Literature Part2 報告者:陳政岳 1 Literature • Black and Cox (1976) • Leland (1994) • Leland and Toft (1996) 2 Black and Cox Approach • Black and Cox simplicity assume that it is a consol bond, which pays continuously coupon rate c. Assume that r > 0 and the payout rate is equal to zero in dV t r dt V dZ t * Vt v :a critical level of the value of the firm, below which no more equity can be sold. v :fixed bankruptcy level. *:the optimal default time, * inf t 0:Vt v* inf t 0:Vt v*. 3 Black and Cox Approach (cont.) u u • By ODE for the pricing function V of a consol bond: 1 2 2 V uVV rVuV c ru 0 • If vc 2 r v v c 1 c c u Vt v v Vt 1 v r r r Vt Vt 2r 2 4 Black and Cox Approach (cont.) • It is the interest of the stockholders to select the bankruptcy level in such a way that the value of the debt, D Vt u Vt • D Vt is minimized. • the value of the firm’s equity is maximized. c v v E Vt Vt D Vt Vt 1 v Vt r Vt v c Vt 1 qt v qt , qt r Vt 5 Black and Cox Approach (cont.) • Solving dD V dv 0 V v c c v r 1 r 2 * 2 v c v c 1 Dc t 1 v r Vt r Vt Vt c 1 c c r Vt r r 2 2 c r 2 2 c v v r c 1 r Vt c r 2 2 1 6 Leland’s Approach • 基本假設如 Black and Cox Approach. • 增加了Bankruptcy costs 和 Tax benefits. 7 Leland’s Approach • VB:the level of asset value which bankruptcy is declared. • VB:bankruptcy cost, 0 . 1 • By solving ODE, we get 2r C C V D V 1 VB (7) 2 r V BC V VB VB r VB 2r 2 (9) 8 Leland’s Approach • • • C CV TB V r r VB 2r 2 (11) v V V TB V BC V 2r 2 2 r 2 V C V VB V 1 r VB VB (12) E V v V D V C C V V 1 1 VB r r VB (13) 2 r 2 9 Leland’s Approach (cont.) • Unprotected debt: Assumed that the bankruptcy occurs, the value of the equity may hit zero. Equity can choose any barrier. • Protected debt: Assumed that the bankruptcy occurs, the value of the VB is VB D0 • Protected versus Unprotected Debt: Potential Agency Problems 10 Unprotected Debt • The bankruptcy occurs whenever the value of the equity hits barrier, no matter what is the chosen level of the default triggering barrier. • It is the interest of the stockholders to select the bankruptcy level in such a way that the value of the debt is minimized, and thus the value of the firm’s equity is maximized. dE 0. • Assumed V VB is such that dV V V C Solving v* 1 2 (14) B r 2 11 Unprotected Debt (cont.) 1 C 1 C X 1 X r 2 2 Observe that the asset value VB r • a) is proportional to the coupon C; • b) is independent of the current asset value, V; • c) decreases as the corporate tax rate, , increases; • d) is independent of bankruptcy costs, ; • e) decreases as the risk-free interest rate, r, rises; • f) decreases with increases in the riskiness of the firm, 2 . 12 Unprotected Debt (cont.) • The maximal value of the firm’s equality is X C C * E Vt V 1 1 m (17) r V • The minimal value of the firm’s debt equals X C C * (15). D Vt 1 k r V X m 1 X / r 1 X 1 X h 1 X 1 X / m k 1 X 1 1 X m 2r X 2 13 Unprotected Debt (cont.) • A. The Comparative Statics of Debt Value (D(V)) • B. Yield Spreads: The risk Structure of Interest Rates • C. The Comparative Statics of Firm Value (v(V)) and Equity Value (E(V)) 14 A. The Comparative Statics of Debt Value (D(V)): • D(V) is eventually decreasing as the coupon rises, implies that debt value reaches a maximum, Dmax V , for a finite coupon, Cmax V . C C • Differentiating equation(15) D V r 1 V k with respect to C, setting the resulting equation equal to zero and solving for C: 1/ X Cmax V V 1 X k (19). • Substituting (19) into equation (15), X * t V Dmax V r 1 X1 1 Xk 1 X X 15 A. The Comparative Statics of Debt Value (D(V)): (cont.) • The debt capacity of a firm is proportional to asset value, V, and falls with increases 2 in firm risk, , and bankruptcy costs, . Debt capacity rises with increase in the corporate tax rate, , and the risk-free rate, r. X 2 V 2r Dmax V 2 k 2 r r 2r 1 2 2 1 2r m 1 X / r 1 X 1 X k 1 X 1 1 X m 16 A. The Comparative Statics of Debt Value (D(V)): (cont.) 17 B. Yield Spreads: The risk Structure of Interest Rates Junk bond yields spreads may actually decline when firm riskiness increases. Investment-grade debt yield spreads increase when18 firm risk risk rise. C. The Comparative Statics of Firm Value (v(V)) and Equity Value (E(V)) 19 Optimal Leverage with Unprotected Debt • Consider the coupon rate, C, which maximizes the total value, v, of the firm. • Differentiation equation (16) with respect to C, setting the derivative equal to zero and 1 * solving for the optimal couponC V V 1 X h X . 1 1 V X D V 1 X h 1 k 1 X h r 1 X * X v V V 1 1 X h 1 X r * R* V r 1 X h 1 X h k m V V V h * B 1 X m 1 X / r 1 X X 1 X h 1 X 1 X / m k 1 X 1 1 X m X 2r 2 20 Optimal Leverage with Unprotected Debt (cont.) • The optimal leverage rations of riskier firms will always be less than those of less risky firms, as can be seen by observing the maximal firm values in Figure7. • The optimal coupon is a U-shaped function of firm riskiness, as illustrated in Figure8. 21 Optimal Leverage with Unprotected Debt (cont.) 22 Protected Debt • P : outstanding debt when bankruptcy is triggered by the firm’s assets falling beneath the principal value of debt • D0 : the principal coincides with the market value of the debt 2r C C V • From equation (7) D V r 1 VB r VB with VB D0 , we can write the value of protected debt as a function of the value of assets , V0 : D V C 1 D V C V 2 2 r 2 0 0 0 r 0 0 r D V0 23 Protected Debt (cont.) • Figures 10 and 11 illustrate the behavior of protected debt value as the coupon and leverage change. • Increased firm risk or a higher risk-free interest rate always lowers debt value. 24 Protected Debt (cont.) 25 Protected Debt (cont.) When there are no bankruptcy costs( 0 ) • a) Protected debt is riskless and pays the risk-free rate r. • b) For any C, the value of the tax shield with protected debt is less than the tax shield with unprotected debt. • c) For any C, the bankruptcy-triggering value of assets, VB , for protected debt excess the VB for unprotected debt. C VB P D0 V0 ( protected ) r VB 1 C r 1 C (unprotected ) X 26 1 X r 2 2 Protected Debt (cont.) • When bankruptcy costs are zero. Asset value falling to the principal value, then bankruptcy is declared and, debtholders receive their full principal value. C VB P D0 V0 r • When bankruptcy costs exist. For a given coupon, protected debt have a lesser value than unprotected debt. 27 Optimal Leverage with Protected Debt (cont.) 28 Optimal Leverage with Protected Debt • Using a simple procedure to find the * C coupon, , that maximizes the total value, v, of the firm with protected debt. Figure 13, compared with Figure 7 illustrate that maximal firm value occurs at lower leverage. 29 Optimal Leverage with Protected Debt (cont.) 30 Optimal Leverage with Protected Debt (cont.) • a) Optimal leverage for protected debt is substantially less than for unprotected debt. • b) The interest rate paid at the optimum leverage is less for protected debt, even when bankruptcy costs are positive. • c) The maximum value of the firm is less when protected debt is used. • d) The maximal benefits of unprotected over protected debt increase as: -Corporate taxes increase -Interest rates are higher -Bankruptcy costs are lower 31 Protected versus Unprotected Debt: Potential Agency Problems 32 Leland and Toft Approach • As in Merton (1974), Black and Cox (1976), and Brennan and Schwartz (1978), the firm asset value V follow a continuous diffusion process dV V , t dt dz V where V , t is the total expected rate of return on asset value V; is the constant fraction of value paid out to security holders; and dz is the increment of a standard Brownian motion. 34 Leland and Toft Approach • Endogenous bankruptcy with a stationary Debt Structure • Applications 35 Endogenous bankruptcy with a stationary Debt Structure • A. A Stationary Debt Structure • B. Bankruptcy: determining the Bankruptcy -Triggering Asset Level VB 36 A. A Stationary Debt Structure • Consider firm continuously sell a constant amount of new debt with maturity of T years and it will redeem at par upon maturity. • The firm remains solvent, at any time s the total outstanding debt principal have a uniform distribution in the interval (s,s+T) 37 A. A Stationary Debt Structure (cont.) P • p : new bond principal issued rate, and T P is the total principal value of all outstanding bonds. C • c : coupon rate, and C is total coupon T paid. • Total debt payments are time-independent P and equal to C . T 38 A. A Stationary Debt Structure (cont.) • D V ;VB , T : the total value of debt, when debt of maturity T is issued. • t , 1 : bond holders receive the T remaining value. T D V ;VB , t d V ;VB , t dt t 0 C C 1 e rT C P I T 1 VB J T r r rT r (7) T 1 where I T e rt F t dt T 0 1 T 39 J (T ) G t dt T 0 A. A Stationary Debt Structure (cont.) • v: the total market value of the firm, and following Leland (1994) x x V V C 1 VB (8) v V ;VB V r VB VB E V ;VB , T v V ;VB D V ;VB , T (9) 其中x = a + z, r a 2 2 2 ,z a 2 2 12 2r 2 2 40 B. Bankruptcy: determining the Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level VB • Solving the equation E V ;VB , T , V we can solve equation (10) for Cx C A AP B r rT r rT VB 1 x 1 B 0 V VB (11) 2 2e n z T n a T z a T T A 2ae rT N a T 2 zN z T rT 2 B 2z 2 z T 2 1 N z T n z T z a z 2T T 41 B. Bankruptcy: determining the Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level VB (cont.) 1 Cx • When T , it can be shown that VB 1 x r as Lealnd(1994) • VB depend on the maturity of debt. • In contrast, the models of the VB with flowbased bankruptcy (Kim, Ramaswamy, and Sundaresan (1993) and Ross(1994)) or with a positive net worth covenant (Longstaff and Schwartz (1995)) is independent of debt maturity. 42 , B. Bankruptcy: determining the Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level VB (cont.) dE V V B P 1 VB 1 C VB dt T T 1 C p dt d VB ;VB , T VB dt (12) • The l.h.s. of equation (12) is the change in the equity value at V VB . • The r.h.s. is the additional cash flow required from equity holders for current debt service. • Tax deductibility is lost whenever V falls below some value VT , where VT VB 43 B. Bankruptcy: determining the Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level VB (cont.) C A AP B r rT rT VB (13) C 1 x 1 B rVT 2 2e n z T n a T z a T T A 2ae rT N a T 2 zN z T rT 2 B 2z 2 z T 2 1 n z T z a 2 N z T z T T 44 B. Bankruptcy: determining the Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level VB (cont.) • When VT VB ,VB in equation (13) will exceed VB in equation (11). 45 Applications • Considered the loss of tax deductibility and cash flow (coupon). • When V VT , VT C. • When VB V VT ,equity holders willingly contribute to the firm to avoid default, and a dilution of their holders resulting from stock issuance. 46 Ⅲ. Applications (cont.) A. Optimal Leverage B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity C. The Term Structure of Credit Spreads 47 A. Optimal Leverage 48 A. Optimal Leverage (cont.) • Barclay and Smith (1995) find a positive correlation between leverage and debt maturity. • For any maturity, the optimal leverage ratio falls, when firm risk and bankruptcy costs increase. 49 A. Optimal Leverage (cont.) 50 B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity 51 B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity (cont.) 52 B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity (cont.) • Debt capacity falls, as debt maturity less, volatility or bankruptcy cost rise. • Low and intermediate leverages show “humped” market value: newly-issued bonds and about-to-be-redeemed bonds sell at par; bonds with remaining maturity leverage between 0 and T sell above par. • The hump is more pronounced for greater leverage levels and longer maturities. 53 C. The Term Structure of Credit Spreads 55 C. The Term Structure of Credit Spreads (cont.) • Credit spreads : high leverage levels, spreads are high, but decrease as issuance maturity T increases beyond 1 year. 56
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