Mutually Exclusive Events OBJ: • Find the probability that mutually exclusive and inclusive events occur Addition Rule P (A or B) P (A and B) P (A U B) = P (A ∩ B) P(A) + P(B)–P(A∩B) DEF: Mutually Exclusive Events 2 events that cannot both occur at the same time; P (A and B) = 0 P (A ∩ B) = 0 Impossible event P (A or B) P(A U B)=P(A)+P(B) EX: In a throw of 2 dice, what is the probability of obtaining a sum of 7 or 11 6 (sums of 7) 36 (sums) 2 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 36 4 5 6 7 8 9 5 6 7 8 9 10 6 7 8 9 10 11 7 8 9 10 11 12 (sums of 11) (sums) 6 + 2 36 36 8 36 = 2 9 EX: In a throw of a red die, r, and a white die, w, find: P (sum of 6 or sum of 10) 5 (sums of 6) 36 (sums) 3 36 (sums of 10) (sums) 5 + 3 36 36 8 36 = 2 9 2 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 8 4 5 6 7 8 9 5 6 7 8 9 10 6 7 8 9 10 11 7 8 9 10 11 12 DEF: Inclusive Events 2 events that can both occur at the same time P (A or B) P (A U B) = P(A) + P(B)–P(A∩B) EX: In a throw of a red die, r, and a white die, w, find: P (r ≤ 3 or w = 2) 18 36 6 36 P (r ≤ 3) (r 3) (die pairs) P (w = 2) (w = 2) (die pairs) P (r ≤ 3 and w = 2) P (r 3 ∩ w = 2) 3 36 P (r ≤ 3 or w = 2) P (r ≤ 3) + P (w = 2)–P (r ≤ 3 ∩ w = 2) 18 + 6 – 3 36 36 36 21 36 7 12 (1, 1) (1,2) (1, 3) (1, 4) (1, 5) (1, 6) (2, 1) (2, 2) (2, 3) (2, 4) (2, 5) (2, 6) (3, 1) (3, 2) (3, 3) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6) (4, 1) (4, 2) (4, 3) (4, 4) (4, 5) (4, 6) (5, 1) (5, 2) (5, 3) (5, 4) (5, 5) (5, 6) (6, 1) (6, 2) (6, 3) (6, 4) (6, 5) (6, 6) EX: In a throw of a red die, r, and a white die, w, find: P (r ≥ 3 or w ≥ 5) 24 36 12 36 P (r ≥ 3) (r 3) (die pairs) P (w ≥ 5) (w 5) (die pairs) P (r ≥ 3 and w ≥ 5) P (r 3 ∩ w 5) 8 36 P (r ≥ 3 or w ≥ 5) P (r ≥ 3) + P (w ≥ 5)–P (r ≥ 3 ∩ w ≥ 5) 24 + 12 – 8 36 36 36 28 36 7 9 (1, 1) (1,2) (1, 3) (1, 4) (1, 5) (1, 6) (2, 1) (2, 2) (2, 3) (2, 4) (2, 5) (2, 6) (3, 1) (3, 2) (3, 3) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6) (4, 1) (4, 2) (4, 3) (4, 4) (4, 5) (4, 6) (5, 1) (5, 2) (5, 3) (5, 4) (5, 5) (5, 6) (6, 1) (6, 2) (6, 3) (6, 4) (6, 5) (6, 6) EX: A card is drawn from an ordinary deck. Find: P (red or a queen) 26 + 4 – 2 52 52 52 28 52 7 13 P(black king or a club) 2 + 13 – 1 52 52 52 14 52 7 26 EX: A card is drawn from an ordinary deck. Find: P(an even number or black) P (red face or a jack) 20 + 26 – 10 52 52 52 36 52 9 13 6 + 4 – 2 52 52 52 8 52 2 13 EX: In a throw of a red die, r, and a white die, w, find: Worksheet 1. P (sum = 7 or red die = 3) P (sum = 7) 6 36 P (red die = 3) 6 36 P (sum = 7 and red die = 3 1 • 1 6 6 6 + 6 – 1 36 36 36 11 36 (1, 1) (1,2) (1, 3) (1, 4) (1, 5) (1, 6) (2, 1) (2, 2) (2, 3) (2, 4) (2, 5) (2, 6) (3, 1) (3, 2) (3, 3) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6) (4, 1) (4, 2) (4, 3) (4, 4) (4, 5) (4, 6) (5, 1) (5, 2) (5, 3) (5, 4) (5, 5) (5, 6) (6, 1) (6, 2) (6, 3) (6, 4) (6, 5) (6, 6) 2 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 8 4 5 6 7 8 9 5 6 7 6 7 8 7 8 9 8 9 10 9 10 11 10 11 12 EX: In a throw of a red die, r, and a white die, w, find: Worksheet 2. P (sum = 10 and red die = 4) P (sum = 10) 3= 1 (reduce since multi.) 36 12 P (red die = 4) 6= 1 36 6 1 • 1 12 6 2(1/72) 1 36 (and →multiply) (1, 1) (1,2) (1, 3) (1, 4) (1, 5) (1, 6) (2, 1) (2, 2) (2, 3) (2, 4) (2, 5) (2, 6) (3, 1) (3, 2) (3, 3) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6) (4, 1) (4, 2) (4, 3) (4, 4) (4, 5) (4, 6) (5, 1) (5, 2) (5, 3) (5, 4) (5, 5) (5, 6) (6, 1) (6, 2) (6, 3) (6, 4) (6, 5) (6, 6) 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 5 6 7 8 9 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 EX: In a throw of a red die, r, and a green die, g, find: Worksheet 4. P (r > 5 or g < 2) P (r > 5) 6 36 P (g < 2) 6 36 3. 1 • 6 6 + 36 11 36 P (r > 5 and g < 2) (and →multiply) 1 6 6 – 1 36 36 (1, 1) (1,2) (1, 3) (1, 4) (1, 5) (1, 6) (2, 1) (2, 2) (2, 3) (2, 4) (2, 5) (2, 6) (3, 1) (3, 2) (3, 3) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6) (4, 1) (4, 2) (4, 3) (4, 4) (4, 5) (4, 6) (5, 1) (5, 2) (5, 3) (5, 4) (5, 5) (5, 6) (6, 1) (6, 2) (6, 3) (6, 4) (6, 5) (6, 6) EX: In a throw of a red die, r, and a green die, g, find: 8. P (sum is prime or sum <6) P (sum is prime) 15 (prime sums) 36 (sums) P (sum <6) 10 (sums < 6) 36 (sums) P (sum is prime & sum < 6) 7 36 15 + 10 – 7 36 36 36 18/36 = ½ 2 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 8 4 5 6 7 8 9 5 6 7 8 9 10 6 7 8 9 10 11 7 8 9 10 11 12 EX: A card is drawn from an ordinary deck. Find: Worksheet (9) P (king or club) 4 + 13 – 1 (10) 52 52 52 16 52 4 13 Worksheet (11) P (king or queen) 4 + 4 (12) 0 52 52 8 52 2 13 Worksheet: Select a number between 1 and 100 (inclusive) (18) P (prime) 25 100 1 4 (19) P (less than 50) 49 100 (20) P (prime and < 50) 15 100 3 20 (21) P (prime or < 50) 25 + 49 – 15 100 100 100 59 100
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