpay plan-arises often for firms outside of franchising.For example, in large firms, division heads can be given the objective of maximizingthe profitsof their division, but such an objective can result in actions that undermineprofitabilityelsewhere in the firm (Wulf, 2002). Alternatively, firms may offer managersa compensationplan that makes pay a weighted function of a vector of objective outcomes, such as division-level profits,firm-levelprofits, stock marketvalue, and so on. The difficultywith such paymentschemes is thatalthoughthey recognize the multitasking natureof the manager'sjob, they can become very complicated.In the end it may be preferableto offer lower-poweredincentivesfor all tasks, thatis, to use a salarywith promotionopportunities (Holmstromand Milgrom, 1991). An extensive empirical literaturehas examined franchising firms' choices of companyownershiprates.3However,prior studies have relied largely on cross-sectionaldata. We use an unbalancedpanel dataset that follows almost 5,000 U.S. and Canadianfranchisorsfor various intervalsfrom 1980 throughto 1997 to addresstwo questions:Do franchisingfirms change the extent to which they control outlets directly over time as they learn more about the underlying factors that influence the value of franchising?Second, why do some franchisingfirms choose to operatemore outlets directly than do others?These two questions are addressedsequentially below, and the results are summarizedin Section 5. Briefly,we find that the degree of company ownershipfalls when these firmsbegin franchising,but establishedfirmstargeta stable percentage of company ownership (Sections 2 and 3). This finding of a stable company-ownedshare in establishedchains contradictsa numberof theories of franchisingthat imply that franchisors should systematicallyincrease or decrease their reliance on franchisingover time. It also contradictsthe conclusion from cross-sectional analyses in which authorshad found a decreased relianceon companyownershipover time. We also findthatfirmswith high company-ownership 2 There are, of course, many otherexamples of firmsthat simultaneouslyorganizetransactionsin more than one way: firmsboth make andbuy certaininputs,or use both employees and subcontractorsto performcertainfunctions(see, e.g., Bakerand Hubbard(2004) on the use of both owner operatorsand hireddriversin U.S. trucking). 3 This literaturehas consideredfactors that extend beyond the incentive pay issues emphasizedhere. See Dant, Kaufmann,and Paswan(1992), Dnes (1996), Lyons (1996) and Lafontaineand Slade (1997,2001) for reviews. ? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINE ANDSHAW / 133 shares, and thus fewer high-poweredincentives, have higher-valuedbrandnames. We conclude thatestablishedfranchisorschoose high company-ownershipshareswhen franchiseefree-riding is most likely to be problematic(see Section 4). 2. Companyownership withinfirms over time * A brief overview of the literature. Most models of franchisingareprincipal-agentmodels that focus on the optimal sharing rules for profits and imply that the terms of the franchise contracts should vary across the franchisedunits (see, e.g., Mathewson and Winter, 1985). If each franchisoruses only one franchisingandone managerialemploymentcontract,these models imply that those units where high-poweredincentives are very valuableto the franchisorwill be franchised,while others will be operatedundera managerialemploymentcontract.The extent of company ownershipin a chain thus depends on outlet and franchiseeheterogeneityin these models: there is no predictionthat the percentagethat is company-ownedshould be explicitly targetednor that it should vary systematicallyas firms become established,only that it should vary with the averagecharacteristicsof outlets and franchiseesin the chain. Other theoretical explanations for franchising imply instead that the extent of company ownershipshould change systematicallyas chains become betterestablished.Some models, for example, assume that franchising is more profitablethan company ownership, but that firms operatesome units eitherto signal high quality(Galliniand Lutz, 1992) or to crediblycommit to upholdthe value of the brandname (e.g., Scott, 1995). In these models, firmsreducethe extent of companyownershipovertime as theirqualitylevel is revealed,or as they"developa reputationfor maintaininga certainlevel of quality"(Scott, 1995,p. 76). Othermodelsof franchising,bycontrast, assume that company ownershipis the preferredmode of operation,but that franchisingallows firmsto obtainaccess to some scarceresource,be it capital(CavesandMurphy,1976), managerial talent (Norton, 1988), or local information(Minkler,1990; Lafontaineand Bhattacharyya,1995; Prendergast,2002). As they become establishedandbetterable to access these resourcesdirectly, franchisorsreducetheirrelianceon franchisingand increasecompany-ownedshareover time. A numberof authorshave examined the empiricalrelationshipbetween the percentageof companyoutletsandfranchisorage (e.g., GalliniandLutz, 1992;Lafontaine,1992a;Martin,1988; Minklerand Park, 1994; Scott, 1995; Thompson, 1994). Using cross-sectionaldata, most have found systematic evidence of lower company-ownedshare for more established firms. Gallini and Lutz (1992) and Scott (1995) interpretthese results as evidence supportingthe signallingor reputationeffects describedabove. The data. Our longitudinaldataset allows us to revisit this issue. We have information o from 1980 through 1997 for more than 1,000 franchisorsper year, resulting in a total sample size of 19,162 observations.The datacontaininformationon (1) the numberof company-owned and franchisedoutlets, (2) the years of business and franchisingexperience, (3) royalty rates, advertisingfees, and franchisefees, and (4) a set of variablesdescribingthe franchisor,including the amountof capitalrequiredto open an outlet, andthe type of businessit is involvedin. Largely due to entryinto andexit from franchising,but also to nonresponses,our datasetis an unbalanced panel:the numberof franchisorsincludedeach year is ratherstable,but the firmsvary from year to year.4We have 4,842 differentfranchisorsin our dataset,and so only about4 observationsper firmon average.(See the Appendixfor more on our data sources and sample.) Table 1 gives descriptivestatisticsfor the main variablesof interestfor our overallsampleof 19,162 observations.We show bothmedianandmeanvaluesof these variables,as the distributions are often quite skewed. Note that the maximumnumberof franchisedand of companyunits in our data are for McDonald's. o Changes in percentage company-owned as firms gain experience: cross-sectional results. As a first step towardexamining the evolution of the degree of vertical integrationin 4 This could ? RAND 2005. give rise to selection bias in our analyses-however, see footnote 21. 134 / THE RAND JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS TABLE 1 Descriptive Statistics Name Variable Numberof Franchised Units Numberof Company Units TotalOutlets Percentage Company-Owned Yearsof Franchising Experience Median Mean Standard Deviation Minimum Maximum 28 2 34 9 7 172.64 35.05 207.69 22.2 10.56 638.92 234.05 788.15 28.7 9.84 0 0 1 0 1 15,394 4,982 19,599 100 77 franchisedchains, we presentin Figure 1 the simple cross-sectionalmean value of the companyowned share as a function of years in franchising for all the firms in our data, and then for subsamplesbased on whetheryearly growthis positive (posGrowth),negative (negGrowth),or nil (zeroGrowth).In Figure2 we show the correspondingdatafor a small set of sectorschosen to highlight sectoraldifferences. There are three striking features in Figures 1 and 2. First, no matter what sample one focuses on, the percentage company-ownedfalls precipitously during the first seven or eight years in franchising.This is not surprising:firms almost always begin franchisingafter having opened a few company-ownedoutlets, and so they are 100% company-ownedinitially. This percentagethen can only fall in the early years in franchising,and indeed it does fall sharply. This is the negative relationshipbetween franchisingexperience and company ownershipthat has been noticed in earliercross-sectionalanalyses.5Second, Figure 1 shows thatafterthis initial decline, thepercentagecompany-ownedstabilizesin ouroverallsampleandin thedifferentgrowth subsamplesat about 15%on average.We foundthe same stabilizationat 15%for size subsamples (above and below average size), and, perhapsmost surprisingly,for the set of chains we know will exit franchisingin the next three years and for those that continueto franchisebeyond that. Third,Figure2 shows thatthereare,however,sectoraldifferencesin the "targetrates":restaurant chains, for example, stabilize at a relativelyhigh percentagecompany-ownedon average,while the constructionand maintenancesectors have a much lower averagerate. O Changesin percentagecompany-ownedas firmsgain experience:longitudinalresults. Figures 1 and 2 show a fairly constant rate of company ownershipon average for established FIGURE1 PERCENTAGE BY FIRMEXPERIENCE COMPANY-OWNED AND YEARLYGROWTH ,, c 70 o1 60 ---- -- .* 0 . 5 oE 8 40 ? 30 \3 X 20- A \ .\ \ '\ .. , - 4 j 6 _ .. , (1 0 2 Fullsample Positivegrowthsubsample Negativegrowthsubsample Zerogrowthsubsample 8 1 I J I I I I 2 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30andup Yearsof franchisingexperience 5 Regressions of percentagecompany-ownedon linear,quadratic,cube, and quarticterms, or even higher-order terms in experience, always yield large negative and significantcoefficients on the first-orderterm in our data, as per earliercross-sectionalanalyses. ? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINEAND SHAW / 135 FIGURE2 BY FIRMEXPERIENCE PERCENTAGE COMPANY-OWNED AND SECTOR o 60 c , o 50 - - Automotive Business services ---- Restaurants Constructionand maintenance Retail --- \ a- 40 oE c A' ..\ 30 20 --- \\ a) -............ .... ..--..^ 10-, 0 2 I I I 4 6 8 i" I '- rl' T ' I 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 and up Yearsof franchisingexperience franchisors.However, this constantrate could arise from offsetting patternsacross firms rather than from individualfirms all keeping a fairly constantproportionof company units. Our goal in this subsection is to establish that in fact the relativelyconstantrates in Figures 1 and 2 arise from stable proportionsat the firmlevel. We do this firstby modelling the within-firmevolution of companyownershipwith franchisingexperience,namely: ACit = f (franchising experience)it + eit, (1) where ACit is the within-firmchange in the percentagecompany-ownedfor franchisori at time t and the residualseit representunexplainedvariationin ownershippatterns. Using Kernel regressionwith differentbandwidths,we show in Figure 3 how the average within-firmchangein companyownershiprelatesto franchisingexperiencein ourdata.This figure shows thatthe change in percentagecompany-ownedis highly negativeon averagefor firmswith little experience,but thatit increasesdramaticallyduringthe next severalyears in franchising.It reacheszero afterthe firstseven years or so, and stabilizes at that level. Based on this and earlier figures, we constructparametricspline functions that model the change in percentagecompany-ownedunits as firmsgain experience.The chief advantageof the parametricapproachis that we can devise statisticaltests to answertwo questions:(1) does the percentagecompany-ownedreally stabilize over time, meaning that more years of franchising FIGURE3 KERNELRESULTSFOR THE CHANGEIN PERCENTAGE COMPANY-OWNED FOR DIFFERENTBANDWIDTHS 5 (2, 3, 4, YEARS) a E I -4 co -2 a- O -10 . -12 O 0 [ 5 I 10 I ! 15 20 I 25 Yearsof franchisingexperience ? RAND 2005. I 30 I 35 40 136 / THERANDJOURNAL OFECONOMICS TABLE 2 Resultsfor the Changein Percentage SplineRegession Company-Owned Yearsof FranchisingExperience Numberof Observations Full sample 13,022 Constant 1-3 -27.34 6.42 (-30.85) (24.81) 4-7 8-45 .43 -.01 (4.92) (-.33) Growthrates: Positive Negative Zero 7,857 -36.30 8.40 .60 .02 (26.02) 1.24 (5.36) 3,063 (-32.96) -2.31 (.76) -.05 2,102 (-.87) -8.07 (1.67) 1.68 (-2.59) .40 (-1.62) .001 (-4.98) (3.46) (2.19) (.02) -.50 Near exit status: Yes No 4,609 8,413 -26.46 6.26 .37 .01 (-17.47) -28.13 (13.86) 6.58 (2.26) .46 (.18) -.01 (-25.76) (20.93) (4.58) (-.63) Numberof units: Above average Below average 2,579 -8.23 1.62 .44 -.002 10,443 (-4.30) -27.70 (3.12) 6.51 (4.19) .44 (-.21) -.01 (-27.92) (22.38) (4.19) (-.26) Sector: Automotive 1,072 -24.98 5.65 .61 1,592 (-8.04) -13.80 (6.29) 3.09 (2.10) .47 -.004 Restaurants 3,466 (-5.58) -20.29 (4.28) 4.29 (1.89) .73 -.004 Constructionand 1,199 (-10.95) -34.35 (8.03) 8.42 (4.32) .25 (-.16) .005 (-11.73) (9.85) -37.68 9.46 (.86) -.08 (.08) .02 (-19.46) (16.61) Business Services Maintenance Retail 2,599 (-.41) -.0 (-.20) (-.09) (.50) Note: t-statistics in parentheses. experiencehas no effect on it anymoreaftera certainpoint?and(2) aretheresignificantdifferences across sectors or other subsamplesof firmsin the extent to which they stabilize? The spline regressionresults for the estimationof equation(1) are shown in Table 2. They confirmwhat we saw in Figure 3, namely thatfor the firstfew years in franchisingthe change in percentagecompany-ownedis largeandnegative(theproportionof companyunitsis decreasing). This negative change becomes smaller during the first seven or so years in franchising.After that time, the change in the percentageof company ownershipwithin firms no longer relates to franchisingexperience,thatis, the coefficientsin the last column are never significantlydifferent from zero. Furthermore,F-tests show that after this time there are no significantdifferencesin datapatternsacross sectorsor for differentsubsamplesbased on differentgrowthlevels (positive, negative, and nil), or chain size (above or below mean), or for firms that are going to exit from franchisingwithin the next threeyears and those thatwill continuefranchisingbeyond that.Note thatwe testeda largenumberof alternativespline functions,all of which were rejectedby the data. Forexample,if we permitthe linearrelationshipto varywithinthe experiencelevels 8 through45, we find no significanteffects. Thus, the data imply that there is no need for more cutoffs within this period. While the spline results in Table 2 confirm the lack of change with experience after the first seven years in all our subsamples,this result again could be due to some offsetting cross? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINE ANDSHAW / 137 firmpatterns,i.e., some firmsexperiencingpositive, and other firmsnegative, averagegrowthin percentagecompany ownership.What we want to establish next is that the change stabilizes at zero within firms. We do this by looking at firms for which we have enough data to estimate a within-firmexperienceeffect, namely the 619 firms (representing5,472 observations)for which we have at least five years of data on ACit afterthey become established(i.e., beyond their first seven years in franchising).Note that consistent with the hypothesis that within-firmgrowth is zero, 61 of the firms in this subset show no variationat all in ACit (the change is exactly zero in every period in the data) and another527 firms have means for ACit that are insignificantly differentfrom zero (at the .05 level, two-sided test). This leaves only 19 firms with an average ACit that is negative and significantlydifferentfrom zero, and 12 firms for which it is positive and significantlydifferentfrom zero. To explore the within-firmeffects further,we now rewrite(1) as ACit = f (franchising experience)it + zi + St + eit, (2) where,/i is a firm-specificfixedeffect andSt is a yearfixedeffect. Whenwe estimate(2) for the 558 firmswith nonconstantACi, the coefficientson franchisingexperienceand on the year dummies arenot significant,andthe firmfixedeffects arealso insignificantas a group(F(557, 4439) = .96). If we estimate this with randomeffects, we also cannotreject the hypothesisthat the varianceof the tzi's is zero. Finally, if we estimate a variantof (2) where we allow randomcoefficients on franchisingexperience, the coefficient on franchisingexperience is not differentfrom zero and we cannotreject parameterconstancy.In sum, we concludedearlierthatthe mean growthrateof percentagecompany-ownedis zero across all these firms.The results here suggest that there is no significantdifferencein the growthrates across firms,either:firm-specificmean growthrates in company ownershipare all basically zero. Thus, firms appearto be targetingdiffering levels of Ci, but not differinggrowthrates for this variable. We conclude that company ownershipdeclines duringthe initial years in franchising,but after that adjustmentphase, there is no evidence of systematic changes in company ownership over time within firms. The theoreticalmodels described above that imply changes over time would seem inconsistentwith the data. 3. Howfirms maintaintheir stable rates of company ownership * The results above imply that the percentage of companyownershipremainsfixed afterthe earlyyearsin franchising.In this section we askhow firmsachievethis constantrate.Using simple cross-sectional means, Figures 4 and 5 show that firms change their numberof both companyowned and franchisedoutlets as they grow or decline. At every level of franchisingexperience, firms that experience positive growth open mostly franchisedunits, but not all. Perhapsmost surprising,however,is that firmsthatare shrinkingin size on averageclose down both company and franchisedoutlets at all experiencelevels. The "stable"percentageof companyunits in our data thereforeis not an artifactof lack of growth.The data suggest instead that, consistent with Caves and Murphy (1976) and Scott (1995), firms set a goal for this percentage and actively maintainit. This conclusion is reinforcedby companies' stated strategyas reportedin various sources. For example, Hamstra(1998) reports that Burger King's goal is to own and operate 15% of its restaurants.Sasser and Pettway (1974) point out that "Wendy'sexpansion strategy was based on a 'balanced'developmentof company-ownedand franchisedstores"(p. 104) and "WaffleHouse was expandingon two majorfronts:company-operatedunits, andfranchisedunits ... It was expectedthatan eventualbalanceof the system wouldbe reachedat 30%companystores and 70% franchise stores"(p. 139). Finally, when asked, franchisemanagersanswer questions on what they perceive to be the optimalpercentageof companyunits in a chain.6 6 See Ozanne and Hunt (1971) and Lafontaineand Kaufmann(1994). The latterpoint out that franchisorsnot only have targets,but also thatmost chains operatewhat they see as the optimalproportionof companyunits. In the vast majorityof cases, this proportionis neither0% nor 100%. ? RAND 2005. 138 / THE RAND JOURNALOF ECONOMICS FIGURE4 THE CHANGEIN THE NUMBEROF COMPANYUNITSBY EXPERIENCELEVEL 25 = 3 20 - 20- ' E0 15 - o -Full sample -Positive growth subsample --- Negative growth subsample ----Zero growth subsample 10- \ \ / / \ --28 30and up / / 5 0 0 c- -57 a) -10 -15 2 I 6 1 4 I 8 I 10 1 12 I 14 I 16 I 18 I 20 I 22 I 24 26 Years of franchising experience We concludethatthe percentageof companyunitsin franchisedchainsis not simplya passive outcome that arises from the combinationof unit-levelmarketand franchiseecharacteristicsand the need to choose the rightcontractfor each unit, as simple agency-theoreticargumentssuggest.7 Instead, firms actively add and subtractboth company and franchisedoutlets to maintaintheir targetlevel of companyownership.8 4. Explaining the differences in target levels of company ownership * Thus far, we have shown that once franchisorsbecome established, they target a given level of companyownership--thatis, the percentageof outlets thatare company-ownedis stable within firmsover time and the percentageis maintainedthroughactive variationin the numbers of franchisedand company-ownedoutlets. However, the targetlevels vary significantlyacross firms.The firm-specificnatureof the company-ownershiptargetscan best be shown empirically FIGURE5 CHANGEIN THE NUMBEROF FRANCHISED UNITSBY EXPERIENCELEVEL 100 80o - - 60 - -"" - -- 40 - . -20 - " Fullsample Positive growth subsample Negativegrowth subsample Zero growth subsample / _ - -20 -- .....-- - - .. - -. -40 -6 0 2 I 4 I 6 I 8 I 10 I 12 I 14 I 16 I 18 I 20 I 22 I 24 26 I 28 30 and up Yearsof franchising experience 7 Decisions aboutwhich outlets to own and franchisecould lead to a constantcompany-ownedshareundersuch argumentsif most firms systematicallyowned outlets, say, in urbanareas,and franchisedin ruralareas,and expandedat the same rate in both types of markets.But in fact firmstend to expandinto further-awaymarketsover time. 8 Choosing a particularpercentagecompany-owneddoes not preventfranchisorsfrom also choosing which units are franchisedand which are companyoperated.Evidence suggests thatlarger,urbanunits that are close to headquarters are more likely to be companyowned (see Lafontaineand Slade (1997,2001) for reviews). ? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINE ANDSHAW / 139 as follows: if we restrict our sample to established franchisors(those with more than 7 years of franchisingexperience and at least 15 units) and run an OLS regression of the percentage of company ownership as a function of a set of explanatoryvariables and firm-specificfixed effects, firm-specificfixed effects are highly significantas a group, and their introductionraises the R2 from 19%to 92%.9Thus, it is clear from the datathatdifferentfranchisorsadoptdifferent targets.McDonald's 1995 annualreportmentions that "About21% of McDonald's restaurants are operatedby the Company.We maintaina global base of Company-operatedrestaurantsto generateprofits,link our interestswith franchisees,develop managementtalent,gatherresearch, and test ideas for better restaurantexecution"(p. 11). In this section, we ask specifically what affects the targetpercentagecompany-ownedthatfranchisorschoose. Theoretical arguments. The empiricalevidence that company ownershipstabilizes at a O fixed rate suggests that we reject two classes of models. First, agency models implying that companyownershiprates dependonly on the characteristicsof the set of outlets and franchisees arerejectedbecausesuchmodels arenot likely to producestableownershiprates-the rateswould varyovertime, alongwiththe characteristicsof the outletsandtheirmarkets.Second,the signalling and the reputation-basedmodels, as well as the capital access argument,all imply systematic changes in the percentagecompany-ownedover time. These are rejected given the stability of the ownershiprates. We thereforeturnto two other argumentsfrom the literatureto explain the cross-firmdifferencesin the targetcompanyownershiprates.The firstrelates to franchiseefreeriding and the resulting need for the franchisorto control downstreamoperations.The second relates to franchisees'need to ensurethattheirfranchisorswill not behave opportunisticallyand underinvestin the brandex post. We now brieflydetail both of these.'0 Franchisee free-riding and franchisor's need for control. Under a franchise agreement, the franchiseeowns the assets andearnsthe profitsgeneratedby the outlet (afterpaymentof royalties on sales). Consequently,franchiseeshave strongincentivesto protectthe value of theirassets and to keep costs down and sales up. Unfortunately,as pointedout by, e.g., Brickley andDark (1987) and Blair and Kaserman(1994), franchiseesmay maximize their profitsat the expense of other franchisees or the chain as a whole. For example, franchisees may use lower-qualityinputs or advertiseless to reducetheir costs but, in the process, lower brandname value. Franchiseesmay also altertheir productofferings to bettersuit their local markets,or oppose the implementation of new productionprocesses and new productofferingsthatthey don't think will do well in their market-even if the innovationbenefits other stores in the chain. All these behaviorsaffect the extent of standardizationin the chain and thus the value of operatingundera common brand. The problem, fundamentally,is one of externality:because of the common brand, each franchisee'sprofitsdependon decisions made by othersin the chain. In fact, the interdependence from the common brand is a large part of what franchisees buy into when they join a chain. The more valuable the brandis, the more franchisees benefit from belonging to the franchise system, but the more they can also profitfrom free-riding.If franchiseeswere paid a fixed salary as corporatemanagersare, they would have no incentive to free-ride.In that sense, franchisees' free-ridingandtheirtendencyto caterto theirmarkettoo mucharethecosts of using high-powered incentives for them (Klein, 1995; Lafontaineand Raynaud,2002). Franchisorsrely on variouscontractualrestraintsto curbfree-riding,such as requiringsome minimum advertisingand service levels or developing strict product-mixguidelines. But such restraintsare costly to enforce and still may not preventall the behaviorsthat franchisorsworry 9 The F-test for the significanceof the fixed effects is F(1562, 6320) = 42.3, with a p-value of zero. We referto OLS resultsratherthanTobitdespite our limited dependentvariablebecause goodness-of-fitmeasuresin Tobitare not as interpretable.The explanatoryvariablesarethose in column4 of Table4. The 22 sectordummiesaccountfor 6 percentage points in the base R2 (i.e., the 19%). 10The "windowon the industry"argument(HarrisandWiens, 1980) implies thatcompanyunitsprovidefranchisors with informationaboutmarketsthatthey can use to assess franchiseebehavior.See also Bradach(1997) andLewin (1998) for other synergy argumentsfor contractmixing. Although these models offer valid reasons for franchisorsto operate some outlets directly,they providelittle guidanceas to what the optimalmix is or what it relates to. ? RAND 2005. 140 / THERANDJOURNAL OFECONOMICS about. Those with more valuablebrandsthen may need to operatemore outlets directly so that they can exercise more directmanagerialcontrolover downstreamoperations.1 Aligningfranchisorincentives. A numberof authorshavealso emphasizedthe ongoing role of the franchisorin maintainingthe value of the franchisedbusiness:the franchisorputs forth effort in advertisingandpromotingthe brand,in monitoringfranchisees,andin screeningnew franchisees, all of which securethe benefitsto franchiseesof being partof the chain and are necessaryfor the long-termprofitabilityof the chain. Models of franchisingthat have explicitly incorporatedthe franchisor'srole (and the difficultyinherentin motivatinghis behavior)have shown that output sharingwill be necessary to motivatethe franchisor-or, as statedby McDonald's, to "link the franchisor'sinterestswith those of its franchisees."This can be achieved,for a single franchisorfranchisee pair, with an appropriatechoice of royalty rate.12As noted by Caves and Murphy (1976), Lafontaine(1992, 1993), and Scott (1995), in a multiunitcontext, an alternativeway to give franchisorsincentives is to have them operatemore units directly.Thus here also, company ownershiprates should rise with (desired)brandname value. The model and data for targeting analyses. The implicationfrom the argumentsabove is a thatin equilibrium-that is, once they have become established-franchisors with more valuable (desired) brands will operate more outlets directly. We test this hypothesis by estimating the following regression: Cit = aXit + bZit + eit, (3) where Cit is the percentageof company-ownedoutlets by firm i at time t, Xit is a vector of variablesrepresentingthe importanceof the brand,and Zi, is a set of controls, such as sector dummies.13The specificationfor the residualseit is describedbelow. We explore this relationshipempirically using only those observationsfrom our sample where the firm has been franchisingfor more than 7 years and has at least 15 outlets. Table 3 shows descriptivestatisticsfor this new sample.Note thatthe percentagecompany-ownedis zero for 26% of our observationsin this sample, indicatingthat a sizable set of franchisorsultimately choose to be fully franchised. We use three primarymeasures of the (desired) value of the brand. The first and most importantmeasure is the yearly majormedia advertisingexpendituresreportedin LNA/Media Watch for each brand/yearin our "stable"sample (Media). The second is the advertisingfee, namely the percentageof their sales thatfranchiseesare requiredby contractto contributeto the chain's advertisingfund (AdvertisingFee). The thirdis the numberof years that the franchisor spent in business developingthe system before it began to franchise(YearsBefore Franchising). The last two measures were collected from the same sources as all our other franchisingdata. However, they are not ideal proxies for brand name value in that the advertisingfee data is somewhat incomplete,14and while Years Before Franchising proxies the amount of time a franchisorhas investedin developinghis businessformat,this investmentis not linked as directly to brandnamevalue. Thus, we soughta moreaccuratemeasureof brandnamevalue andcollected the dataon yearly mediaexpendituresfrom an externalsourceandmatchedit to ourprimarydata. 11See Bai and Tao (2000) for a multitaskmodel where franchisors-who cannot invest in the brand-can direct company managersto put their effort towardgeneratinggoodwill while franchiseesconcentrateon local service. This model thus implies that franchisorsneeding more goodwill effort will have to operatemore companyunits. 12 See Rubin (1978). Also see Lal (1990) and Bhattacharyyaand Lafontaine(1995) for formal models. 13 The implicationhereis thathigherbrandvaluecauses morecompanyownership.But if the incentivemechanisms work, high companyownershipwill also result in less free-ridingby franchiseesand highereffort by the franchisorand thus yield higher brandvalue in the future.Because brandname value is a long-termconcept requiringseveral years of advertisingdata, we cannotreally assess causality using lags. Ourgoal then is simply to show thatconsistent with these arguments,we find a positive relationshipbetween brandvalue and companyownership. 14 Some franchisors(manyin the early years of ourdata)do not separatetheiradvertisingfee from the royaltyrate that they requirefranchiseesto pay. Thus, our measureof advertisingfee underestimatesinvestmentsin advertisingfor an unknownnumberof firms. ? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINEAND SHAW / TABLE3 141 DescriptiveStatisticsfor the "Stable"Sample Standard Variable N Median Mean Deviation PercentageCompany-Owned Media (in $1,000)" 7,906 3.70 13.44 20.02 0 100 7,906 0 7,906 0 21,445.2 7.46 0 Media per Outleta 2,780.6 2.27 598,752.5 259.7 AdvertisingFee (% of sales) YearsBefore Franchising 7,906 1.00 1.57 1.87 0 13 7,906 4 7.86 10.93 1 128 State Law: Termination 7,906 0 .37 .42 0 1 Numberof Outlets 7,906 101 396.49 15 19,599 Training(in days) Numberof Employees (per outlet) 5,693 15 18.80 1,093.89 17.18 0 290 3,547 5 9.21 13.48 0 150 CapitalRequired(in $1,000) 7,670 98.5 231.89 1,472.23 0 82,500 ExperienceRequired(of franchisees) Numberof States Franchisingin 4,073 0 .27 .44 0 1 5,950 16 19.73 16.22 0 50 Minimum 0 Maximum a For those firms that have positive expenditureson media, the medians (in $1,000) are Media: $436 and Media per Outlet: $1.95. The data for the last five variablesare availableonly for subsets of firmsin our data,hence the smallersample sizes. We introducea numberof control variablesthat capturedifferent aspects of the business format and thus may relate to the value of the brandor of chain membershipfor franchisees. In addition to sectoral dummy variables mentioned above, these include a measure of chain size (Number of Outlets) and its geographicaldispersion (Number of States Franchisingin), a variable indicating whether the franchisoris headquarteredin a state that restricts contract terminationpossibilities (State Law: Termination),15the amountof initial trainingprovidedto franchisees(Training),measuresof the size of individualoutlets (CapitalRequiredand Number of Employees), and whetherfranchiseesmust have priorexperiencein the business (Experience Required).Summarystatistics for all these are also shown in Table 3. Of course, many of these arejointly determinedalong with the percentagecompany-ownedpolicy of each franchisor--we take that into considerationin interpretingour resultsbelow. a Regression results. We test our hypothesis-that high (desired) brand-namevalue is associatedwith highcompanyownershiptargets- using a Tobitestimatorbecausea fairnumberof observationshave0%companyowned. We also reportresultsbasedon a between-Tobitestimator, where we use firm-specific averages as data points and, as a standardway to deal with the unbalancednatureof our data,weight each observationaccordingto the numberof observations per firm that is used to calculate the firm-specificaverages.In interpretingresults, we focus on the between estimatorfor several reasons. First, we have shown above that firms change their targetedlevel of company ownershipvery little over time. Hence, using the full-stackeddataset can amountto the redundantuse of multiple observationson the same company (see Bertrand, Duflo, and Mullainathan,2004). Second, by using the between estimator,we are showing how brandname value mattersas an explanationof the variationacross firms in the data. Finally, the between regressions have the advantageof "averaging"all our explanatoryvariablesover time, makingour media expenditurevariablein particulara less volatile and more representative measureof long-terminvestmentin brandvalue.In otherwords,withthe betweenestimator,we are examininghow, on average,the percentagecompany-ownedvaries across firmswith something thatapproachesthe accumulatedstock of advertisingexpendituresfor each brandover the period duringwhich we observe it in our data,ratherthanthe flow of such expendituresyear afteryear. 15This is a dummy variableequal to one if the chain is headquarteredin one of the fifteen "good cause" states, namely Arkansas,California,Connecticut,Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana,Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota,Nebraska, New Jersey,Virginia,Washington,and Wisconsin. ? RAND 2005. 142 / THE RAND JOURNALOF ECONOMICS TABLE 4 Percentage Company-Owned Regressions Detailed Sectors AggregateSectors Tobit Between Tobit Between Tobit Between (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) 2.93 3.32 2.40 2.77 (20.27) -.005 (22.10) -.085 (10.07) (18.18) (8.33) -.087 (11.78) (14.39) (6.26 (1.96) (Media per Outlet)3 .0007 .0010 .0006 .0008 (Media per Outlet)4 (11.49) -.000002 (4.89) -000002 (9.62) -.000001 (4.09) -.000002 (1028) .54 (4.39) .52 (8.64) .36 (3.68) (3.37) .45 (4.85) .54 (2.40) .53 (7.35) .53 (10.93) -,004 (4.87) -.003 (1158) (YearsBefore)2 (10.80) -.004 (4.46) .02 (4.69) -.15 (2.08) -.27 (4.91) Outlets(in 00s) (2.70) (Outlets)2 .0001 .0016 (1.99) .0030 .0007 State Law (.27) -4.84 (2.87) -4.25 (2.02) -3.55 (1.25) -3.52 (7.91) No (7.06) No (3.01) No Media per Outlet (Media per Outlet)2 AdvertisingFee per Outlet YearsBefore 1.10 .56 (7.60) (.38) Sector dummies -.106 -.069 -.004 -.03 (.53) (5.98) X2(22) = 653.4 X2(# = 0) N Tobit Tobit Tobit Tobit X2(34) =824.2 7,906 X2(36) =1,074.3 7,906 X2(36) =262.5 1,563 x2(58) =1,727.7 7,906 (5.20) 1.82 (14.62) -.053 (10.07) 0005 (8.25) -.000001 2.21 (6.88) .068 (4.35) .0006 (3.41) -.000001 (7.46) .27 (3.06) (3.73) .60 (1.92) .52 (5.09) -.003 (11.93) (5.51) -.005 (2.08) -.12 (6.46) 38 .45 (.87) .0016 (1.12) -2.90 (2.51) X2(22) = 125.6 X2(58) =388.1 1,563 -.006 03 (.61) -.0002 (.46) -1.38 (2.42) 2(270) = 3,012.8 X2(306) =4,087.1 7,906 .30 (2.92) -.02 (.18) .0001 (.11) -.97 (.87) X2(270) = 619.0 X2(306) =881.4 1,563 Note: t -statisticsin parentheses.Also in regressions:Canadiandummy,yeardummies(for 1980-1997), andfranchisingentry-yeardummies (see footnote 20). The full-sampleTobitshave 2,070 observationscensored at zero, and 5,836 uncensored.The between-Tobitshave 266 observationscensored at zero, and 1,297 uncensored. Our three measures of brandname value-Media per Outlet, AdvertisingFee per Outlet, and Years Before Franchising-have strongpositive independenteffects that are all significant regardlessof whetherwe use a quadraticor quarticfunctionalform for Media (Table4, columns 1 and 2), whetherwe use a Tobitor between-Tobit(column 3) estimator,and whetherwe include more or fewer detailed sectoral dummy variables (columns 4 through 7).16 Not surprisingly, likelihood ratio tests indicate that in combination,our measuresof brandname value also have a significant effect on the proportionof company units in a chain in all our regressions.17To give a sense of theirimportance,we note that Media per Outlet,AdvertisingFee per Outlet,and YearsBefore Franchisingincreasethe R2 of a weighted least-squarebetweenregressionwith the regressorsin column 3 by 13 percentagepoints, while Media per Outletand AdvertisingFee per Outlet by themselves increasethe R2 by 10.5 percentagepoints. Finally,the most economically importanteffects arise from ourMedia variable.In column 1, where Mediaper Outletis included 16If Media is includedinsteadof Media per Outlet,the significanceof Media is essentially the same as for Media Outlet. The AdvertisingFee performsbest in our regressionswhen it is dividedby the numberof outlets, suggesting per thatthis fee has a smallerimpacton company-ownershiprates for large franchisors. 17 For example, for column 3, an LR test of the joint significanceof the coefficients of the Media per Outlet and AdvertisingFee per Outletvariablesgives x2(5) = 174.5, whereasa joint test for the coefficientsof all threeof our brand name variablesgives X2(7) = 216.9, both significantat the .01 level. ? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINE ANDSHAW / 143 in quadraticform, the coefficientvalues imply thatthe effect of Mediaper Outletis positive at all relevantrangesbut peaks at $110,000. When we use a quarticspecification-to reflectthe highly nonlinearnatureof the relationshipthatwe foundin alternative,less parametricspecifications(not reportedhere)- the effect of Mediaper Outletrises, thenplateaus,thenrises againat substantially higher levels.18The Media per Outlet coefficients in the between-Tobitregressionsalso imply a sizable impact:at the mean value of Media per Outlet,a one-standard-deviation increasein these expendituresimplies thatthe percentagecompany-ownedgoes from 15%to 28%.19 We include severalcontrolvariablesin our regressionsin Table4, for surveyyear (dummies for years 1980-1997), vintage (dummies for the year in which the firm began franchising), company size (total numberof outlets), and the State Law dummy variable defined above. In addition,differenttypes of businesses are likely to face differenttypes of customers-customers who respond more or less to brand value-and to be characterizedby different production technology and varyingmonitoringopportunities,all of which would affect the incentive issues that are centralto franchisingand thus should affect the optimalmix of companyand franchised units. To control for these, we include 22 sector dummy variablesin columns 4 and 5 (see the Appendix for a list). For columns 6 and 7, we rely on a more detailed definitionof sectors: for example, in the automotiveservices sector,we separateout firmsin "Detailing,WindowTinting, Rustproofing"from "MufflerShops" from "Oil Change & Lube Shops" from "Transmission Repair"and from "AutoPartsRetailing."The resultis a set of 271 very detailedsectors,many of which containonly a few franchisors. The survey-yeardummies show no systematicpatternand are never significantas a group in our between regressions. The vintage dummies, on the other hand, show a patternof rising companyownershipratesthatis significantwhenwe controlfor sectors.20 Thisresultsuggeststhat morerecententrantsinto franchisingtargethigherpercentagesof companyownershipon average. This effect possibly reflectsthe increasedmaturityof industriesin which franchisorsoperate,and the resultingincreasein the importanceof brandname value for new entrantsin these industries. Turningto the company-sizevariable,the numberof outletshas a weaknegativeeffect on company ownershipin our basic Tobit model in column 2, but this effect is not robust-it disappearsin models that control for sectors. Contraryto Brickley, Dark, and Weisbach(1991), we find that the State Law variablehas a negativeeffect on the targetcompany-ownedpercentageschosen by firms. However,this effect is much smaller when we control for detailed sectors-to the point where it becomes insignificantfor the between-Tobitwith these detailedsectorcontrols.Finally, resultsin Table4 confirmthe importanceof sectoraldifferencesin the settingof targetpercentage company-owned.In columns4 through7, the sectordummyvariableshave a significanteffect as a group(see LR tests in Table4). To give a sense of the importanceof the sectoreffects, if we addthe 22 aggregatesectordummyvariablesin a betweenweightedleast-squareregressionof percentage company-ownedon the variablesin column 3, the R2 rises from .16 to .22. If we insteadintroduce the 270 detailed sector dummies, the R2 rises to .44. We conclude that differences in demand and in productiontechnology,which affect the importanceof the franchisorand franchiseeinput (see, e.g., BhattacharyyaandLafontaine,1995), anddifferencesin monitoringpossibilitiesacross sectors play an importantrole in explainingdifferencesin company-ownershiprates. Are there any variablesthat can account for the differences in ownershiprates across the 18As it is our focal variable,the effect of Media per Outlet was estimatedundernumerousfunctionalforms. We found the quarticsuperiorto all these. For example, undera spline function with seven breakpoints, the patternin the coefficients is still quarticand there is no significantgain from the less-constrainedspline function.We also plotted the predictedvalues of PercentageCompany-Ownedgiven Media per Outlet and found that the combined linear-squaredcubic-quarticeffects imply sensible turningpoints, thoughthe levels overshootsomewhat. 19One possible interpretationof the importantrelationshipbetween Media and PercentageCompany-Ownedis that these are complementaryorganizationalpractices.This is entirely in the spiritof our model. A differentmodel, in which Media is endogenousto PercentageCompany-Owned,cannotbe identifiedwith our data. 20If we use a linear term instead of a series of vintage dummy variables,its coefficient year-started-franchising is .15 (2.5) and .21 (3.3) in columns 5 and 7 of Table 4 respectively. The franchisorentry years in the regressions are segmentedas follows: < 1927 (omitted), 1927-1959, 1960-1964, 1965-1969, 1970-1974, 1975-1979, 1980-1984, 1985-1989,1990-1997. ? RAND 2005. 144 / THE RAND JOURNALOF ECONOMICS TABLE5 PercentageCompany-OwnedRegressionswith AdditionalControlVariables WithAggregate SectorFixedEffects Between To bit Between Tobit (17.53) 2(37) = 1, 157.1 .45 .38 (9.26) X2(37)= 319.6 .44 .27 (12.23) 2(59)= 1,467.0 .42 .31 (6.83) X2(59)= 387.3 .44 (15.30) X2(28)=700.9 .91 (8.49) X2(28)= 233.3 .89 (4.86) X2(37)= 1,078.8 5.68 (2.38) X2(37)= 268.4 7.28 (10.87) X2(50)= 920.4 .54 (2.83) X2(59)= 1,682.1 4.89 (6.37) X2(50)= 303.2 .65 (1.71) X2(59)= 387.6 6.63 (6.46) X2(28)= 664.1 -.36 (14.38) X2(37)= 1,043.7 (3.94) X2(28)= 202.1 -.32 (6.71) X2(37)= 285.7 (5.55) X2(50)= 1,010.5 -.29 (10.97) X2(59)= 1,418.8 (3.51) x2(50)= 281.4 -.28 Tobit Training Required N = 5,693; n = 1, 292 Numberof Employees N = 3,547; n = 1,021 ($M) CapitalRequired N = 7,670; n = 1,534 Experience Required N = 4,073; n = 1,018 Numberof States N = 5,950; n = 1,333 .36 (5.40) 2(59)= 370.9 Note:Eachcell represents a separate withonlythevariableof interestaddedto thoselistedin column2 of Table4 (andsector regression dummiesas appropriate). Thecoefficient(t-statistic) is displayedforthevariablelisted,butthex2 testsareforthewholeregression (all forTobit,n = number / = 0). N = number of observations of observations forthebetween-Tobit model. detailedsectors?Aftercreatinga datasetof samplesize 271 containingsector-specificmeansfor all our variables,we estimatedweighted Tobitregressionsof sectormeans of PercentageCompanyOwned on sectormeansof all our X variables,using the numberof franchisorsper detailedsector as weights. Threevariableswere significantin explainingthe cross-sectordifferencesin company ownership: media expenditures (Media), the geographical dispersion of the chains (Number of States), and whether franchisees have to have prior experience in the business (Experience Required). In sum,we findthatbrandnamevalueis animportantfactorexplainingbothwithin-sectorand cross-sectordifferencesin percentagecompany-owned.21Using the dataon sectormeans, media expendituresexplain a portion of the substantialcross-sector variationin company-ownership rates. Using the entire datasetacross all firms, media expendituresexplain a significantamount of the within-sectorvariationin ownershiprates(as representedby the regressionsin Table4 that controlfor sector fixed effects). Finally,we returnto the regressionsin Table4 andincludea series of additionalvariablesthat also indirectlysupportthe hypothesisthatfirmswith higherbrandnames own a largerpercentage of company units (see Table 5). We add variables one at a time because each is available for a different set of franchisors.Also, because we want to assess how these variablesperformin explaining some of the cross-sectoras well as within-sectordifferencesin percentagecompanyowned, we presentresults with and without aggregatesector dummies,but not with the detailed sector dummy variables.Note that the effects of these variablesshould be interpretedwith care given that severalof them may be jointly determinedwith percentagecompany-owned. The additional variables provide furtherevidence that trade name value is importantin setting ownershiprates. TrainingRequiredhas a significantpositive coefficient-an extra four 21In reachingthis conclusion we have assessed possible selection bias due to samplingresponse.Firms leave our sample either because they are no longer franchising-in which case theirproportionof companyunits will stabilize at 100%if they remainin business-or because of nonresponses.Nearly 50% of the experiencedfranchisorsin our sample dropout of the survey before they leave franchising(see the Appendixfor details). We cannotidentify which firmsdrop out for which reason but have verifiedthat the probabilityof droppingout of our sample is uncorrelatedwith any of our variablesexcept sector (some sectors have higherdropoutrates). ? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINE ANDSHAW / 145 days of training requiredby the franchisoris associated with an increase in target company ownershiprateof almost one percentagepoint. Firmsthatplace a high value on theirbrandname must requiremore trainingto maintainproductquality and to convey the more highly developed businessformatthatmaintainsthe higher-valuebrand.In fact, trainingandmediaexpendituresare highly correlatedin our data(a correlationof .52 for experiencedfirms).Similarly,the resultthat franchisorswith physicallylargerunits (higherCapitalRequiredto purchasea franchiseor higher Number of Employees per outlet) tend to own more units also supportsthe brandname-value argument:franchisorshavemoreat stakewith everyunitin chainswhereunitsarelarge,operations are more complex in such units, and they can generatehigher externalities.Consequently,and consistentwiththepriorempiricalliterature,we findthatfranchisorsprotectthe brandby operating more of these large units directly.22Also, franchisorsthat require franchisees to have prior experiencein the business (ExperienceRequired)maintaina higherrate of companyownership. Neitheroutlet size norpreviousexperiencerequiredhavean effect on percentagecompany-owned that is consistent with simple franchisee incentive arguments,yet both are consistent with our franchisorcontrolargument.However,consistentwith franchiseemonitoringarguments,we also find,as othershave,thatgreatergeographicaldispersion(Numberof States)is associatedwithless companyownership.Note finally thatwhen we include these additionalvariables,the coefficient on media is largely unaffected-it remainsthe dominantfactor explaining company-ownership rates. z Targeting managerial control: a closer look at cross- and within-sector differences. At this point, our regressionshave shown thatthereis substantialcross-sectorvariationin company ownership, and that brand name value explains a significant amount of variationin the rates of company ownershipboth across and within sectors. To make things more concrete, in this subsection we display in detail some of the within- and cross-sector differences in company ownershipand show the relationshipwith brandname value for a subsetof sectors. Figure 6 depicts the extent of within- and cross-sector variationin percentagecompanyowned for establishedfranchisorsin the largest25 of our narrowlydefinedsectors, where sectors are shown in decreasingorderof the proportionof franchisorswith less than5%company-owned assets. This figureconfirmsthe large variationin the "target"percentagecompany-ownedacross these sectors: for example, there is very little company ownershipin printing,real estate, auto repair, tax services, and car rental, but many franchisorshave high percentages of company ownershipin fast food and other restaurants.However,Figure 6 also shows that within each of these very narrowlydefinedsectors,thereremainsconsiderablevariationin the ratesof company ownership. Ourfranchisingdatahave a uniquefeature- they areobtainedfrompublicsources,so we can revealcompanynames.Table6 displaysthe company-specificmeanvalues,calculatedoverall the observationsthatarebeyondthe firstseven yearsin franchising,for ourkey variables(Percentage Company-Owned,Numberof Outlets,andMediaper Outlet)for chainsin fourdetailedsectorscar rentaland threetypes of fast food: chicken, hamburger,and pizza. The companiesare sorted by decreasing average percentagecompany-owned,and the sample is restrictedto those firms with more than 150 outlets (to limit the size of the table). The most striking evidence comes from auto rental companies. The two companies with the largestper-outletmedia values, Hertzand National,targethigh levels of companyownership (66% and 40% respectively). In contrast,a numberof firms targetcompany-ownershipshares below 1% (Econo Car, American International,Holiday, Ugly Duckling, and Rent-a-Wreck). These firms are sizable franchisorsbut much less presentin the media. Moreover,the firms that most people perceive as advertisinghigh-qualityservice (Hertzand National)have much higher levels of company ownershipthan those firms that advertiselow-cost service (such as Budget, Thrifty,and Dollar). Similar conclusions apply to fast-food chicken and pizza-large nationalchains with large 22 See Lafontaineand Slade ? RAND 2005. (1997, 2001) for reviews of the empiricalevidence on this. 146 / THE RAND JOURNALOF ECONOMICS FIGURE 6 THE DISTRIBUTIONOF PERCENTAGE COMPANY-OWNEDFOR THE LARGEST 25 DETAILEDSECTORS * PrintingServices Brokersand Real EstateAgents 50% U 5/-15% AutoRepair: Transmission 15-50% > 50% Maintenance:Janitorial Accounting,Bookkeeping,andTaxServices Food-Snacks: IceCream Rental-Car Carpet,Upholstery,and DraperyCleaning E mployment Agencie-Others NEC FastFood-SubmarineSandwiches Cosmetic-HairCare Auto-Muffler Shops FastFood-Donuts Fast Food-Mexican HotelsandMotels Fast Food-Pizza Fast Food-Sandwiches,Soups, and Salads Food-Retail:ConvenienceStores ItalianRestaurants Fast Food-OthersNEC Restaurants Family FastFood-Chicken Auto-Oil ChangeandLube:Shops Fast Food-Hamburgers TenporaryHelp-OthersNEC 0 20 40 60 80 100 advertisingbudgets tend to own a sizable percentage of their outlets, while those that spend relativelylittle on media, with few exceptions,have small sharesof companyunits. The evidence is least clear in the hamburgersector.But even here, McDonald's and Wendy's targetcompany ownership levels above 25%.23Moreover, most firms (with the exception of Sonic) in the hamburgersector in fact have above-averagelevels of both media and companyownership. In sum, based on our earlierregressionresults, we concluded that thereis a strongpositive relationshipin general between brandvalue and the percentagecompany-owned.A glimpse of the raw data for firms in severalnarrowlydefined sectors reinforcesthis conclusion. 5. Conclusion * Using an extensive longitudinaldataseton franchisingfirms,we have shownthatestablished franchisorsmanage their portfolio of company and franchisedunits to maintaina stable level of corporatecontrol and ownership over time. That is, franchisorswith eight or more years of experienceand at least 15 outlets maintaina constantpercentageof company-ownedoutlets as they gain experience--company ownershipratesdo not rise or fall with experienceor learning,or with success or failure. On average,establishedfranchisorsmaintainabout 15%of their outlets 23Franchisorswith high company-ownershipshareshave especially stablelevels of this over time. But when large corporatechainsbecome involvedin franchising,as Carl'sJuniorandJackin the Box did, the adjustmentperiodprobably goes beyond the first seven years in franchising,so our data most likely do not reflecttheirtargetratesyet. ? RAND 2005. LAFONTAINEAND SHAW / TABLE6 147 Company-LevelData Company Percentage Co-own Number of Outlets Media per Outletin $000 Numberof Observations Car Rentals HertzRent-A-Car 66.1 NationalCar Rental 39.5 Budget Rent A Car ThriftyRent-A-Car Dollar Rent A Car 2.6 8.0 1.8 1,601 951 2,937 699 9.07 4 9.78 4 3.99 17 5.22 17 15 .9 1,501 360 2.04 Rent-A-Wreck .28 11 Ugly Duckling Rent-A-CarSystem Holiday-PaylessRent-A-CarSystem .5 359 .50 8 .3 182 .00 7 AmericanInterational Rent A Car Econo Car .1 1,294 161 .09 11 .00 2 4.02 17 .0 Chicken Church'sChicken 67.3 Grandy's 56.8 1,310 189 15.75 8 Bojangles of America El Polio Loco 48.7 231 7.07 7 38.8 245 35.71 1 KFC 26.1 12.18 16 PioneerTakeOut 24.1 7,976 288 5.35 9 Popeye's Chicken& Biscuits Lee's FamousRecipe CountryChicken 14.6 746 8.95 14 14.6 262 3.47 13 FamousRecipe FriedChicken 5.8 225 1.17 2 Golden Skillet FriedChicken 2.6 159 .96 6 Hamburger KrystalRestaurants 73.9 338 18.51 2 Carl'sJr.Restaurant 68.1 588 16.73 2 Jack in the Box 62.4 996 27.25 2 Whataburger CheckersDrive-InRestaurants 57.2 344 5.50 7 48.2 481 7.99 1 46.2 520 19.37 1 37.0 710 7.79 3 13 Rally's Hamburgers BurgerChef Wendy'sOld FashionedHamburger 31.8 31.2 3,084 192 23.15 BurgerQueen McDonald's 3.56 1 26.5 11,067 33.22 18 BurgerKing Sonic Drive-InRestaurant 14.1 5,366 28.79 14 9.8 1,155 5.30 16 Pizza Hut 49.2 4,549 11.77 7 Domino's Pizza 29.6 10.90 13 Pizza Inn 27.8 2,919 610 2.40 15 Little CaesarsPizza 27.7 14.91 14 Dino's Pizza 13.3 1,777 167 .39 5 6.9 391 5.50 13 1.3 472 5.36 18 .0 237 1.87 7 Pizza Shakey's Pizza Restaurant RoundTablePizza HungryHowie's Pizza & Subs Note: Excludes franchisorswith no media data, those with fewer than 150 units, and Canadianfranchisors. as company-owned, with the other 85% owned by franchisees. However, we have also shown that the average rate of company ownership varies considerably both across and within sectors. Past empirical work had not identified this practice of targeting a fixed rate of company ownership, and had instead concluded that company ownership declines with experience. Company ownership does decline for the first seven years of experience. Since franchisors start ? RAND 2005. 148 / THE RAND JOURNALOF ECONOMICS with 100% company-ownedoutlets, this percentagecan only go down as they add franchised outlets. We find thatby the end of seven years, on average,companieshave achievedtheir target rate of corporateownershipand thereafterthis rate becomes very stable. Given strong evidence that firms targetspecific but differentrates of company ownership, what factorsdeterminefirms' optimaltargetedrates?We show thatbrandname value, measured various ways but most importantlyby the level of media expendituresper outlet, is a primary determinant:franchisorswith high brandname value targethigh rates of company ownership. We arguethathigh ratesof companyownershipare needed in chains with more valuablebrands because franchiseeshave increasedincentivesto free-rideon the brandname as it becomes more valuable.To counterthis effect, franchisorsneed to exert more managerialcontrol, and they do so by owning and operatinga largerpercentageof theiroutlets. Moreover,high ratesof company ownershipgive franchisorsa largerstake in the business and thus higher-poweredincentives to undertakegreaterinvestmentsin advertisingand new productdevelopmentto maintainbrand name value. Hence, both in termsof controllingfranchiseefree-ridingand in termsof franchisor incentives, one expects higher rates of company ownership in franchised systems with more valuablebrands.The evidence we presentsupportsthis implicationfrom the theories. Appendix * Our franchisor-leveldata come from two main sources. For the period from 1980 to 1992 inclusively, the main source of data is Entrepreneurmagazine's"AnnualFranchise500" surveys.The data for a given year are obtainedfrom the following year'ssurvey,as these arepublishedearlyin the year.But in the surveyprovidingthe 1993 data,the magazine covered fewer firms than usual, and in the following surveys, it stopped reportingadvertisingfees. For those reasons, startingwith the 1993 data, we use the Source Book of Franchise Opportunities,now called Bond's Franchise Guide, which by then also had become a yearly publication,as our main source of data.This has the addedadvantagethatthere is more detailed informationon each franchisorin our data from thatpoint onward. As noted in the text, our datasetis a very unbalancedpanel. Of the 4,842 in our data, 1,461 are observedonly once. Only 41 firmsare found throughoutthe 18 years of data.Still the bulk of our 19,162 observations(14,079 of them) come from firms we observe four times or more in the data. The change in the composition of our sample of franchisorsover time is due first and foremost to entry and exit from franchising.About 15%of the franchisorscovered in the survey each year havejust startedfranchising.Also, thereis considerableexit from franchising:about 140 franchisingfirmsstop operationseach year,accordingto the U.S. Departmentof Commerce(1988). TheFranchiseAnnualandBond'sFranchise Guide reporteven higherexit rates. However,our panel is unbalancedalso because we have been fairly conservativein matchingfirmsacross years. If we could not find an exact or very convincing matchin termsof firmname (and address) over time, we kept the firmsseparate.Finally,of course, the dataare unbalancedbecause firmsthatanswerthese surveys one year may decide not to respondthe next year.Firmsaremore likely to respondto the surveyswhen they wish to grow and thus find value in the visibility thatthese listings provide.Thus, our datamay be biased in favorof new or expanding firms. Half of the established franchisorsin our data leave the sample before they stop franchising,where information on whetherthey are still franchisingat any point in time is obtainedby searchingthroughFranchiseAnnual-a very inclusive franchisorlisting-and the Entrepreneursurveysfrom 1993 to 1997 (see Lafontaineand Shaw (1998) for more on this). 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