Off- Farm Labor Supply of Farm- Families in Rural Georgia Dr. Ayal Kimhi Ofir Hoyman Tbilisi, 2005 Research Goals Estimating the factors affecting the labor supply of Georgian family members off- farm by focusing on: 1. Personal characteristics. 2. Farm characteristics. 3. Having official document owning the land. 4. Financial risk in farm work. 5. Efficiency in managing the farm. 6. Wage from off- farm- work. 7. Other incomes (not from work). The Conceptual Model • The family members decide simultaneously on consumption and leisure together with farm production and time allocation to farm and off- farm for each family member. • The farm family maximizes utility under time constraint; budget constraint and a farm production function. • The internal solution: each family member equates his marginal value of time in farm work, leisure and offfarm work. • A member of the farm family will not participate in the local labor market if the wage he could earn is lower than the marginal value of his work on the farm at zero off- farm work hours. The Empirical Model • The assumption is that wage and offfarm labor supply are endogenous variables that are determined simultaneously. • The estimation is a four-step procedure and based on the Sample Selection Model. (A) Estimating the participation equation and deriving predicted Inverse Mill’s Ratio; (B) Estimating the reduced-form labor supply equation and deriving predicted off- farm work days; (C) Estimating the wage equation after substituting predicted off-farm work days and deriving predicted wage; (D) Estimating the structural labor supply function after substituting predicted wage. Data • The data used were collected by the Individual Farm Owners’ Survey carried out on 2003 in four rural districts of Georgia: Dusheti, Mtskheta, Sagarejo, and Gardabani. • The survey included 2,520 individual farms; 630 farms from each district. • There are 7,090 individuals in the sample older than 14. • 1,577 (22%) individuals are working off the farm. Devision of average rural family income by sources public & private transfers 21.8% farm work 43% non- farm business 8.7% off- farm work 26.5% Distribution of Days Working Off- Farm 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 Work days off- farm 270 300 330 360 More Descriptive Statistics- Averages of Main Variables Participation Equation Participation Equation Depend. var.: work off- farm: yes/ no Depend. var.: work off- farm: yes/ no Independ. Var. all obs. males females Independ. Var. all obs. males females Participation in offfarm work (binary) 0.222 0.275 Age 44.85 44.37 Females (dummy) Number of children up to age 6 Number of children in ages 7- 14 Number of persons from age 15 and up 0.512 Number of obs.: Completed technical college (dummy) Completed/ uncompleted 45.33 higher education (dummy) Number of plots 0.176 0.201 0.191 0.210 0.197 0.200 0.194 2.562 2.576 2.549 0.296 0.282 0.304 Total land size (hectare) 1.679 1.623 1.743 0.511 0.481 0.539 Weighted land quality (1-5) 3.159 3.175 3.151 3.627 3.647 Technical efficiency 3.601 in farm production (0-1) 0.216 0.222 0.214 7,090 3,299 3,627 Number of obs.: 7,090 3,299 3,627 Results 10% 5% Depend. var.: Independ. Var. Predicted work days off- farm Participation Equation Wage Equation Labor Supply equation work off- farm: yes/ no ln(w) ln(work days off- farm) all obs. males females all obs. males females all obs. males females -0.003 -0.003 -0.004 Predicted ln(day wage) -0.444 -0.034 -0.046 -0.038 -0.104 0.121 0.269 0.008 0.106 0.222 0.035 0.138 0.318 -0.011 Number of children 7-14 Number of individuals 15+ 0.013 0.033 -0.002 -0.020 -0.029 -0.005 0.003 0.006 -0.0002 0.013 -0.006 0.027 Age 0.027 0.029 -0.005 -0.004 -0.036 Females (dummy) Technical college (dummy) Higher education (dummy) Number of children 0-6 2 (Age) Number of obs.: 0.024 -0.431 -0.141 -0.006 -0.121 -0.277 -0.651 -0.216 -0.229 -0.003 -0.003 -0.0003 -0.0003 -0.0003 (45.4) (44.5) (46.8) 7,090 3,299 3,627 -0.278 -0.014 -0.035 0.0003 (58.3) 1,465 841 594 0.0003 (60) 1,577 907 638 10% 5% Depend. var.: Independ. Var. Participation Equation Labor Supply equation work off- farm: yes/ no ln(work days off farm) all obs. males females all obs. males females Number of plots -0.018 0.003 0.042 Total land size (hectare) 0.00001 -0.001 -0.0003 -0.0001 0.002 -0.001 Weighted land quality (1-5) -0.015 -0.030 -0.011 0.011 0.0002 0.017 Land document (dummy) -0.024 -0.049 0.003 -0.014 0.038 -0.049 Ln(1+public transfers) Ln(1+private transfers) -0.002 -0.010 -0.050 -0.007 -0.019 -0.201 0.003 -0.003 0.015 -0.014 -0.006 -0.071 0.001 0.006 -0.038 -0.030 -0.012 0.076 0.470 0.369 0.332 -1.049 -1.177 -1.146 -0.229 -0.308 -0.145 0.352 0.479 0.349 7,090 3,299 1,577 907 C.V. for production quantities (0-1) C.V. for production prices (0-1) Technical efficiency in farm production (0-1) Number of obs.: -0.029 -0.011 3,627 0.014 638 Conclusions • Farmers use the off-farm labor market to supplement farm income. • Off-farm income compensates farmers for the income risk they face in farming. • The results indicate that off-farm labor market is in the early stages of development: the returns to human capital seem to be nonexistent relative to the returns to physical strength. wages in part-time (temporary or seasonal) off-farm work surpass the wages in full-time jobs. the opportunities for females are much lower than those for males. • The off-farm labor decisions are sensitive to the situation in the land market: possession of a land document decreases off-farm labor participation, indicating that a land document increases farmers’ confidence in their ability to make a living out of farming and therefore reduce their tendency to seek alternative income sources. the farm efficiency has a negative effect on the probability of working off the farm, but has a positive effect on days of work off the farm. This could indicate that farmers have difficulties expanding their farming operation. the difficulties to expand farm operation can be a consequence of constraints on land transactions, credit rationing, or other constraints. Thank you for listening Depend. var.: Independ. Var. Participation in off- farm work (binary) Participation Equation Wage Equation Labor Supply equation work off- farm: yes/ no ln(w) ln(work days off- farm) all obs. males females all obs. males females all obs. males females 0.222 0.275 0.176 Ln(work days off- farm) Ln(day wage) Age 44.85 44.37 Females (dummy) Completed technical college (dummy) 0.512 45.33 1.109 1.321 0.808 43.58 43.48 43.68 0.405 5.208 5.202 5.233 43.18 42.99 43.44 0.405 0.201 0.191 0.210 0.260 0.234 0.300 Completed/ uncompleted higher education (dummy) 0.197 0.200 0.194 0.367 0.305 0.457 Number of obs.: 7,090 3,299 3,627 1,465 841 594 1,577 907 638 Depend. var.: Independ. Var. Participation Equation Labor Supply equation work off- farm: yes/ no ln(work days off farm) all obs. males females all obs. males females Number of children up to age 6 0.296 0.282 0.304 0.323 0.344 0.292 Number of children in ages 7- 14 0.511 0.481 0.539 0.558 0.564 0.544 Number of persons from age 15 and up 3.627 3.647 3.601 3.661 3.660 3.665 Number of plots 2.562 2.576 2.549 2.673 2.622 2.741 Total land size (hectare) 1.679 1.623 1.743 2.261 1.781 2.990 Weighted land quality (1-5) Technical efficiency in farm production (0-1) 3.159 3.175 3.151 3.095 3.125 3.057 0.216 0.222 0.214 0.180 0.195 0.162 Number of obs.: 7,090 3,299 3,627 1,577 907 638
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