OPTIMA Optimisation for Sustainable Water Management

OPTIMA
Optimisation for Sustainable
Water Management
corridoio.zero
Multidisciplinary Lab for Exchanges
with the Balkans and the Mediterranean Region
Stakeholders Active Involvement
Activity progress
• active-involvement activities ‘first round’ and follow-up:
 May 16th: stakeholders workshop in Amman
 April 20th: stakeholders workshop in Izmir
 Lebanese workshop report
• Dissemination activities: blu+verde conference
(Politecnico di Milano, 24/25th June 2006)
Amman – 1st stakeholders WS
Premises
Optima project progress: WRM baseline scenario for
Zarqa River ready
-
- ‘Type’ of stakeholders: UoJ willingness to involve a
small group of ‘qualified’ SHs at national scale
6 Decision Makers
9 Experts/Researchers
13 Water Users/NGOs
9 Female
19 Male
7 Environmental use
7 Agricultural sector
12 Household/civil sector
1 Industrial/Hydropower use
1 Socio/economic
+ staff group (UoJ & corridoio.zero)
+ PhD students and GIS laboratory researchers
-Time constraints: 5 hours of activities
Amman – 1st stakeholders WS
Agenda
• Welcome activity: expectations & contribution
• Frontal presentation
• Working Session I:
• Sharing and understanding the baseline scenario –
• Planned actions and expected changes
• Working Session II: Visioning ‘the study area in 20 years
• Problems, Issues > Optimisation Objectives
• Actions/Interventions
• Working Session III
• Closing session: common vision and objectives weights
Amman – 1st stakeholders WS
Future steps and appointments
• Workshop feedback from Evaluation forms
• Compiled ‘Issues Questionnaires’
• Selected group of participants involved in workshop
results post-processing (Objective & Constraints and
Intervention questionnaires)
• Workshop report and SHs follow up
• 2nd workshop > evaluation/negotiation phase
Stakeholders Active Involvement
Work plan for next months
• active-involvement activities follow-up – work with Elard, UoJ
and SHs on CONSTRAINTS and INSTRUMENTS
• active-involvement activities ‘second round’ (around 27-31th project
month – September 06/February 07)
• OPTIMA ‘Guidelines for Local Participative Activities at the active
involvement level for WRM’ updating (by 2nd annual report & after
‘second round’ WS)
• WP14 Post optimal analysis
Active Involvement activities –
Local Workshop ‘second round’
•
Evaluation of Alternatives - Outcome: identification of the
‘optimal alternative’ for each Stakeholders’ category
The value that the Stakeholders interested in an Indicator assign to each alternative
does not necessarily proportionally match the value assumed by the indicator itself
as a measure of the effect of an alternative on the corresponding criterion. To
account for the effect of an alternative on SHs Indicator it is necessary translate the
indicator into the “value” assigned by each stakeholder, by means of Utility
Functions. After defining U.F., different techniques can be adopted to sort the
alternatives according to each SHs’ scale of values (weights).
•
Comparison and Negotiation of Alternatives - Outcome:
identification of the best compromise solution
After each SHs’ category has identified its ‘optimal’ alternative from the set of
feasible, non-dominated alternatives generated by WRM model, an alternative
perceived as an acceptable trade-off by all the actors has to be identified through a
negotiation
WP 14 – Post Optimal Analysis
The objectives of this work package are the comparative analysis of the individual case study results,
across the seven case studies.
•
Analyse the combined set of alternatives within and across case studies with reference to local
stakeholders and actors expressed preferences;
•
Identify patterns between objectives, criteria, and constraints in a post-optimal analysis;
•
Identify the contributions of individual classes of measures (technological, institutional, economic)
and their contribution to the objectives;
•
Identify the relationship of decision variables for cross-correlation among the decision variables,
and correlations between decision variables and the objectives (sensitivity analysis).
Tasks:
Just as the feasible alternatives for each case study are subjected to the discrete optimisation step, the
combined set of ALL alternatives from ALL case studies can be analysed in the same way to identify
generic patterns and relationships across the entire project.
The analysis of the individual decision support exercises will yield a rich material for decision analysis,
i.e., a sensitivity analysis of the decision making process, that will identify user preferences and
trade-offs (with direct involvement of local actors) and show local versus general trends.
The task is a comprehensive statistical analysis of the combined data material, looking for patterns within
and between groups of variables such as the decision variables, criteria, constraints, and objectives.
The emerging patterns can be interpreted to shed light on the relative contributions of individual
measures or classes of measures on the overall results.
Deliverables and Milestones:
•
D14.1: Decision Analysis Report.
•
D14.2: Stakeholder Involvement Report
Public participation in relation
to the WFD
WFD CIS Guidance Doc. No. 8
OPTIMA
Two Case Studies
OPTIMA
projects)
(All Case(pilot
Studies)
On-site SHs workshops
SHs Active involvement activities
within Optima Project
STEP 0. Problem definition
Formalisation of the objectives
STEP 1. Identification of actions
Definition of alternatives
STEP 2. Identification of SHs criteria and
indicators
A measure of SHs satisfaction
STEP 3. River basin modelization
A suitable model of the water
system
STEP 4. Design of alternatives
Implementation of Paretoeffective alternatives
STEP 5. Estimate of effect
Evaluating the effect of each
alternative upon the SHs
STEP 6. Evaluation of alternatives
identification of the “optimal”
alternative for each SH
STEP 7. Comparison of the alternatives
and negotiation
Best trade-off alternative
Active involvement - participation
within Optima Project: when and how
Collection of information
Assessment of the regulator/legislation/planning framework
StepIssues
questionnaire
and
SHs
interviews
First identification of water related issues and their priority
0
scale
Step
I
Step
II
Formalisation of objectives
Identification
of C.S. baseline
and future scenarios
First
participative
workshop
Identification of possible intervention
Identification of the optimal alternative for SH’s categories
Second
participative
workshop
Identification
of the best compromise
alternative
(negotiation)
BONSAI