There are two types of seat in the room: 35 Consumers 14 Insurers Sit one person to each seat. If you are comfortable doing a lot of rudimentary math, sit at an Insurer seat. After all the seats are filled, extra bodies should team up with insurers. Do not team up with consumers. www.antonydavies.org Health Insurance www.antonydavies.org The Players and the Goals In this experiment, there are CONSUMERS and INSURERS. INSURERS sell INSURANCE. CONSUMERS buy FOOD and INSURANCE. www.antonydavies.org 3 Consumers Each consumer gets $25 per day. A unit of food costs $1. The more food the consumer eats, the happier the consumer becomes. www.antonydavies.org 4 Consumers: The Catch Each day, consumers face some risk of badness. If badness befalls the consumer, the consumer loses all of the purchased food for that day. vs. www.antonydavies.org 5 Consumers: The Insurance But, consumers can purchase insurance contracts from the insurance companies. Each contract pays the consumer $1 worth of food if badness befalls the consumer that day. www.antonydavies.org 6 Consumers: Example Suppose you can purchase insurance contracts at a price of $0.50 each (the price of food is always $1 each). You spend $5 on insurance contracts. The remaining $20 is automatically spent on food. 10 insurance contracts 20 food (Consumers may buy fractions of a unit of food.) www.antonydavies.org 7 Consumers: Example If badness does not befall you, then you eat 20 units of food and are very happy. Very Happy !! www.antonydavies.org 8 Consumers: Example If badness does befall you, the 20 units of food disappear, and each insurance contract pays $1. You automatically buy food, eat it, and are somewhat happy. Somewhat Happy www.antonydavies.org 9 Consumers: Example The consumer makes one set of decisions that are repeated for each of the three days. Daily outcomes may change due to randomness. 10 insurance contracts 15 food 10 insurance contracts 15 food 10 insurance contracts 15 food Day 1 Decision Day 2 Day 3 www.antonydavies.org 10 Consumers Each consumer’s goal: Maximize happiness More insurance means More food when badness befalls. Less food when badness does not befall. Too little insurance is bad. Too much insurance is also bad. www.antonydavies.org 11 Insurers Each insurer can write as many insurance contracts as liked and charge any price. www.antonydavies.org 12 Insurers If badness does not befall the consumer, the insurer walks away with the money the consumer paid for the contracts. www.antonydavies.org $ $ $ $ $ $ 13 Insurers If badness does befall the consumer, the insurer pays the consumer $1 for each contract the insurer sold the consumer. www.antonydavies.org 14 Insurers: Example You sell Consumer A six contracts for $0.60 each, and sell Consumer B five contracts for $0.30 each. For each of the three days, you collect $3.60 from Consumer A and $1.50 from Consumer B. Revenue = www.antonydavies.org $3.60 $3.60 $3.60 $1.50 $1.50 $1.50 $15.30 15 Insurers: Example Suppose that badness then befalls Consumer B on two of the days, but Consumer A on none of the days. You owe Consumer B $1 for each contract for the two days. $5.00 www.antonydavies.org Revenue = $15.30 Cost = $10.00 Profit = $5.30 $5.00 16 Insurers: Example Alternatively, suppose that badness befalls Consumer A on all three days, but Consumer B on none of the days. You owe Consumer A $1 for each contract for the three days. $6.00 $6.00 Revenue = $15.30 Cost = $18.00 Loss = $2.70 $6.00 (Insurers do not need cash reserves to cover policies.) www.antonydavies.org 17 Insurers Each insurer’s goal: Maximize expected profit Insurers can ask whatever prices they like for contracts Too low a price is bad. Too high a price is also bad. www.antonydavies.org 18 Badness There are five types of consumer. Each faces a different probability of badness. Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 Type 5 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% www.antonydavies.org 19 The Objects = insurance contract(s) Contracts Sold Buyer Suspected Risk (0.1 to 0.5 ) Total Revenue Expected Cost (contracts x risk ) Expected Profit (revenue - cost ) = sales register www.antonydavies.org 20 Contracts Customer 6 purchases 12 contracts from insurer 4 for $0.40 each. 12 6 $4.80 This contract generates $4.80 daily income for three days for the insurer. www.antonydavies.org 21 You will need to estimate consumers’ risks. Register Contracts Sold 12 Buyer Risk (0.1 to 0.5) 6 0.3 Total Revenue per Day Cost per Day (contracts x risk ) Expected Profit per Day The register is for your own use in tracking your customers. • Be aware of customers who buy a lot of insurance. • At the end of the round, watch to see which of your customers has badness befall them. These are possible signs that the customer is high risk. www.antonydavies.org 22 The Mechanics Insurers Consumers Agent Head Office Prices are per contract. You may buy multiple contracts. www.antonydavies.org 23 The Mechanics Insurers Consumers Agent Head Office www.antonydavies.org 24 The Mechanics Insurers Agent Head Office Consumers Agent: Try to estimate consumers’ risks based on how many contracts they want and the prices they are willing to pay. Head Office: Keep track of risk estimates and expected profits. Advise the agent on setting prices. www.antonydavies.org Consumers: Keep track of how much you have spent. You need to save cash to buy food and you only have $20. 25 Risk Types www.antonydavies.org 26 Consumer #1 Consumer #2 Consumer #3 Consumer #4 Consumer #5 Consumer #6 Consumer #7 Consumer #8 Consumer #9 Consumer #10 Consumer #11 Consumer #12 Consumer #13 Consumer #14 Consumer #15 Consumer #16 Consumer #17 www.antonydavies.org Risk Type 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 Prob. Of Badness 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% Consumer #18 Consumer #19 Consumer #20 Consumer #21 Consumer #22 Consumer #23 Consumer #24 Consumer #25 Consumer #26 Consumer #27 Consumer #28 Consumer #29 Consumer #30 Consumer #31 Consumer #32 Consumer #33 Consumer #34 Consumer #35 Risk Type 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 Prob. Of Badness 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 27 Consumer #1 Consumer #2 Consumer #3 Consumer #4 Consumer #5 Consumer #6 Consumer #7 Consumer #8 Consumer #9 Consumer #10 Consumer #11 Consumer #12 Consumer #13 Consumer #14 Consumer #15 Consumer #16 Consumer #17 www.antonydavies.org Risk Type 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 Prob. Of Badness 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 28 Consumer #18 Consumer #19 Consumer #20 Consumer #21 Consumer #22 Consumer #23 Consumer #24 Consumer #25 Consumer #26 Consumer #27 Consumer #28 Consumer #29 Consumer #30 Consumer #31 Consumer #32 Consumer #33 Consumer #34 Consumer #35 www.antonydavies.org Risk Type 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 5 1 3 2 4 Prob. Of Badness 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 50% 10% 30% 20% 40% 29 Ready to begin… www.antonydavies.org 30 Consumers: You have $25. Buy some insurance (if you want). All remaining money goes to food. Insurers: www.antonydavies.org Sell insurance to maximize expected profit. 31 Accounting Phase Consumers report: • Contracts purchased, cost, and from which insurer(s) www.antonydavies.org 32 Consumer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 www.antonydavies.org Daily Purchases Food Contracts 18.6 19 22.5 10 22.8 10 24.5 5 22.5 10 20.8 15 25.0 0 22.8 10 22.0 10 21.0 20 18.0 20 24.4 3 18.7 18 20.5 15 16.5 20 22.9 10 20.7 18 22.6 8 21.9 13 Badness Day 1 YES no no no no no no no no no YES no no no YES YES no YES no Badness Day 2 YES no YES no no YES no YES no no YES no no no YES YES YES YES no Badness Day 3 YES no no no no no no YES no YES no no no YES YES YES no no YES Total Consumption 57.0 67.5 55.6 73.5 67.5 56.5 75.0 42.8 66.0 62.0 58.0 73.2 56.1 56.0 60.0 30.0 59.4 38.6 56.8 33 Consumer 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 www.antonydavies.org Daily Purchases Food Contracts 23.4 4 22.5 10 22.8 20 21.7 12 22.4 13 23.0 8 23.1 9 24.0 10 24.4 5 24.5 5 11.0 16 19.4 22 23.7 7 21.7 10 23.8 2 23.4 7 Badness Day 1 no YES no YES no YES no no no no YES YES no no no no Badness Badness Day 2 Day 3 no YES no YES no no no no no no YES YES no no no no no YES no no YES YES YES no no no no no no no YES no Maximum Median Minimum Total Consumption 50.8 42.5 68.4 55.4 67.2 24.0 69.2 72.0 53.7 73.5 48.0 63.4 71.1 65.1 71.4 53.8 75.0 58.0 30.0 34 Insurer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 www.antonydavies.org Total Premia $21.45 $13.80 $8.10 $32.55 $27.90 $28.50 $27.75 $28.50 $16.50 $58.35 $23.40 $12.00 $20.10 $16.05 Total Costs $51.00 $36.00 $5.00 $35.00 $10.00 $59.00 $42.00 $40.00 $14.00 $46.00 $61.00 $9.00 $36.00 $34.00 Total Profit ($29.55) ($22.20) $3.10 ($2.45) $17.90 ($30.50) ($14.25) ($11.50) $2.50 $12.35 ($37.60) $3.00 ($15.90) ($17.95) 35 Mandated Insurance People have lobbied the government to require insurance companies to provide at least 50 contracts’ worth of coverage. Insurers now may not sell fewer than 50 contracts to a consumer.* *(unless the consumer already owns at least 50 contracts) www.antonydavies.org 36 Ready to begin… www.antonydavies.org 37 Consumers: You have $25. Buy some insurance (if you want). All remaining money goes to food. Insurers: Sell insurance to maximize expected profit. You may not sell fewer than 50 contracts to a consumer unless that consumer already owns at least 50 contracts. www.antonydavies.org 38 Accounting Phase Consumers report: • Contracts purchased, cost, and from which insurer(s) www.antonydavies.org 39 Consumer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 www.antonydavies.org Daily Purchases Food Contracts 9.5 50 25.0 0 12.5 50 25.0 0 12.3 85 6.8 70 22.5 50 25.0 0 8.0 60 11.5 50 12.0 50 17.5 50 14.0 50 18.0 50 12.5 50 11.0 55 25.0 0 8.3 50 10.5 54 Badness Day 1 YES no no no no no no YES no no YES no no no YES YES no no no Badness Day 2 no no YES no YES YES no YES no no YES no no no no YES no no no Badness Total Day 3 Consumption YES 109.5 no 75.0 no 75.0 no 75.0 no 109.5 no 83.5 no 67.5 YES 0.0 no 24.0 no 34.5 YES 150.0 no 52.5 no 42.0 YES 86.0 YES 112.5 YES 165.0 no 75.0 YES 66.7 no 31.5 40 Consumer 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 www.antonydavies.org Daily Purchases Food Contracts 25.0 0 15.0 50 20.0 50 9.3 50 17.5 50 13.5 50 11.5 50 25.0 0 17.0 50 17.5 50 10.0 50 15.0 50 17.5 50 15.0 50 20.0 50 25.0 0 Badness Day 1 no no no no no YES no no no no no no no YES YES no Badness Badness Total Day 2 Day 3 Consumption no YES 50.0 YES no 80.0 no no 60.0 no no 27.8 YES no 85.0 no no 77.0 YES no 73.0 no no 75.0 no YES 84.0 no no 52.5 no no 30.0 YES no 80.0 no YES 85.0 no YES 115.0 no no 90.0 no YES 50.0 Maximum 165.0 Median 75.0 Minimum 0.0 41 Insurer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 www.antonydavies.org Total Premia $43.50 $81.51 $27.00 $58.50 $57.75 $94.50 $76.50 $82.50 $33.00 $89.25 $18.00 $114.00 $71.25 $96.00 Total Costs $100.00 $120.00 $85.00 $130.00 $60.00 $120.00 $170.00 $100.00 $60.00 $110.00 $20.00 $140.00 $80.00 $25.00 Total Profit ($56.50) ($38.49) ($58.00) ($71.50) ($2.25) ($25.50) ($93.50) ($17.50) ($27.00) ($20.75) ($2.00) ($26.00) ($8.75) $71.00 42 Mandatory Insurance Concerned that some consumers are uninsured, the government requires that all consumers buy at least 50 contracts. www.antonydavies.org 43 Ready to begin… www.antonydavies.org 44 Consumers: You have $25. You must buy at least 50 contracts. All remaining money goes to food. Insurers: www.antonydavies.org Sell insurance to maximize expected profit. 45 Accounting Phase Consumers report: • Contracts purchased, cost, and from which insurer(s) www.antonydavies.org 46 Consumer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 www.antonydavies.org Daily Purchases Food Contracts 7.3 55 22.5 50 13.8 50 22.5 50 9.5 80 3.0 95 17.0 200 1.0 80 19.5 50 15.0 50 11.0 50 15.0 50 15.4 50 16.5 50 11.3 50 16.3 55 15.0 50 7.0 50 13.3 50 Badness Day 1 YES no no no YES no no YES no no YES no no YES no no no no no Badness Day 2 no no YES no YES no no no no no no no no no no no no no no Badness Total Day 3 Consumption YES 117.3 no 67.5 no 77.5 YES 95.0 no 169.5 YES 101.0 no 51.0 no 82.0 YES 89.0 no 45.0 no 72.0 no 45.0 YES 80.8 no 83.0 YES 72.5 YES 87.5 no 45.0 YES 64.0 no 39.8 47 Consumer 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 www.antonydavies.org Daily Purchases Food Contracts 14.0 50 12.5 55 19.0 50 12.5 50 16.0 65 12.5 50 10.0 50 14.5 50 15.0 50 17.5 50 -1.5 100 16.3 50 17.5 50 22.4 60 17.0 50 15.0 50 Badness Day 1 no no YES no no YES no no YES no YES no no YES no no Badness Badness Total Day 2 Day 3 Consumption no no 42.0 YES no 80.0 YES no 119.0 YES YES 112.5 no no 48.0 YES YES 150.0 YES no 70.0 no no 43.5 no no 80.0 no no 52.5 YES YES 300.0 YES YES 116.3 no no 52.5 no YES 142.4 no YES 84.0 no YES 80.0 Maximum 169.5 Median 77.5 Minimum 39.8 48 Insurer 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 www.antonydavies.org Total Premia $36.00 $97.50 $27.45 $99.00 $66.75 $64.50 $138.00 $112.50 $42.00 $135.00 $46.35 $135.00 $62.55 $117.00 Total Costs $110.00 $105.00 $62.00 $250.00 $125.00 $105.00 $210.00 $100.00 $115.00 $95.00 $78.00 $195.00 $250.00 $225.00 Total Profit ($74.00) ($7.50) ($34.55) ($151.00) ($58.25) ($40.50) ($72.00) $12.50 ($73.00) $40.00 ($31.65) ($60.00) ($187.45) ($108.00) 49 Results… www.antonydavies.org 50 Compared to the free market, what do you believe happens to the price of insurance under… 1. Mandated insurance 2. Mandatory insurance www.antonydavies.org 51 Insurance Price per Contract $0.30 $0.25 $0.20 $0.15 $0.10 $0.05 $0.00 Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 52 Compared to the free market, what do you believe happens to the number of uninsured people under… 1. Mandated insurance 2. Mandatory insurance www.antonydavies.org 53 Uninsured 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 54 Consider The price per contract isn’t the consumer’s health care cost. The consumer’s health care cost is the total amount of money the consumer pays for insurance. www.antonydavies.org 55 Compared to the free market, what do you believe happens to the total cost of insurance per insured person under… 1. Mandated insurance 2. Mandatory insurance www.antonydavies.org 56 Insurance Cost per Insured Person $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 57 Insurance Cost per Insured Person $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 58 Compared to the free market, what do you believe happens to food purchases under… 1. Mandated insurance 2. Mandatory insurance www.antonydavies.org 59 Units of Food Purchased 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 60 Units of Food Purchased 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 61 On whom do you believe the insurance companies make or lose money in each scenario? www.antonydavies.org 62 Source of Insurance Profits $100 $50 $0 -$50 Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 Type 5 -$100 -$150 -$200 -$250 -$300 -$350 Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 63 Source of Insurance Profits (all firms per 3 days) $600 $400 $200 $0 ($200) Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 Type 5 ($400) ($600) ($800) Free Market www.antonydavies.org Mandated Mandatory 64 What is the effect of insurance mandates? • Forces people to consume quantities of goods and insurance that they may not want to consume. • Transfers wealth from low risk to high risk people. A better solution is simply to tax the low risk people, give the money to the high risk people and let them buy what they want. (but what if they don’t buy insurance?) www.antonydavies.org 65 But, we have to do something! Look at what has been happening to the cost of health care over time! www.antonydavies.org 66 400.0 Price of medical care has increased 350% since 1980 versus 135% for other consumer prices. 350.0 300.0 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 Price of Medical Care 2006 2003 2004 2005 2001 2002 1998 1999 2000 1996 1997 1993 1994 1995 1991 1992 1988 1989 1990 1986 1987 1983 1984 1985 1981 1982 1980 0.0 Consumer Prices Excluding Medical Care Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.economy.com) www.antonydavies.org 67 But, the cost of health care is only half of the picture. What has been happening to the quality of health care? www.antonydavies.org 68 How do we measure the quality of health care? 1. What is “quality?” 2. How do we account for care didn’t exist in the past? 3. How do we weigh qualities across different types of care? www.antonydavies.org 69 How does one measure the quality of health care? An easy and only-somewhat-sucky measure of the effectiveness of health care is the mortality rate. www.antonydavies.org 70 30.0 From 1960 to 2006, infant mortality fell 70%. 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1960 0.0 Infant Mortality per 1,000 Live Births Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2008, Table 77. www.antonydavies.org 71 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 From 1960 to 2004, deaths due to influenza and pneumonia fell 60%. 10.0 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1968 1966 1964 1962 1960 0.0 (per 100,000 population) Deaths by by Influenza Influenceand andPneumonia Pneumonia (per 100,000 population) Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2008, Table 110. www.antonydavies.org 72 10.0 From 1960 to 2006, the mortality rate fell by 15%. 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.0 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 1960 7.5 Deaths per 1,000 People Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2008, Table 77. www.antonydavies.org 73 What does the increased cost of health care buy us? www.antonydavies.org 74 Millions 3.1 2.9 If the quality of our health care had remained at the level it was in 1967, how many people would have died each year since 1967? 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1.7 Actual Deaths Source: Derived from Statistical Abstract of the United States, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. www.antonydavies.org 75 Millions 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3 600,000 lives saved just in 2010 2.1 1.9 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1.7 Actual Deaths Deaths at 1967 Mortality Rate Source: Derived from Statistical Abstract of the United States, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. www.antonydavies.org 76 What are the claimed problems? • Many people are uninsured. • Many people cannot afford insurance. • Lack of competition makes insurance too expensive. www.antonydavies.org 77 Many people are uninsured www.antonydavies.org 78 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% The percentage of the population that is uninsured has remained rather stable over time. 6% 4% 2% 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 0% Source: Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the U.S.: 2006, US Census Bureau. www.antonydavies.org 79 How many Americans are uninsured? Uninsured (15% of the population) Insured Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census Bureau www.antonydavies.org 80 How many Americans are uninsured? Uninsured (12% of the population) Medicaid or SCHIP Eligible Claim to be Uninsured but Aren't Insured Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census Bureau www.antonydavies.org 81 How many Americans are uninsured? Uninsured Less Than 4 Months 18 to 34 and Childless Uninsured (4% of the population) Medicaid or SCHIP Eligible Claim to be Uninsured but Aren't If we count one-third of this group, the uninsured are between 6% and 8% of the population depending on whether or not we count this group. Insured Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census Bureau www.antonydavies.org 82 Many people cannot afford insurance www.antonydavies.org 83 $16,000 The average cost for individual coverage is $3,300. The average cost for family coverage (adjusted to the mean family size) is $6,900. $14,000 Annual Premium $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 New York Massachusetts Rhode Island Maine Connecticut New Hampshire Montana Nevada Virginia Georgia Oklahoma Texas South Carolina Florida Tennessee Minnesota Arizona Nebraska California Indiana Pennsylvania Illinois Colorado Kentucky Missouri Ohio Kansas North Carolina Iowa $0 Single Family (adjusted for differing family sizes) Source: Individual Health Insurance 2009, America’s Health Insurance Plans Center for Policy Research www.antonydavies.org 84 $16,000 Community Rating Cannot charge based on health history $14,000 Annual Premium $12,000 Guaranteed Issue May not deny coverage $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 New York Massachusetts Rhode Island Maine Connecticut New Hampshire Montana Nevada Virginia Georgia Oklahoma Texas South Carolina Florida Tennessee Minnesota Arizona Nebraska California Indiana Pennsylvania Illinois Colorado Kentucky Missouri Ohio Kansas North Carolina Iowa $0 Single Family (adjusted for differing family sizes) Source: Individual Health Insurance 2009, America’s Health Insurance Plans Center for Policy Research www.antonydavies.org 85 $14,000 Annual premia are significantly higher for low deductible policies. Annual Premium (family policies) $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $0 $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $5,000 $10,000 Deductible Source: Individual Health Insurance 2009, America’s Health Insurance Plans Center for Policy Research www.antonydavies.org 86 Annual Costs for Average American Family $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 Average annual expenditures (per household) compared to the cost of family health insurance. $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 Source: Consumer Expenditures, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2009. www.antonydavies.org 87 Lack of competition makes insurance expensive. www.antonydavies.org 88 The law makes it difficult for insurance companies to operate across state lines. Individual insurance is subject to mandates that employer-provided insurance is not. Employer-provided insurance benefits are taxfree, which causes an increase in demand for insurance and health services. www.antonydavies.org 89 Can one place a value on a human life? (and, if yes, is it wrong to do so?) Yes, it is possible. No, it is not wrong to do so. Almost everyone does it almost every day. www.antonydavies.org 90 Seat Belts on School Buses It costs (on average) $2.5 million for every child’s life saved. Should we install seatbelts on school buses? www.antonydavies.org Spend $2.5 million on: # Lives Saved Annually Seatbelts on school buses 1 Airbags in cars 3 Heart transplants 13 Malaria prevention 975 If our concern is saving lives, then we should not spend money for seatbelts on school buses because every 1 life saved will be offset by 975 lives we might otherwise have saved. www.antonydavies.org
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