Terms of Reference Design of Mozambique’s second National Export Strategy 1. Background The Commonwealth Secretariat is providing support to the Government of Mozambique to design the country’s second National Export Strategy (NES) 2017-2020. The support is being channelled through the country’s export agency Instituto de Promoção de Exportação (the Institute of Export Promotion) with oversight by the Ministry of Industry and Trade. The NES is envisaged as a critical institutional framework to guide Mozambique towards export diversification, recalibrating the economy away from its dependence on commodity trade. Mozambique drafted its first NES (2012-2017) with technical assistance from the International Trade Centre (ITC) and financial support from the EU and UNIDO. It is envisaged that the needs assessment findings and analysis which informed the NES 20122017 may still be relevant. Therefore, under the design of the 2nd NES, technical assistance will include assessing the degree to which interventions defined for implementation under NES 1, may be updated and carried forward into the 2nd strategic design process. It is recognized that the Strategic Action Plan for the NES (2012-2017) should incorporate strong accountability processes as defined under a robust Monitoring and Evaluation framework. The proposed 2nd NES (2017-2020) will have a critical focus on supporting Mozambique’s export ready firms and manufacturers to enter regional and global value chains, particularly in value-addition agro-processing, to bring further benefits to the country. The Government of Mozambique is focused in ensuring that the good economic growth rates averaging over 7% p.a. in the last two decades, translate into sustainable jobs for the future, particularly given the fast-growing population and by implication labour force increasing by 300,000 year on year. Mozambique is a least developed country with low socioeconomic indicators. Over the last decade it has experienced significant economic growth, fueled by a historically high increase in the volume of its commodity trade and prices, upon which the country is heavily dependent. The country is highly indebted and reliant on donor aid to enhance economic development. Successive governments have been largely effective at undertaking successful economic reform over the last 20 years which has contributed to a regionally high GDP growth rate, averaging 7.4 per cent per annum (World Bank, 2013). However, more than 70 per cent of the population is reliant on agriculture (largely small scale) which is negatively impacted by inadequate infrastructure and low investment which inhibits the country’s transition to high value agro-processing production. Agriculture’s contribution to GDP is 23.4 per cent, whilst industry and services contribute 30.7 per cent and 45.9% per cent respectively. The most recent WTO Trade Policy Review for Mozambique (2009) found supply side constraints are still a challenge to improved trade competitiveness, particularly high prices and inefficient/inconsistent supply of utilities by state owned enterprises (SOEs). Effective implementation of an updated NES (2017-2020) should go some way towards addressing some of the critical factors which are undermining the enabling environment for private sector development, particularly the export sector. 2. Scope of Work Stage 1: Diagnostics and Strategy Development a. Undertake an overall diagnostic of the NES 2012-2017. Undertake Stakeholder consultation in this regard. 1 b. Review the baseline data, situational analysis and define the criteria that will be used to select the priority sectors and cross-cutting issues. c. Analyse the country’s export environment and identify the critical factors impacting Mozambique’s medium and long term export prospects. Be apprised of Mozambique’s emerging new Trade Policy framework to ensure alignment with this and other important national policy documents. d. Identify any gender issues that should be taken into account to ensure equitable access to export opportunities e. Using appropriate criteria identify priority products and services, map value chains and identify strategic points where value may be maximised and export competitiveness increased. f. For the prioritised products and services, conduct a robust market assessment to identify key drivers of competitive advantage, target markets, main competitors and recommend appropriate market entry strategies. g. Develop key objectives and targets for the priority areas over the strategy period. h. Define Action Plans for each priority sector and cross-cutting issue, to include measureable interventions baseline data, owner/implementing agency, resource requirements, expected timeline, risks, etc.,) that can be implemented by 2020. i. Prepare and present draft NES and Action Plans at a national consultative symposium. j. Incorporate feedback from national consultation into the final NES and Action Plans k. Submit the final NES document and Action Plans Stage 2: Implementation Plan a. Develop a mechanism to monitor the implementation of the strategy, including templates to be used by implementing agencies b. Work with key implementing agencies to develop detailed action matrices to support implementation. This will entail integrating discrete activities into organisational work plans. c. Develop an annualised implementation plan for the strategy period d. Present the draft implementation plan to stakeholders 2 e. Define an institutional framework for a NES Secretariat to co-ordinate strategy implementation, including strengthening capacities for communication and knowledge sharing. f. Submit the final Implementation Plan 3. Key Deliverables / Outputs a) Inception Report following the first mission to Mozambique, within 6 weeks of signing the contract. (To include a situation report, work plan and draft layout of the NES) b) A Progress Report, which covers progress made under Stage 1 tasks a-f of the Scope of Work, delivered after 12 weeks. c) Draft NES document and Strategic Action Plans to be presented at a National Consultative Symposium by week 20. d) The final draft NES document and Strategic Action Plan by week 26. e) The final draft Implementation, monitoring and evaluation framework with clear indicators, baselines, targets, timelines with accountable officers indicated by week 30. f) Launch of the NES 2015-2018 by week 34. 4. Approach and Implementation Arrangements The project will be supervised by the Trade Advisor, Commonwealth Secretariat. The Institute of Export Promotion (IPEX) has been designated as the driver of the NES design process and will be the main client for this project. IPEX will provide appropriate office space, organise meetings and provide administrative support. Technical oversight and support will be provided by the Commonwealth Secretariat in partnership with the Ministry of Industry and Trade. Stakeholders from the Trade Support Network will also be critical to this process, as a source of validation of final documents, in their role as practitioners in the sector, supporting exporters to enter new markets. The consultant(s) are expected to work closely in order to encourage local ownership and ensure the cross-fertilisation of ideas. The assignment will be delivered through a stakeholder-driven approach. Stakeholder meetings will be organised at key stages of the project to obtain input, build consensus and validate key recommendations. This project will mainstream gender issues and therefore deliverables are expected to reflect that the gender dimension in the delivery of outputs has been taken into account. Wide stakeholder consultation should capture the differential needs of women-owned export businesses to ensure that the final products (i.e., the NES document, Strategic Action Plan and Implementation Framework) recognises implications for gender equity. Qualifications A Trade or marketing specialist with post graduate qualifications in International Trade, Economics, Business or law. Six years additional employment experience in marketing will be accepted in place of a postgraduate qualification. 3 Competencies At least 10 years’ international experience in national and/or sectoral strategy development for exports, preferably acquired on projects for emerging markets, developing or least developed economies Considerable expertise in the design and implementation of monitoring and evaluation (M & E) frameworks for the delivery of capacity building projects. A proven track record in supporting local institutions to utilise M & E frameworks. Proficiency in Portuguese language will be an advantage Ability to work with a broad range of stakeholders Good understanding of trade policy issues affecting small states Good track record of working in the Sub-Saharan Africa Good understanding of the policy and trade/business environment of Mozambique will be an added advantage 5. Preparation of Proposals Proposals should clearly indicate the following: 1. Technical approach and methodology proposed to undertake activities outlined in the scope of work (Not more than 8 to 12 pages) 2. Proposed work plan and milestones 3. Proposed budget with all costs clearly broken down 4. Detailed CVs of the proposed team members 5. A breakdown of tasks and responsibilities between the team members 6. Level of Effort and Duration The level of effort required from the successful consultants is 70 person days over the period April to December 2016. 7. Budget An all-inclusive budget of £38,000 has been allocated for consultancy services which will cover professional fees, daily subsistence allowance, translation inputs, local travel and economy class international air fares to Mozambique. Costs for stakeholder consultations, including language interpretation at national meetings and document production will be covered separately. 8. Reporting Arrangements The successful consultant will sign a contract with the Commonwealth Secretariat which will be responsible for making contractual payments under the terms of the contract. 9. Submission of Proposals Proposals should be submitted to Human Resources Division at the Secretariat. 4
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