Literature part2-Black and Cox (1976), Leland(1994)

Literature Part2
報告者:陳政岳
1
Literature
• Black and Cox (1976)
• Leland (1994)
• Leland and Toft (1996)
2
Black and Cox Approach
• Black and Cox simplicity assume that it is a consol
bond, which pays continuously coupon rate c.
Assume that r > 0 and the payout rate  is equal to
zero in dV
t
  r    dt   V dZ t
*
Vt
v :a critical level of the value of the firm, below
which no more equity can be sold.
v :fixed bankruptcy level.
 *:the optimal default time,
 *  inf t  0:Vt  v*  inf t  0:Vt  v*.
3
Black and Cox Approach (cont.)


u

u
• By ODE for the pricing function
V 
of a consol bond:
1 2 2 


V  uVV  rVuV  c  ru  0
• If
vc
2
r




v 
v 
c   1 c    c

u Vt     v  v  Vt  1      v  
r 
r 
r   Vt  
 Vt 


2r
 2

4
Black and Cox Approach (cont.)
• It is the interest of the stockholders to select
the bankruptcy level in such a way that the
value of the debt, D Vt   u Vt 
• D Vt  is minimized.
• the value of the firm’s equity is maximized.

 c   v  
v  
E Vt   Vt  D Vt   Vt   1      v   
Vt  
 r   Vt  




v 
c
 Vt  1  qt   v  qt , qt   
r
 Vt 
5
Black and Cox Approach (cont.)
• Solving
dD V 
dv
0
V v
c 
c
 v 

r  1 r   2
*

2
v 
c  v  
c 1
Dc  t   1      v     
r   Vt  
r Vt
 Vt 



c 1 c
c
  

r Vt  r r   2
2


c

 r  2
2

c
 

v

v
r



 c 1

r Vt


c

 r  2
2

 1




6
Leland’s Approach
• 基本假設如 Black and Cox Approach.
• 增加了Bankruptcy costs 和 Tax benefits.
7
Leland’s Approach
• VB:the level of asset value which bankruptcy is
declared.
• VB:bankruptcy cost, 0   . 1
• By solving ODE, we get 2r
C 
C  V  
D V    1   VB    (7)

2
r

V 
BC V   VB  
 VB 
r   VB 
 2r
2
(9)
8
Leland’s Approach
•
•
•
C
CV 
TB V         
r
r  VB 
 2r
2
(11)
v V   V  TB V   BC V 
2r 2
  2 r  2 
V  
C
V
  VB  
 V   1  
r   VB 

 VB 


(12)
E V   v V   D V 
C 
C
 V 
 V  1     1     VB   
r 
r
  VB 
(13)
2 r
2
9
Leland’s Approach (cont.)
• Unprotected debt:
Assumed that the bankruptcy occurs, the value
of the equity may hit zero.
Equity can choose any barrier.
• Protected debt:
Assumed that the bankruptcy occurs, the value
of the VB is VB  D0
• Protected versus Unprotected Debt: Potential
Agency Problems
10
Unprotected Debt
• The bankruptcy occurs whenever the value of
the equity hits barrier, no matter what is the
chosen level of the default triggering barrier.
• It is the interest of the stockholders to select the
bankruptcy level in such a way that the value of
the debt is minimized, and thus the value of the
firm’s equity is maximized.
dE
 0.
• Assumed V  VB is such that dV
V V
C
Solving v*  1     2 (14)
B
r
2
11
Unprotected Debt (cont.)
1   C


1   C

X

1 X r   2
2
Observe that the asset value VB
r
• a) is proportional to the coupon C;
• b) is independent of the current asset value, V;
• c) decreases as the corporate tax rate,  ,
increases;
• d) is independent of bankruptcy costs, ;
• e) decreases as the risk-free interest rate, r, rises;
• f) decreases with increases in the riskiness of
the firm,  2 .
12
Unprotected Debt (cont.)
• The maximal value of
the firm’s equality is
X

C  C 
*
E Vt   V  1    1    m 
(17)
r   V 

• The minimal value of the firm’s debt equals
X

C
C 
*
(15).
D Vt   1    k 
r   V  
X
m  1    X / r 1  X  
1  X 
h  1  X   1    X /   m
k  1  X  1   1    X  m
2r
X 2

13
Unprotected Debt (cont.)
• A. The Comparative Statics of Debt Value
(D(V))
• B. Yield Spreads: The risk Structure of
Interest Rates
• C. The Comparative Statics of Firm Value
(v(V)) and Equity Value (E(V))
14
A. The Comparative Statics of Debt
Value (D(V)):
• D(V) is eventually decreasing as the coupon
rises, implies that debt value reaches a
maximum, Dmax V  , for a finite coupon, Cmax V  .

C  C
• Differentiating equation(15) D V   r 1   V  k 


with respect to C, setting the resulting
equation equal to zero and solving for C:
1/ X
Cmax V   V 1  X  k  (19).
• Substituting (19) into equation (15),
X
*
t
V
Dmax V  
r
 1
  X1
1  
 Xk 1  X   X  


15
A. The Comparative Statics of Debt
Value (D(V)): (cont.)
• The debt capacity of a firm is proportional
to asset value, V, and falls with increases
2
in firm risk, , and bankruptcy costs,  .
Debt capacity rises with increase in the
corporate tax rate,  , and the risk-free rate,
r.

X

2

V 2r
Dmax V    2 k 2 r
r 

 2r 
1  2 
  
2

1 
 2r 




m  1    X / r 1  X  
1  X 
k  1  X  1   1    X  m
16
A. The Comparative Statics of Debt
Value (D(V)): (cont.)
17
B. Yield Spreads: The risk Structure
of Interest Rates
Junk bond yields spreads may actually decline
when firm riskiness increases.
Investment-grade debt yield spreads increase when18
firm risk risk rise.
C. The Comparative Statics of Firm
Value (v(V)) and Equity Value (E(V))
19
Optimal Leverage with Unprotected
Debt
• Consider the coupon rate, C, which
maximizes the total value, v, of the firm.
• Differentiation equation (16) with respect to
C, setting the derivative equal to zero and 1

*
solving for the optimal couponC V   V 1  X  h X .

1

1
V
X




D V  
1

X
h
1

k
1

X
h







r 
1


 
 X 
*
X

v V   V 1    
1

X
h




1  X  
r





*
R* V  
r
1  X  h 

1  X  h  k
m
V V   V 

 h 
*
B
1
X

m  1    X / r 1  X  
X
1  X 
h  1  X   1    X /   m
k  1  X  1   1    X  m
X
2r
2
20
Optimal Leverage with Unprotected
Debt (cont.)
• The optimal leverage rations of riskier
firms will always be less than those of less
risky firms, as can be seen by observing
the maximal firm values in Figure7.
• The optimal coupon is a U-shaped
function of firm riskiness, as illustrated in
Figure8.
21
Optimal Leverage with Unprotected
Debt (cont.)
22
Protected Debt
• P : outstanding debt when bankruptcy is
triggered by the firm’s assets falling
beneath the principal value of debt
• D0 : the principal coincides with the market
value of the debt
2r
C 
C  V  
• From equation (7) D V   r  1   VB  r   VB 
with VB  D0 , we can write the value of
protected debt as a function of the value of
assets , V0 : D V   C  1    D V   C   V 
2
2 r
2
0
0
0
r

0
0
r   D V0  
23
Protected Debt (cont.)
• Figures 10 and 11 illustrate the behavior of
protected debt value as the coupon and
leverage change.
• Increased firm risk or a higher risk-free
interest rate always lowers debt value.
24
Protected Debt (cont.)
25
Protected Debt (cont.)
When there are no bankruptcy costs(   0 )
• a) Protected debt is riskless and pays the
risk-free rate r.
• b) For any C, the value of the tax shield
with protected debt is less than the tax
shield with unprotected debt.
• c) For any C, the bankruptcy-triggering
value of assets, VB , for protected debt
excess the VB for unprotected debt.
C
VB  P  D0 V0   ( protected )
r
VB 
1    C
r
1    C (unprotected )
X

26
1 X r   2
2
Protected Debt (cont.)
• When bankruptcy costs are zero. Asset
value falling to the principal value, then
bankruptcy is declared and, debtholders
receive their full principal value.
C
VB  P  D0 V0  
r
• When bankruptcy costs exist. For a given
coupon, protected debt have a lesser
value than unprotected debt.
27
Optimal Leverage with Protected
Debt (cont.)
28
Optimal Leverage with Protected
Debt
• Using a simple procedure to find the
*
C
coupon, , that maximizes the total value,
v, of the firm with protected debt. Figure
13, compared with Figure 7 illustrate that
maximal firm value occurs at lower
leverage.
29
Optimal Leverage with Protected
Debt (cont.)
30
Optimal Leverage with Protected
Debt (cont.)
• a) Optimal leverage for protected debt is
substantially less than for unprotected debt.
• b) The interest rate paid at the optimum
leverage is less for protected debt, even
when bankruptcy costs are positive.
• c) The maximum value of the firm is less when
protected debt is used.
• d) The maximal benefits of unprotected over
protected debt increase as:
-Corporate taxes increase
-Interest rates are higher
-Bankruptcy costs are lower
31
Protected versus Unprotected Debt:
Potential Agency Problems
32
Leland and Toft Approach
• As in Merton (1974), Black and Cox (1976),
and Brennan and Schwartz (1978), the
firm asset value V follow a continuous
diffusion process dV    V , t     dt   dz
V
where  V , t  is the total expected rate of
return on asset value V;  is the constant
fraction of value paid out to security
holders; and dz is the increment of a
standard Brownian motion.
34
Leland and Toft Approach
• Endogenous bankruptcy with a stationary
Debt Structure
• Applications
35
Endogenous bankruptcy with a
stationary Debt Structure
• A. A Stationary Debt Structure
• B. Bankruptcy: determining the Bankruptcy
-Triggering Asset Level VB
36
A. A Stationary Debt Structure
• Consider firm continuously sell a constant
amount of new debt with maturity of T years
and it will redeem at par upon maturity.
• The firm remains solvent, at any time s the
total outstanding debt principal have a
uniform distribution in the interval (s,s+T)
37
A. A Stationary Debt Structure
(cont.)
P
• p  : new bond principal issued rate, and
T
P is the total principal value of all
outstanding bonds.
C
• c  : coupon rate, and C is total coupon
T paid.
• Total debt payments are time-independent
P
and equal to C  .
T
38
A. A Stationary Debt Structure
(cont.)
•
D V ;VB , T  :
the total value of debt, when debt
of maturity T is issued.

•   t   ,   1   : bond holders receive the
T
remaining
value.
T
D V ;VB , t    d V ;VB , t dt
t 0
 
C 
C   1  e  rT
C
   P  
 I T     1   VB   J T 
r 
r   rT
r
 
(7)
T
1
where I T    e  rt F  t dt
T 0
1 T
39
J (T )   G  t dt
T 0
A. A Stationary Debt Structure
(cont.)
• v: the total market value of the firm, and
following Leland (1994)
x
x


V 
V 
C
1      VB   (8)
v V ;VB   V 
r   VB  
VB 



E V ;VB , T   v V ;VB   D V ;VB , T  (9)
其中x = a + z,

 r 
a
  2 
 
 2 

2
,z

 a

2

2
12
 2r 

2
2
40
B. Bankruptcy: determining the
Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level
VB
• Solving the equation E V ;VB , T 
,
V
we can solve equation (10) for
Cx
 C  A
 AP

B



 

r  rT
r

 rT
VB 
1   x  1    B
0
V VB
(11)


 
2
2e

n  z T  
n  a T    z  a 
 T
 T
A  2ae  rT N a T  2 zN z T
 rT
2

B    2z  2
z T





2
1

N
z

T

n
z

T

z

a




z 2T
 T

41
B. Bankruptcy: determining the
Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level
VB (cont.)
1   Cx
• When T  , it can be shown that VB 
1 x r
as Lealnd(1994)
• VB depend on the maturity of debt.
• In contrast, the models of the VB with flowbased bankruptcy (Kim, Ramaswamy, and
Sundaresan (1993) and Ross(1994)) or with
a positive net worth covenant (Longstaff and
Schwartz (1995)) is independent of debt
maturity.
42
,
B. Bankruptcy: determining the
Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level
VB (cont.)
dE V V
B


P 1   VB
  1    C  
  VB  dt
T
T


  1    C  p  dt   d VB ;VB , T    VB  dt (12)
• The l.h.s. of equation (12) is the change in
the equity value at V  VB .
• The r.h.s. is the additional cash flow
required from equity holders for current
debt service.
• Tax deductibility is lost whenever V falls
below some value VT , where VT  VB
43
B. Bankruptcy: determining the
Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level
VB (cont.)
 C  A
 AP
 B 
 
r rT
 rT
VB   
(13)
 C

1 x 
    1    B
 rVT





2
2e

n  z T  
n  a T    z  a 
 T
 T
A  2ae  rT N a T  2 zN z T
 rT
2

B    2z  2
z T





2
1

n z T   z  a   2
 N z T 
z T
 T

44
B. Bankruptcy: determining the
Bankruptcy-Triggering Asset Level
VB (cont.)
• When VT  VB ,VB in equation (13) will exceed
VB in equation (11).
45
Applications
• Considered the loss of tax deductibility
and cash flow (coupon).
• When V  VT , VT  C.
• When VB  V  VT ,equity holders willingly
contribute to the firm to avoid default, and
a dilution of their holders resulting from
stock issuance.
46
Ⅲ. Applications (cont.)
A. Optimal Leverage
B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity
C. The Term Structure of Credit Spreads
47
A. Optimal Leverage
48
A. Optimal Leverage (cont.)
• Barclay and Smith (1995) find a positive
correlation between leverage and debt
maturity.
• For any maturity, the optimal leverage ratio
falls, when firm risk and bankruptcy costs
increase.
49
A. Optimal Leverage (cont.)
50
B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity
51
B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity
(cont.)
52
B. Debt Value and Debt Capacity
(cont.)
• Debt capacity falls, as debt maturity less,
volatility or bankruptcy cost rise.
• Low and intermediate leverages show
“humped” market value: newly-issued
bonds and about-to-be-redeemed bonds
sell at par; bonds with remaining maturity
leverage between 0 and T sell above par.
• The hump is more pronounced for greater
leverage levels and longer maturities.
53
C. The Term Structure of Credit
Spreads
55
C. The Term Structure of Credit
Spreads (cont.)
• Credit spreads : high leverage levels,
spreads are high, but decrease as
issuance maturity T increases beyond 1
year.
56