IC-based value creation process of firms: cluster approach Grigorii Teplykh Marina Oskolkova The research is carried out in the framework of "Science Foundation HSE" program, grant № 13-05-0021 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Motivation for study • A lot of studies is devoted to analysis of Intellectual capital transformation to corporate value. • Researchers underline the importance of an analysis of separate firm. • Each company has own model of transformation of intangible assets into performance. • However an individual specific of firms is usually ignored or simplified. • This study is an attempt to look more deeply into heterogeneity of value creation process and reveal dissimilarities between different kinds of firms. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Contradiction • Process of corporate value creation is very individual Vs. • Econometric analysis of value creation is based on sufficiently large set of firms Any empirical investigation is a compromise – we analyse common properties of large set of very heterogeneous firms 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Fight with Heterogeneity • There are several ways to treat with firm heterogeneity in studies of the IC topic: – imposing restrictions on the sample to ensure needed level of firms homogeneity; – introducing companies special features into regression equation as control variables; – dividing data into the sub-samples and analyzing each of them separately. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Imposing restrictions • Companies of one industry, country, firms of comparable size etc. – Simplest way to make comparable sample – Problem of choosing adequate restrictions – Differences in sample restrictions employed in different research make their results incomparable – Chosen restrictions may lead to substantial shortening of the sample – There could be sample unrepresentativeness and impossibility to spread obtained results to companies beyond the sample 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Control variables • Including control variables (size, ownership, industry dummies) into value creation model – Assumption that factors influence the performance indicator as shift – The approach doesn’t imply hard sample restriction. – Strong assumption about independence between control variables and other tangible and intangible factors that are included into the value model. – The correct model that reflects interaction between independent value factors should be chosen. If their interaction is ignored then regression estimation is going to be biased and therefore distorts understanding of corporate growth drivers. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Sub-samples • Dividing of a sample into a more homogeneous sub-samples and analyze the value creation process in each of them separately – Unusual way (Youndt et al., 2004; Cheng, 2004 implemented cluster analysis). – Clusterisation should be made on the base of some distinguishing indicators, that may affect the value creation process. So it’s necessary to justify these variables and boundaries of firm’s group. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital The key idea of the study • Current study aims to reveal companies’ clusters and investigate IC-based value creation process for each of them. It is supposed that some factors, such as size and activity of IC implementation influence the process of IC transformation into firm value. • The authors expect to receive different results for different clusters that are tied with importance and significance of particular IC assets: – H1. Size of companies influences value creation model. – H2. Companies’ IC size influences value creation model. • Until the gap is closed researchers will may regularly face with great discrepancy of findings about relationships between IC and corporate value. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Methodology • Cluster analysis (k-mean method) – Grouping of firms into comparable sets • Firm size (market capitalization) • Intangible capital involvement (IA book value) • Factor analysis (PCA) – Accounting integral indices for each group of intellectual assets (human, structural and relational capitals) at the base of proxy’ set • Regression analysis (2SLS) – The endogeneity problem is taken into consideration – Modeling of value creation • For all firms and separately for each cluster • For all periods and two sub-periods apart 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Final centers of clusters Final centers of clusters Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3 Cluster 4 Variable The whole sample Average logarithm of market capitalization 14,617 11,5356 13,2462 11,2707 Average Intangible to fixed assets ratio 13,3299 9,8438 11,3345 7,3225 Number of companies in cluster 36 63 79 38 Variable Before the crisis (2005-2007) Average logarithm of market capitalization 14,853 11,815 13,467 11,356 Average Intangible to fixed assets ratio 13,216 9,753 11,114 7,361 Variable During the crisis (2008-2009) Average logarithm of market capitalization 14,286 11,091 12,972 11,091 Average Intangible to fixed assets ratio 13,469 9,944 11,561 7,287 • • • • Cluster 1 – large-size companies with greater involvement of IC; Cluster 2 – middle-size companies with greater involvement of IC; Cluster 3 – large-size companies with less involvement of IC; Cluster 4 – middle-size companies with less involvement of IC. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Indexes for IC assets (loadings of first principal components) HC Index Variable Loadings Board of 0,2839 directors’ qualification Share of -0,2745 directors that own company’ shares Personnel costs 0,6473 per employee Employee 0,6520 efficiency SC Index RC Index Variable Loadings Variable Loadings Patents 0,5728 Company’s age -0,0435 ERP systems 0,5079 implementation Well-known brand 0,2931 Strategy 0,4421 implementation Intangible -0,1550 assets R&D expences 0,4410 Citations in search engines Corporate site quality Location in the capital Location in the megapolis 0,5288 0,3757 0,4476 0,5395 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Model MCapt A BVt NEt exp a1 a2 a3HCt a4 SCt a5 RCt a6 DCt a7 DIt log( MCapt ) a0 a1 log( BVt ) a2 log( NEt ) a3 DCt a4 DI t a5 HCt a6 SCt a7 RCt • • • • • • • MCap is market capitalization; BV is company’s assets book value; NE is company’s number of employee; HC is human capital index; SC is structural capital index; RC is relational capital index; DC – dummy variable that has the value “1” if the company operates in Great Britain and “0” otherwise; • DI – dummy for industry (1 if service or 0 if manufacturing) • A, a1…a7 are regression coefficients; t is a time period; ɛ is error. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Regressions results (all periods) Variable C Log (BV) Log (NE) Country dummy Industry dummy HC Index SC Index RC Index Cross-sections obs. Total panel obs. Adjusted R-squared All companies Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3 the whole sample Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 1,578*** 7,685*** 5,704*** 5,659*** 0,819*** 0,511*** 0,341*** 0,645*** 0,012 -0,126 0,241** -0,159** 0,332*** -0,025 -0,023 0,030 0,084 0,494*** -0,042 0,015 0,088* 0,028 0,073 -0,007 0,115*** 0,046 0,012 0,133*** 0,146*** 0,209*** 0,163*** 0,009 212 36 61 78 771 136 223 283 69,5% 53,8% 39,7% 41,4% Cluster 4 Model 5 6,053*** 0,555*** -0,166 0,367 -0,166 0,199 0,433*** 0,219* 37 129 36,7% 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Regressions results before the crisis (2005-2007) Variable C Log (BV) Log (NE) Country dummy Industry dummy HC Index SC Index RC Index Cross-sections obs. Total panel obs. Adjusted R-squared All companies Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3 Cluster 4 before the crisis (2005-2007) Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 Model 10 1,412*** 5,994*** 6,375*** 5,630*** 5,707** 0,884*** 0,638*** 0,298** 0,689*** 0,608* -0,033 -0,082 0,254* -0,180** -0,206 0,34***7 -0,042 0,086 -0,019 0,542 0,041 0,301** 0,066 -0,074 -0,043 0,054 0,001 0,087 -0,059 0,175 0,100** 0,041 0,019 0,115** 0,378* 0,136*** 0,122** 0,081 0,053 0,184 204 34 60 73 37 387 66 115 138 68 71,2% 64,6% 33,1% 45,4% 24,6% 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Regressions results during the crisis (2008-2009) Variable C Log (BV) Log (NE) Country dummy Industry dummy HC Index SC Index RC Index Cross-sections obs. Total panel obs. Adjusted R-squared All companies Cluster 1 Cluster 2 Cluster 3 Cluster 4 during the crisis (2008-2009) Model 11 Model 12 Model 13 Model 14 Model 15 1,660*** 8,902*** 4,796** 5,697*** 6,915** 0,771*** 0,467*** 0,400** 0,604*** 0,464* 0,040 -0,249 0,232 -0,139 -0,129 0,319*** -0,039 -0,119 0,096 0,141 0,123 0,744*** -0,185 0,088 -0,306 0,110 -0,008 0,048 0,054 0,223 0,134** 0,045 0,017 0,154** 0,489** 0,155*** 0,316** 0,259** -0,053 0,283 204 36 59 77 32 384 70 108 145 61 66,2% 40,3% 25,1% 28,1% 40,2% 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Results • Importance of tangible resources (labour and capital) declined and the significance of intellectual resources (HC, SC, RC) increased during the crisis – for all the clusters • Different value creation model for each cluster either before and after the 2008 crisis • Different response for each groups of firms to the 2008 crisis • These conclusions are just visual. We have not yet tested models for structural shits. 2nd International Summer School on Intellectual Capital Conclusions • We proposed a cluster approach to analysis of firm heterogeneity in value creation model • We revealed that firm heterogeneity is more important that it was assumed earlier • We found the value creation depends on such factors as firm size and amount of intangibles. – They impact on effects of value drivers (both tangible and intellectual assets) – They impact on change of effects of tangible and intellectual assets during the crisis
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